logo
New England's cold weather persists with influx of biting Arctic air

New England's cold weather persists with influx of biting Arctic air

Boston Globe18-02-2025
New England will be on the fringe of this blast of cold air, but it will still feel blustery cold here — slipping 5 to 15 degrees below normal through Thursday.
Advertisement
A shot of Arctic cold will descend into the middle part of the country throughout the week, with some of that cold air reaching New England.
Pivotal Weather
Where is all this cold really coming from?
Many news outlets are quick to label these shots of cold air as the polar vortex, but these frigid conditions are actually unrelated to the vortex - the swirling winds high above the Arctic. Instead, a very strong upper-level low is responsible for the bitter cold air we're experiencing now. Essentially, this is a powerful wind storm in the middle level of our atmosphere that doesn't produce precipitable weather like snow, but drives cold air.
The low is helping fuel strong surface high pressure, reaching over 1,050 millibars. High pressure is falling air and it's pulling down Arctic air from the back side of the upper-level storm, slinging this exceptionally cold, dry air across broad areas of the US as it moves.
An upper-level low, in purple, is fueling a surface high pressure to deliver arctic air through the Lower 48 this week.
Pivotal Weather
The jet stream is digging south through the core of the country, which pulls the Arctic air to the south and southeast, leaving places like Minneapolis, Chicago, Kansas City, and even Dallas, with temperatures plunging 20 to 40 degrees below average.
Meanwhile, as the jet stream bends toward New England, it's helping keep our region protected from the deepest cold.
Advertisement
The jet stream digs south through the middle part of the country, but will stay close enough to New England to avoid the deepest cold from entering the region.
Boston Globe
As I mentioned, the cold air we're experiencing is not the actual polar vortex, which right now looks healthy and intact. Remember, the polar vortex is very high up in the atmosphere, where it's usually neatly contained. Occasionally, a portion of the polar vortex will break off and push frigid air into the Lower 48 during the winter, but that is not the case this week.
The polar vortex can be seen contained in the higher atmosphere over Northern Canada and Greenland.
WeatherBell
What can New England expect?
With the fringe of the cold air creeping into New England, temperatures will stay mostly in the 20s this week with the best chance to get back near freezing on Friday. Overnight lows will likely stick to the low to mid-teens during this stretch. The good news is that the wind will relax as the week goes on as Dave mentioned in his forecast today - which will help take that added bite out of the air.
You can keep track of the cold throughout the next few days below.
It'll be a below-average cold week across New England with morning temperatures in the single digits and teens while slowly building marginally warmer throughout the week.
Boston Globe
As of now, it looks we will have to wait until the weekend before temperatures finally break above freezing across parts of Southern New England, including Boston. We could see highs in the mid- to upper 30s on Saturday and Sunday. After that, it looks like a bit of a warmup is in store.
for our
that will arrive straight into your inbox bright and early each weekday morning.
Ken Mahan can be reached at
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

The tropics seem sluggish, but could August bring the first hurricane of the 2025 season?
The tropics seem sluggish, but could August bring the first hurricane of the 2025 season?

Boston Globe

timea day ago

  • Boston Globe

The tropics seem sluggish, but could August bring the first hurricane of the 2025 season?

On average, 86 percent of all named tropical systems in the Atlantic occur after Aug. 1, and the first hurricane doesn't form until Aug. 11. Boston Globe We're still a ways away from reaching peak heating of sea-surface temperatures, and a steep warming trend may be setting the stage for an explosive August in terms of hurricanes, especially since the Main Development Region — a vast stretch of the Atlantic from the west coast of Northern Africa to the Caribbean islands — has experienced an increase in temperatures over the last several weeks. Should temperatures continue to rise and wind shear be average or lower, then we could be in for an incredibly active August and September. Hurricane season typically peaks around Sept. 10. Advertisement Tracking the development of storm development, the Main Development Region of the Atlantic tropics is warmer than average. NOAA/University of Arizona 'The Week 2 look on ensembles is about as favorable as you will ever see upper winds in the basin this time of year,' said Andy Hazelton, a hurricane modeling expert at the University of Miami. 'Still, shear is just one part of the equation, and this time of year, moisture and stability can hold things back and prevent development even with low shear. Those issues seem prevalent already this year.' Advertisement So far this year, the Atlantic tropics have produced three tropical storms over the past two months, and we are pacing well ahead of schedule. Although a hurricane has yet to form, that doesn't mean impacts haven't been felt. The last storm to develop, Tropical Storm Chantal on July 4, dumped flooding rain over the Carolinas, leading to flood emergencies and an estimated $4 billion in damages. Floodwaters rush over a spillway at Thagard Lake in Carthage, N.C., in the aftermath of Tropical Storm Chantal on July 7, 2025. SEAN RAYFORD/NYT The National Hurricane Center has forecast another unusually busy hurricane season, which stretches through the end of November. But they don't think it will be as chaotic as NOAA predicts an above-average hurricane season for the Atlantic basin. Boston Globe Rapid intensification Just as Rapid intensification is a term that is becoming more widely used when discussing hurricane strength, naturally, because consistently warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures have provided fuel for storms to explode. To reach this feat, a tropical cyclone's maximum sustained winds must increase by at least 35 miles per hour within 24 hours. Advertisement About 80 percent of major hurricanes undergo rapid intensification throughout development. The combination of low wind shear and plenty of hot, moist air from the warm ocean water is like flicking a match onto gasoline — the atmosphere ignites. As oceans continue to warm, the fuel source will just continue to grow more potent for storms to explode. Rapid intensification is more common than you think, especially with global warming. Climate Central And since the early 1980s, a tropical storm or hurricane is five times more likely to rapidly intensify, growing to one in three storms now likely to see an explosive build-up. That brings us to what climatology tells us and what might be coming down the pike. August sees a massive leap in rapid intensification episodes compared to July — quadrupling in number. If the chances and frequency of rapidly intensifying hurricanes keep increasing, then naturally so does the chance for landfall of such storms at higher strength. The percentage of all Atlantic rapid intensification events throughout each month in hurricane season. CSU Rapid intensifying storms make hurricane forecasting so vital, especially during the height of hurricane season, ranging from August through October, and peaking on Sept. 10. Storms that erupt near the coast dramatically decrease warning time to the public, making the need for the National Hurricane Center and expertise in tropical forecasting more important now more than ever. Have a weather question or maybe a weather topic you'd like us to cover? Let us know at weather@ or contact Weather Editor Marianne Mizera at Ken Mahan can be reached at

