
Govt considers levy on gasoline-powered cars to promote electric vehicles
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The government is considering a five-year levy on all vehicles powered by petrol and diesel to promote electric vehicle (EV) adoption in the country. It has also decided to establish an 'EV Fund' to support the growth of electric transportation.
The EV Fund will be set up to facilitate electric vehicle adoption, and a levy is proposed on all petrol and diesel vehicles—both imported and locally manufactured—for the next five years. If approved and implemented, this levy could generate annual revenue of Rs25–30 billion, amounting to Rs125–150 billion over five years. The collected revenue would be used to finance the new five-year Electric Vehicle Policy for 2026–30.
Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised concerns about the government's proposal to provide idle electricity for Bitcoin mining and artificial intelligence operations, according to sources in the Finance Ministry.
The IMF has sought an explanation for not being consulted on the use of electricity for Bitcoin mining and AI, as well as on electricity tariffs. A virtual discussion is scheduled with the IMF delegation specifically regarding electricity supply for Bitcoin mining.
The IMF has also asked for clarification on the allocation of electricity for cryptocurrency operations, particularly since crypto remains unregulated in Pakistan.
The IMF has insisted that all decisions under the loan programme be made with prior consultation. Sources confirm that Pakistan's economic team is facing tough questions during budget negotiations, and further hard discussions with the IMF regarding electricity supply initiatives are anticipated.
According to sources, many key economic targets in the budget proposals have already been finalised in consultation with the IMF, while discussions on other areas are ongoing and expected to conclude in the coming days. It has also been proposed to offer incentives for the local manufacturing of laptop and smartphone batteries and chargers.
Sources added that virtual consultations with the global lender are ongoing regarding budget proposals for the upcoming fiscal year, with an outcome expected soon. The draft budget will likely be finalised next week.
Both Pakistan and the IMF have agreed to continue virtual talks on all outstanding matters.
In the federal budget for fiscal year 2025-26, the government is likely to set a GDP target of 4.2%, an inflation target of 7.5%, an agricultural growth target of 4.5%, an industrial growth target of 4.4%, and a services sector growth target of 4%.
The Annual Plan Coordination Committee (APCC) will convene on June 2 to finalise the Public Sector Development Program (PSDP) and the annual development plans. Later that same week, a key meeting of the National Economic Council (NEC), chaired by the prime minister, will be held where approval will be sought for the PSDP, annual development plans, and the Medium-Term Budgetary Framework proposed by the APCC. If adjustments or increases in funding for development projects are required, the NEC will approve them.
The Economic Survey, detailing the performance of the current fiscal year, will be released on June 9. The federal budget will be presented in parliament the following day, June 10, after its approval by the federal cabinet in a special session.
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Express Tribune
3 hours ago
- Express Tribune
Development budget likely to top Rs4tr
Listen to article The government is set to approve a record Rs4.1 trillion national development budget for the Centre and provinces amid scarcity of resources that has compelled it to ban small-scale projects and not to include federally-funded province-specific new schemes for next year. Despite the threat of blocking water by India, the government has proposed to reduce the water sector allocation by 45% or Rs119 billion to just Rs140 billion for the fiscal year 2025-26 against the originally approved budget. Yet, the proposed federal Public Sector Development Programme (PSDP) reflects the coalition government's political priorities, with hefty allocations for road infrastructure, while funding for education, health, and water has been significantly slashed for the fiscal year 2025-26. The Annual Plan Coordination Committee (APCC) will today (Monday) approve the national development budget outlays for the federal government, four provincial governments and the special areas of Pakistan. Planning Minister Ahsan Iqbal will chair the meeting, which will also recommend 4.2% economic growth and 7.5% inflation targets for the next fiscal year. The federal PSDP has been finalised by a committee constituted by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif aimed at accommodating the needs of the coalition partners. The APCC will approve a cumulative Rs4.1 trillion outlay for development, which will be Rs300 billion or 8% higher than this fiscal year's original budgets approved by the National and four provincial assemblies. There has been a reduction in the federal PSDP, but the four provincial governments will cumulatively spend 28% higher than this year's budget from their own resources. Provinces are rich, thanks to the ill-planned National Finance Commission award of 2010. The APCC will approve Rs1 trillion federal PSDP, down by Rs400 billion compared to this fiscal year's original budget approved in June last year. The federal government will borrow Rs270 billion from abroad to fund this Rs1 trillion spending. The four governments plan to spend Rs2.8 trillion, higher by Rs609 billion or 28% over this year's original budgets. The provincial governments will also borrow Rs802 billion from abroad to fund their projects. Another Rs288 billion will be spent by the government-owned companies outside the federal budget. Punjab is on a spending spree, as it plans to spend Rs1.19 trillion, which is higher by Rs346 billion or 41% over this fiscal year's budget. Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa will follow Punjab with Rs440 billion spending, also higher by 63%. Sindh government plans to spend Rs887 billion, higher by Rs60 billion or 7%. The Balochistan government is proposing Rs280 billion for development, which is higher by Rs32 billion over the originally approved budget. No fiscal space The federal and provincial governments are loosening their purses despite the country facing challenging economic conditions. The federal government, constrained by limited fiscal space, is once again allocating Rs1 trillion, even though it managed to spend only Rs600 billion during the first 11 months of the current fiscal year. The APCC will approve not to include any new provincial nature project in the PSDP due to fiscal constraints. It will also approve a moratorium on approval of up to Rs1 billion projects till completion of the IMF programme. However, an exception is also being proposed from the moratorium in case of "compelling conditions". Despite fiscal constraints, projects pertaining to devolved subjects and provincial in nature are still being financed under the federal PSDP. About 30-40% of PSDP goes to the provincial nature projects, which have seriously undermined the progress of mega and core projects of national significance, according to the planning ministry. The projects of national importance are delayed due to thin spread funding, and around 90% ongoing projects have been revised with cost increase and time overrun, it added. The APCC may also issue directions that the development funds should not be diverted to non-development purposes during the currency of the fiscal year. The APCC will review whether projects with high impact, focused on completion within 3-4 years, will be funded. The proposed PSDP gives priority to foreign-funded and core, and high-impact projects. However, a cursory look at the proposed PSDP suggests that despite tough economic conditions, the government has given importance to politically nature projects by increasing allocations for the National Highway Authority and the provincial nature projects. The allocation for the provincial projects has been proposed to be increased from Rs19 billion to Rs93.4 billion. Likewise, the NHA budget has been proposed to be increased to a whopping Rs229 billion, up by Rs49 billion or 27%. To make room for higher spending on political priorities of the coalition partners, the government has proposed to drastically reduce the funding of the water and power sector projects. The power sector budget is proposed to be reduced by Rs72 billion or 41% to Rs104 billion. The water sector allocation is proposed to be cut by Rs119 billion to just Rs140 billion. Diamer Basha dam project will get Rs35 billion in the next fiscal year compared to Rs40 billion this year, according to the sources. The federal ministry of education's budget has been proposed to be cut by 27% to Rs20 billion, while the Higher Education Commission's budget is proposed to be reduced by Rs21 billion or 32% to Rs45 billion. Despite challenges, the government has also retained a Rs50 billion allocation for the parliamentarians' schemes under the umbrella of the Sustainable Development Goals Achievement Programme. Around 1,071 development projects with a cumulative cost of Rs13.4 trillion are currently under implementation. They need another Rs10.2 trillion for completion, which the Planning Ministry states would take more than 10 years to complete. Compared to the original Rs1.4 trillion approved federal PSDP in the budget, the actual spending as of the end of May remained at Rs596 billion, which is hardly 43% of the parliament's approved budget. The government admits that Pakistan, withan IMF programme, undergoes some limitations and thus the challenge ahead is to leverage the limited resources in a way to achieve maximum returns from each project to satisfy goals and objectives outlined in the national economic transformation plan, the 5Es-based five-year plan and the "Uraan Pakistan Programme" while overcoming challenges. There are also implementation issues, and during recent reviews, the planning ministry had identified 183 projects, mostly at the DDWP level, as problematic and slow-moving. It has been recommended to cap or close all these projects by June 2025. By capping or closing such projects, around Rs1 trillion could be saved and fiscal space could be created for fast-moving ongoing projects as well as new high-impact priority projects, according to a proposal to the APCC.


Business Recorder
5 hours ago
- Business Recorder
PSX sees mild recovery
KARACHI: The PSX saw a mild recovery last week ended on May 30, supported by improved economic policy clarity. However, gains remained limited as investors braced for potential tax-related announcements in the upcoming Federal Budget. The benchmark KSE-100 Index closed at 119,691 points on Friday, recording a gain of 588 points or 0.49 percent on a week-on-week (WoW) basis, up from 119,102.67 points at the close of the previous. Meanwhile, average daily trading volumes increased by 35 percent WoW, rising to 662 million shares compared to 491.5 million shares in the preceding week. Market capitalization rose by Rs. 118 billion during the week, reaching Rs. 14.503 trillion compared to Rs. 14.385 trillion in the previous week. BRIndex100 also gained 103.45 points during the last week to close at 12,842.51 points compared to 12,739.06 points a week earlier. Average daily turnover at BRIndex100 was 575.59 million shares. BRIndex30 up by 288.93 points on a week-on-week basis to 37,794.85 points with the daily average share trading volumes of 432 million. Analysts noted that despite the uptick, the market remained largely range-bound, moving within a narrow band of 1,770 points, weighed down by uncertainty surrounding potential revenue measures in the Federal Budget FY26. Investors remained cautious ahead of the upcoming federal budget amid growing concerns over proposed tax measures. On the economic side, the week commenced with IMF concluding its visit to Pakistan without reaching an agreement on certain budget items, leading the government to reschedule the budget presentation to June 10, 2025. However, the virtual negotiations are continuing, with both