
Stocks diverge as US tariff deadline looms
Oil prices rose, even if OPEC and its allies agreed over the weekend to increase output more than expected.
'Tariff threats look likely to take centre stage yet again this week, following further developments over the weekend,' noted Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor.
Trump announced he would send the first tariff letters to various countries on Monday ahead of his deadline Wednesday for trading partners to reach a deal expires.
He warned that US levies on imports will snap back to the high levels he set in April if countries failed to make agreements.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said, however, that the measures would not be applied until August 1, instead of the July 9 cut-off that had been set by Trump.
Trade Nation analyst David Morrison said added time wasn't calming markets.
'While (Bessent) downplayed the idea of this being a 'new deadline', the market took little comfort, interpreting the remarks as an extension of trade risks,' he said.
The White House has said several deals were in the pipeline but only two have been finalised so far, with Britain and Vietnam.
Major trading nations, including Japan, India, the European Union and South Korea, have fought for the past three months to get agreements.
Uncertainty prevails, with Trump declaring that an extra 10 percent import levy would be added to any country 'aligning themselves with the Anti-American policies of BRICS' -- the 11-member alliance including Brazil, Russia, India and China.
Despite the tariff uncertainty, official data Monday showed German industrial production rose strongly in May, boosting hopes that Europe's top economy has turned a corner.
The news boosted German equities which gained 1.2% for the day.
Paris added 0.4 percent, while London dipped 0.2%.
Asia's main stock markets mostly steadied.
Wall Street slipped after record finishes by the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite on Thursday before the long holiday weekend in the United States.
OPEC+ hike
The oil market was also in focus after Saudi Arabia, Russia and six other key members of the OPEC+ alliance said they would increase oil output in August by 548,000 barrels per day, more than expected.
The group said in a statement that 'a steady global economic outlook and current healthy market fundamentals, as reflected in the low oil inventories' led to the decision.
IG analyst Chris Beauchamp said that crude prices would ordinarily be expected to drop when additional supply is being brought to market.
'Crude's strength today suggests that buying momentum is clearly picking up,' he said.
Shares in Shell dropped around 2.9% after the British energy giant posted a weak trading update.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Gulf Insider
an hour ago
- Gulf Insider
Saudi Arabia's GDP Grows 3.9% In Q2 On Rebound In Oil, Non-Oil Sectors
Saudi Arabia's real GDP expanded by 3.9% year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025, according to flash estimates released by the General Authority for Statistics (GASTAT). The growth was led by a 4.7% increase in non-oil activities, followed by a 3.8% rise in oil activities and 0.6% in government activities. On a quarterly basis, seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 2.1% compared to Q1 2025, supported largely by a strong 5.6% jump in oil sector performance. Non-oil activities also posted a healthy 1.6% growth, while government activity declined slightly by 0.8%. Analysts at S&P Global Market Intelligence expect this momentum to continue in the second half of 2025. 'As oil production ramps up in line with OPEC+ agreements and Vision 2030 reforms continue to drive non-oil diversification, we forecast real GDP growth to accelerate to 4.8% in 2025, up from 2.0% in 2024,' they said in a statement. Domestic demand and consumer spending are expected to play a leading role in driving the economy this year, though private fixed investment may stay muted. Public investment growth is also likely to remain constrained as the kingdom manages fiscal deficit targets. The combination of rising oil exports and sustained non-oil expansion underscores Saudi Arabia's resilience amid shifting global economic dynamics and positions it for stronger full-year performance.


Gulf Insider
a day ago
- Gulf Insider
Trump Calls India, Russia "Dead Economies" Tariff Standoff
President Trump first announced his tariff 'Liberation Day' in April, and the measures are now set to take effect tomorrow. While countries like Europe, Japan, and South Korea have capitulated to the Trump administration's mounting pressure and signed trade deals, others, such as India, remain holdouts. In response, Trump lashed out on Truth Social media early Thursday morning, labeling India a 'dead economy' and claiming the U.S. does 'very little business' with the country. 'I don't care what India does with Russia. They can take their dead economies down together, for all I care,' Trump wrote on his social media platform. He continued, 'We have done very little business with India, their Tariffs are too high, among the highest in the World,' adding, 'Likewise, Russia and the USA do almost no business together. Let's keep it that way, and tell Medvedev, the failed former President of Russia, who thinks he's still President, to watch his words. He's entering very dangerous territory!' On Wednesday morning, Trump fired off another Truth Social post about India, indicating New Delhi faces 25% tariff plus penalties starting on Friday. He criticized India's close ties to Moscow during the Ukraine war, describing them as 'not good,' and emphasized that the U.S. has done relatively little business with India. It remains unclear whether U.S. and Indian trade negotiators can reach a deal before the deadline. However, Trump's comments on Truth Social suggest the talks are not going well. A statement from the Indian government yesterday pointed out that a trade deal with the U.S. must be 'mutually beneficial' and protect its farmers and small businesses. According to analysts at Mumbai-headquartered Axis Bank, 25% tariffs on Indian goods would have a $10 billion impact on exporters. Société Générale analyst Kunal Kundu said the tariffs could 'dampen domestic sentiment' and 'expectation of maintaining a relative tariff advantage over competitors in labour-intensive exports has been undermined.' He noted that 'disadvantage is not excessively severe.' 'Trump's causing a lot of trouble for Modi,' said Derek Grossman, a former U.S. intelligence official who is now a professor of international relations at the University of Southern California, who Bloomberg quoted. 'A lot of damage has been done today, more than at any time I can remember,' Grossman added. 'I'm not saying that the relationship is going to collapse or anything like that. It'll persist, but I feel like India will be far more circumspect in dealing with America from this point forward.' So much for all those signs of progress in April when Vice President JD Vance visited India. Vance at the time called a US-India relationship a 'win-win partnership' and sought stronger ties with New Delhi in energy and defense trade. Important to note: India and Russia are part of the BRICS system, challenging the US status quo. Also read: Declassified Documents Confirm Hillary Clinton Plan To Smear Trump, Use FBI


