Goldman Sachs Sets the Bar for Nvidia Stock Ahead of Earnings
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With the chip giant slated to report fiscal second quarter (July quarter) results on August 27, Goldman Sachs analyst James Schneider notes that sentiment among investors is overwhelmingly bullish heading into the print.
'We believe expectations are high and investors we have spoken with are almost universally long heading into the print – which we think raises the degree of difficulty for 2H commentary and guidance,' the analyst said.
Even so, Schneider is looking for a 'clean beat-and-raise quarter,' saying the stock's reaction will likely hinge on how much the guidance tops expectations and whether the China sales situation factors in. To that end, the analyst has boosted his Datacenter segment revenue forecasts by about 8% on average, citing stronger-than-expected hyperscaler CapEx and intra-quarter data that points to robust AI demand. His projections for FY2Q and FY3Q – $41.9 billion and $51.5 billion, respectively – are 2% and 8% above consensus, and he sees the resumption of China sales potentially adding another ~$20 billion in revenue and $0.40 in EPS by FY27.
From here, Schneider sees three main factors that could sway the stock in the near term: the pace of the Blackwell ramp (particularly outside China), any new detail on how China sales could influence margins, and the trajectory of gross margins in the second half, especially with Nvidia set to benefit from roughly $2.5 billion in previously reserved H20 inventory.
Looking further out, the analyst draws a parallel to prior years, anticipating that the market's focus in the latter part of 2025 will gradually shift from 'How good can 2026 be?' to 'What's the direction of travel in 2027?' With his FY27 EPS estimate at $6.75, Schneider believes much of the 2026 upside is already reflected in the stock, making the next wave of growth signals critical.
For now, Schneider is sticking with a Buy rating on Nvidia shares and raising his price target from $185 to $200, suggesting a potential 9.5% upside from current levels. (To watch Schneider's track record, click here)
That Buy rating is echoed by 33 other analysts, with only 3 Holds and 1 Sell rating tempering the Strong Buy consensus. However, the $186.24 average target suggests the shares will stay rangebound for the time being. Considering the discrepancy, watch out for either more price target hikes or rating downgrades in the coming months. (See NVDA stock forecast)
To find good ideas for AI stocks trading at attractive valuations, visit TipRanks' Best Stocks to Buy, a tool that unites all of TipRanks' equity insights.
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Yahoo
13 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Trump tariffs live updates: Trump says gold will not face a tariff; Nvidia, AMD agree to unusual revenue deal
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Yahoo
13 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Why the Nvidia, AMD revenue-sharing pact with the White House is ripe for a legal challenge
The White House's reported deals with chipmakers Nvidia (NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) for a cut of their chip sales to China are unorthodox and unprecedented — and likely to end up in court. The two pacts, according to multiple reports, would divert 15% of the companies' respective sales revenues earned on China-destined chips to the US government. In exchange for the profit sharing, the US would grant export licenses allowing Nvidia to resume sales of its H20 chips to China and AMD to resume sales of its MI308 chips to China. Wall Street is happy, at least in early afternoon trading on Monday: Both Nvidia and AMD stocks are up. But legal experts say that neither the president nor Congress is empowered to tax exports. Article I, Section 9, of the US Constitution, known as the Export Clause, prohibits such levies, saying, "No Tax or Duty shall be laid on Articles exported from any State.' 'The Constitution is clear that there really cannot be any tax on exports,' said Douglas Jacobson, an international trade lawyer with Jacobson Burton Kelley. 'In my view, it's a slam-dunk unconstitutional tax on exports.' And the US Supreme Court has interpreted the Export Clause to prohibit Congress from imposing duties on exports, even when they're characterized otherwise. Its controlling view on federally mandated export charges was stated in the unanimous 1998 decision in United States v. United States Shoe Corp. In that case, the high court struck down a congressionally approved ad valorem charge of 0.125% on exports imposed by the US Customs Service. The charge, calculated based on the value of commercial cargo shipped through US ports, known as the Harbor Maintenance Tax (HMT), was intended to fund upkeep on US harbors. On behalf of former President Bill Clinton's administration, the US Solicitor General argued that the HMT was a 'user fee,' and not a tax. But the court disagreed, reasoning that because the charge operated like an export tax, it violated the Export Clause. Siding with US Shoe, the court said in its opinion that the HMT 'bears the indicia of a tax.' Beyond the Constitution's export tax prohibition, the Export Controls Reform Act, passed by Congress in 2018, specifically prohibits charging exporters to obtain export licenses. Under US law, certain fees on export licenses have been held constitutional. Military exports, for example, are treated differently from non-military goods and fall under the administration of the US State Department, which requires manufacturers of military items to pay annual licensing fees. Even so, those fees are not based on the value of an applicant's exports. 