Guardians at Cubs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 3
The Cubs put up five runs to beat the Guardians, 5-4, to give Chicago a chance for the sweep today. Seiya Suzuki brought in three runs yesterday and has four RBI of the 10 runs scored in the series for the Cubs.
Chicago is 3-1 in the last four games and 5-2 in the previous seven. Cleveland on the other hand has lost six consecutive games and three straight series.
Let's dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Guardians at Cubs
Date: Thursday, July 3, 2025
Time: 8:05PM EST
Site: Wrigley Field
City: Chicago, IL
Network/Streaming: CLEG, MARQ, MLBN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Guardians at the Cubs
The latest odds as of Thursday:
Moneyline: Guardians (+133), Cubs (-158)
Spread: Cubs -1.5
Total: 8.0 runs
Probable starting pitchers for Guardians at Cubs
Pitching matchup for July 3, 2025: Luis L. Ortiz vs. Cade Horton
Guardians: Luis L. Ortiz, (4-9, 4.37 ERA)
Last outing: 7.0 Innings Pitched, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 5 StrikeoutsCubs: Cade Horton, (3-2, 4.80 ERA)
Last outing: 4.0 Innings Pitched, 7 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 4 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
Guardians: Luis L. Ortiz, (4-9, 4.37 ERA)
Last outing: 7.0 Innings Pitched, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
Cubs: Cade Horton, (3-2, 4.80 ERA)
Last outing: 4.0 Innings Pitched, 7 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 4 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
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Expert picks & predictions for tonight's game between the Guardians and the Cubs
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday's game between the Guardians and the Cubs:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Chicago Cubs on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Cleveland Guardians at +1.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.
Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.
Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Guardians at Cubs
The Cubs have won 4 of their last 5 home games against teams with losing records
The Under is 8-1-1 in the Guardians' last 10 road games
Chicago is 6-3 when Cade Horton pitches this season
Cleveland is 6-10 when Luis Ortiz pitches this season
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
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Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)
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