Saturday Night Special: Dodgers vs. Yankees Prediction
Saturday Night Special: Dodgers vs. Yankees Prediction originally appeared on Athlon Sports.
START TIME: 7:15pm EST, 5/31/2025
After last night's late-night fireworks gave most Yankee backers reoccurring nightmares of the 2024 World Series, it might be hard to get back on the horse. Facing this Dodgers' offense creates instant nightmare fuel for anyone opposing them — the lineup's absolutely relentless. Luckily for us, we can go up against the Trolley Dodgers without facing the likes of Shohei Ohtani by pivoting to a team total.
Advertisement
I'm always going to present my best case for a responsible +EV bet but sometimes it seems much more intuitive. The Yanks find themselves in a bounce-back spot hitting in a great weather environment — and getting them at O4.5 (-130) versus a non-ace backed by a taxed bullpen feels cheap.
Landon Knack's not terrible, though I'd contend he's not quite ready for the big show, and only seeing meaningful innings for LAD because the Dodgers have an entire rotation shelved on the IL. Knack features a well below-average 93 mph fastball (90 Stuff+) nearly 44% of the time, up in the zone — translating to the elevated career flyball (46.9%), hard hit (46.5%), barrel (11.2%), and home run (1.8 HR/9) rates.
Does this sound like someone you want to challenge a Yankee team that's destroyed RHP all season with?
New York Yankees vs. RHP, YTD
66 HR - 2nd
.403 SLG - 2nd
42.3% Flyball - 4th
45.5% Hard Hit - T-2nd
12.5% Barrel - Leads MLB
.359 xwOBA - 2nd
Advertisement
I also mentioned the Dodgers' bullpen, who certainly won't be at full staff given the recent RP workloads. Tanner Scoot and Alex Vesia have both pitched in two of the last three games — plus Ben Casparius threw 20 pitches last night and I doubt he's available.
LAGHEZZA'S LEAN:
Love the offense, the hitting environment, the total and the price to bet NEW YORK YANKEES TEAM TOTAL OVER 4.5 RUNS (-130) on Draftkings. What could go wrong?
MLB TEAM TOTAL PRO TIP: THERE'S NO PLACE LIKE THE ROAD
A simple yet oft-overlooked aspect of betting MLB team totals lies in where the game's being played — and I don't just mean avoiding going under in a pinball machine like Coors Field. Assuming you're betting the over, there's a fair assumption that side's also the favorite, with a strong shot of winning. Therefore, it's critical to account for only eight frames if the team with your money on it happens to be playing at home. All too often, team totals fail by a hook for precisely this reason.
Advertisement
So it's to say you should avoid overs on home favorites as a hard and fast rule — just make sure the price accounts for ~11% fewer at-bats.
ALWAYS BET SMALL, BET SMART, BET RESPONSIBLY!
This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on May 31, 2025, where it first appeared.
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
Yahoo
10 minutes ago
- Yahoo
WNBA Sends Message to Veteran Guard's 34-Point Performance
WNBA Sends Message to Veteran Guard's 34-Point Performance originally appeared on Athlon Sports. Connecticut Sun guard Marina Mabrey led the team to its second win of the 2025 WNBA season on Friday. The Sun had an 84-76 victory over the Atlanta Dream, snapping their four-game win streak. Out of everyone in the game, Mabrey stood out with her 34-point performance. Advertisement The Sun are coming off a 100-52 defeat against the defending champions, the New York Liberty, on Sunday. It was the second-largest win margin in WNBA history. Mabrey's performance was also highlighted during the game. The veteran guard struggled to contribute to the Sun. Mabrey had eight points on 2-for-11 shooting from the field. Her disappointing performance was the lowest plus/minus in a single game. Connecticut Sun guard Marina Mabrey reacts with guard Saniya Butler II-Imagn Images Fortunately for the Sun, Mabrey has moved on from how she played against the Liberty. She led the team with 34 points, four rebounds and four assists on 59.1% shooting. It was the team's first win at the WNBA Commissioner's Cup and their first home victory. Advertisement Following the game, the league recognized her for logging her first 30-point game of the campaign. "Marina Mabrey took control with a game-high 34 points 😤" the WNBA posted on X. "She guided the @ConnecticutSun to their first home win and Commissioner's Cup victory, finishing with 34 PTS, 4 REB, and 4 AST. This notches her 1st 30-point performance of the szn!" Before the Sun's game against the Dream, Mabrey was averaging 15 points, 5.1 rebounds and 3.3 assists. Due to her offensive eruption against Atlanta, her numbers are expected to improve. Connecticut will continue its season on Sunday, as it faces the Washington Mystics. Advertisement Related: There Was a Major WNBA Upset on Friday This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jun 7, 2025, where it first appeared.