'User fees are entirely permissible,' Jacobson said, but a deal for chipmakers to pay the government a 15% profit share acts like a reverse tariff and 'is clearly not a user fee.' "None of us have seen the government get a piece of the pie in this explicit way before," Tom Essaye, Sevens Report Research founder, told Yahoo Finance on Monday. A spokesperson for Nvidia neither confirmed nor acknowledged the reported profit-sharing agreement. 'We follow rules the US government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide,' the spokesperson said. 'America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race." Exactly who might legally challenge revenue sharing plans is not altogether clear. Nvidia and AMD are unlikely to dispute their own accords. And so far, challenges from rival chipmakers are unlikely, as there's no indication that other exporters would be subject to similar agreements. Potential challenges, however, could come from Nvidia and AMD shareholders and possibly from state attorneys general. Jacobson, the trade lawyer, said it's possible shareholders could argue that the profit-sharing agreements create an adverse effect on the price of the companies' shares because the businesses are subject to an unconstitutional tax that decreases their revenue. State attorneys general, on the other hand, may be able to argue that the deal impacts a company operating within their state or jeopardizes the state's revenue. For Nvidia and AMD, the agreements make sense as a short-term play, Jacobson said, even though they would likely be invalidated if challenged. By signing on to the agreements, the companies may be able to get their chips flowing to China and later deal with clawing back damages they may be entitled to. In an interview with Yahoo Finance, Pangaea Policy founder Terry Haines said the agreements may turn out to be a "one-off" for the administration due to concerns that the strategy could spread beyond Nvidia and AMD and because of China's concerns that US chips could contain "backdoors" that allow for US tracking. "The Chinese are saying they may not want the chips after all," Haines said. Alexis Keenan is a legal reporter for Yahoo Finance. Follow Alexis on X @alexiskweed. Click here for in-depth analysis of the latest stock market news and events moving stock prices Error while retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data Error while retrieving data
Yahoo
13 minutes ago
- Yahoo
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Now, investors are turning their attention to his previewed sectoral duties on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, as well as a looming Tuesday deadline to extend a tariff pause with China. Wall Street will get another glimpse this week into how those tariffs are affecting price pressures in the US. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is set for release on Tuesday, followed by the Producer Price Index on Thursday and retail sales data on Friday. Inflation reaccelerated in June, and economists have warned that the tariffs will likely continue to seep into price data in the coming months. On Monday Trump clarified gold (GC-F) will not be tariffed the precious metal futures market whipsawed last week amid confusion on whether Swiss bars would be subject to levies. Read more: Live coverage of earnings season Gold at session lows as Trump says precious metal will be not be tariffed Gold (GC=F) futures traded near session lows on Monday afternoon after President Trump said imports of the precious metal will not be tariffed. "Gold will not be Tariffed!" said a statement posted on social media. The precious metal declined more than 2% to trade near $3,404 per ounce. Last Friday gold futures touched intraday record highs amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Later in the session the metal trimmed gains after the White House indicated it would clarify "misinformation about the tariffing of gold bars and other specialty products." stock falls 23% after lowering revenue guidance Inc. (AI) stock tumbled as much as 30% on Monday morning after the software company reported a steep sales miss and as its founder's health issues are spurring a search for a successor. Shares were down 23% in afternoon trading. The company released preliminary results late Friday showing revenue well below analysts' estimates as it undergoes a reorganization of its sales operation. Guidance for the fiscal first quarter also came in lighter than expected. Bloomberg reported that CEO Tom Siebel attributed what he called "completely unacceptable" results to recent health issues that prevented him from actively helping to sell the company's software. Several weeks ago, he said the company would begin to search for a successor. As Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi noted today, problems appear to be company-specific — not an indicator