NJ high school graduation rates rose in 2024, while absenteeism dipped
But while high school graduation rates are on the rise, and the number of 11th and 12th graders meeting benchmarks in advanced college-level classes has increased, large gaps remain in these areas for low-income and other vulnerable student groups.
A slideshow discussing discipline, absenteeism and graduation rates was well received and triggered few questions from the 13-member State Board of Education during a presentation by department officials.The presentation did not include test and assessment data, which, according to the National Assessment of Educational Progress, a national test conducted every two years, showed drops in reading proficiency among eighth graders to 38% from 42%.
New Jersey ranks higher than other states, but its performance on the NAEP was "objectively lackluster," said Paula White of JerseyCan, a K-12 watchdog organization.
New Jersey's four-year high school graduation rate last year was 91.3% — the highest rate since 2011, officials said. The five-year graduation rate was 92.6% and has stayed stable.
These numbers are calculated under state guidelines, which include students with Individualized Education Programs who may graduate using requirements that are different from those of general education students. Federal guidelines require graduation calculations to omit students with IEPs.
Four-year graduation rates for low-income and multilingual learners have steadily increased since 2011, reaching their highest in 2024, the state said.
The four-year graduation rate among economically disadvantaged students in 2024 was 87.1%, up from 86.6% in 2023 and 85.4% the year before. Students whose native language is not English also showed strong growth — with a four-year graduation rate of 78.9% in 2024, up from 73.6% in 2023 and 71.9% in 2022.
State officials said they were working to improve career-readiness programs in schools to give graduating seniors training in industry-specific areas, such as information technology, business administration and tourism, for entry into the job market right after school.
These programs culminate with a student earning an Industry Valued Credential — a recognized degree, diploma, certificate or certification awarded for an occupation.
The state offers 129 credentials in 13 career clusters. Interest in these programs has been on the rise, officials said — about 9,600 students received one or more credentials in 2024, up from 7,600 students the year before.
The industry credentialing was the result of a 'close collaboration' with the state Department of Labor & Workforce Development and is 'based on where the industry is in New Jersey, so that students coming out of high schools are prepared to go into the workforce right out of high school,' said Kevin Dehmer, the state education commissioner.
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More students took dual enrollment courses for college credit in 2024 than in 2023. The number went up to 26.9% from 24%, or 7,600 more students. Lower-income students had a much smaller participation rate, with 20.2% taking these courses in 2024.
Interest in college-level classes — Advanced Placement and International Baccalaureate — has remained consistent.
New Jersey had the highest percentage nationwide of high schools offering five or more AP courses, at 86.9%, officials said.
In the 2023-24 school year, more than 60% of schools had a chronic absenteeism rate higher than 10.6%, compared with 32% of schools in the 2018-19 school year, before the pandemic hit. Chronic absenteeism data refers to students who miss more than 10% of a 180-day school year.
This year, the statewide average for the number of students who were chronically absent was 14.9%, compared with 16.7% last year, 18.1% the year before, and 10.6% in 2018-19. Chronic absenteeism spiked after the pandemic and still has not come back to pre-pandemic levels, both nationally and statewide.
Superintendents were offered resources at the county level to help develop action plans to address absenteeism over 10%, officials said.
The highest absenteeism rates were among homeless, disabled, foster and economically disadvantaged students.
Discipline data showed that fewer students received suspensions last year, with the number of in-school suspensions increasing and out-of-school suspensions decreasing. One of the more challenging outcomes of the pandemic was an increase in disruptive behavior in classrooms, as teachers reported higher anxiety among students.
