
Stocks rise on easing US-China trade tensions, cool US inflation
After two days of talks between US and Chinese negotiators in London, US President Donald Trump said: 'Our deal with China is done'.
The United States and China slashed tit-for-tat tariffs after negotiations in Geneva last month, but tensions flared up again after Trump later accused Beijing of violating the pact reached in Switzerland.
The positive London talks provided some relief to markets.
'Wall Street's three main indices rose as trading got underway in New York and Europe's main indices were higher in afternoon deals.
Asian stock markets also won a lift on the China-US progress, with Hong Kong among the best performers.
As well as tariffs, a key issue in the discussions was China's export of rare earths used in smartphones and electric vehicles, while Beijing was keen to see an easing of restrictions on its access to tech goods.
The talks came as World Bank downgraded its 2025 forecast for global economic growth to 2.3% -- from the 2.7% predicted in January -- citing trade tensions and policy uncertainty.
It also said the US economy would expand 1.4% this year, half of its 2024 growth.
Meanwhile data showed little impact of Trump's tariffs on US consumer prices in May.
Between April and May, the consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.1 percent. Analysts had expected it to continue at the 0.2 rate it rose in April.
It also rose less than expected in the so-called core reading that excludes volatile food and energy prices.
'The key takeaway from the report is that both headline and core CPI were lower than expected on a month-over-month basis,' said Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare.
'While these readings may not give a big boost to near-term rate cut expectations, they should also not cause the market to think that the next cut will be delayed,' he added.
Investors have worried that a tariff-driven surge in inflation could hinder the Federal Reserve from lowering interest rates to counter the slowdown in growth.
Investors now see a 57% chance the Fed, which has so not reduced rates since December, will cut rates in September.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles


Daily Tribune
5 hours ago
- Daily Tribune
Appeals Court clears Bahraini employee in vehicle seizure case
A six-month prison sentence handed to a Bahraini employee for obstructing enforcement procedures has been overturned by the Second High Appeals Court, which acquitted him and instead imposed a BD500 fine on the company owner involved in the case. The pair had been accused of deliberately preventing the seizure of a company-owned vehicle that was meant to be sold at auction, according to the employee's lawyer, Reem Al Mahari. Prosecutors alleged that the two men concealed one of the company's cars from enforcement officers tasked with executing court rulings against the firm in 2024. The Lower Criminal Court had found them guilty and sentenced each to six months in prison, setting bail at BD100 to suspend the punishment. Both defendants challenged the decision. Evidence In its ruling, the appeals court said the evidence presented against the employee gave rise to doubt. The judges stated that after examining the case file and hearing the arguments, they were not satisfied that the man had taken any steps to hide the vehicle or help someone else to do so. The incident began when a private bailiff moved to carry out seizure orders against a company owned by the Asian co-defendant. Two cars were handed over at the company premises, while the location of a third was shared separately. Vehicles The bailiff managed to secure the two vehicles on site, but the third was missing. The court found no clear link between the Bahraini employee and the missing vehicle. It ruled there was no proof he had concealed it or acted in collusion with the owner. That gap in the prosecution's case led the court to clear him of all charges. Rule The judges referred to the long-standing rule that doubt must be weighed in favour of the accused. They added that the risk of convicting someone without firm grounds would do more harm than letting someone go free. The earlier verdict was overturned, and the employee was acquitted. The company owner, however, remains liable for a BD500 fine.


