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How Pete Alonso's plate discipline improved after his swing was ‘out of control' in 2024

How Pete Alonso's plate discipline improved after his swing was ‘out of control' in 2024

New York Times15-05-2025

So, Pete Alonso, how did you improve your decision-making in the batter's box so dramatically?
'We need probably about four beers and 2 1/2 hours to talk about it,' the New York Mets first baseman said, smiling.
Four beers was out of the question for an earnest journalist seeking deeper truths. Two-and-a-half hours was out of the question for a top slugger preparing for another night of mashing.
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The short version is that Alonso's spectacular first seven weeks — his top four OPS-plus entering Wednesday, his National League-leading 36 RBIs — are directly attributable to his improved plate discipline.
Alonso, 30, did not suddenly gain a better understanding of the strike zone. He gained a better understanding of himself.
'I'm in control of my mechanics. I'm moving more efficiently. With that, I can see the ball better,' Alonso said. 'There's not as much wasted movement. I just see the ball better because I'm in a better spot mechanically.'
Alonso hit a combined 80 home runs in 2023 and '24, but his OPS+ in each season was 23 percent above league average, compared to 40 percent above in his first four years. He rallied in the postseason to hit four homers and drive in 11 runs, but entered free agency still far from satisfied.
As detailed by The Athletic's Will Sammon in early March, Alonso studied video to determine why his swing last season was, in his words, 'out of control.' He then worked out at Diesel Optimization in Tampa, putting what he learned into practice.
'My past two seasons, granted, I've had success, but it wasn't the type of success I feel like I'm capable of,' Alonso said. 'I'm not going to complain about my performance. Don't like it, play better. But for me, having a greater understanding of my swing, my mechanics, that has helped tremendously.
'To be honest, I really wanted to find a new level. Me just being competitive, I just didn't think I was reaching my potential with my process. I just felt like there's more meat on the bone, more inside I wasn't tapping into. I felt like I was operating at 80 percent.'
This season, he is closer to realizing his full potential, at least so far.
Mets hitting coach Eric Chavez noticed a difference in Alonso early in spring training, telling Sammon, 'It's the best I've ever seen him. I'm very, very optimistic that Pete is going to have a monster year.'
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Bold predictions from hitting coaches are like campaign promises from politicians, often amounting to empty words. This time, though, Chavez was onto something.
Alonso's .311 batting average, .421 on-base percentage and .584 slugging percentage all would represent career-highs by significant margins.
The decline in his strikeout rate from 24.8 percent in 2024 to 20 percent in 2025 was the 14th largest in the majors, according to STATS Perform. The increase in his walk rate from 10.1 percent to 13.8 percent also was the 14th largest.
Alonso, a right-handed hitter, was the only player to appear in the top 15 on both lists. And his numbers were even better before his past eight games, in which he has walked only twice and struck out 15 times.
'I always told him, 'You have 100 walks as soon as the year starts because you're Pete Alonso, or at least 80,'' Chavez said. 'But he should walk 100 times just because he's the biggest threat in the lineup. Now, obviously Juan (Soto) is there, too. But when Pete's on-base is .320, that's too low. He's too good of a hitter. He just was in bad positions, even though he was very strong and would do good things.'
Chavez said in the spring that Alonso's transformation began with his hips, getting them into the correct position, holding them in that spot and firing them both at the right time and in the right direction. Now that he has less forward movement, he can better decipher pitches out of the hand.
Alonso entered Wednesday with a .280 expected batting average and .508 expected slugging percentage against breaking balls, both well above his actual numbers and a major improvement from last season. Interestingly enough, he said he doesn't actually see spin, the rotation of a breaking ball. He detects those pitches by their shape, the hump in their movement after they pop out of a pitcher's hand.
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'Certain people can say, 'I see the dot.' I'm like, 'What are you talking about?'' Alonso said. '(Teammate Brandon) Nimmo, he'll say, 'I can see the rotation of the ball.' I'm like, 'Good for you.' For me, it's just recognizing pitch shape. If a ball moves a certain way, that's a slider.'
In that respect, Alonso is not necessarily unusual. Chicago Cubs designated hitter Justin Turner, a 17-year veteran, said hitters identify those pitches three ways. The way Alonso does, by seeing the hump. The way Nimmo does, by picking up the red dot formed by the blur of the stitches. Or, the way Turner prefers, by the positioning of the pitcher's hand — a method that provides a hitter with the earliest possible recognition.
Alonso also is crushing fastballs this season, as evidenced by his .314 expected batting average and .667 expected slugging percentage against them, both slightly lower than his actual numbers. To Mets manager Carlos Mendoza, two moments in early April stood out.
The first was an opposite-field home run by Alonso off a 1-2 fastball down and away, just outside the zone, from Toronto Blue Jays right-hander Kevin Gausman. The second was a homer to straightaway center in Miami off Marlins righty Calvin Faucher, off a 2-2 fastball on the outer edge to complete a nine-pitch at-bat.
Even with his recent slowdown, Alonso is on a 34-homer, 136-RBI pace. He is within 17 homers of tying Darryl Strawberry for the Mets' all-time franchise record. And, after protracted negotiations with the Mets that resulted in a two-year, $54 million contract with a one-year opt-out, he is setting himself up to re-enter the free-agent market in much better position.
The leading metrics even show an uptick in Alonso's defense — which, outside of his ability to scoop balls out of the dirt, never was considered a strength. Chavez recently saw Alonso go for a ball in a way he might not have last season, and told him all the work he does on his hips and balance is benefiting him in the field.
'He would move, and it was like a big body moving out of control,' Chavez said. 'Now it's a big body moving under control.'
Four beers weren't necessary. A 2 1/2-hour explanation wasn't necessary. By gaining control of his movements, Alonso gained control of the strike zone. Became an even better version of himself by fixing his body to fix his mind.

