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‘Birds of a feather': Yuan Zheng on Trump's China hawks and US rivalry endgame

‘Birds of a feather': Yuan Zheng on Trump's China hawks and US rivalry endgame

Published: 6:00am, 27 Jan 2025
Yuan Zheng is deputy director of the Institute of American Studies at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. He is also the vice-president and secretary general of the Chinese Association for American Studies. This interview first appeared in SCMP Plus. For other interviews in the Open Questions series, click here .
You said that China should maintain communication with the US, including [Donald] Trump himself, his family and the people around him. How difficult do you expect that will be over the next four years?
Engagement is necessary.
Engagement can be both public and private. Right now, the most appropriate form might be private. Direct contact is certainly better, but if that is not possible, then indirect contact, such as through intermediaries, is the way to go. As for connecting through Elon Musk , I think if people talk about it too much, it will become problematic and Musk will also be cautious. Some things can only be done and not talked about. If they are over-discussed, they will not work.
Perhaps we could look for people similar to Musk, or Trump's major sponsors, or big American businessmen and entrepreneurs – people who can have a say.
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Toward a NATO-like security guarantee for Ukraine
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Toward a NATO-like security guarantee for Ukraine

Ukraine's president, Volodymyr Zelensky, had good cause to be optimistic following his recent White House meetings with Donald Trump and the leaders of the European 'coalition of the willing.' While a concrete peace plan has yet to emerge, Trump appears to have come around to the European position that security guarantees will be vital if any peace deal is to stick. This is real progress. But what shape would security guarantees take in the case of Ukraine, and will they be enough to deter the Russian president, Vladimir Putin, from breaking the peace at some future date? Talk of security guarantees is nothing new. Zelensky and his European allies have been stressing their importance for much of the conflict. But what does appear significant is the way in which the latest proposals have been framed. It has been suggested that Ukraine should be offered security guarantees that resemble what Italy's prime minister, Giorgia Meloni, called an 'Article 5 model.' 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Why President Lee Jae Myung will stop in Tokyo before Washington
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Great attention in South Korea is rightfully focused on the high-stakes visit later this month of President Lee Jae Myung to Washington, DC. Worries about the future of alliance relations with the United States are growing, fed by the apparent readiness of President Donald Trump to abandon Ukraine and subordinate relations with Europe to those with Russian President Vladimir Putin. All this, however, also serves to underscore the strategic importance of President Lee's decision to stop in Tokyo on his way to Washington. Aside from the unprecedented decision to visit Japan before the United States, the August 23–24 visit allows the two Asian neighbors and allies of the United States to tightly coordinate their response to the Trump administration. South Korea and Japan face an overlapping set of challenges in managing relations with the United States under the second Trump administration. 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Ishiba has opened the possibility that he may issue a fuller and franker statement of his views on September 2, the eightieth anniversary of the signing of Japan's surrender. The right wing continues to raise alarms about this option. But 'Lee's first visit to Tokyo might create a more interesting opportunity' for Ishiba to make his views clear, a senior correspondent at the Asahi Shimbun told this writer. 'Tokyo and Seoul share so much in common in coping with Trump,' the veteran Japanese journalist observed. 'Lee has sealed off his populist approach, and is sending Tokyo multiple signals that the Korean progressive president is ready for a pragmatic and future-oriented relationship. Let's see how it plays out.' It is unlikely the Trump administration is even aware of these developments or understands the importance of this 'Japan First' stopover. It will be watched closely, however, not only in South Korea and Japan but in the broader region. Daniel C. Sneider is a non-resident distinguished fellow at the Korea Economic Institute of America and a lecturer in East Asian Studies at Stanford University. This article, first published by KEI, is republished with permission.

US may've lost a battle, refreshing China-India ‘ChIndia' dreams
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US may've lost a battle, refreshing China-India ‘ChIndia' dreams

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