This article originally appeared on NorthJersey.com: NJ high school graduation rates rose in 2024, absenteeism dipped
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Casual dining real estate faces perfect storm and high vacancies
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Trump says he doesn't trust the jobs data, but Wall Street and economists do
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The Hill
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Yet Friday's revisions were unusually large — the largest, outside of a recession, in five decades. And the surveys used to compile the report are facing challenges from declining response rates, particularly since COVID, as fewer companies complete the surveys. Nonetheless, that hasn't led most economists to doubt them. 'The bottom line for me is, I wouldn't take the low collection rate as any evidence that the numbers are less reliable,' Omair Sharif, founder and chief economist at Inflation Insights, a consulting firm, said. Many academics, statisticians and economists have warned for some time that declining budgets were straining the government's ability to gather economic data. There were several government commissions studying ways to improve things like survey response rates, but the Trump administration disbanded them earlier this year. Heather Boushey, a top economic adviser in the Biden White House, noted that without Trump's firing of McEntarfer, there would be more focus on last week's data, which points to a slowing economy. 'We're having this conversation about made-up issues to distract us from what the data is showing,' Boushey said. 'Revisions of this magnitude in a negative direction may indicate bad things to come for the labor market.' Here are some things to know about the jobs report: Economists and Wall Street trust the data Most economists say that the Bureau of Labor Statistics is a nonpolitical agency staffed by people obsessed with getting the numbers right. The only political appointee is the commissioner, who doesn't see the data until it's finalized, two days before it is issued to the public. Erica Groshen, the BLS commissioner from 2013 to 2017, said she suggested different language in the report to 'liven it up', but was shot down. She was told that if asked to describe a cup as half-empty or half-full, BLS says 'it is an eight ounce cup with four ounces of liquid.' The revised jobs data that has attracted Trump's ire is actually more in line with other figures than before the revision. For example, payroll processor ADP uses data from its millions of clients to calculate its own jobs report, and it showed a sharp hiring slowdown in May and June that is closer to the revised BLS data. Trump and his White House have a long track record of celebrating the jobs numbers — when they are good. These are the figures is Trump attacking Trump has focused on the revisions to the May and June data, which on Friday were revised lower, with job gains in May reduced to 19,000 from 144,000, and for June to just 14,000 from 147,000. Every month's jobs data is revised in the following two months. Trump also repeated a largely inaccurate attack from the campaign about an annual revision last August, which reduced total employment in the United States by 818,000, or about 0.5%. The government also revises employment figures every year. Trump charged the annual revision was released before the 2024 presidential election to 'boost' Vice President Kamala Harris's 'chances of Victory,' yet it was two months before the election and widely reported at the time that the revision lowered hiring during the Biden-Harris administration and pointed to a weaker economy. Here's why the government revises the data The monthly revisions occur because many companies that respond to the government's surveys send their data in late, or correct the figures they've already submitted. The proportion of companies sending in their data later has risen in the past decade. Every year, the BLS does an additional revision based on actual job counts that are derived from state unemployment insurance records. Those figures cover 95% of U.S. businesses and aren't derived from a survey but are not available in real time. These are the factors that cause revisions Figuring out how many new jobs have been added or lost each month is more complicated than it may sound. For example, if one person takes a second job, should you focus on the number of jobs, which has increased, or the number of employed people, which hasn't? (The government measures both: The unemployment rate is based on how many people either have or don't have jobs, while the number of jobs added or lost is counted separately). Each month, the government surveys about 121,000 businesses and government agencies at over 630,000 locations — including multiple locations for the same business — covering about one-third of all workers. Still, the government also has to make estimates: What if a company goes out of business? It likely won't fill out any forms showing the jobs lost. And what about new businesses? They can take a while to get on the government's radar. The BLS seeks to capture these trends by estimating their impact on employment. Those estimates can be wrong, of course, until they are fixed by the annual revisions. The revisions are often larger around turning points in the economy. For example, when the economy is growing, there may be more startups than the government expects, so revisions will be higher. If the economy is slowing or slipping into a recession, the revisions may be larger on the downside. Here's why the May and June revisions may have been so large Ernie Tedeschi, an economic adviser to the Biden administration, points to the current dynamics of the labor market: Both hiring and firing have sharply declined, and fewer Americans are quitting their jobs to take other work. As a result, most of the job gains or losses each month are probably occurring at new companies, or those going out of business. And those are the ones the government uses models to estimate, which can make them more volatile. Groshen also points out that since the pandemic there has been a surge of new start-up companies, after many Americans lost their jobs or sought more independence. Yet they may not have created as many jobs as startups did pre-COVID, which throws off the government's models. Revisions seem to be getting bigger The revisions to May and June's job totals, which reduced hiring by a total of 258,000, were the largest — outside recessions — since 1967, according to economists at Goldman Sachs. Kevin Hassett, Trump's top economic adviser, went on NBC's 'Meet the Press' on Sunday and said, 'What we've seen over the last few years is massive revisions to the jobs numbers.' Hassett blamed a sharp drop in response rates to the government's surveys during and after the pandemic: 'When COVID happened, because response rates went down a lot, then revision rates skyrocketed.' Yet calculations by Tedeschi show that while revisions spiked after the pandemic, they have since declined and are much smaller than in the 1960s and 1970s. Other concerns about the government's data Many economists and statisticians have sounded the alarm about things like declining response rates for years. A decade ago, about 60% of companies surveyed by BLS responded. Now, only about 40% do. The decline has been an international phenomenon, particularly since COVID. The United Kingdom has even suspended publication of an official unemployment rate because of falling responses. And earlier this year the BLS said that it was cutting back on its collection of inflation data because of the Trump administration's hiring freeze, raising concerns about the robustness of price data just as economists are trying to gauge the impact of tariffs on inflation. U.S. government statistical agencies have seen an inflation-adjusted 16% drop in funding since 2009, according to a July report from the American Statistical Association. 'We are at an inflection point,' the report said. 'To meet current and future challenges requires thoughtful, well-planned investment … In contrast, what we have observed is uncoordinated and unplanned reductions with no visible plan for the future.
