
House prices see biggest monthly fall for over two years
Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, said the situation for many potential homebuyers remained "supportive".He noted that the unemployment rate remains low, earnings are still outpacing inflation and borrowing costs could become cheaper if the Bank of England makes further cuts to interest rates.Changes to stamp duty that came into effect in April mean that housebuyers in England and Northern Ireland now pay the tax on properties over £125,000, instead of over £250,000, as was the case previously.First-time buyers also have to pay stamp duty on homes costing more than £300,000, whereas before the April change, there was no charge unless the property was above £425,000.Matt Swannell, chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club, noted that monthly house price changes "can be quite volatile and this has been exaggerated by April's change in stamp duty thresholds".This change distorted the market over the first half of the year, he said, as deals were rushed through at the end of March."[Since April] the housing market has been in a soft patch, but we think this will prove temporary, with the rise in May's mortgage approvals for new home purchases, which lead housing transactions, already indicating it's starting to fade."Nationwide's house price data is based on its own mortgage lending, which does not include buyers who purchase homes with cash, or buy-to-let deals. Cash buyers account for about a third of housing sales.
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BBC News
32 minutes ago
- BBC News
No new policies in next year's budget, says Mark Drakeford
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The Independent
36 minutes ago
- The Independent
Zero-hours contacts will be illegal in two years
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The Guardian
40 minutes ago
- The Guardian
Macquarie digs deeper for redemption at Southern Water. There was no alternative
Many took the view in 2021 that Macquarie should have been run out of town, rather than be allowed to own another English water company. The giant Australian financial outfit's former outing, remember, was at Thames Water from 2006 to 2017, which was when the absurd games of financial leverage began at the UK's biggest water company. The then-chair of Ofwat later told MPs he asked himself the question 'What do we do here, with that reputation?' when Macquarie made the best financial offer to rescue Southern Water. The deal was done eventually with Ofwat's blessing. Macquarie-managed funds injected £1bn to take control and its infrastructure boss declared in an open letter that the firm would be 'a responsible long-term steward of Southern Water and believes it can help the company deliver the transformation it requires'. Part of that statement – the bit about being in it for the long term – is clearly true. Macquarie is now rescuing Southern for a third time, in effect. An extra £550m was injected in 2023. Now its consortium (of which it and its managed funds are about 90%) is putting in up to £1.2bn in equity to recapitalise Southern's operating company. The process is convoluted since only £655m is binding; a further £245m is intended to follow by the end of the year and the balance of £300m depends of the outcome of Southern's appeal to try to secure bigger bill increases than the 53% allowed by Ofwat. But, in the shoes of the regulator or a fearful secretary of state, Steve Reed, you'd be breathing a sigh of relief. Their nightmare was the thought that the current refinancing crisis at Thames would spill over to Southern, the next most stressed operator. Instead, Southern should now have sufficient capital to get it through the current five-year regulatory period. Unlike at Thames, the fisticuffs with bondholders took place behind closed doors. Lenders are taking a write-down from £865m to £415m across the complicated holding company group structure in what is a mini debt-for-equity swap to supplement the new capital. Macquarie's approach to transparency didn't extend to giving a leverage ratio for the regulated entity in recapitalised form – a critical metric – but the ratio is obviously lower than it was before the deal. Yet the Australian attempt at watery redemption is not quite the upbeat tale of emerging success presented in Tuesday's announcement. The claimed 'good progress' with Southern's transformation plan requires a large helping of context. Yes, pollution incidents may be down by 40%, but the top executives are still on Reed's banned list for bonuses on account of spills. Meanwhile, the company got a two-star rating in the Environment Agency's last assessment report – better than the one star Macquarie inherited, but still equal bottom-of-the-table. Ofwat's separate performance scorecard noted that in 2023-24 Southern 'reported the largest percentage net underperformance payment for a fourth consecutive year.' Sign up to Business Today Get set for the working day – we'll point you to all the business news and analysis you need every morning after newsletter promotion Those regulatory reports are almost a year old, so maybe the next annual crop will provide evidence of the 'momentum' behind the turnaround. Until then, however, Macquarie has merely demonstrated it can cough up capital when there is no realistic alternative. On-the-ground operational delivery is what counts. There is a long way to go. If the exercise is costing more than Macquarie expected in 2021, sympathy may be limited.