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THE BAT X fantasy baseball cheat sheet: Add Ben Brown, stream Agustín Ramírez
THE BAT X fantasy baseball cheat sheet: Add Ben Brown, stream Agustín Ramírez

New York Times

timean hour ago

  • New York Times

THE BAT X fantasy baseball cheat sheet: Add Ben Brown, stream Agustín Ramírez

Baseball season is well underway, and with a plethora of articles, statistics and metrics available, it can be challenging to know who to start, sit, fade and trade. Using Derek Carty's THE BAT X projection system, The Athletic has developed a weekly program that helps fantasy managers with difficult roster decisions. Advertisement THE BAT X has been the most accurate original projection system in fantasy for five consecutive years and provides estimates based on a wide range of metrics, including Statcast metrics like exit velocity and barrels, as well as ballpark effects, weather conditions, matchups and much more. Another important concept to understand is regression to the mean, which means players performing above their typical level of play are likely to decline, while those underperforming are likely to improve. This week's iteration suggests adding Ben Brown and streaming Agustín Ramírez. And there's more … so much more. Let's get to it. Projections are based on a 12-team, mixed-league roto format with 23-player rosters. For a more thorough explanation of THE BAT X, read Carty's explainer. For first-time readers, we compare players' year-to-date value (value to this point in the season) against their projected rest-of-season value (value for the remainder of the season and not including YTD value). Values are expressed as dollars, and $0 represents a starting caliber player in the aforementioned 12-team mixed roto league format. This gives you an idea of which players may be available on your waiver wire, their value for the remainder of the year and why you should grab them before anyone else can. The differential can tell you all you need to know, but because this is a model, you'll want to use the projections alongside knowledge of your league. For example, Colton Cowser has thus far performed at a -$17.10 value, but THE BAT X expects him to have a rest-of-season value of $10.60. Cowser has only had 37 at-bats this season so far, so his Statcast numbers aren't validated yet, but they're trending toward red. While his .216 batting average and .275 OBP don't stand out, his xBA is .243 and his xwOBA is .337 (not spectacular but better), and he's hit three home runs so far. Last year, he finished with a .242 BA, a .321 OBP, 24 home runs and nine stolen bases in 499 at-bats. At age 25, he could improve this year, but it's too early to tell by how much. On this list, J.T. Realmuto, Luis Robert Jr. and Brenton Doyle have the highest predicted rest-of-season values but are relatively highly rostered. On the pitching side, Ben Brown (who has been on this list frequently) and Reese Olson (IL15) have the best projections for the remainder of the season, despite playing at -$18.50 and $2.70 levels, respectively. Brown is still available in many leagues, while Olson (even on the injured list) is more highly rostered. To date, Brown is 3-4 with a 5.37 ERA (4.23 xERA) in 63.2 innings pitched; however, his fastball velocity is in the 74th percentile, and his strikeout percentage is 27.7 (80th percentile). Additionally, he's in the 67th percentile or better in chase percentage, whiff percentage, walk rate and extension. He could certainly improve going forward. Like the waiver wire, fades are determined based on the year-to-date roster value compared to THE BAT X's projected rest-of-season value. THE BAT X has suggested fading or trading Steven Kwan for weeks. In a previous iteration, Carty said of THE BAT X projection on Kwan, 'It just doesn't buy his power at all. He doesn't hit the ball hard; he doesn't hit the ball in the air much…. He has one of those extreme outlier profiles, though, where he has insane bat control, which is tougher to quantify, and maybe that just carries him beyond the projection. But all the Statcast metrics going into the projection just say he's got no power.' 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Kevin Gausman has a low YTD value and an even lower ROS value, so THE BAT X suggests ridding yourself of him now before it gets worse, maybe for someone on the trade targets list below. Through 76.2 IP, Gausman is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA, which is serviceable. He relies heavily on his four-seamer (662) and split-finger (460), while sometimes turning to his slider (101). With a fastball velocity in the 52nd percentile, that strategy may not continue to work. Outside of Gausman, Kodai Senga and Merrill Kelly have performed relatively well but could be great trade bait, as THE BAT X expects regression. Trade targets are similar to the waiver wire and fades, determined by current roster value versus THE BAT X's projected rest-of-season value. These are players you might want on your roster for the rest of the season. You can even compare this list to the 'Fade or Trade' list above, and see if there are deals to be made. For example, maybe you think of shipping Kwan for Jazz Chisholm Jr., who just came off the IL and has performed below expectations but is on the hard-hitting Yankees with plenty of chances to score and bring batters in. While Chisholm's YTD value is far below Kwan's, his ROS value is superior. This isn't to say, 'Go make this trade today,' but instead to illustrate how to use the two lists in coordination. Advertisement Gunnar Henderson, whose YTD value increased by $2 over the last week, is another great player to target with a ROS valuation of $29.70. He's now hitting .265 with eight home runs and seven stolen bases. He also had a 54.7 hard-hit percentage, which is in the 96th percentile. Given his K% (26.4) and BB% (7.7), he needs to find more discipline at the plate, but if he does, he could fare much better going forward. As for pitchers, last week we discussed George Kirby, who tops this list again. Since then, his ERA has dropped from 11.42 to 6.53, and his xERA is 4.23. 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Northampton sign goalkeeper Fitzsimons
Northampton sign goalkeeper Fitzsimons

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Northampton sign goalkeeper Fitzsimons

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time3 hours ago

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