SA's rate cut: a move to boost the economy and property market
Image: SARB/Facebook
The recent interest rate cut sends a strong signal to investors that South Africa is intent on driving economic growth despite global challenges.
On Thursday, South African Reserve Bank governor Lesetja Kganyago announced that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to reduce the policy rate by 25 basis points, to 7%, with effect from the 1st of August. He said this decision was unanimous.
South Africa's move is aligned with a cautious global trend toward stimulating consumer spending and investment, says Bradd Bendall, the national head of sales at BetterBond.
"Homeowners will welcome today's decision to drop the prime lending rate to 10.5% - a level last seen in 2022,' Bendall said.
He added that a lower prime lending rate provides much-needed relief to consumers and homeowners struggling to balance their monthly obligations with rising living expenses.
'For the average homeowner with a bond, this reduction could translate to meaningful monthly savings. On a R2 million home, for example, the monthly bond repayments will drop by R337 from R20 305 to R19 968. It will also reduce the amount payable over a 20-year period by R80 876.'
BetterBond said they expect this cut will further invigorate the housing market, which has already shown remarkable signs of recovery in recent months. Its July data shows that bond applications rose by 7.4% for the 12 months to May 2025, with home loans granted up by an impressive 13.6%, the mortgage broker said.
Bendall said these volumes point to renewed buyer confidence and a more stable market environment that should encourage more aspirant first-time buyers to enter the property market.
"The lower interest rate environment will benefit the local property sector going forward as property companies will be able to reduce their average financing costs through the refinance of upcoming debt maturities at lower rates, and the downward rebasing of their ZAR variable debt component's reference rate," says Unathi Hewana, the co-portfolio manager at Mergence Investment Managers.
'The local property market is heavily exposed to retail, so any improvement in consumer sentiment, driven by the lower interest rate environment and the consumer's own ability to better manage their debt financing costs will benefit the sector as well, as that can lead to more retail spend.
"An improvement in general business sentiment, on account of the lower interest rates, should also benefit the property sector, if that improvement in sentiment translates to an increase in demand for space.
"These instances can lead to positive property revaluations and better total return generation as they are supportive of both an increase in rental growth and a decrease in capitalisation rates,' Hewana said.
Video Player is loading.
Play Video
Play
Unmute
Current Time
0:00
/
Duration
-:-
Loaded :
0%
Stream Type LIVE
Seek to live, currently behind live
LIVE
Remaining Time
-
0:00
This is a modal window.
Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window.
Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan
Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan
Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan
Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque
Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps
Reset
restore all settings to the default values Done
Close Modal Dialog
End of dialog window.
Advertisement
Video Player is loading.
Play Video
Play
Unmute
Current Time
0:00
/
Duration
-:-
Loaded :
0%
Stream Type LIVE
Seek to live, currently behind live
LIVE
Remaining Time
-
0:00
This is a modal window.
Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window.
Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan
Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan
Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan
Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque
Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps
Reset
restore all settings to the default values Done
Close Modal Dialog
End of dialog window.
Next
Stay
Close ✕
Standard Bank said this interest rate cut was expected, given the prevailing low inflation and muted economic growth in the first quarter of this year.
The bank said South Africa's GDP grew by only 0.1% in the first quarter, while inflation remained at the lower end of the SARB's target range, at 3% in June. The odds were tilted in favour of another rate cut, it said. However, the bank said the SARB is now targeting a 3% inflation rate, lower than the previous midpoint of 4.5%.
'This move could reshape the outlook for future interest rate decisions, and some homeowners may now be asking: Should I fix my bond rate now? The answer depends on your financial outlook," says Toni Anderson, the head of Home Services at Standard Bank.
'If you fix your rate now and the SARB starts hiking again, you've shielded yourself from future increases, which can bring much-needed predictability to your monthly expenses,' she explains.
'This could be a smart move if inflation remains sticky or if the target range is lowered, as such developments could affect future interest rate decisions.'
However, she warned that there is also a downside. 'If rates continue to fall or stay low for longer, fixing your rate could mean you end up paying more than you would on a variable rate,' Anderson adds.
'That's why we encourage customers to consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and how long they plan to stay in their home.'
The head said as the economic outlook remains uncertain, the decision to fix or float should be based on personal risk tolerance and how long one plans to stay in their home.
