logo
Asian currencies fall as middle east tensions boost dollar safe-haven demand

Asian currencies fall as middle east tensions boost dollar safe-haven demand

SINGAPORE/HONG KONG: Emerging Asian currencies lost ground on Wednesday as the dollar held firm on safe-haven demand as the conflict between Israel and Iran entered a sixth day, while investors awaited rate decisions by the Bank Indonesia and the Federal Reserve.
Iran and Israel launched new missile strikes at each other, with US President Donald Trump calling for Iran's unconditional surrender and warning US patience was wearing thin.
Moreover, market jitters intensified after officials said the US military is bolstering its presence in the region. The Israeli shekel was last largely flat at 3.5048 per dollar. It fell 0.4 per cent on Tuesday.
The MSCI index of emerging market currencies edged down 0.2 per cent. The Malaysian ringgit inched 0.1 per cent lower, and the Indian rupee fell to a more than two-month low. The dollar index was little changed after a 0.6 per cent jump in the previous session.
Oil prices extended gains after jumping more than 4 per cent on Tuesday. Most emerging Asian economies, except Malaysia, import the bulk of their oil requirements, and increasing crude prices also hurt their currencies.
The Philippine peso fell 1 per cent to its lowest level since mid-April. The peso has performed well for most of this year, which is making it vulnerable as negative factors, including higher oil prices and concerns of a rate cut by the central bank, start weighing in, said Alan Lau, FX strategist at Maybank.
The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) is expected to lower its key interest rate by 25 basis points on Thursday. The Taiwanese dollar was flat, and the South Korean won inched up 0.1 per cent.
In Indonesia, the rupiah weakened 0.3 per cent and stocks fell 0.5 per cent ahead of the central bank's monetary policy decision later in the day.
"Today's BI rate decision is likely to be a close call, split between a pause and a back-to-back rate cut," DBS analysts said in a note.
Inflation developments are conducive, with recent stimulus measures expected to further restrain price pressures, however, policymakers might view the recent Middle East tensions and its impact on the regional currencies with trepidation, they added.
Other regional stock markets were mixed. Manila and Singapore shares fell 0.1 per cent and 03 per cent, respectively. Taipei and Seoul equities rose 0.4 per cent and 0.2 per cent, respectively, driven by technology stock gains.
Markets were also awaiting the Federal Reserve's policy decision later on Wednesday, expectating for the central bank to stand pat on rates.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Nvidia working on new AI chip for China that outperforms the H20
Nvidia working on new AI chip for China that outperforms the H20

New Straits Times

time2 hours ago

  • New Straits Times

Nvidia working on new AI chip for China that outperforms the H20

BEIJING/SINGAPORE: Nvidia is developing a new AI chip for China based on its latest Blackwell architecture that will be more powerful than the H20 model it is currently allowed to sell there, two people briefed on the matter said. US President Donald Trump last week opened the door to the possibility of more advanced Nvidia chips being sold in China. But the sources noted US regulatory approval is far from guaranteed amid deep-seated fears in Washington about giving China too much access to US artificial intelligence technology. The new chip, tentatively known as the B30A, will use a single-die design that is likely to deliver half the raw computing power of the more sophisticated dual-die configuration in Nvidia's flagship B300 accelerator card, the sources said. A single-die design is when all the main parts of an integrated circuit are made on one continuous piece of silicon rather than split across multiple dies. The new chip would have high-bandwidth memory and Nvidia's NVLink technology for fast data transmission between processors, features that are also in the H20 - a chip based on the company's older Hopper architecture. The chip's specifications are not completely finalised but Nvidia hopes to deliver samples to Chinese clients for testing as early as next month, said the sources who were not authorised to speak to media and declined to be identified. Nvidia said in a statement: "We evaluate a variety of products for our roadmap, so that we can be prepared to compete to the extent that governments allow." "Everything we offer is with the full approval of the applicable authorities and designed solely for beneficial commercial use," it said. The US Department of Commerce did not respond to a Reuters request for comment. FLASHPOINT The extent to which China, which generated 13 per cent of Nvidia's revenue in the past financial year, can have access to cutting-edge AI chips is one of the biggest flashpoints in US-Sino trade tensions. Nvidia only received permission in July to recommence sales of the H20. It was developed specifically for China after export restrictions were put in place in 2023, but company was abruptly ordered to stop sales in April. Trump said last week he might allow Nvidia to sell a scaled-down version of its next-generation chip in China after announcing an unprecedented deal that will see Nvidia and rival AMD give the US government 15 per cent of revenue from sales of some advanced chips in China. A new Nvidia chip for China might have "30 per cent to 50 per cent off", he suggested in an apparent reference to the chip's computing power, adding that the H20 was "obsolete". US legislators, both Democratic and Republican, have worried that access to even scaled-down versions of flagship AI chips will impede US efforts to maintain its lead in artificial intelligence. But Nvidia and others argue that it is important to retain Chinese interest in its chips - which work with Nvidia's software tools - so that developers do not completely switch over to offerings from rivals like Huawei. Huawei has made great strides in chip development, with its latest models said to be on par with Nvidia in some aspects like computing power, though analysts say it lags in key areas such as software ecosystem support and memory bandwidth capabilities. Complicating Nvidia's efforts to retain market share in China, Chinese state media have also in recent weeks alleged that the U.S firm's chips could pose security risks, and authorities have cautioned Chinese tech firms about purchasing the H20. Nvidia says its chips carry no backdoor risks. Nvidia is also preparing to start delivering a separate new China-specific chip based on its Blackwell architecture and designed primarily for AI inference tasks, according to two other people familiar with those plans. Reuters reported in May that this chip, currently dubbed the RTX6000D, will sell for less than the H20, reflecting weaker specifications and simpler manufacturing requirements. The chip is designed to fall under thresholds set by the US government. It uses conventional GDDR memory and features memory bandwidth of 1,398 gigabytes per second, just below the 1.4 terabyte threshold established by restrictions introduced in April that led to the initial H20 ban. Nvidia is set to deliver small batches of RTX6000D to Chinese clients in September, said one of the people.

