
Morning Bid: Dangers abound ahead of deadline day
We are now about halfway through the most action-packed part of the week. The eye of the storm, if you will.
In case you have forgotten, today we are catching up on corporate earnings, key economic data releases, several central bank interest rate decisions, and all the latest twists and turns in trade negotiations before new U.S. tariffs kick in on Friday.
Hot off the presses: The yen appreciated 0.6% immediately after the Bank of Japan kept rates on hold as widely expected. Markets are focused on an upwards revision in inflation forecasts, with Governor Ueda due to speak shortly as traders anticipate rate hikes may be back on the agenda this year.
With second-quarter earnings season halfway complete, Nasdaq futures ripped 1.3% higher after blow-out earnings from Microsoft (MSFT.O), opens new tab and Meta Platforms (META.O), opens new tab. The U.S. dollar held steady after hitting a two-month high, on track to tally its first monthly gain all year.
"It has been a great earnings season so far, and that's the primary reason why U.S. stocks continue to do well, but the full brunt of the tariffs hasn't been felt," said David Chao, global market strategist for Asia-Pacific at Invesco in Singapore.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan (.MIAPJ0000PUS), opens new tab fell 0.7%, though it was still on track for its fourth consecutive monthly increase. Stocks in Hong Kong (.HSI), opens new tab led declines, down 1.1% after official PMI gauges showed weaker-than-expected activity during July.
Copper futures plunged 19.4% after U.S. President Donald Trump said the U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on copper.
The Korean won appreciated 0.1% after Trump said the U.S. will charge a 15% tariff on imports from South Korea. The Asian country will invest $350 billion in U.S. projects and purchase $100 billion in U.S. energy products.
The announcement is the latest in a series of trade policy deals rushed out before the August 1 deadline that Trump set for trade deals before the U.S. imposes what he called Liberation Day tariffs.
Trump also issued a blitz of tariff announcements ranging from goods from Brazil to small-value shipments from overseas.
In early European trades, pan-region futures were up 0.2%, German DAX futures were up 0.2% and FTSE futures were up 0.1% ahead of another flurry of earnings and inflation data.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
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The Sun
22 minutes ago
- The Sun
Huge £145m EuroMillions jackpot to be won TONIGHT – just hours before Lottery shut down for days
A MASSIVE £145 million EuroMillions jackpot is up for grabs tonight just hours before the lottery shuts down for days. From 11pm on Saturday, all draw-based game entries and in-store prize claims will be suspended as the National Lottery undergoes a major technology upgrade. Services will be down until Monday morning - including the National Lottery app and website - in what has been called the biggest system overhaul in more than three decades. Players participating in tonight's £145 million draw or this weekend's Lotto and Thunderball games have been urged to act quickly to avoid disappointment. Keen participants must pick up their ticket before Saturday night's deadline. And for those looking to increase their odds, top lottery expert Simon Horne exclusively tells Sun readers how to boost their chances of bagging the whole lot. From picking your lucky numbers to whether you should join a syndicate, there's a heap of practical ways to boost your chances of getting richer overnight. Of course, the only real way of increasing your chances of winning is to buy more tickets. Make sure you gamble responsibly. Only gamble with money you can afford to lose, and set a money limit before playing. If you need advice, visit or Is a syndicate worth it? A lottery syndicate is when a group of people put money into a pot for lottery tickets. There will be one person in charge - the syndicate manager - who will buy tickets and share out any winnings out among the group. Playing as part of a group could be a good way of boosting your chances of winning, as Simon, from The National Lottery operator Allwyn UK, explains. "If you join a syndicate of 10 people, then there's 10 tickets and 10 chances of winning, so there's clearly a greater chance of winning compared to if you just bought your own ticket," he said. The syndicate manager will need to register the group and list themselves as the person in charge with The National Lottery. Make sure to write all the terms and conditions of the agreement down, and get each person to sign it, said Simon. "If there's any confusion or complications down the line, then you can refer back to the agreement and then everyone knows where they stand," he said. The big downside to consider being part of a syndicate is that you'll need to equally split the pot between each person. So, if you were part of a syndicate of four people, splitting the £145million jackpot four ways would leave you with over £36million each - although that's still big winnings to walk away with. Pick YOUR lucky numbers You might think that picking up the most common numbers may mean you are more likely to win. The number 20 has been drawn the most at 111 times, according to which tracks lottery results. That's followed by the number 21 and 23, which has been drawn 109 times, then 42 (107 times) then 29 (104 times). The most common Lucky Stars are 3, which has been drawn 181 times and 2, which has been drawn 176 times. But you're better off picking whichever numbers you feel are best, said Simon. That's because, statistically, each number has an equal chance of being drawn. Many people pick their birthday numbers because they think they are lucky. "We all have lucky numbers - I know plenty of players who lean on lucky numbers, which could be phone numbers or numbers passed down from family members," said Simon. "Every set of numbers has the same chance of coming out. "The best strategy to play is the one that you think will bring you luck." Monitor your numbers Not sure your lucky numbers are working for you? You could keep an eye on how often your lucky numbers are being drawn, and if they're not coming up as often as you would like, you can try a different tact. The National Lottery app stores all your tickets from draws you have entered. The app is free to download from either the App Store on iPhone, or the Google Play store on Android devices. That means you can go back in and check your most profitable numbers. You could make a spreadsheet of how often your lucky numbers are being drawn, and every three months, see whether it's worth keeping them, or ditching them for alternatives. According to the unluckiest Euromillions numbers are You might want to avoid "unlucky" numbers - which are the ones drawn the least. These are 22 (66 times), 40 (74 times) and 18 and 43 (78 times). The National Lottery app is free to download from either the App Store or Google Play. Timing matters Timing matters when it comes to buying your ticket, said Simon. If you leave it to the last minute, then there's a risk that you run out of time to buy your ticket. You need to buy your ticket before 7:30pm tonight - otherwise you'll miss out. "My main advice is not to leave it too late - don't rush into the newsagents or load up your app at 7:25pm," he said. "You might not be able to upload money onto your online account, or buy your ticket, in time and you could miss the draw."


