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How Security Overconfidence Is Undermining Protection

How Security Overconfidence Is Undermining Protection

Forbes07-08-2025
Arun Shrestha, BeyondID CEO & cofounder, has 20+ years in enterprise software with leadership roles at Oracle, Sun, SeeBeyond & Okta.
Confidence is critical in cybersecurity, but overconfidence can be dangerous. Recently, we've run into a troubling disconnect between organizations' perceived security strength and their actual security practices. This "confidence paradox" is quietly weakening enterprise defenses, leaving many companies more exposed than they think.
Based on a report from my company, BeyonodID, a staggering 85% of organizations report being confident in their ability to detect a breach within 24 hours. Yet 72% of these same organizations experienced a security incident in the past two years. It's a jarring disconnect that raises serious questions about how companies are assessing their readiness.
The data paints a clear picture: perception is outpacing performance.
The Illusion Of Maturity
Many organizations proudly claim their identity security is in good shape; 74% rate themselves as advanced or established. On paper, that sounds impressive. But when you dig into the basics, a different story emerges. Even though MFA is one of the simplest, most effective ways to block credential-based attacks, only 34% of smaller companies (with 26 to 100 employees) use it.
There's a dangerous pattern here: a false sense of security. Leaders are confident in their defenses, but that confidence is often built on shaky ground. Without essential safeguards in place, the risks grow quietly, creating blind spots that leave organizations more exposed than they realize.
Healthcare: High Stakes, High Risk
Looking at healthcare as a key example, the stakes couldn't be higher. This is an industry entrusted with some of the most sensitive personal data, yet it's one of the most at risk.
According to the 2025 Breach Barometer, healthcare data breaches broke records in 2024 with 1,160 incidents affecting patient and healthcare organization data alike. Meanwhile, healthcare organizations took an average of 279 days to identify and contain breaches, more than five weeks longer than the global average across all sectors. As attackers increasingly target smaller hospitals and clinics with fewer security resources, many fear that these organizations have become low-hanging fruit for ransomware groups.
This gap between perception and reality isn't unique to healthcare, but here, the consequences are far more immediate and personal. It's not just about financial loss or reputational harm. It's about protecting lives and safeguarding trust when it matters most.
Closing The Confidence Gap
Bridging the gap between perception and protection starts with a mindset shift. Security leaders must take an unfiltered, data-driven look at their defenses. It's not enough to feel secure. Security needs to be proven. That requires routine audits, real-world penetration testing and assessments that measure what's truly happening, not just what policies suggest.
Equally important is a return to the fundamentals. Basic security hygiene—enforcing multi-factor authentication for all users, adopting least privilege access and conducting regular user access reviews—must become non-negotiable. These are not advanced practices; they're the groundwork that keeps doors closed to attackers.
Finally, organizations need to embrace a new reality: identity is the modern perimeter. As users, applications and AI agents connect from everywhere, securing identity is the clearest, most effective way to contain the impact of a breach.
The confidence paradox can be solved, but only if leaders are willing to challenge their assumptions and prioritize action over appearances. Security isn't a checkbox, a dashboard or a feeling; it's a discipline. And the sooner organizations align their confidence with their actual capabilities, the stronger they'll be when the next threat comes knocking.
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