of the overall AI trade. "But I think now is probably the time to pivot away from some of the pure plays and go to more of bank shots on AI, and names like that would be in the industrials that, you know, aren't even tech stocks, but are benefiting from all of the infrastructure spending," John Campbell of Allsprings Global Investments said on Opening Bid. Read more here. Bitcoin surges above $120,000, ethereum rises as investors pile into crypto Bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged on Monday to trade near record highs as investor enthusiasm and momentum around crypto grew. The digital token reached $122,000 on Monday before easing to around $120,000. The gains come as inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have grown and public companies have been adding bitcoin to their balance sheets. Bitcoin wasn't the only cryptocurrency getting a bid; ethereum (ETH-USD) touched 2021 levels on Monday. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has surged roughly 190% since the April market lows. Companies have been adding ethereum to their balance sheets as a way to gain exposure to the tech infrastructure behind decentralized finance and digital assets, such as stablecoins. The move higher in crypto also comes as stocks hover near record highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September and President Trump's next Fed chair pick will likely bring looser monetary policy. Intel stock jumps with CEO Lip-Bu Tan reportedly set to meet with President Trump Intel (INTC) stock jumped more than 4% ahead of CEO Lip-Bu Tan's reported visit to the White House after President Trump called for his resignation. Citing unnamed sources, the Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend that Tan is set to meet with Trump Monday to explain his personal and professional background and to propose ways that Intel and the government can collaborate. Intel did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's questions regarding the reported meeting. Read the full story here. Tesla stock rises as EV maker applies for electricity supply license in UK Tesla (TSLA) stock surged 3% on Monday after the EV maker applied for a license to provide electricity to UK households and businesses. Apart from making electric vehicles and robotaxis, Tesla also provides Megapack batteries. The company's energy business grew 30% year over year last quarter, accounting for its largest margins. If the electricity supply license application submitted to the UK energy regulator Ofgem is approved, Tesla would be allowed to compete with other energy firms in the region. Micron jumps after memory chipmaker raises Q4 financial guidance Memory chipmaker Micron (MU) — which supplies its semiconductors to Nvidia (NVDA) to use in its products — saw its stock jump more than 4% Monday after raising its financial outlook for its fourth quarter, which ends Aug. 28. The company said it expects to see adjusted revenue of $11.1 billion to $11.3 billion, up from its prior projected range of $10.4 billion to $11 billion. Micron expects to report quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $2.78 to $2.92, more than its previous range of $2.35 to $2.65. "This revised guidance reflects improved pricing, particularly in DRAM, and strong execution," the company said in a statement. Micron's DRAM chips are one type of memory chip used in devices like personal computers and smartphones. Stocks steady at the open US stocks were steady at the open on Monday after the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) notched two consecutive records last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose nearly 0.1%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) hovered above the flat line. Chip stocks were in focus Monday after Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) reportedly inked deals with the US government to sell their chips to China in exchange for sharing 15% of their revenues from the country. Nvidia shares fell less than 1% on Monday, while AMD shares lost over 1.5%. Looking ahead this week, investors are awaiting a key inflation reading and the upcoming summit between President Trump and Russian President Putin. Paramount seals $7.7 billion exclusive US rights deal with UFC Paramount has agreed to a seven-year, $7.7 billion deal to become the exclusive US broadcaster of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). The agreement is Paramount's largest since David Ellison took over as chair and CEO last week, following the completion of Skydance's takeover of the company. Under the contract, Paramount will stream all 13 of UFC's marquee events and 30 Fight Nights annually on its streaming platform from 2026, with selected events also broadcast on CBS, the Financial Times reported. The FT reports: Read more here (subscription required). AMC tops revenue estimates as blockbuster titles boost theater attendance AMC (AMC) stock jumped 8% in premarket trading after the movie theater chain reported attendance in the second quarter grew nearly 26% as blockbusters drew in moviegoers. Reuters reports: Read more here. Nvidia, AMD stocks decline after chipmakers agree to pay US 15% cut of China chip sales Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) fell on Monday after the two companies agreed to pay the US government 15% of the revenue for certain chip sales to China. Nvidia stock was off by 0.4% premarket, while AMD stock dropped 1.4% as investors digested the unusual deal in which the chipmakers will essentially pay for export licenses. While the details are still being worked out, the chips in question reportedly include Nvidia's H20 AI chip and AMD's MI308 chips, which previously faced export controls from the Trump administration. