
Kansas State thinking College Football Playoff after Avery Johnson declined NIL offers
Fortunately for Kansas State, star quarterback Avery Johnson didn't bite at NIL offers from bigger schools.
Because pushing out a championship starting quarterback last year for his potentially rare backup, only to have the potentially rare quarterback leave a year later, would've been peak transfer portal nonsense.
Instead, there was Johnson, representing K-State at Big 12 Media Days, setting lofty goals for Year 2 as a starter. And maybe finally reaching those Johnny Manziel comparisons.
'I can't wait for the season to begin,' Johnson said Tuesday, July 8 at Big 12 Media Days. 'We're shooting for a Big 12 championship. Anything else would be a letdown.'
And speaking of letdowns, get a lot of this drama: It was prior to last season when Klieman – one of two coaches in school history to win a conference championship in the modern era – gambled on Johnson by placing the program in his hands.
Will Howard had one season of eligibility remaining, and was a year removed from leading K-State to its first Big 12 championship since 2012. He and Klieman met, and they decided maybe both needed a fresh start.
Johnson led K-State to nine wins in 2024, and had the Wildcats in the College Football Playoff hunt until the last week of the regular season.
Howard led Ohio State to the national championship.
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In a not so surprising twist of irony, when the offseason arrived, guess who was fielding transfer opportunities from major Power conference teams? That would be Johnson — the same quarterback Klieman elevated over Howard in 2024 to prevent Johnson from leaving for the transfer portal in the first place.
Look, it's a business now. A crazy, unbridled mess of a business.
'But he likes it here,' Klieman said of Johnson, who threw 25 touchdown passes in 2024, and rushed for more than 600 yards in his first season as a starter.
Really, he does. Johnson grew up in Wichita, about two hours south of the campus in Manhattan. He knows Kansas, he has lived Kansas.
More important: Kansas loves him. Johnson has an impressive NIL portfolio, which recently added deals with CVS and a regional telecommunications provider.
This on the heels of a deal last year with a local car dealership, which paved the way for him to drive around Manhattan in a lavender Corvette Stingray and black Mercedes AMG GT.
Not only that, you, too, can swig Johnson's favorite drink (strawberry lemonade) thanks to an NIL deal with a local drink manufacturer. So yeah, life is good in Kansas.
Now it's time to make it even better on the field.
Johnson says he has gained '10-12 pounds' in the offseason, has built strength and hasn't lost what makes him so dangerous: speed and dynamic athleticism.
He says the game moves slower now, and Klieman added more pieces around Johnson with key transfer portal additions to further develop the pass game. Three of K-State's top four receivers arrived this offseason from other schools.
'The best supporting cast I could ask for,' Johnson said. 'It's a different feeling now. I'm so much farther ahead of where I was at this time last year.'
Last month, Johnson was invited to the Manning Passing Academy, an invitation typically reserved for the elite of the game. He roomed with Gunner Stockton (Georgia), Marcel Reed (Texas A&M) and Austin Simmons (Mississippi).
'An SEC room,' Johnson joked.
Who knows just how close he came to joining that conference, and competing in the quarterback-heavy league. How close K-State went from experiencing both sides of transfer portal turnover at the most important position on the field.
From a difficult choice one year, to a difficult departure the next. From learning on the job one season, to improving his completion percentage, and making better decisions post snap.
He understands the position and the concepts. Now it's all about refining his game, and reaching the massive expectations coming out of high school.
'I love this team, I love the chemistry we're building,' Johnson said. 'Everybody should be excited.'
Because Johnson didn't bite — and allow what goes around to come back around.
Matt Hayes is the senior national college football writer for USA TODAY Sports Network. Follow him on X at @MattHayesCFB.
