
Buy Adani Green Energy, target price Rs 1,150: ICICI Securities
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Financials
Adani Green Energy reported strong set of result in Q4FY25. Revenue was Rs 27 billion (+31% YoY), in line with higher generation (+44% YoY). EBITDA came in at Rs 24 billion (+31% YoY) and profit was INR 3.9bn (+25% YoY). Profit was partly impacted by exceptional losses of INR 1.66bn booked during the quarter. FY25 revenue/EBITDA was up 23% YoY at Rs 99 billion/90 billion as generation improved by 28%. The company commissioned 2.6GW capacity in Q4FY25 (2.3GW/0.3GWsolar/wind); this substantially improved the annual commissioning to 3.3GW. Commissioning at Khavda (in Gujarat) was 1.7GW/2.1GW in Q4FY25/FY25, taking the operational capacity to 4.1GW at Khavda. AGEL is targeting to achieve 30GW of operational capacity at Khavda by 2029.
Investment Rationale
Adani Green Energy had a strong Q4FY25 both operationally and financially. It commissioned ~2.6GW/3.3GW in Q4FY25/FY25, taking operational capacity to 14.2GW. Its locked-in generation capacity soared by 50% to ~33GW (vs ~22GW as of Mar?24). AGEL?s energy sales were up 28% in FY25, mainly due to contribution from incremental capacity. In Q4, its revenue was Rs 27 billion (+31% YoY), in line with higher generation; EBITDA came in at Rs 24 billion (+31% YoY) and profit was Rs 3.9 billion (+25% YoY). It plans to achieve 50GW operational capacity by 2030 ? 45GW generation capacity and 5GW PSP capacity; it is targeting 30GW operational capacity at Khavda by 2029. AGEL has guided for capacity addition of 5GW in FY26. The stock is trading at 12x locked-in EBITDA. Retain BUY with a target price of Rs 1,150.
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Promoter/FII Holdings
Promoters held 60.94 per cent stake in the company as of 31-Mar-2025, while FIIs owned 12.45 per cent, DIIs 2.4 per cent.
(You can now subscribe to our
(You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel ICICI Securities has a buy call on Adani Green Energy with a target price of Rs 1,150. The current market price of Adani Green Energy is Rs 916.65 .Adani Green Energy reported strong set of result in Q4FY25. Revenue was Rs 27 billion (+31% YoY), in line with higher generation (+44% YoY). EBITDA came in at Rs 24 billion (+31% YoY) and profit was INR 3.9bn (+25% YoY). Profit was partly impacted by exceptional losses of INR 1.66bn booked during the quarter. FY25 revenue/EBITDA was up 23% YoY at Rs 99 billion/90 billion as generation improved by 28%. The company commissioned 2.6GW capacity in Q4FY25 (2.3GW/0.3GWsolar/wind); this substantially improved the annual commissioning to 3.3GW. Commissioning at Khavda (in Gujarat) was 1.7GW/2.1GW in Q4FY25/FY25, taking the operational capacity to 4.1GW at Khavda. AGEL is targeting to achieve 30GW of operational capacity at Khavda by 2029.Adani Green Energy had a strong Q4FY25 both operationally and financially. It commissioned ~2.6GW/3.3GW in Q4FY25/FY25, taking operational capacity to 14.2GW. Its locked-in generation capacity soared by 50% to ~33GW (vs ~22GW as of Mar?24). AGEL?s energy sales were up 28% in FY25, mainly due to contribution from incremental capacity. In Q4, its revenue was Rs 27 billion (+31% YoY), in line with higher generation; EBITDA came in at Rs 24 billion (+31% YoY) and profit was Rs 3.9 billion (+25% YoY). It plans to achieve 50GW operational capacity by 2030 ? 45GW generation capacity and 5GW PSP capacity; it is targeting 30GW operational capacity at Khavda by 2029. AGEL has guided for capacity addition of 5GW in FY26. The stock is trading at 12x locked-in EBITDA. Retain BUY with a target price of Rs 1,150.Promoters held 60.94 per cent stake in the company as of 31-Mar-2025, while FIIs owned 12.45 per cent, DIIs 2.4 per cent.
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