Reuters
22 minutes ago
- Reuters
Trump orders firing of BLS commissioner after dismal employment report
WASHINGTON, Aug 1 (Reuters) - U.S President Donald Trump on Friday ordered that the commissioner of the Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics Erika McEntarfer be fired after data showed weaker than expected employment growth in July and massive downward revisions to the prior two months' job counts. McEntarfer was nominated by former President Joe Biden to serve in the role in 2023 and was confirmed by the U.S. Senate the following year. It was not immediately clear whether McEntarfer, whom Trump accused of faking the jobs numbers, had been fired. "We need accurate Jobs Numbers. I have directed my Team to fire this Biden Political Appointee, IMMEDIATELY. She will be replaced with someone much more competent and qualified," Trump said in a post on Truth Social. There is no evidence to back Trump's claims of data manipulation by the BLS, the statistical agency that compiles the closely watched employment report as well as consumer and producer price data. The White House did not respond immediately to questions about Trump's post. The order to dismiss McEntarfer comes at a time when the Trump administration's mass layoffs of federal government workers have raised concerns about the quality of U.S. economic data, long seen as the gold standard. Earlier this year, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick disbanded two expert committees that worked with the government to produce economic statistics. Lutnick has also floated the idea of stripping out government spending from the gross domestic product report, claiming "governments historically have messed with GDP." The BLS has already reduced data collection for the consumer price data as well as the producer price report. Economists attributed the sharply slower job growth to Trump's trade and immigration policies. The economy created only 73,000 jobs in July. Data for May and June were revised sharply down to show 258,000 fewer jobs created than had been previously reported.


Telegraph
22 minutes ago
- Telegraph
Today's Supreme Court ruling was a narrow miss for the economy
Britain is still, just about, a country in which it is possible to do business. The Supreme Court's decision today saw a drastic reduction in the scope of potential compensation claims against car finance lenders. To the extent that a 'scandal' existed in this field, it is the degree to which the British legal system had appeared prepared to rewrite the terms of loans made close to two decades ago in line with a vague sense that customers deserved a better deal. The direct losses to the financial sector (tens of billions of pounds in compensation claims) would have been significant on their own terms. The economic damage, however, could have been far more widespread. The effect of such a broad-ranging retrospective verdict would have had a chilling effect on the willingness of lenders to take risks in the British market. Who would want to lend money in a country where a court could decide years afterwards that compensation should be awarded to people who signed up to a loan knowing what they would pay and what they would get simply based on the salesman's commission? It is a testament to the sheer terror with which the Treasury would have viewed this prospect and the associated losses of growth and tax revenues that Chancellor Rachel Reeves was reportedly looking into legislative means to overturn a decision that went against the banks; it is hard to think of a stance less natural for this Labour Government to adopt. As things stand, there are still potential claims against those whose loans came with 'excessive' commissions. These should suffice as a warning shot against predatory practices, should any be needed. But it is worth saying that this may not be wholly desirable either. The principle of 'caveat emptor' may have fallen out of fashion, but it is far from clear that the compensation culture we have erected in its place is superior. Investing time and effort into understanding the terms and conditions of a purchase seems increasingly irrational: simply lay out your cash and should you subsequently have regrets, rest safe in the knowledge that the legal system will find a way to attempt to claw it back. This compensation does not materialise from the ether. When it is paid out, the cost is frequently borne by other consumers, who face higher prices or fewer options. This time around, we have at least arrived at a sensible conclusion. The Treasury and Ms Reeves can breathe a sigh of relief. Parliament, however, may wish to give serious thought as to the desirability of a legal structure that permits this sort of uncertainty to arise, and the incentives which it offers the public.