sides to focus on measures to enhance tax revenues and curtailing expenditures. Meanwhile, China reaffirmed its commitment to refinance $3.7 billion in commercial loans denominated in the Chinese currency, before the end of June-2025. In other developments, the SBP's net buying from the currency markets stood at $223 million in Feb-2025 to further strengthen foreign exchange reserves, bringing the cumulative purchases of $5.9 billion during 8 months of FY25. In the recently held T-bill auction, SBP raised Rs772 billion against the target of Rs650 billion, with yields remaining largely flat across different maturities. Moreover, SBP reserves also rose by $70 million week on week to $11.52 billion. According to AHL Research, the KSE-100 index remained range-bound throughout the week, weighed down by uncertainty regarding potential revenue measures in the upcoming Federal Budget FY26. Foreign investors remained net sellers during the week, recording an outflow of $5.57 million, which was largely absorbed by local buyers. Overall, sentiment stayed cautious as market participants awaited clarity on fiscal policies and tax reforms expected in the upcoming budget announcement. While analyzing on the monthly basis, Topline sales desk stated that the benchmark KSE 100 Index gained 7.5 percent on month on month (MoM) basis, this gain can be attributed to cut in policy rate by 100bps by SBP to 11 percent in its monetary policy meeting, citing the improvement in inflation outlook relative to the previous assessments and approval of first review of EFF by IMF board along with a new facility under Resilience and Sustainability Facility of $1.4 billion. Analysts at AHL Brokerage house stated that market is expected to remain positive in the coming weeks, with developments around the upcoming federal budget likely to drive short-term sentiment, along with room for more rate cut in the upcoming Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting as it forecasted inflation stands at 7.0 percent in next fiscal year. The KSE100 is anticipated to sustain its upward trajectory, with a target of 165,215 points by December 2025, primarily driven by strong earnings in fertilizers, sustained ROEs in banks, and improving cash flows of E&Ps and OMCs, benefiting from falling interest rates and economic stability, they added. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025


Business Recorder
5 hours ago
- Business Recorder
Power sector debt: Govt secures historic Rs1.275trn loan deal from banks
ISLAMABAD: After months of negotiations on term sheets and legal formalities, the government has finalized agreements for a historic loan package of Rs 1.275 trillion with approximately 18 commercial banks to address the growing circular debt in the power sector. According to sources, the draft agreements are now ready for final approval by the Federal Cabinet. The loan aims to offset a portion of the circular debt, which currently stands at approximately Rs 2.3 trillion. The government has already secured the International Monetary Fund's (IMF) endorsement for its circular debt reduction plan, which includes borrowing from commercial banks. Of the total debt, around Rs 700 billion is currently held on the books of the Power Holding Company Limited (PHL) on behalf of the power distribution companies (Discos). Rs1.275trn loan to tackle circular debt: CPPA-G likely to sign term sheets with 18 banks During ongoing discussions with the IMF Review Mission, both the Finance Division and the Power Division briefed the mission on the status of negotiations with commercial banks and the terms outlined in the draft agreements. Under the deal, commercial banks will extend fresh loans amounting to Rs 617 billion at an interest rate of 10.50–11 percent, pegged to the Karachi Interbank Offered Rate (KIBOR) minus 0.2 percent. Repayments will be made over six years through the Debt Service Surcharge (DSS), which is currently charged to consumers at Rs 3.23 per unit in electricity bills. To meet IMF structural benchmarks, the government also plans to uncap the DSS, which currently represents 10 percent of the total revenue of power companies. This will be done through a legislative amendment, enabling the payment of interest and partial repayments of loans raised by PHL that appear on Discos' balance sheets. 'We have finalized all necessary documentation and term sheets with the banks, and these are expected to be approved before Eid (this week),' a source confirmed. Earlier reports suggested that commercial banks had requested guarantees from the State Bank of Pakistan in case of government default. However, sources indicated that government negotiators emphasized the systemic risk to banks' investments if the power sector were to collapse—an implied warning rather than a direct threat. A government official denied any coercion, stating that banks were merely urged to recognize the severity of the situation. 'This is a massive, unprecedented transaction in Pakistan, so naturally, many aspects needed to be carefully finalized,' the official said. Another senior official involved in the initiative confirmed that all outstanding matters with the banks have been resolved. 'The indicative term sheet was signed by all banks last week. It now awaits approvals from the federal cabinet and the CPPA-G Board. A summary will be submitted to the cabinet next week, after which the loan documentation will be completed within three to four weeks,' he explained. Loan disbursements are expected before the end of the current month so that reduced figures of circular debts are shown in the budget documents. According to official documents, the government has committed to borrowing Rs 1.252 trillion from commercial banks to repay all outstanding PHL loans (Rs 683 billion) and settle the remaining interest-bearing arrears owed to power producers (Rs 569 billion). The loan is expected to be secured at more favourable terms than those currently applied to the existing circular debt—one of the primary factors contributing to its accumulation. Repayments will be made over six years through DSS collections. Copyright Business Recorder, 2025