Gulf Insider
a day ago
- Gulf Insider
Declassified Documents Confirm Hillary Clinton Plan
On Thursday, newly declassified documents reveal that not only did the CIA believe a Russian intelligence assessment that the 2016 Hillary Clinton campaign planned to smear Donald Trump by linking him to the Kremlin, it's clear that the FBI helped the Clinton campaign orchestrate the Russia hoax to distract from its investigation into her emails. To review: Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard earlier this month declassified several documents – including a 2020 House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) report and other intelligence communications revealing that the Obama administration 'manufactured and politicized intelligence' to create a false narrative that Russia interfered in the 2016 election to help Trump defeat Hillary Clinton. – including a 2020 House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence (HPSCI) report and other intelligence communications revealing that that Russia interfered in the 2016 election to help Trump defeat Hillary Clinton. Gabbard's releases highlight the inclusion of the Steele dossier – an unverified report funded by the Clinton campaign alleging ties between Trump and Russia – in the 2017 ICA as an annex. The hoax dossier was used to bolster the Russian interference narrative, despite CIA objections and its discredited status. The HPSCI report states that Brennan insisted on referencing the dossier, even though senior CIA officers warned it was flawed , with Brennan allegedly saying, 'doesn't it ring true? The HPSCI report states that , with Brennan allegedly saying, 'doesn't it ring true? Gabbard has called these actions a 'treasonous conspiracy' led by Obama, Brennan, Clapper, James Comey, Susan Rice, and others, aimed at undermining Trump's presidency. She has referred the documents to the Justice Department and FBI for investigation into potential criminal implications. And now we have the Durham annex… which includes a 2016 memorandum alleging that Russian intelligence knew of a Clinton campaign plan to tie Trump to Russian hackers. This memo claims the plan was designed to 'distract the [American] public from the Clinton email server scandal.' Gabbard's HPSCI report similarly references Russian intelligence claiming Clinton's campaign discussed linking Putin to Trump. Clinton's Approval of Smear Campaign : Pages 4 and 5 of the annex, highlighted in X posts, contain a 2016 memorandum alleging that Clinton personally approved a plan on July 26, 2016, to frame Trump with Russian hacking claims. The memo suggests this was to distract from her email scandal, with coordination involving DNC leadership and outside groups. : Pages 4 and 5 of the annex, highlighted in X posts, contain a 2016 memorandum alleging that Clinton personally approved a plan on July 26, 2016, to frame Trump with Russian hacking claims. The memo suggests this was to distract from her email scandal, with coordination involving DNC leadership and outside groups. Russian Intelligence Awareness : The annex confirms that Russian intelligence was aware of this plan, which aligns with Gabbard's claim that the FBI and CIA had access to this information but pursued the Trump-Russia narrative anyway. : The annex confirms that Russian intelligence was aware of this plan, which aligns with Gabbard's claim that the FBI and CIA had access to this information but pursued the Trump-Russia narrative anyway. No New Criminal Charges: Despite these allegations, Durham's broader investigation (2019–2023) found no evidence of a criminal conspiracy among Obama officials to fabricate intelligence. He criticized the FBI's handling of the Steele dossier and Crossfire Hurricane but did not charge Brennan, Clapper, or others named by Gabbard. As ZH regular TechnoFog notes; To briefly summarize, the Classified Appendix provided further information about the matters covered in parts of Durham's report – specifically, those relating to Hillary Clinton's plan to link Trump and Russia; the threat of foreign influence by a foreign government; and the Carter Page FISA application renewals. But the most material information covers the Clinton Plan, and provides further details on how that plan started, efforts by Clinton and her team to influence officials within the Obama Administration, and how the Clinton Campaign would use Crowdstrike to further their theory that the Russians hacked and leaked information from the Democratic National Convention (DNC) and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC). The Smoking Gun(s)… 🚨SMOKING GUN: The declassified Durham Annex confirms Hillary Clinton personally approved the plan to frame Trump with Russian hacking US election claims — to 'distract from her missing emails' and 'demonize Trump.''Later, the FBI will put more oil on the fire.' — Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) July 31, 2025 And as Michael Shellenberger notes, the CIA believed Russian memos mentioning a Clinton plan to smear Trump as a Russian asset: 'The CIA prepared a written assessment of the authenticity and veracity of the above-mentioned intelligence. The CIA stated that it did not assess that the above [redacted] memoranda or [redacted] hacked U.S. communications, to be the product of Russian fabrications.' The newly declassified appendix to the Durham report is game-changing. It showed that the CIA believed Russian intelligence memos, which analyzed hacked emails and alleged a Clinton Plan to vilify Trump by linking him to Russia, were credible. "The CIA prepared a written… — Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) July 31, 2025 What's more, other memos reveal that the plan was to have Crowdstrike and 'ThreatConnect' spin narratives to the media in the absence of actual evidence of Trump-Russia collusion. Regarding proving-up the DNC/DCCC hack and leak – "In absence of direct evidence, Crowdstrike and ThreatConnect will supply the media" with will feed the info to the FBI and then the info "would then be disseminated through leading US publications." — Techno Fog (@Techno_Fog) July 31, 2025 Stay tuned, things are getting spicier… Also read: Trump Could Pull Up To 30% Of US Troops Currently In Europe