
Wall St sees worst session since May on US eco jitters
Wall Street traders drove stocks towards their worst session since May, as weak jobs and manufacturing data revived concerns about the economy, a day after Trump unveiled sweeping tariffs.
Bond yields sank on bets that the Fed will cut rates soon.
The S& fell 1.2%, with Amazon leading losses on an underwhelming profit outlook. Short-term yields headed toward their biggest plunge since Aug 2024. Money markets fully priced in two rate cuts in 2025, with an 80% chance of a reduction in Sept. The dollar sank.
Job growth cooled sharply over the past three months and the unemployment rate rose. Payrolls increased 73,000 in July after the prior two months were revised down by nearly 260,000.
In the last three months, employment growth has averaged a paltry 35,000 - the worst since the pandemic.
"What had looked like a Teflon labour market showed some scratches this morning," said Ellen Zentner at Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. "A Fed that still appeared hesitant to lower rates may see a clearer path to a Sept cut, especially if data over the next month confirms the trend."
A separate report showed US factory activity contracted in July at the fastest pace in nine months, dragged down by a faster decline in employment as orders continued to shrink.
The twin shocks - a slew of new tariffs that boosted the average US rate on goods from across the world and evidence of a cooling labor market - sent investors scrambling to reassess the economic outlook.
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35 minutes ago
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Commodity prices witnessed sharp swings last week, with base metal copper dropping nearly 2 per cent while gold gained over 1 per cent after US President Donald Trump imposed a 25 per cent tariff on most Indian goods. Fresh tariff announcements by Trump fanned fears of a global trade war, leading to a rout in base metals while safe-haven demand lifted precious metal gold last week, analysts said. They said the unexpected US tariff structure, especially on semi-finished copper goods, sent shockwaves across global commodity markets, with copper prices tumbling sharply and crude oil showing mixed trends amid geopolitical concerns. --Copper crashes as US slaps tariffs on semi-finished imports-- Copper was the worst-hit among base metals as the Trump administration imposed a steep 50 per cent tariff on imports of semi-finished copper goods such as wires, tubes and rods. The new duties will come into force from August 7. 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"MCX copper prices dropped from Rs 900 to Rs 861 in just three sessions before stabilising. The exclusion of raw forms like cathodes from the tariff list has led to confusion in price discovery," Singh added. She noted that traders exited long positions aggressively, leading to the largest weekly outflow in over a year and adding that "India imported over USD 1.4 billion worth of refined and semi-refined copper in FY24. With the US market restricted, these goods may be diverted to India, risking margin pressure for local fabricators". According to Heena Naik, Research Analyst - Commodities, Angel One, the US administration initially hinted at wide-ranging copper tariffs, causing a rush of shipments into the US ahead of the August 1 deadline. "Now, with refined copper excluded from the tariff list, there are concerns of re-exports and a potential oversupply. The sudden narrowing of the tariff scope has disrupted the global copper supply chain," she said. Naik also highlighted China's indirect exposure, being the world's top producer of copper products, and added that base metals broadly fell over 1.5 per cent last week amid weak demand and tariff headwinds. -- Gold and silver trade mixed -- On the Multi-Commodity Exchange (MCX), gold futures for October delivery rose Rs 1,292 or 1.3 per cent last week. In global markets, COMEX gold futures surged USD 51 or 1.52 per cent to settle at USD 3,413.80 per ounce in New York on Saturday. Silver, on the other hand, extended losses. MCX silver futures for September delivery plunged Rs 2,829 or 2.5 per cent to end the week lower. COMEX silver futures managed marginal gains of 0.59 per cent to close at USD 37.08 per ounce. "Gold continues to be viewed as a reliable store of value, especially with the US Fed maintaining a restrictive policy stance and global uncertainties flaring," said Riya Singh, Research Analyst - Commodities and Currency at Emkay Global Financial Services. 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Adding that any secondary sanctions on Russian oil imports could force India to more expensive alternatives, which could impact domestic refiners such as IOC and Reliance, and affect the rupee. Heena Naik added that crude surged by over 5 per cent as investors focused on developments on the US President's tighter deadline for Russia to end the war in Ukraine. However, a weak industrial demand and uncertainty over OPEC+ supply decisions kept oil prices under pressure. -- Commodities to see volatility this week -- Analysts emphasised that as investors deal with the effects of US tariffs, China's economic slowdown, and shifting geopolitical tensions, commodity markets are expected to be turbulent in the weeks ahead. "Price discovery has been skewed by Trump's tariff structure, which targets semi-finished goods while excluding raw copper forms. Regarding demand and future trading channels, the market is still unclear," Singh stated. Naik said that investors should prepare for ongoing fluctuations in base metals, energy, and precious metals due to policy uncertainty and the rising US dollar's impact on global commodities.