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made the deal at the White House last Wednesday, the same day Apple (AAPL) agreed to increase its US investment to $600 billion, ostensibly to help the company avoid tariffs, as the Trump administration looks to monetize trade policy. An Nvidia spokesperson told Yahoo Finance: 'We follow rules the U.S. government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide. America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race." As for other chip stocks, Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) shares rose, while Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) fell modestly. Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Earnings: (BBAI), (MNDY), Oklo (OKLO), Plug Power (PLUG) Economic calendar: No notable releases. Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Nvidia, AMD revenue deal brings 'monetization of US trade policy' Yahoo Finance poll: Americans face new, complex financial challenges Earnings live: stock tanks, AMC to report Debate over Fed rate cuts heats up: What to watch this week Fed's Bowman makes case for 3 interest rate cuts in 2025 Intel CEO to visit White House on Monday Citi strategists raise S&P 500 target on resilient earnings Bitcoin Nears Record as Treasury Investors Boost Crypto Market BofA poll shows record number of investors say stocks overvalued Lithium market soars as CATL shuts one of world's biggest mines stock tanks after the company reports earnings stock plunged aorund 20% in premarket trading on Monday after the Israeli-based software company reported earnings. In the second quarter, reported earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $299 million. While revenue beat analyst expectations of $293 million, GAAP profits fell short, as Wall Street was looking for $0.20 per share, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Investors have been looking for signs that economic uncertainty is pushing companies to pull back their spending on technology and software. The company's operating loss fell to $11.6 million from $1.8 million a year ago, and the operating margin fell to negative 4% from 1% last year. Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here US gold futures fall as traders await clarification on tariffs US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Target still in the bear camp Good WSJ story this morning on Target (TGT) and its many challenges, one of them finding its next CEO. I wrote more on this a couple months ago. I would expect an abysmal quarter (another one) from Target when it reports second quarter earnings on August 20. The company is not only dealing with operational challenges, but it has totally lost the value perception battle with Walmart. I don't see these dynamics changing this year, and maybe not until deep into 2026 provided an outside CEO is brought in to run a full assessment of the business. Bitcoin near a fresh record Bitcoin looks to be breaking out of its recent trading range, nearing a fresh record this morning. There doesn't appear to be a clear catalyst for the pop today, though this Sunday X post from bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor may have stoked the bulls. It suggests he will continue to be a buyer of bitcoin — perhaps no surprise, but the crypto market likes to be coddled. "If you don't stop buying Bitcoin, you won't stop making Money," Saylor wrote. crashing Shares of (AI) are getting crushed pre-market to the tune of 30%. And the rout is 100% deserved. Late Friday the company said it sees preliminary first fiscal quarter revenue of $70.2 million to $70.4 million, about 33% below the mid-point of its prior guidance for $100 million to $109 million. Sales would be down 19% from the prior year. The adjusted operating loss will be $57.7 million to $59.9 million, roughly twice the $23.5 million to $33.5 million loss that it had expected. I don't think there is anything to read into the AI trade here — this seems very company-specific, and tied to a sales reorg. Gold at session lows as Trump says precious metal will be not be tariffed Gold (GC=F) futures traded near session lows on Monday afternoon after President Trump said imports of the precious metal will not be tariffed. "Gold will not be Tariffed!" said a statement posted on social media. The precious metal declined more than 2% to trade near $3,404 per ounce. Last Friday gold futures touched intraday record highs amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Later in the session the metal trimmed gains after the White House indicated it would clarify "misinformation about the tariffing of gold bars and other specialty products." Gold (GC=F) futures traded near session lows on Monday afternoon after President Trump said imports of the precious metal will not be tariffed. "Gold will not be Tariffed!" said a statement posted on social