Cleveland Guardians at New York Mets odds, picks and predictions
Season series: Guardians lead 1-0
The Guardians won the opener Monday 7-6 in 10 innings and have won 5 of their last 6 games. SS Gabriel Arias drove in 4 runs with a 3-run homer in the Guardians' 5-run sixth inning and a sacrifice fly in the 10th inning, which was the deciding run of the game. SP Slade Cecconi pitched 6 innings (4 H, 3 R 2ER, 1 BB, 6 K) while Cade Smith picked up the victory and Nic Enright earned his first career save despite allowing a run in the 10th.
The Mets lost of the sixth time in their last 7 games. They have allowed 25 runs in their last 3 games. 1B Pete Alonso homered for the third time in 4 games and is just one shy of the Mets' all-time mark held by Darryl Strawberry (252). Alonso had 4 hits, including his 25th homer, and drove in 4 runs.
Guardians at Mets projected starters
LHP Logan Allen vs. RHP Clay Holmes
Allen (7-9, 4.06 ERA) makes his 21st start and 22nd appearance. He has a 1.36 WHIP, 3.3 BB/9 and 6.7 K/9 through 108 2/3 innings.
Holmes (9-6, 3.45 ERA) makes his 23rd start. He has a 1.32 WHIP, 3.5 BB/9 and 7.0 K/9 through 117 1/3 innings.
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Guardians at Mets odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 9:30 a.m. ET.
Guardians at Mets picks and predictions
Mets 6, Guardians 3
Moneyline
Despite the Mets' recent struggles, having lost 3 of their last 4 at Citi Field, their 38-19 home record is tied for the best in the majors.
Cleveland is only 20-33 against teams with winning records. They have lost 5 of Allen's last 7 outings.
But -160 odds aren't worth the action to bet the Mets to win. Go with the run line.
PASS.
Run line/Against the spread
The Guardians are 26-12 ATS as road dogs, while the Mets are only 21-28 ATS as home favorites.
However, Cleveland's last 13 covers have been outright wins. Eight of the Mets' last wins have also been covers and 7 of their last 10 wins have been by 2 or more runs.
BET METS -1.5 (+125).
Over/Under
Eight of the Mets' last 11 games have had at least 8 total runs. Seven of the Guardians' last 10 games have as well.
BET OVER 8 (-118).
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