Market Minute 6-4-25- Swticheroo in Play as Global Stocks Hit Highs, US Lags
Markets are relatively quiet so far, with stocks, gold, and crude oil all mostly flat. Treasuries are rallying modestly, though, while the dollar is dipping.
We have a switcheroo in major markets. Led by strong performance in non-US equities, the MSCI All-Country World Index just tagged 888.24 – topping its previous February peak of 887.72. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index is beating the S&P 500 by the widest margin on record. In the Americas, all major indices are outperforming the S&P 500 handily, with benchmark indices in Canada up 6.8%, Brazil up 14.3%, and Mexico up 16.4%.
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This chart shows the performance of the iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF (ACWX) compared to the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY). The former holds more than 1,700 non-US stocks, with the highest weighting in names like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM), Tencent Holdings Ltd. (TCEHY), and SAP SE (SAP). As you can see, ACWX has gained just under 15% so far in 2025, compared with only 1.7% for the SPY.
This is a big week for job market data – and today's ADP number didn't exactly excite Wall Street. The private payroll company said the US economy added just 37,000 jobs in May. That was down from 60,000 a month prior and FAR below the average forecast of 115,000. Official Labor Department numbers are due out Friday morning.
See also: CTRI: A Utility Play That Just Landed Large, New Contracts
In other news, US-China trade disagreements keep festering. President Trump called Chinese President Xi Jinping 'extremely hard to make a deal with' in a social media post overnight. Hoped-for talks between the two leaders still haven't happened.
Meanwhile, China's crackdown on exports of rare-earth metals is threatening manufacturers here in the US. Auto companies are particularly vulnerable, especially those who are titling more toward Electric Vehicle (EV) production. Those vehicles need rare-earth magnets to function and sourcing them from China has become much more difficult.
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