media. The precious metal declined more than 2% to trade near $3,404 per ounce. Last Friday gold futures touched intraday record highs amid reports that imports of Swiss gold bars would not be exempt from tariffs. Later in the session the metal trimmed gains after the White House indicated it would clarify "misinformation about the tariffing of gold bars and other specialty products." stock falls 23% after lowering revenue guidance Inc. (AI) stock tumbled as much as 30% on Monday morning after the software company reported a steep sales miss and as its founder's health issues are spurring a search for a successor. Shares were down 23% in afternoon trading. The company released preliminary results late Friday showing revenue well below analysts' estimates as it undergoes a reorganization of its sales operation. Guidance for the fiscal first quarter also came in lighter than expected. Bloomberg reported that CEO Tom Siebel attributed what he called "completely unacceptable" results to recent health issues that prevented him from actively helping to sell the company's software. Several weeks ago, he said the company would begin to search for a successor. As Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi noted today, problems appear to be company-specific — not an indicator of the overall AI trade. "But I think now is probably the time to pivot away from some of the pure plays and go to more of bank shots on AI, and names like that would be in the industrials that, you know, aren't even tech stocks, but are benefiting from all of the infrastructure spending," John Campbell of Allsprings Global Investments said on Opening Bid. Read more here. Inc. (AI) stock tumbled as much as 30% on Monday morning after the software company reported a steep sales miss and as its founder's health issues are spurring a search for a successor. Shares were down 23% in afternoon trading. The company released preliminary results late Friday showing revenue well below analysts' estimates as it undergoes a reorganization of its sales operation. Guidance for the fiscal first quarter also came in lighter than expected. Bloomberg reported that CEO Tom Siebel attributed what he called "completely unacceptable" results to recent health issues that prevented him from actively helping to sell the company's software. Several weeks ago, he said the company would begin to search for a successor. As Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi noted today, problems appear to be company-specific — not an indicator of the overall AI trade. "But I think now is probably the time to pivot away from some of the pure plays and go to more of bank shots on AI, and names like that would be in the industrials that, you know, aren't even tech stocks, but are benefiting from all of the infrastructure spending," John Campbell of Allsprings Global Investments said on Opening Bid. Read more here. Bitcoin surges above $120,000, ethereum rises as investors pile into crypto Bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged on Monday to trade near record highs as investor enthusiasm and momentum around crypto grew. The digital token reached $122,000 on Monday before easing to around $120,000. The gains come as inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have grown and public companies have been adding bitcoin to their balance sheets. Bitcoin wasn't the only cryptocurrency getting a bid; ethereum (ETH-USD) touched 2021 levels on Monday. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has surged roughly 190% since the April market lows. Companies have been adding ethereum to their balance sheets as a way to gain exposure to the tech infrastructure behind decentralized finance and digital assets, such as stablecoins. The move higher in crypto also comes as stocks hover near record highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September and President Trump's next Fed chair pick will likely bring looser monetary policy. Bitcoin (BTC-USD) surged on Monday to trade near record highs as investor enthusiasm and momentum around crypto grew. The digital token reached $122,000 on Monday before easing to around $120,000. The gains come as inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have grown and public companies have been adding bitcoin to their balance sheets. Bitcoin wasn't the only cryptocurrency getting a bid; ethereum (ETH-USD) touched 2021 levels on Monday. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap has surged roughly 190% since the April market lows. Companies have been adding ethereum to their balance sheets as a way to gain exposure to the tech infrastructure behind decentralized finance and digital assets, such as stablecoins. The move higher in crypto also comes as stocks hover near record highs on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates in September and President Trump's next Fed chair pick will likely bring looser monetary policy. Intel stock jumps with CEO Lip-Bu Tan reportedly set to meet with President Trump Intel (INTC) stock jumped more than 4% ahead of CEO Lip-Bu Tan's reported visit to the White House after President Trump called for his resignation. Citing unnamed sources, the Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend that Tan is set to meet with Trump Monday to explain his personal and professional