Independent Media Property
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

IOL News
8 hours ago
- IOL News
Words on wealth: why are interest rates still high when inflation is so low?
Explore the complex dynamics between interest rates and inflation in South Africa, as we analyse the South African Reserve Bank's strategies and their impact on the economy. Image: Bloomberg Inflation is something we can't avoid – it's a bit like death and taxes. Traditionally, South Africa has had high inflation in comparison with developed countries, and that's a fundamental reason why the rand has steadily declined against the currencies of those countries. The Covid-19 pandemic upended that trend, and who knows what the effects of US tariffs will be. Whether we return to what now seems was a much safer, more stable world before Covid remains to be seen. As of June, our year-on-year Consumer Price Index inflation rate was 3.0%. Over the years, the SA Reserve Bank (SARB), through controlling interest rates, has done an admirable job of keeping inflation within its target range of 3-6%, for the most part. In comparison with other African countries, our inflation is low. Zimbabwe is an obvious example of a collapsing economy with runaway inflation, but even in countries with stable, growing economies, inflation is a problem. Nigeria has inflation of over 22%, according to Trading Economics; Egypt's rate is about 15%; and Rwanda's is over 8%. Kenya and Namibia are in a similar band to us – their current rates are 3.8% and 3.7% respectively. Looking further abroad, Brazil's rate is 5.4% and Turkey's is a terrifying 35.1%. Recently, the SARB has said it wants to bring the inflation target down so that 3% becomes the middle of the target band. Ironically, to do this, it would need to keep interest rates high, and I would suggest that they are too high as it is. Inflation rate vs interest rate In the following exercise, I compare the CPI inflation rate with the prevailing interest rate (the bank repurchase, or repo rate, as determined by the SA Reserve Bank). A fair comparison of the two rates involves percentages of percentages, which sounds complicated, but bear with me. Before Covid, inflation was averaging 4.5%, smack in the middle of the SARB's target range of 3-6%, and the repo rate was averaging 6.75%. Therefore, the repo rate was 50% higher than the inflation rate. Video Player is loading. Play Video Play Unmute Current Time 0:00 / Duration -:- Loaded : 0% Stream Type LIVE Seek to live, currently behind live LIVE Remaining Time - 0:00 This is a modal window. Beginning of dialog window. Escape will cancel and close the window. Text Color White Black Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Background Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Opaque Semi-Transparent Transparent Window Color Black White Red Green Blue Yellow Magenta Cyan Transparency Transparent Semi-Transparent Opaque Font Size 50% 75% 100% 125% 150% 175% 200% 300% 400% Text Edge Style None Raised Depressed Uniform Dropshadow Font Family Proportional Sans-Serif Monospace Sans-Serif Proportional Serif Monospace Serif Casual Script Small Caps Reset restore all settings to the default values Done Close Modal Dialog End of dialog window. Advertisement Next Stay Close ✕ Ad Loading When Covid hit, the economy froze and inflation plummeted, reaching a low of 2.1% in May 2020. By then, the SARB had already started slashing the repo rate – it plunged from 6.25% in February 2020 to 3.5% at the end of July, remaining at that record low for over a year. For most of that time, between July 2020 and March 2021, inflation hovered around 3.1%. The difference between the two rates was minor: the repo rate was just 13% higher than the inflation rate. By the end of the pandemic, inflation had soared, reaching a high of 7.8% in July 2022. Over the following two years, it steadily declined to 2.8% in October 2024, and it has averaged about 2.9% since then. When inflation was at 7.8% in July 2022, the repo rate was 5.5% – in other words, the repo rate was about 30% lower than the inflation rate, in a rare reversal. But by then, the SARB was rapidly hiking the repo rate to catch up with the high inflation, so that by July 2023, the repo rate reached a high of 8.25%. It remained there for a year, until July 2024, by which time inflation had dropped to 4.6%. The rates had righted themselves: the repo rate was now 80% higher than the inflation rate. Fast forward to June this year. The repo rate at 7.25% is 142% higher than the inflation rate at 3.0%. That's an enormous difference, considering it was only 50% higher before Covid. Even with a drop to 7%, it will still be 133% higher than the CPI inflation. This means that even in a bank savings account with a relatively modest 6% interest rate, you're getting a substantial after-inflation return of 3%. But while the high repo rate is great for savers, it's terrible for borrowers – think of mortgage bond holders whose interest rates are high, but where inflation is not substantially increasing the value of their properties. Juggling act Things are not as simple as I have perhaps conveyed. The SARB's rate decisions are forward-looking, and with the current uncertainty around tariffs, it has been justifiably cautious – inflation could rear its head again at any moment. On the other hand, keeping rates high unnecessarily is bad for economic growth. It's a delicate juggling act, as beleaguered US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell knows all too well. Commenting on the SARB's low-inflation stance, FNB economists Mamello Matikinca-Ngwenya, Siphamandla Mkhwanazi, Thanda Sithole, and Koketso Mano say they think the shift will happen soon, with the SARB trying to take advantage of the currently benign inflation environment. But they say such a process takes time, and factors such as weather patterns, cyclical food inflation, and the need for traction on structural reforms may derail it. 