These heat wave maps show just how hot it will get in New England this week
These heat wave maps show just how hot it will get in New England this week

Boston Globe

time3 days ago

  • Boston Globe

These heat wave maps show just how hot it will get in New England this week

Here's how Tuesday will shape up temperature-wise throughout the day. Boston Globe This week marks the third time this summer that New England has experienced a heat wave, or temperatures of 90 and above for at least three straight days. The last one hit at the tail end of the Fourth of July weekend, running from July 6 to 8. A Boston officials issued their own heat advisory Monday for the city through Wednesday, stressing the dangerous levels of heat that could lead to Advertisement Boston's Chief of Emergency Preparedness Adrian Jordan said they're urging residents 'to take heat advisories on neighbors, and use available cooling resources across the city.' Advertisement These maps detail how hot it will get in New England during this heat wave: Tuesday will be even hotter than Monday across New England, reaching near 100 degrees. Boston Globe Rising dew points will make it feel quite muggy through Wednesday before they taper off for a more comfortable remainder of the week. Boston Globe The sweltering heat and humidity Tuesday could affect your health, so try to keep cool and hydrate. Boston Globe High temperatures Tuesday to Thursday for New England. Notice how Thursday is forecast to be much cooler. WeatherBELL Tuesday's forecast highs will be hotter, up to 97 degrees with heat index values to 100. Boston Globe The 7-day outlook for the Boston region. Boston Globe This map shows the temperature change from Monday to Thursday across the country. Temperatures peak in the Northeast before lowering on Thursday. Departure from normal temperatures - July 1-July 27: The departure from normal temperature. Nearly all of the Northeast has seen more cooling degree days than average, meaning more energy is needed to keep cool. NOAA/Cornell University Most of Massachusetts has been drier than average, with a small, narrow exception near the Mass Pike. WeatherBELL Lows for the week across the Boston region. Boston Globe for our that will arrive straight into your inbox bright and early each weekday morning. Marianne Mizera can be reached at

You thought Monday was hot. The heat soars to near record levels on Tuesday.
You thought Monday was hot. The heat soars to near record levels on Tuesday.

Boston Globe

time4 days ago

  • Boston Globe

You thought Monday was hot. The heat soars to near record levels on Tuesday.

The intense heat will get hotter. Heat index values soar on Tuesday to 95 to 100 across New England. Boston Globe Heat advisories are in effect from 11 a.m., Monday through 8 p.m., Wednesday for most of Southern New England and Southern New Hampshire. Boston Globe The dew points are going to remain high even as temperatures fall toward Thursday and Friday. There are some signs that a stuck frontal boundary may bring a steady round of showers Thursday afternoon into Friday morning. It's after this boundary finally moves out that the drier air will move in, and right now the weekend is looking completely dry for both days — and sunny. Rising dew points will make it feel quite muggy through Wednesday before they taper off for a more comfortable remainder of the week. Boston Globe Advertisement The reason for the hot weather is a strong area of high pressure to our south. This is bringing a westerly flow of air across the region at the high levels. This keeps the cooler Canadian air from reaching our region and also keeps the humidity across much of the East. Wednesday's highs will be about the same as Tuesday's, although the heat index should stay under 100 degrees. Boston Globe This map shows the temperature change from Monday to Thursday across the country. Temperatures peak in the Northeast before lowering on Thursday. Some of the smoke you've been noticing this summer at times may waft across the region again on Tuesday in that flow of air. It remains to be seen just how much smoke ends up in the region, but it's possible air quality again decreases. Advertisement Tuesday's breakdown Greater Boston: Look for mostly sunny skies for your Tuesday, with temperatures in the mid-90s. It will also be hot on Wednesday with temperatures in the mid-90s and a small chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon. Central/Western Mass.: Temperatures will be in the low to mid-90s both Tuesday and Wednesday, with plenty of sunshine. Wednesday afternoon look for the chance for a shower or thunderstorm. Southeastern Mass.: Temperatures are likely to exceed 90 both Tuesday and Wednesday. There's a chance for a thunderstorm or a shower Wednesday evening. Cape and Islands: Mostly sunny skies after patchy morning fog both Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will be more comfortable than inland areas, staying in the 80s, but humidity will be high. Rhode Island: With the exception of the southern part of South County, everybody will be in the 90s on Tuesday and Wednesday. There might be a shower or a thunderstorm Wednesday afternoon or evening. New Hampshire: Look for temperatures in the low to mid-90s over extreme southern sections on Tuesday, also in the lower 90s on Wednesday with slightly drier air and the chance for a shower or a thunderstorm. The 7-day outlook for the Boston region. Boston Globe for our that will arrive straight into your inbox bright and early each weekday morning.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store