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Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Aegon Ltd. (AMS:AGN) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Why It Might Not Make Sense To Buy Aegon Ltd. (AMS:AGN) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Yahoo2 days ago

It looks like Aegon Ltd. (AMS:AGN) is about to go ex-dividend in the next four days. The ex-dividend date is commonly two business days before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade can take two business days or more to settle. This means that investors who purchase Aegon's shares on or after the 16th of June will not receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 7th of July.
The company's next dividend payment will be €0.19 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of €0.38 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Aegon stock has a trailing yield of around 6.0% on the current share price of €6.31. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.
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Dividends are usually paid out of company profits, so if a company pays out more than it earned then its dividend is usually at greater risk of being cut. Last year, Aegon paid out 94% of its income as dividends, which is above a level that we're comfortable with, especially if the company needs to reinvest in its business.
When a company pays out a dividend that is not well covered by profits, the dividend is generally seen as more vulnerable to being cut.
View our latest analysis for Aegon
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Aegon's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 11% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.
Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Aegon has delivered an average of 5.6% per year annual increase in its dividend, based on the past 10 years of dividend payments. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Aegon is already paying out 94% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.
Is Aegon worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share are in decline and Aegon is paying out what we feel is an uncomfortably high percentage of its profit as dividends. It's not that we hate the business, but we feel that these characeristics are not desirable for investors seeking a reliable dividend stock to own for the long term. These characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance, and investors may not be happy with the results of owning this stock for its dividend.
With that in mind though, if the poor dividend characteristics of Aegon don't faze you, it's worth being mindful of the risks involved with this business. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Aegon you should know about.
A common investing mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a full list of high-yield dividend stocks.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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