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USA Today
25 minutes ago
- USA Today
Bold predictions for Penn State football in 2025
Penn State's hype for the 2025 season is unlike any we have seen in previous years under head coach James Franklin. After a run to the College Football Playoff semifinal, the 2025 squad returns a roster built for another deep playoff run, and perhaps laying claim to a long-awaited national title. The anticipation for the new college football season in Happy Valley is about as high as it has been in quite some time. The staff of Nittany Lions Wire is taking time this week to share our season predictions for Penn State football with our picks for offensive and defensive MVPs, big questions for the team, final record predictions, and our bold predictions. Our bold predictions for the season are where we get things started. Here are our bold predictions for Penn State football in 2025. Christopher Sheppard: Penn State will be the best road team in the Big Ten this year. Last year, the Nittany Lions were a sterling 5-0 away from home, including a tough conference win over the Badgers and a thriller against USC in the Coliseum. This year, they get all of their toughest opponents at Beaver Stadium, with Ohio State their toughest road test. In fact, their first road game is not until Week 5, when they visit a rebuilding UCLA team. I would not be shocked if the only road blemish is their Week 8 matchup against the defending national champions. Other than that potential hurdle, look for the Nittany Lions to roll on the road. Sam Woloson: 2025 Penn State defense statistically outperforms 2024 unit In Tom Allen's lone season as Penn State's defensive coordinator, the Nittany Lions ranked seventh in yards allowed per game and eighth in points allowed per game. That's quite good, but I think the defense will be even scarier under new defensive coordinator Jim Knowles. Knowles' 4-2-5 scheme matches the team personnel perfectly, and his aggressive use of three safeties complements Penn State's secondary well. There's plenty of star power to work with, including DT Zane Durant, DE Dani Dennis-Sutton, LB Tony Rojas, and S Zakee Wheatley. With Knowles' championship experience, this could be a truly elite defense. Toluwani Akintunde: Penn State finally wins the Big Ten this year. Not just makes it to Indy but actually brings the trophy home. Drew Allar steps into full beast mode and delivers a Heisman-level season. Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen remind the country they're still the best 1-2 punch at running back. But the real x-factor is the defense under Jim Knowles. Dani Dennis-Sutton is going to be a problem off the edge, and I think freshman Daniel Jennings is going to surprise people and work his way into the rotation. Penn State pulls off a win at Oregon, beats Ohio State in Columbus, and flips the national narrative. Andrew Deal: Penn State defeats Ohio State in Columbus The Nittany Lions haven't defeated Ohio State in nine years. However, if there is a team to end the streak, it'd be the 2025 squad. Penn State returns most of its talent from last year's roster while adding more pieces to the team on the field. However, it's the addition to the coaching staff that will help the blue and white get over the hump. Defensive coordinator Jim Knowles joined Penn State after building Ohio State's defense into one of the best units year in and year out. Knowles has already been useful to both quarterback Drew Allar and offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki while installing his defense. The talent on the defensive side of the ball, in addition to Knowles' defensive scheme, could be the difference maker against the Buckeyes when they face off later in the season. Kevin McGuire: Penn State gets a signature win at Ohio State The odds are Penn State is due for a win against Ohio State, and a win in Columbus is also bound to happen at some point. Other than the 2017 season, this may be Penn State's best chance to check those two items off the to-do list. On paper, Penn State appears to have a more well-rounded team going into this season, and Ohio State has a few more things to figure out going into its national title defense than Penn State does. But the fact that this game comes later in the year means Ohio State has plenty of time to figure things out before the Nittany Lions come into town. If it's not going to happen this year, I don't know when it will. This Penn State team is built to give Ohio State a stiff challenge, and no team has played Ohio State so consistently close over the last decade and come up so short on so many occasions as Penn State has. The Nittany Lions are due, and it happens this November. Coming up next in our week-long Penn State predictions roundtable: Biggest question for Penn State in 2025