Daily Tribune
5 hours ago
- Daily Tribune
Trump says to name new economics data official
US President Donald Trump said yesterday that he would pick an 'exceptional replacement' to his labor statistics chief -- after ordering her dismissal as a new report showed weakness in the US jobs market. In a post on his Truth Social platform, Trump reiterated -- without immediately providing evidence -- that an employment report released last Friday 'was rigged.' He alleged that the official had manipulated data to diminish his administration's economic accomplishments. 'We'll be announcing a new (labor) statistician some time over the next three-four days,' Trump earlier told reporters. He added Monday: 'I will pick an exceptional replacement.' US job growth missed expectations in July, figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed Friday, and sharp revisions to hiring figures in recent months brought them to the weakest levels since the Covid-19 pandemic. Shortly afterwards, Trump ordered the removal of Erika McEntarfer, the department's commissioner of labor statistics. Trump told reporters Sunday: 'We had no confidence. I mean the numbers were ridiculous.' Trump added that the same official, just before the 2024 election, 'came out with these phenomenal numbers on (Joe) Biden's economy.' He claimed those job numbers were 'a scam.' The United States added 73,000 jobs last month, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.2 percent, the Department of Labor reported. Hiring numbers for May were revised down from 144,000 to 19,000. The figure for June was shifted from 147,000 to 14,000. This was notably lower than job creation levels in recent years. During the pandemic, the economy lost jobs. The employment data points to challenges in the labor market as companies took a cautious approach in hiring and investment while grappling with Trump's sweeping -- and rapidl y changing -- tariffs this year.


Daily Tribune
11 hours ago
- Daily Tribune
Stocks rebound on US rate cut bets
Most stock markets bounced on Monday on hopes of US interest rate cuts after weak jobs figures raised concerns about the world's top economy. The broad gains followed a Wall Street sell-off on Friday in reaction to the jobs data and news that dozens of countries would be hit with US tariffs ranging from 10 to 41%. The main New York indices were up more than 1% in midday trading. European indices mostly started the week on the front foot, with Paris and Frankfurt both ending the day up more than 1%. "Investors seem to be taking an optimistic view... betting on an increased likelihood of further monetary easing by the Fed after Friday's employment figures," said John Plassard, head of investment strategy at Cite Gestion Private Bank. CME's FedWatch tool has investors seeing an 87.5% of the Fed making a quarter-point cut in interest rates. Plassard noted, however, that "uncertainty reigns" as US President Donald Trump's tariffs are set to take effect on Thursday. Switzerland's stock market dropped around 2% at Monday's open, its first session as it returned from a holiday after a tough 39% US tariff rate was announced. The index pared most of its losses to end the day off just 0.15%, on hopes the Swiss government, which announced it would make an improved offer to Washington, could negotiate a reduction in the levy, which is steeper than that imposed on the European Union and Britain. London advanced, lifted by banking stocks after the sector was granted reprieve from the worst of feared compensation claims over controversial car loans dating back to 2007. Lloyds Banking Group jumped nine percent while Close Brothers, listed on the FTSE 250, soared more than 23%. Asian investors started the week mixed, with Hong Kong and Shanghai advancing while Tokyo fell. Stocks had struggled Friday as US jobs growth missed expectation in July, with revised data showing the weakest hiring since the Covid-19 pandemic -- fuelling concerns that Trump's tariffs are starting to bite. Trump responded to the data by firing the commissioner of labour statistics, accusing her of manipulating employment data for political reasons. Markets reacted more favourably on Monday, as the hiring slowdown boosted hopes of Fed rate cuts to support the economy. "Analysts are betting that rate-setters will prioritise recession avoidance over price controls," said Derren Nathan, head of equity research at Hargreaves Lansdown. Observers also noted that news of Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler stepping down six months early, which gives Trump a chance to increase his influence on the Fed as he pushes for lower rates. Kathleen Brooks, research director at trading platform XTB, said it was expected that Trump's choice to replace Kugler would be in line to later succeed Fed Chairman Jerome Powell when his term ends in May. "Whoever replaces Powell is likely to be a dove and is more likely to acquiesce to President Trump's demands to cut rates," she said. Elsewhere, oil prices fell more than 2% after a sharp output increase by eight OPEC+ countries, with markets anticipating abundant supply. However, they later cut their losses after Trump threatened to hike tariffs on Indian goods further over its purchases of Russian oil.