European Central Bank expected to cut interest rates later today
THE EUROPEAN CENTRAL Bank is expected to cut interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point today.
It would be the bank's eighth interest rate cut in the last 12 months, with officials having shifted focus from taming consumer price rises to easing pressure on the sluggish eurozone economy.
Expectations that the Frankfurt-based institution will deliver a fresh rate cut were strengthened this week when data showed eurozone inflation eased to 1.9% in May, faster than expected and below its 2% target.
'Any doubts about an ECB interest rate cut this week have now been eliminated,' said Dirk Schumacher, chief economist at German public lender KfW.
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Analysts expect another quarter-point reduction that would take the central bank's key deposit rate to 2%.
The reduction would be welcome news for tracker mortgage holders, who would benefit immediately from the move, along with other borrowers.
Despite falling ECB rates, Ireland is the fifth most expensive country in the eurozone for mortgages, with Irish homebuyers paying 0.46 percentage points more than the average interest rate on new mortgages across the euro zone, according to a recent Central Bank report.
Observers will be on the lookout for any hints from ECB President Christine Lagarde at her press conference that policymakers could hit pause at their next meeting in July, as some expect.
The ECB's series of cuts stands in contrast to the US Federal Reserve, which has kept rates on hold recently amid fears that Trump's levies could stoke inflation in the world's top economy.
With reporting from
© AFP 2025
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RTÉ News
an hour ago
- RTÉ News
'We do not fear them' - flotilla activists in bid to reach Gaza
Under the heat of the Mediterranean sun, a small group of activists is currently making its way by water to one of the the most dangerous places on earth. Their destination? Gaza. Their mission? To "break the siege and to create a people's humanitarian corridor". This small sailboat carrying 12 volunteers from around the world - including climate campaigner Greta Thunberg - is named the Madleen. It is the latest ship to attempt the audacious crossing to Gaza as part of the Freedom Flotilla Coalition. "When you see people starving to death, you bring them food," Brazilian activist Thiago Ávila tells RTÉ News from the ship, which set sail from Sicily last Sunday and aims to arrive in Gaza on Monday morning. "We're bringing food, medicine, crutches, prosthetics for amputated children and water filters," Thiago said, though he acknowledges it is just a "drop in the ocean" of what is required. "We are (on) a small boat of 18 metres, but it is carrying the hope of millions and millions of people." However, the Madleen faces significant obstacles in reaching its destination. In a statement to RTÉ News, Israel's Defense Forces said it intended to enforce a "security naval blockade" on Gaza and is "prepared for a wide range of scenarios". Despite that, Thiago remains defiant. "We do not fear them. They can't threaten us. In the end, we know that we have the social majorities of the world with us." What is the Freedom Flotilla Coalition? The Madleen ship was launched by the Freedom Flotilla Coalition (FFC), which describes itself as a "grassroots people-to-people solidarity movement composed of campaigns and initiatives to end the blockade of Gaza". It has been organising flotillas since 2010 with the aim of breaking the Israeli maritime blockade on Gaza. The FFC has emphasised that all volunteers and crew on board the Madleen are trained in non-violence and are sailing "unarmed in a peaceful act of civil resistance against Israel's actions in Gaza". The launch of the Madleen in Italy last weekend received media attention around the world. Hope Greta and her friends can swim! — Lindsey Graham (@LindseyGrahamSC) June 1, 2025 It was also attended by a number of Irish people who showed their support for the mission, including activist Caoimhe Butterly, actor Liam Cunningham and Senator Lynn Ruane. However, the Madleen has also attracted criticism from supporters of Israel, most notably from US Republican senator Lindsey Graham, who was rebuked for his social media on the launch. Damage to previous FFC ship Last month, another vessel operated by the group, the Conscience, caught fire before it was due to set sail for Gaza. The ship had been en route to Malta to collect a large contingent of activists, including Greta Thunberg, when the incident occurred in the early hours of 2 May. According to the FFC, the fire was caused by an Israeli-operated drone. "While it was 14 nautical miles from the coast of Malta in international waters, it came under attack," said Huwaida Arraf, a spokesperson for the Freedom Flotilla. "A drone fired two missiles at the front of the ship, igniting a fire and compromising the hull." Israel has not responded to requests for comment. Images posted online by the FFC appear to show damage to the hull of the ship. The Maltese government has confirmed that its Vessel Traffic Services received a mayday call from the Conscience just after midnight on 2 May, "reporting a fire on the bow while outside territorial waters". A tug boat arrived on the scene and began the firefighting operation, and all crew were confirmed safe. After two weeks at sea, the ship was permitted to dock in Malta, and its crew and passengers disembarked safely. Irish involvement in previous flotillas Since the Freedom Flotilla Coalition was established in 2010, Irish people have been involved in a number of attempted operations. Five Irish activists were detained in Israel when soldiers took control of the MV Rachel Corrie, which had been attempting to deliver aid to