
The UK can't keep muddling through a massive increase in debt
After all, I once wrote a book called Something Will Turn Up, the title channelling Dickens's Mr Micawber. That is not a plug; it was published a decade ago and is no longer available in all good bookshops. The thesis was that the UK is good at muddling through, over many decades, even in adversity.
I say this because although there is much we are good at, as I discussed a couple of weeks ago in the context of a new book by former chancellor Jeremy Hunt , in key respects, we have become hopeless at dealing with adversity. It makes me nostalgic for the days of muddling through.
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The Independent
9 minutes ago
- The Independent
No, Kemi Badenoch – housing asylum seekers in tents won't solve our immigration problem
Kemi Badenoch might say that she was 'only asking a question' when she said, at a meeting with protesters against an asylum hotel in Epping: 'Is it possible for us to set up camps and police that, rather than bringing all of this hassle into communities?' But it wouldn't be a good idea. While the answer is yes – it is technically possible to build tent villages away from population centres to house those applying for refugee status – these camps would always be close to somewhere. Badenoch's question is an example of the politics of 'far away' that has always afflicted thinking about asylum-seekers. Even Tony Blair considered a detention camp on the island of Mull, which seems empty and far away from London – but people live there, too, and in the end he decided that he was also only asking a question. He also thought about using the Falklands for an asylum processing centre, and the last Conservative government went through Ascension Island and St Helena before finally devising a scheme that was the ultimate 'far away', to deport arrivals to Rwanda without even considering their applications for asylum. And Rwanda only ever had the capacity to take a few hundred migrants, which would have been insignificant against the 50,000 that have arrived by small boat in little more than a year of the Labour government. While the cross-Channel traffic is high, putting asylum-seekers 'somewhere else' does not solve the problem. Nor would processing asylum claims more quickly – although that would end the need for hotels, because migrants accepted as refugees or granted leave to remain would be allowed to work and would be able to support themselves. But that would not solve the problem of the small boats continuing to arrive, which is what is so damaging to people's confidence that the government is in control of immigration. That is the problem that Badenoch ought to be addressing, instead of talking vaguely of 'camps'. Indeed, what is notable about the reporting of the psychologically significant 50,000-mark being passed is how little the condemnation of the Labour government for 'losing control of our borders' is matched by practical suggestions for regaining control of them. This is not surprising in Badenoch's case, because it was the previous government that lost control of the sea border in the first place – as Jacqui Smith, who was Labour's minister for the media round this morning, fairly pointed out. The Conservative case against Labour rests on two flimsy arguments. One is that Labour cancelled the Rwanda scheme, which was 'just about to work'. The other is that Badenoch is edging towards repudiating the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR). Neither is convincing. The Rwanda scheme was just about to work in the sense that I am just about to win the Nobel Prize for Literature. It was always too small to deter cross-Channel arrivals: if they are willing to risk their lives to get here, they would be willing to take the tiny risk of removal to Rwanda. And ditching the ECHR would not make much difference to the numbers of failed asylum-seekers who could be removed from the UK. What is more important for Keir Starmer, however, is the threat from Nigel Farage. His 'solution' to the small boats problem is no more credible than the Tories', but it is not undermined by having recently been in government and unable to do anything about it. Farage's policy is to detain and deport all illegal migrants – although his manifesto last year did not say where, how or even if the countries to which they should be sent would take them. In practice, he proposes indefinite detention in prison camps, location unknown. Meanwhile, Reform's policy is that 'migrants in small boats will be picked up and taken back to France'. What if the French retaliate by taking them off the quay and taking them to the UK? Farage has no answer. But he doesn't need one, because he hasn't failed – yet. That is why it is so important to Starmer that his plan to return migrants to France – by agreement – succeeds. Education minister Jacqui Smith was right this morning to say the Labour government had inherited a problem from the Tories that was not 'our fault', and she was honest enough to admit that it is a problem that, 'up to this point, we haven't managed to tackle in terms of the numbers who are coming here'. The Labour government has a possible solution. If it can increase the numbers on the 'one in, one out' scheme so that all or nearly all arrivals are sent back to France, the small boats will stop coming. But will take time. And time and patience are running out.


The Independent
9 minutes ago
- The Independent
JD Vance to host Robert Jenrick at Cotswolds holiday home - but not Badenoch or Farage
JD Vance is to host Robert Jenrick at his holiday retreat in the Cotswolds, in a move that will do little to dampen speculation about the senior Tory's leadership ambitions. But the US vice president will not meet the Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch or the Reform UK's Nigel Farage, according to reports. Mr Vance is taking a surprise summer break in Britain, staying with his family at an 18th-century Georgian manor, after spending the weekend with the foreign secretary David Lammy. They stayed at Mr Lammy's grace and favour stately home of Chevening in Kent, where they held a meeting on the future of Ukraine on Saturday. Since then, however, the senior Republican has been holidaying with his wife and children. But it appears he is still keen to speak to other politicians. The shadow justice secretary has been invited for a one-on-one meeting on Tuesday before a drinks event, according to The Telegraph. A Conservative spokesperson said aides for Mrs Badenoch and Mr Vance had been in conversation about a meeting but 'just couldn't make it work with schedules'. Mr Farage hinted two weeks ago that he might meet the vice-president while he was in the UK, saying 'we'll see' when asked about the prospect that the two men might go for a pint in the British countryside while he was a guest on radio station LBC. Sir Keir Starmer did not meet Mr Vance during his trip, as senior politicians often meet what is seen as their counterparts, so the PM's opposite number is Donald Trump. Mr Jenrick is reported to have been put in touch with Mr Vance by Dr James Orr, a high-profile conservative thinker and an associate professor of philosophy of religion at the University of Cambridge. Both the vice president and the justice secretary have similar views on a number of issues, including the need for a crackdown on migration. Mr Jenrick is at the centre of speculation he will run to become the Tory leader the next time the job becomes available. As she struggled to cut through with the public senior Tories at Westminster increasingly believe if it a case of when Ms Badenoch will vacate the role, not if. The Tories are third place in opinion polls, trailing behind Labour and Reform UK.


Reuters
10 minutes ago
- Reuters
Gaza suffering has reached 'unimaginable' levels, say 26 foreign ministers
LONDON/BRUSSELS, Aug 12 (Reuters) - The humanitarian crisis in Gaza has reached "unimaginable levels", Britain, Canada, Australia and several of their European allies said on Tuesday, calling on Israel to allow unrestricted aid into the war-torn Palestinian enclave. "Famine is unfolding before our eyes. Urgent action is needed now to halt and reverse starvation," the foreign ministers of 24 countries said in a joint statement. "We call on the government of Israel to provide authorisation for all international NGO (non-governmental organisations) aid shipments and to unblock essential humanitarian actors from operating," the statement said. "All crossings and routes must be used to allow a flood of aid into Gaza, including food, nutrition supplies, shelter, fuel, clean water, medicine and medical equipment." Israel has denied responsibility for hunger spreading in Gaza, accusing Hamas militants of stealing aid shipments, which Hamas denies. However, in response to a rising international uproar, Israel late last month announced steps to let more aid into the enclave, including pausing fighting for part of the day in some areas and announcing protected routes for aid convoys. Western capitals, however, say much more aid is needed and some countries have started airdrops with aid over Gaza. The statement was signed by the foreign ministers of Australia, Belgium, Canada, Cyprus, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Greece, Iceland, Ireland, Japan, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and Britain. The EU later on Tuesday sent an updated statement to include EU member states Italy and Latvia as signatories of the statement. The EU's foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas, and two other members of the European Commission also signed the statement. Some EU member countries, including Germany and Hungary, did not sign it.