USA Today
25 minutes ago
- USA Today
A scavenger hunt to find college football's next national champion coach turns up key names
A guided quest to find the next coach to win his first college football national championship turns up obvious names like Brian Kelly and Kalen DeBoer, but also wild cards Josh Heupel and Lane Kiffin. Let's embark on a scavenger hunt to find the next college football coach who will win his first national championship. Kirby Smart, Dabo Swinney and Ryan Day account for the only active championship coaches. Who's next? Reflecting on past winners and adhering to some guiding principles will help identify top candidates. Sixteen coaches won their first national championship during either the Bowl Championship Series or College Football Playoff era that started in 1998. We'll use that group of coaches as our guide, as we try to winnow the list: ∎ Each of the 16 first-time championship coaches from the BCS and CFP eras coached a school that's now in the Power Four ranks. So, we'll confine our search for the next champion to the ACC, Big Ten, Big 12 and SEC, plus Notre Dame. ∎ Miami's Larry Coker was the only coach from our control group of 16 who won a national championship in his first season. Coker inherited a team that went 11-1 the prior season. He stepped into a ready-made winner. No current first-year coach enjoys a situation so nice, so let's eliminate the Power Four's six coaches who are entering Year 1. Sorry, Bill Belichick, that includes you. Second-year coaches like Michigan's Sherrone Moore remain in the mix. Bob Stoops, Jim Tressel, Urban Meyer and Gene Chizik won a national championship in their second season, making Year 2 a time to shine. Looking at you, Kalen DeBoer. ∎ Programs rarely go from the outhouse to the penthouse overnight. The 16 coaches who won their first national title during the CFP or BCS eras coached teams that finished 7-5 or better the season before the championship. The majority of first-timers won at least 10 games in the season preceding their first title. Let's eliminate coaches whose teams didn't achieve at least a .583 winning percentage last season. That cuts 29 more coaches from our list, leaving 30 coaches still alive. Eliminated coaches include Southern California's Lincoln Riley, Utah's Kyle Whittingham and Oklahoma State's Mike Gundy. They built accomplished careers before losing the plot last year. ∎ Each of the 16 first-time championship coaches from the BCS and playoff eras steered teams that were ranked in the preseason Top 25. So, let's consult the preseason US LBM Coaches Poll, and trim from our list nine more coaches, whose teams are unranked. We're down to 21 contenders. ∎ Most first-time championship coaches were winners before they won it all. The 16 new champions from the BCS and CFP eras compiled a combined .684 winning percentage before ever winning a national title. This excludes records compiled coaching in the Championship Subdivision. Auburn's Gene Chizik became notable exception. Before Cam Newton spurred Chizik to brief glory, Chizik's career winning percentage had been .351 across stints at Iowa State and Auburn. Not surprisingly, Chizik didn't last long after Newton departed. LSU's Ed Orgeron had a .532 career winning percentage before Joe Burrow propelled the Tigers to an undefeated national championship. Acknowledging outliers exist to our .684 guideline winning percentage, let's create a buffer and eliminate any coaches that do not have at least a .650 career winning percentage coaching in the FBS. Also, trim any coaches who aren't above-.500 at their current school. Each of the past 16 first-time championship coaches were above .500 at their school entering their breakthrough season, except for Coker, who won his title in his first season. Applying the winning percentage parameters trims 12 more coaches and leaves nine coaches standing: They are Kalen DeBoer (Alabama), Brian Kelly (LSU), Lane Kiffin (Mississippi), Josh Heupel (Tennessee), Dan Lanning (Oregon), James Franklin (Penn State), Curt Cignetti (Indiana), Marcus Freeman (Notre Dame) and Rhett Lashlee (SMU). That's a strong list, with a couple of notable omissions. More on the omissions in a bit. First, let's examine the nine names to whom our scavenger hunt guided us. DeBoer, Kelly, Lanning, Franklin and Freeman are obvious contenders. DeBoer, Kelly and Freeman previously coached a team to a national runner-up finish. Each of these five coaches have teams ranked in the preseason top 10. The list also includes four wild cards. Kiffin, Heupel, Cignetti and Lashlee coach teams with longshot national championship odds, but the stock of each coach is on the rise, and it's no guarantee the next championship coach will emerge this season. Day, Smart or Swinney could win another ring and prolong this exercise. It's not unthinkable that