India's purchases of Malaysian palm oil surge in July
India's purchases of Malaysian palm oil surge in July

The Sun

time2 hours ago

  • The Sun

India's purchases of Malaysian palm oil surge in July

KUALA LUMPUR: India's palm oil imports from Malaysia surged 16% in July 2025 to 301,000 tonnes, the highest in nine months, even as Malaysia's palm oil inventories climbed to a 19-month high of 2.11 million tonnes on slower pace of exports, said Malaysian Palm Oil Council (MPOC). In a statement yesterday, it said demand from India is expected to remain firm in September as importers stock up ahead of Diwali. Sub-Saharan Africa is also projected to maintain steady imports of about 300,000 tonnes, providing additional support for exports. 'Although Malaysian palm oil stocks have been rising since February, supply pressure remains limited. At the same time, Indonesia's biodiesel programme remains on track, consuming more than 1 million tonnes of palm oil monthly since February, preventing a stock built-up in the country, said MPOC. The council said the biofuel market has exerted a strong influence on vegetable oil market in July and August. Rising US domestic feedstock requirements have pushed US soybean oil prices to a significant premium in August – US$131 per tonne above Argentine soybean oil and US$148 per tonne above Malaysian palm olein. The strength in US soybean oil prices has lifted the broader vegetable oils complex. Looking ahead, the USDA projects that 52% of US soybean oil production will be used domestically for biodiesel in 2026, rising by 1.5 million tonnes (26.7%) to 7 million tonnes. This surge in domestic use will sharply reduce export availability. US soybean oil exports are forecast to drop from 1.15 million tonnes in 2025 to just 310,000 tonnes in 2026. Brazil's soybean oil exports may also struggle to expand despite record soybean harvests and higher crushing volumes, as the country raised its mandatory biodiesel blend from 14% to 15% on Aug 1. As a result, the global market will increasingly rely on Argentine supplies to cover the shortfall. This tightening in export availability is likely to support vegetable oil prices, including palm oil. Indonesia is also considering raising its biodiesel mandate to B50 in 2026. If implemented, the policy would require about 16 million tonnes of palm oil annually for blending, up 3 million tonnes from an estimated 13 million tonnes in 2025. However, global palm oil output is projected to grow only by 1.6 million tonnes in 2026 to 83.1 million tonnes, with most of the increase coming from Indonesia, according to Oil World. With supply growth lagging behind biodiesel demand, palm oil prices are likely to stay firm. On the supply side, Malaysia's production patterns have also shifted. In 2024, Malaysia's palm oil production peaked unusually early at 1.89 million tonnes in August, compared with the historical peak in October. Peninsular Malaysia recorded an exceptionally strong output in July 2025 of 1.12 million tonnes – the highest July production in a decade and also the highest monthly output for the region in 10 years. This suggests that Peninsular Malaysia's production may have already peaked in July or could peak in August, before declining from September onwards. While Sabah and Sarawak have yet to reach their peak months, any downturn in Peninsular Malaysia from September is expected to cap national production growth for the rest of the year. As a result, Malaysia's palm oil stocks are unlikely to see a major built-up in September and October. CPO prices have recently soared above RM4,500 per tonne and may remain volatile in weeks ahead. Despite the fluctuations, prices are expected to hold above RM4,300 in the near term. Tightening soybean oil export availability, combined with the prospect of slower palm oil supply growth relative to biodiesel demand should provide continued support. However, the sustainability of palm oil's price strength will depend on its competitiveness against soybean oil in the export market.