background and to propose ways that Intel and the government can collaborate. Intel did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's questions regarding the reported meeting. Read the full story here. Intel (INTC) stock jumped more than 4% ahead of CEO Lip-Bu Tan's reported visit to the White House after President Trump called for his resignation. Citing unnamed sources, the Wall Street Journal reported over the weekend that Tan is set to meet with Trump Monday to explain his personal and professional background and to propose ways that Intel and the government can collaborate. Intel did not immediately respond to Yahoo Finance's questions regarding the reported meeting. Read the full story here. Tesla stock rises as EV maker applies for electricity supply license in UK Tesla (TSLA) stock surged 3% on Monday after the EV maker applied for a license to provide electricity to UK households and businesses. Apart from making electric vehicles and robotaxis, Tesla also provides Megapack batteries. The company's energy business grew 30% year over year last quarter, accounting for its largest margins. If the electricity supply license application submitted to the UK energy regulator Ofgem is approved, Tesla would be allowed to compete with other energy firms in the region. Tesla (TSLA) stock surged 3% on Monday after the EV maker applied for a license to provide electricity to UK households and businesses. Apart from making electric vehicles and robotaxis, Tesla also provides Megapack batteries. The company's energy business grew 30% year over year last quarter, accounting for its largest margins. If the electricity supply license application submitted to the UK energy regulator Ofgem is approved, Tesla would be allowed to compete with other energy firms in the region. Micron jumps after memory chipmaker raises Q4 financial guidance Memory chipmaker Micron (MU) — which supplies its semiconductors to Nvidia (NVDA) to use in its products — saw its stock jump more than 4% Monday after raising its financial outlook for its fourth quarter, which ends Aug. 28. The company said it expects to see adjusted revenue of $11.1 billion to $11.3 billion, up from its prior projected range of $10.4 billion to $11 billion. Micron expects to report quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $2.78 to $2.92, more than its previous range of $2.35 to $2.65. "This revised guidance reflects improved pricing, particularly in DRAM, and strong execution," the company said in a statement. Micron's DRAM chips are one type of memory chip used in devices like personal computers and smartphones. Memory chipmaker Micron (MU) — which supplies its semiconductors to Nvidia (NVDA) to use in its products — saw its stock jump more than 4% Monday after raising its financial outlook for its fourth quarter, which ends Aug. 28. The company said it expects to see adjusted revenue of $11.1 billion to $11.3 billion, up from its prior projected range of $10.4 billion to $11 billion. Micron expects to report quarterly adjusted earnings per share of $2.78 to $2.92, more than its previous range of $2.35 to $2.65. "This revised guidance reflects improved pricing, particularly in DRAM, and strong execution," the company said in a statement. Micron's DRAM chips are one type of memory chip used in devices like personal computers and smartphones. Stocks steady at the open US stocks were steady at the open on Monday after the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) notched two consecutive records last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose nearly 0.1%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) hovered above the flat line. Chip stocks were in focus Monday after Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) reportedly inked deals with the US government to sell their chips to China in exchange for sharing 15% of their revenues from the country. Nvidia shares fell less than 1% on Monday, while AMD shares lost over 1.5%. Looking ahead this week, investors are awaiting a key inflation reading and the upcoming summit between President Trump and Russian President Putin. US stocks were steady at the open on Monday after the Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) notched two consecutive records last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) rose nearly 0.1%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) and the tech-heavy Nasdaq (^IXIC) hovered above the flat line. Chip stocks were in focus Monday after Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) reportedly inked deals with the US government to sell their chips to China in exchange for sharing 15% of their revenues from the country. Nvidia shares fell less than 1% on Monday, while AMD shares lost over 1.5%. Looking ahead this week, investors are awaiting a key inflation reading and the upcoming summit between President Trump and Russian President Putin. Paramount seals $7.7 billion exclusive US rights deal with UFC Paramount has agreed to a seven-year, $7.7 billion deal to become the exclusive US broadcaster of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). The agreement is Paramount's largest since David Ellison took over as chair and CEO last week, following the completion of Skydance's takeover of the company. Under the contract, Paramount will stream all 