Heupel or Kiffin would win a title from his current job – just perhaps not this season. Also, this next coaching carousel projects to be more active than the last, especially if Brent Venables doesn't ignite Oklahoma. Any of four wild-card names our scavenger hunt surfaced could nicely suit the Sooners. As for notable omissions, Texas coach Steve Sarkisian stands most prominently. His .618 career winning percentage resulted in his name being trimmed, but he's coming off the best two seasons of his career. His Longhorns rank No. 1 in the preseason, after back-to-back playoff semifinal appearances. In February, I picked Sarkisian as the best-positioned coach to win his first national championship. He'd need to become another exception to the career winning percentage trend. His winning percentage is superior to what Orgeron had amassed before Burrow led LSU to glory. Might Texas' Arch Manning produce a Burrow effect? Our scavenger hunt also nixed Michigan's Moore. Officially, his career winning percentage is .643, resulting in his cut, but that clip does not include his three victories in 2023 while he served as acting coach during Jim Harbaugh's Big Ten suspension. Moore is entering his second season as Harbaugh's replacement. He, too, could be an exception to the career winning percentage rule, like Stoops was when he won a national title in his second season at Oklahoma, after a 7-5 debut. Michigan's roster features freshman quarterback Bryce Underwood, the nation's No. 1-ranked recruit. If Day, Smart or Swinney wins another title and prolongs the runway for the next championship coach, Moore could look like a stronger contender in 2026. If we could combine some common sense with the results of our scanvenger hunt, I'd insert Sarkisian and Moore onto the list in place of Cignetti and Lashlee, for a nine-name collection of DeBoer, Kelly, Kiffin, Heupel, Freeman, Lanning, Franklin, Sarkisian and Moore. Or, perhaps, this scavenger hunt serves as little more than a wild-goose choose, and the real exercise in this NIL era should be to follow the money to Texas, where the Longhorns' handsomely paid roster seems capable of making a champion out of Sarkisian, just as the pricy Buckeyes did for Day. Blake Toppmeyer is the USA TODAY Network's national college football columnist. Email him at BToppmeyer@ and follow him on X @btoppmeyer.


USA Today
25 minutes ago
- USA Today
The biggest college football quarterback competitions still undecided feature elite teams
A new starting quarterback hasn't proven to be a major roadblock for teams chasing the College Football Playoff and national championship. To name two recent examples: Ohio State won last year's title with Kansas State transfer Will Howard as its starter, while runner-up Notre Dame was led by Duke transfer Riley Leonard. Both teams are evaluating their two new options at quarterback without any change in expectations: to win every game they play and be the last team standing at Hard Rock Stadium in January. Neither race has been settled as we turn toward the start of fall camp. Likewise with key battles involving several additional teams with legitimate playoff hopes, including Alabama, Michigan and Tennessee. These Power Four quarterback competitions will define the final weeks leading into the regular season and shape the chase for the national title: Alabama Contenders: Austin Mack, Keelon Russell and Ty Simpson. While the competition is ongoing, Mack and Russell are clearly running behind Simpson, who completed 25 of 45 attempts in two seasons as Alabama's backup to Jalen Milroe. Comments made back in the spring by new offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb – that Simpson would've been the starter had the year started then, basically – makes this competition close to a foregone conclusion. In fact, the bigger competition at this point is for the backup role between Mack, a sophomore, and Russell, a five-star true freshman. Starter: Simpson. The fourth-year junior has the edge in experience and in coach Kalen DeBoer's system. He's the overwhelming favorite to be in the starting lineup for the Tide's opener at Florida State. Brigham Young Contenders: Bear Bachmeier, Treyson Bourguet and McCae Hillstead. Jake Retzlaff's unexpected departure from the program amid the possibility of a seven-game suspension for violating the school's honor code dramatically changes the Cougars' plans under center. Hillstead is a redshirt sophomore who started four games for Utah State in 2023, with 11 touchdowns against eight interceptions. Bourguet, a junior, threw for 1,314 yards in two years at Western Michigan. Bachmeier is a dual-threat true freshman with the most potential, though no experience. Starter: Hillstead. That would be the pick as of today, though Bourguet could change the pecking order with a strong fall