Bursa ends higher on sustained buying in heavyweights
Bursa ends higher on sustained buying in heavyweights

Free Malaysia Today

time2 hours ago

  • Free Malaysia Today

Bursa ends higher on sustained buying in heavyweights

KUALA LUMPUR : Bursa Malaysia extended its upward trajectory to close higher today, supported by sustained buying in selected heavyweights, despite cautious sentiment in regional markets, a dealer said. Rakuten Trade Sdn Bhd vice-president of equity research Thong Pak Leng said the key regional indices ended mostly lower due to profit-taking, tracking the broadly negative cue from Wall Street overnight. Thong said market sentiment remained cautious as investors awaited policy hints from the Federal Reserve ahead of its annual Jackson Hole symposium from Aug 21-23. As for the local bourse, he said investor sentiment continues to improve as the benchmark index has breached the 1,585 resistance level. 'With the index reclaiming levels last seen in early 2025, we believe this could pave the way to the 1,600 psychological level and further strengthen the case for a sustained uptrend toward 1,640,' Thong said. 'For the moment, we maintain our weekly FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) target of between 1,570 and 1,600, then 1,620 if momentum continues,' he told Bernama. At 5pm, the FBM KLCI rose 5.28 points, or 0.33% to close at 1,590.24 from yesterday's close of 1,584.96. The benchmark index opened 2.47 points firmer at 1,587.43, and moved between 1,584.62 and 1,594.40 throughout the day. The broader market was positive with advancers leading decliners 503 to 489, while 510 counters were unchanged, 1,084 untraded and six suspended. Turnover improved to 2.60 billion units worth RM2.74 billion from 2.54 billion units worth RM2.72 billion yesterday. Among the heavyweights, Maybank added 2 sen to RM9.80, Tenaga Nasional jumped 10 sen to RM13.72, CIMB climbed 6 sen to RM7.39, IHH Healthcare improved 3 sen to RM6.85, while Public Bank was flat at RM4.46. Of the most active counters, Velesto earned 0.5 sen to 19 sen, Tanco eased 0.5 sen to 73 sen, Zetrix fell 3.5 sen to 86.5 sen, Genetec slid 6 sen to 56.5 sen, while TWL holdings was flat at 2.5 sen. Meanwhile, trading in the securities of Pestec International Bhd was halted between 3.01pm and 4.01pm today. Bursa said stocks of the company and its warrant will be forbidden from direct business transactions until 10am tomorrow, Aug 20, 2025, as per Bursa Trading Rule 10.10(1). Across the broader market, the FBM Emas Index increased 33.61 points to 11,812.41, the FBMT 100 Index gained 35.06 points to 11,597.65, the FBM Emas Shariah Index climbed 37.77 points to 11,731.40, the FBM 70 Index advanced 35.40 points to 16,709.97, while the FBM ACE Index slipped 4.53 points to 4,709.69. By sector, the financial services index garnered 55.13 points to 18,185.50, the plantation index bagged 11.72 points to 7,546.48, the industrial products and services index perked up 0.77 of-a-point to 159.12, while the energy index gained 11.87 points to 750.22. The Main Market volume rose to 1.49 billion units valued at RM2.51 billion from yesterday's 1.39 billion units valued at RM2.47 billion. Warrants turnover jumped to 732.43 million units worth RM101.91 million from 694.21 million units worth RM98.99 million previously. The ACE Market volume declined to 375.68 million units worth RM134.87 million from 459.40 million units worth RM150.63 million yesterday. Consumer products and services counters accounted for 223.04 million shares traded on the Main Market; industrial products and services (213.61 million), construction (125.83 million), technology (214.04 million), financial services (82.87 million), property (219.62 million), plantation (20.82 million), REITs (47.04 million), closed-end fund (nil), energy (161.39 million), healthcare (61.74 million), telecommunications and media (52.01 million), transportation and logistics (28.54 million), utilities (39.39 million), and business trusts (308,400).

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store