13 of UFC's marquee events and 30 Fight Nights annually on its streaming platform from 2026, with selected events also broadcast on CBS, the Financial Times reported. The FT reports: Read more here (subscription required). Paramount has agreed to a seven-year, $7.7 billion deal to become the exclusive US broadcaster of the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). The agreement is Paramount's largest since David Ellison took over as chair and CEO last week, following the completion of Skydance's takeover of the company. Under the contract, Paramount will stream all 13 of UFC's marquee events and 30 Fight Nights annually on its streaming platform from 2026, with selected events also broadcast on CBS, the Financial Times reported. The FT reports: Read more here (subscription required). AMC tops revenue estimates as blockbuster titles boost theater attendance AMC (AMC) stock jumped 8% in premarket trading after the movie theater chain reported attendance in the second quarter grew nearly 26% as blockbusters drew in moviegoers. Reuters reports: Read more here. AMC (AMC) stock jumped 8% in premarket trading after the movie theater chain reported attendance in the second quarter grew nearly 26% as blockbusters drew in moviegoers. Reuters reports: Read more here. Nvidia, AMD stocks decline after chipmakers agree to pay US 15% cut of China chip sales Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) fell on Monday after the two companies agreed to pay the US government 15% of the revenue for certain chip sales to China. Nvidia stock was off by 0.4% premarket, while AMD stock dropped 1.4% as investors digested the unusual deal in which the chipmakers will essentially pay for export licenses. While the details are still being worked out, the chips in question reportedly include Nvidia's H20 AI chip and AMD's MI308 chips, which previously faced export controls from the Trump administration. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made the deal at the White House last Wednesday, the same day Apple (AAPL) agreed to increase its US investment to $600 billion, ostensibly to help the company avoid tariffs, as the Trump administration looks to monetize trade policy. An Nvidia spokesperson told Yahoo Finance: 'We follow rules the U.S. government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide. America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race." As for other chip stocks, Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) shares rose, while Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) fell modestly. Read more here. Shares of Nvidia (NVDA) and AMD (AMD) fell on Monday after the two companies agreed to pay the US government 15% of the revenue for certain chip sales to China. Nvidia stock was off by 0.4% premarket, while AMD stock dropped 1.4% as investors digested the unusual deal in which the chipmakers will essentially pay for export licenses. While the details are still being worked out, the chips in question reportedly include Nvidia's H20 AI chip and AMD's MI308 chips, which previously faced export controls from the Trump administration. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang made the deal at the White House last Wednesday, the same day Apple (AAPL) agreed to increase its US investment to $600 billion, ostensibly to help the company avoid tariffs, as the Trump administration looks to monetize trade policy. An Nvidia spokesperson told Yahoo Finance: 'We follow rules the U.S. government sets for our participation in worldwide markets. While we haven't shipped H20 to China for months, we hope export control rules will let America compete in China and worldwide. America cannot repeat 5G and lose telecommunication leadership. America's AI tech stack can be the world's standard if we race." As for other chip stocks, Intel (INTC) and Qualcomm (QCOM) shares rose, while Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) fell modestly. Read more here. Good morning. Here's what's happening today. Earnings: (BBAI), (MNDY), Oklo (OKLO), Plug Power (PLUG) Economic calendar: No notable releases. Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Nvidia, AMD revenue deal brings 'monetization of US trade policy' Yahoo Finance poll: Americans face new, complex financial challenges Earnings live: stock tanks, AMC to report Debate over Fed rate cuts heats up: What to watch this week Fed's Bowman makes case for 3 interest rate cuts in 2025 Intel CEO to visit White House on Monday Citi strategists raise S&P 500 target on resilient earnings Bitcoin Nears Record as Treasury Investors Boost Crypto Market BofA poll shows record number of investors say stocks overvalued Lithium market soars as CATL shuts one of world's biggest mines Earnings: (BBAI), (MNDY), Oklo (OKLO), Plug Power (PLUG) Economic calendar: No notable releases. Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning: Nvidia, AMD revenue deal brings 'monetization of US trade policy' Yahoo Finance poll: Americans face new, complex financial challenges Earnings live: stock tanks, AMC to report Debate over Fed rate cuts heats up: What to watch this week Fed's Bowman makes case for 3 interest rate cuts in 2025 Intel CEO to visit White House on Monday Citi strategists raise S&P 500 target on resilient earnings Bitcoin Nears Record as Treasury Investors Boost Crypto Market BofA poll shows record number of investors say stocks overvalued Lithium market soars as CATL shuts one of world's biggest mines stock tanks after the company reports earnings stock plunged aorund 20% in premarket trading on Monday after the Israeli-based software company reported earnings. In the second quarter, reported earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $299 million. While revenue beat analyst expectations of $293 million, GAAP profits fell short, as Wall Street was looking for $0.20 per share, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Investors have been looking for signs that economic uncertainty is pushing companies to pull back their spending on technology and software. The company's operating loss fell to $11.6 million from $1.8 million a year ago, and the operating margin fell to negative 4% from 1% last year. Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here stock plunged aorund 20% in premarket trading on Monday after the Israeli-based software company reported earnings. In the second quarter, reported earnings of $0.03 per share and revenue of $299 million. While revenue beat analyst expectations of $293 million, GAAP profits fell short, as Wall Street was looking for $0.20 per share, per S&P Global Market Intelligence. Investors have been looking for signs that economic uncertainty is pushing companies to pull back their spending on technology and software. The company's operating loss fell to $11.6 million from $1.8 million a year ago, and the operating margin fell to negative 4% from 1% last year. Read more live coverage of corporate earnings here US gold futures fall as traders await clarification on tariffs US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. US gold futures (GC=F) in New York fell 2% as traders waited for the White House to clarify its tariff policy. Last week, the US Customs and Border agency surprised the market by ruling that 100oz and 1kg gold bars would face tariffs. Bloomberg News reports: Read more here. Target still in the bear camp Good WSJ story this morning on Target (TGT) and its many challenges, one of them finding its next CEO. I wrote more on this a couple months ago. I would expect an abysmal quarter (another one) from Target when it reports second quarter earnings on August 20. The company is not only dealing with operational challenges, but it has totally lost the value perception battle with Walmart. I don't see these dynamics changing this year, and maybe not until deep into 2026 provided an outside CEO is brought in to run a full assessment of the business. Good WSJ story this morning on Target (TGT) and its many challenges, one of them finding its next CEO. I wrote more on this a couple months ago. I would expect an abysmal quarter (another one) from Target when it reports second quarter earnings on August 20. The company is not only dealing with operational challenges, but it has totally lost the value perception battle with Walmart. I don't see these dynamics changing this year, and maybe not until deep into 2026 provided an outside CEO is brought in to run a full assessment of the business. Bitcoin near a fresh record Bitcoin looks to be breaking out of its recent trading range, nearing a fresh record this morning. There doesn't appear to be a clear catalyst for the pop today, though this Sunday X post from bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor may have stoked the bulls. It suggests he will continue to be a buyer of bitcoin — perhaps no surprise, but the crypto market likes to be coddled. "If you don't stop buying Bitcoin, you won't stop making Money," Saylor wrote. Bitcoin looks to be breaking out of its recent trading range, nearing a fresh record this morning. There doesn't appear to be a clear catalyst for the pop today, though this Sunday X post from bitcoin evangelist Michael Saylor may have stoked the bulls. It suggests he will continue to be a buyer of bitcoin — perhaps no surprise, but the crypto market likes to be coddled. "If you don't stop buying Bitcoin, you won't stop making Money," Saylor wrote. crashing Shares of (AI) are getting crushed pre-market to the tune of 30%. And the rout is 100% deserved. Late Friday the company said it sees preliminary first fiscal quarter revenue of $70.2 million to $70.4 million, about 33% below the mid-point of its prior guidance for $100 million to $109 million. Sales would be down 19% from the prior year. The adjusted operating loss will be $57.7 million to $59.9 million, roughly twice the $23.5 million to $33.5 million loss that it had expected. I don't think there is anything to read into the AI trade here — this seems very company-specific, and tied to a sales reorg. Shares of (AI) are getting crushed pre-market to the tune of 30%. And the rout is 100% deserved. Late Friday the company said it sees preliminary first fiscal quarter revenue of $70.2 million to $70.4 million, about 33% below the mid-point of its prior guidance for $100 million to $109 million. Sales would be down 19% from the prior year. The adjusted operating loss will be $57.7 million to $59.9 million, roughly twice the $23.5 million to $33.5 million loss that it had expected. I don't think there is anything to read into the AI trade here — this seems very company-specific, and tied to a sales reorg.