camp. Both would be keeping the seat warm for Bachmeier, though his time may be at least a year away. Colorado Contenders: Julian Lewis and Kaidon Salter. That both players were part of Colorado's contingent at last month's media day speaks to where things stand in the competition to replace Shedeur Sanders – basically, that we're still at a neck-and-neck standstill. Lewis was a major recruit who clearly represents the program's future at the position. Salter was productive across three years at Liberty, highlighted by his 32 touchdown passes two years ago to help the Flames reach the Fiesta Bowl. Will Deion Sanders choose this level of proven Group of Five production over potential? Starter: Salter. Given the Buffaloes' important non-conference matchup with Georgia Tech to open the year, Salter would be the safer pick out of the gate. But he'll need to produce to fend off Lewis, who will be the starter sooner or later. Michigan Contenders: Mikey Keene and Bryce Underwood. Underwood is a premier quarterback talent with the tools to succeed under a bright spotlight, should Michigan and coach Sherrone Moore be willing to accept the ups and downs that come with starting a true freshman in the Big Ten. Keene is more limited from a physical perspective but does have starting experience and familiarity with new Michigan offensive coordinator Chip Lindsey, who previously coached Keene at Central Florida. Starter: Underwood. The eventual payoff is too great for the Wolverines to sideline Underwood in favor of Keene's advantage in experience. North Carolina Contenders: Max Johnson and Gio Lopez. Johnson opened last year as the starter before suffering a season-ending injury in the opener. The former Texas A&M and LSU starter has thrown for 5,923 yards and 47 touchdowns across his five seasons, including 27 scores and only six interceptions for the Tigers in 2021. Lopez, a sophomore, is a South Alabama transfer who threw for 2,559 yards with totaled 25 combined scores for the Jaguars as a redshirt freshman. Apropos of nothing, new North Carolina coach Bill Belichick went 84-103 in the NFL without Tom Brady as his quarterback and 249-75 with Brady under center. Starter: Lopez. That Johnson has multiple years of starting experience in the SEC has to count for something. But Lopez brings a different dimension to the offense as a runner, making him the smarter long-term choice for a team that has the talent to contend for a top-four finish in the ACC. Notre Dame Contenders: CJ Carr and Kenny Minchey. Replacing Leonard won't be easy for the defending national runner-up. What's intriguing about this competition is the juxtaposition of styles: Minchey, who has played in three games in his two years on campus, is more of a dual-threat option; while Carr, a former five-star recruit and redshirt freshman, is closer to a pure pocket passer. Carr has been seen as a possible multiple-year starter since signing with the Irish. Starter: Carr. Maybe there's a package for Minchey in a supporting role. But Carr has the tools to balance out what should be a very strong running game and make Notre Dame even more dangerous. Ohio State Contenders: Lincoln Kienholz and Julian Sayin. This one is tighter than the competition in Tuscaloosa after Kienholz more than held his own during the spring. Kienholz completed 10 of 22 attempts as a true freshman in 2023 but didn't see any game action last season. Sayin was one of the top prospects in the 2024 signing class and was briefly a member of the Crimson Tide before transferring to Columbus. Kienholz has made a move in this battle but remains the underdog. The winner lands the ultimate prize: starting at quarterback in one of the friendliest system in college football and throwing to Jeremiah Smith, among others. Starter: Sayin. At worst, Kienholz has proven himself to be a reliable backup capable of leading the offense. But Sayin's immense ceiling as the starter will be hard for Ryan Day and the Buckeyes to turn down. Tennessee Contenders: Joey Aguilar, George MacIntyre and Jake Merklinger. Nico Iamaleava's abrupt exit for UCLA diminishes Tennessee's chances of returning to the playoff. The Volunteers still have several interesting options, though, led by the addition of Aguilar from Appalachian State after he spent a few months of his own with the Bruins. Aguilar is a high-volume passer (850 attempts his past two seasons) with ample experience but is prone to turnovers, with a Sun Belt-high 14 interceptions in 2024. He still has a distinct edge over Merklinger, a redshirt freshman, and the true freshman MacIntyre. Both are talented, highly recruited prospects who could engage in another battle to replace Aguilar after this season. Starter: Aguilar. He'll have to play cleaner football to get Tennessee to nine or more wins and keep the two younger passers on the sideline.