Storm Track 3 Forecast: Friday's severe storm threat, more rain this weekend
Dry and comfortable through this evening. Moisture will return to the region overnight in the form of clouds as a weak disturbance enters the region.
While a few sprinkles and showers are possible overnight over Western Kansas, this disturbance gets its act together for more organized and scattered showers late Friday morning into the afternoon over Central and Eastern Kansas.
Attention then shifts to our western counties late Friday afternoon. Clouds may break for sunshine. Isolated storms will develop after 4 PM Friday to the northwest.
Large hail is the primary concern where a Slight Risk is highlighted. Winds could also be locally damaging. A landspout cannot be ruled out although the threat is low over Northwest Kansas and Southwest Nebraska. After sundown, this round of severe weather will drop.
However, more moisture will get siphoned this way and interact with a boundary to create scattered rain and storms Friday night. Some of this rain may be locally heavy. There will also be a locally damaging wind and hail threat. This round should run out of gas by Saturday morning.
Clouds will linger over the holiday weekend. This will keep temperatures cooler than average. Trends for Saturday keep getting cooler as the next piece of energy comes into play.
By Saturday evening, the strongest thunderstorms will form along the Kansas/Oklahoma state line with a higher threat for severe weather in northern Oklahoma, closer to the parent low pressure system.
Damaging winds and hail are the main threats in any stronger storm along with localized heavy rainfall.
Additional rain and storms are possible Sunday and Monday.
Memorial Day is looking wetter with today's weather model guidance.
A Flood Watch is in effect for Chautauqua County through Sunday.
A healthy 1″ to more than 2″ will fall with the highest expected to the south/southeast where the watch is in effect.
Temperatures will trend cooler into early next week before warming on Wednesday. We will get into a pattern starting Tuesday evening of stormy complexes riding down the High Plains into the core of Kansas. This will keep rain and storm potential off and on, offering assistance for our drought.
KSN Storm Track 3 Forecast from Chief Meteorologist Lisa Teachman:Wichita:Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lo: 54 Wind: NE/E 5-15Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy, breezy. 50% chance of showers and storms. Hi: 71 Wind: E/SE 10-25Tomorrow Night: Mostly cloudy, breezy. 70% chance of showers and storms. Lo: 60 Wind: SE/E 10-20
Wichita WeeklySat: Hi: 71 Lo: 58 Mostly cloudy, windy. 50% chance of showers and storms.Sun: Hi: 68 Lo: 52 Mostly cloudy, windy. 40% chance of showers and storms.Mon: Hi: 65 Lo: 50 Mostly cloudy, breezy. 30% chance of showers and storms.Tue: Hi: 69 Lo: 52 Mostly cloudy.Wed: Hi: 72 Lo: 54 Mostly cloudy. 20% chance of showers and storms.Thu: Hi: 75 Lo: 57 Mostly to partly cloudy, breezy.
–Chief Meteorologist Lisa Teachman
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