'We still anticipate inflationary pressures that will make it difficult to sustain the current rate of inflation and believe that the SARB will have to work towards a 3% target as a medium-term objective,' the FNB economists say. Foord chief investment officer Nick Balkin says SARB's thesis is that a lower inflation rate will shrink Treasury's debt‑service bill and release scarce funds for social priorities. But although the SARB has generally delivered on its mandate to keep prices stable within its target range, he says real economic growth has barely averaged one per cent a year since 2014. 'Stabilising prices has not unlocked capital expenditure or boosted economic growth. If anything, it was the weaker growth that helped keep inflation in check,' Balkin says. 'Without meaningful, structural state interventions to address the root causes of constrained economic growth, the debt burden may even worsen.' * Hesse is the former editor of Personal Finance. PERSONAL FINANCE

IOL News
10 hours ago
- IOL News
Finance Minister dismisses speculation on 3% inflation target
Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana has dismissed speculation about a formal shift to a 3% inflation target, affirming that any changes will follow due consultation with the Reserve Bank, Cabinet, and other stakeholders. Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana has firmly dismissed speculation that government will formally adopt a 3% inflation target, following a recent announcement by the South African Reserve Bank's (SARB) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). The SARB's MPC had indicated a preference to target inflation at 3% going forward, raising expectations that the Ministry of Finance would officially endorse this shift during the upcoming Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement (MTBPS). However, Godongwana made it clear that "Minister Godongwana has no plans to do this."


The Citizen
13 hours ago
- The Citizen
South African Reserve Bank lowers repo rate to 7% following inflation dip
The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) has reduced the repo rate by 25 basis points to 7%. It comes into effect from August 1. This decision was announced by SARB Governor Lesetja Kganyago during a media briefing on July 31. It follows a unanimous vote by the bank's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). Kganyago said the rate cut reflects a strengthening rand, improved inflation expectations, and stable economic indicators. ALSO READ: Gauteng Health and Wellness MEC celebrates World Diabetes Day 'The June Consumer Price Index print showed headline inflation at 3% and core at 2.9%, still at the bottom of our target range,' he noted. 'While food inflation has picked up – mainly due to meat prices – and fuel prices are falling at a slower pace, we still forecast inflation to average 3.3% for the year.' The governor confirmed that inflation is expected to stabilise around the target midpoint in the coming period, with risks to the outlook now seen as balanced. Growth expectations revised Economic performance in early 2025 has been mixed. Although growth in the first quarter was reported at just 0.1%, in line with SARB expectations, downward revisions to previous GDP figures and possible higher US tariffs have prompted the bank to revise its 2025 growth forecast downwards. ALSO READ: Repossessed properties insights 'Underlying growth remains weak due to ongoing supply-side constraints, especially in logistics. Business and consumer confidence also dipped during the first half of the year,' Kganyago said. Despite this, the SARB expects gradual improvements driven by ongoing structural reforms. Shift in inflation targeting Kganyago announced a shift in the SARB's inflation targeting framework, with the bank now preferring inflation to settle at 3%, the bottom of the existing 3–6% target range. 'This strategic shift has helped strengthen the rand and reduce long-term borrowing costs,' he said. ALSO READ: Familiarise yourself with the interest rates and know how they affect you 'We will now use forecasts anchored at 3% inflation in future MPC meetings and continue working with National Treasury to achieve lasting low inflation.' Kganyago added that reduced inflation expectations would expand monetary policy space and enhance the resilience of the policy framework. The move reflects the SARB's longer-term goal of reducing uncertainty and entrenching price stability.