Yahoo
20 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Caitlin Clark's Fever Teammate Named WNBA Breakout Candidate
Caitlin Clark's Fever Teammate Named WNBA Breakout Candidate originally appeared on Athlon Sports. The Indiana Fever earned praise for having the best group of young players in the WNBA, but it's more than just mega-star Caitlin Clark leading the way. Advertisement ESPN's Neil Paine ranked the young core -- players in their age-25 season or under -- for all WNBA teams and put the Fever at the top of the list. While Paine noted that Clark is the team's brightest star, he also predicted that guard Lexie Hull has been showing steady improvement and could be headed to a breakout season. "Don't sleep on Hull, either; the fourth-year guard out of Stanford has improved each year of her WNBA career and is tracking for a breakout performance," Paine wrote. Indiana Fever guard Caitlin Clark (22) talks to guard Lexie Hull (10).© Brett Davis-Imagn Images Paine added that Clark and Aliyah Boston, the last two WNBA Rookie of the Year award winners, have already found out how to mesh in the Fever's offense. He wrote that Clark serves "the WNBA's ultimate heliocentric perimeter creator and initiator, and Boston scoring inside the arc with high volume and efficiency." Advertisement "When healthy (and both have been extremely durable throughout college and the pros, up until Clark's recent injury), no team has a dynamic duo this good and this young," Paine wrote. But Hull could continue to carve out a big role as well, as she has nearly doubled her previous career-high with 10.7 points per game. She is adding 4.0 rebounds, 1.6 assists, and 1.1 steals per game. Related: Lexie Hull Makes Big Career Announcement After WNBA Season This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jun 7, 2025, where it first appeared.
Associated Press
21 minutes ago
- Associated Press
BRYAN SEELEY NAMED INAUGURAL CEO OF THE COLLEGE SPORTS COMMISSION
Long-time MLB executive brings wealth of legal, executive experience to new role WASHINGTON, June 6, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The College Sports Commission, the newly established independent body tasked with overseeing the transformative changes to college athletics following the landmark House settlement, is proud to announce the selection of Bryan Seeley as its first Chief Executive Officer. A deeply experienced legal and operational leader with a distinguished career in professional sports and public service, Seeley will lead the Commission as a new era of fairness, integrity, and opportunity begins in college athletics. Seeley will officially begin this role in the near future. Seeley brings with him a wealth of experience handling high-profile legal and compliance matters and building teams to perform complex work in the sports industry. Most recently, Seeley served as Executive Vice President, Legal & Operations at Major League Baseball (MLB) where he served on MLB Commissioner Rob Manfred's executive leadership team, oversaw investigations into a wide range of issues including circumvention of international compensation caps, and developed and enforced rules in evolving policy areas such as legalized sports betting. Prior to joining MLB in 2014, Seeley served for eight years as an Assistant U.S. Attorney in Washington, D.C. where he prosecuted a wide variety of criminal activity. His collaborative leadership style and proven ability to navigate sensitive matters make him uniquely suited to guide the College Sports Commission in implementing the settlement's terms, enforcing the new rules and fostering a sustainable future for college athletics. As the first CEO of the College Sports Commission, Seeley will build out the organization's investigative and enforcement teams and oversee all of its ongoing operations and stakeholder relationships. The College Sports Commission, under Seeley's leadership, will work to continuously educate student-athletes and schools about the new rules, how to comply with them and how to use the new technology systems (CAPS and NIL Go) that the Commission is putting in place. Seeley and his team will also be responsible for enforcement of the new rules around revenue sharing, student-athlete third-party name image and likeness (NIL) deals, and roster limits. The Commission will investigate potential rules violations, make factual determinations, issue penalties where appropriate, and participate in the neutral arbitration process set forth in the settlement as necessary. Reflecting on his appointment, Seeley said: 'I am honored to serve as the first CEO of the College Sports Commission at this pivotal moment in the history of collegiate athletics. I look forward to implementing a system that prioritizes fairness, integrity, and opportunity, while preserving the values that make college sports unique. I am energized by the work ahead and excited to begin building out our team.' Atlantic Coast Conference Commissioner Jim Phillips, Big Ten Conference Commissioner Tony Petitti, Big 12 Conference Commissioner Brett Yormark and Southeastern Conference Commissioner Greg Sankey released the following joint statement, expressing enthusiasm for Seeley's leadership: 'Bryan brings unwavering integrity and a wealth of relevant experience to his new role leading the College Sports Commission and working to ensure a smooth implementation of this new system. We're grateful to have an individual with his credentials and expertise at the helm, and we look forward to his leadership as we transition into this new era of college sports.' 'Bryan is an exceptional choice to lead the College Sports Commission,' said Major League Baseball Commissioner Rob Manfred. 'During his time at MLB, Bryan demonstrated unparalleled integrity, a commitment to fairness, and the ability to navigate complex challenges with precision and care. I have no doubt he will bring the same level of excellence to the College Sports Commission. College sports will greatly benefit from Bryan's expertise and vision.' Seely's appointment follows the announcement of the court approval of the House v. NCAA settlement agreement and the subsequent establishment of the College Sports Commission. For more information about the College Sports Commission, please visit MEDIA CONTACT [email protected] ABOUT THE COLLEGE SPORTS COMMISSION The College Sports Commission is an independent body established to ensure compliance with rules around roster limits, revenue sharing and student-athlete third-party NIL deals in college sports. The College Sports Commission is committed to prioritizing fairness, integrity and opportunity for student-athletes and institutions alike. View original content: SOURCE College Sports Commission