Gaza in 2010. The vessel had been following a flotilla of aid vessels which was raided by Israeli troops the week previous. Nine people were killed in the incident and 30 wounded. Both sides accused the other of causing the deadly violence. All passengers on the MV Rachel Corrie returned home safely. The following year in 2011, an Irish ship named MV Saoirse was damaged while docked in a Greek port - an incident described by the activists as "deliberate sabotage". Some of the crew attempted another crossing on the Saoirse, which was later intercepted by the Israeli Navy in what was a "violent and dangerous" operation, according to those on board. People Before Profit TD Paul Murphy (then a Socialist Party MEP) and former Ireland rugby player Trevor Hogan were among 14 Irish activists detained in an Israeli jail for a number of days. Recalling the incident, Trevor Hogan said: "Initially we all were very hopeful that we might actually get through, and then on the fifth morning, we saw the naval ship around the horizon, and it just escalated from there". "We were essentially then chased down and kidnapped when we were still in international waters. "They wanted us to sign a document to say that we'd entered Israel illegally, which was completely lies." Despite the tense and difficult encounter, Trevor said he remained committed to the objectives of the operation. "In the moment, you don't actually feel too afraid, because you know you're doing the right thing - you're standing up for justice." Now, almost 14 years on, he says he admires the bravery of those on board the Madleen, adding: "To me it's even more courageous to go out there now." He says it is vitally important that the world stands together to reject and punish the actions of the Israeli government in Gaza, where Palestinians are "suffering the most horrendous starvation". He hopes that the efforts by civil society groups like the Freedom Flotilla can give some small comfort of support to the Palestinians, while also pushing governments of the world to "actually respond and impose sanctions". "So all these small actions, they can help."


Irish Independent
5 hours ago
- Irish Independent
Irish shares hit all-time high despite tariff uncertainty
The Iseq 20 index of leading Irish shares hit a record high of 1963.01 yesterday, slipping back only slightly before closing at 1,956.02. The index is made up of the leading shares on the Euronext Dublin exchange, including heavyweights Ryanair, Kerry, Kingspan and Glanbia as well as AIB and Bank of Ireland. Shares hit their high after the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates for an eighth time in 12 months on Thursday, a move that would traditionally be seen as a boost to investment, credit and consumer confidence. The MSCI global index, which draws on leading shares from across the developed world, hit an all-time high on Tuesday, boosted by particularly strong gains for Germany's Dax index. In Ireland, the Iseq 20 index only at the start of this year recovered to levels seen in 2007, at the peak of the Celtic Tiger, unlike most European and US markets where shares have long since pushed higher over the past decade. However, the composition of the Irish shares indices has also radically changed, not just since 2007 – when bank shares crashed – but in the past three years as heavyweight stocks like CRH, Flutter and Smurfit Kappa shifted their listings to the US, shrinking the potential size of the Irish index. The Irish high this week was in line with global and European trends. Wall Street rebounded yesterday after a generally upbeat employment report, and a bounce-back in Tesla shares helped put the indexes on track for weekly advances. In the US, jobs numbers yesterday were relatively weak but not as bad as feared, and markets shifted higher in response. This is a sigh of relief report The US economy added 139,000 jobs in May while the unemployment rate held firm at 4.2pc, according to the Labour Department. 'This is a sigh of relief report; people were really worried that this was going to be a kind of start of a downturn in the labour market and therefore start the downturn in the economy,' said Scott Ladner, chief investment officer at Horizon Investments in Charlotte, North Carolina. 'It came in pretty much on the screws and we've got a bit of a reprieve, at least for a month. That's leading to a pretty large relief rally,' Mr Ladner added. In Ireland and across the globe, investors are increasingly looking past the near-term risk of Donald Trump imposing further destabilising tariffs and anti-trade measures, and are focused on the underlying economy, which has so far shrugged off any real negative fallout. How long that can be sustained remains to be seen. Bank of America's influential strategist Michael Hartnett warned yesterday that global stocks are getting close to triggering a technical 'sell' signal, saying the market is running too hot after surging 20pc in just two months. He cited data points on fund flows and market breadth as evidence that investors have been rushing into risk assets and positioning is getting stretched. Traders often use that as a marker because it can theoretically indicate that the buying power in the market is likely to soon be exhausted, leaving prices vulnerable to a pullback. At the same time, the market is approaching 'overbought territory,' he said. The Bank of America data highlights a nervousness among traders about the rapid pace of recent stock gains. The combination of the Trump administration's tax-cut package to boost growth, plus a softer stance on tariffs and robust economic data, has fanned optimism. US equity futures rallied yesterday after the monthly jobs report came in stronger than expected. In Europe, the new German government's push to support industry as well as ECB easing of credit has fed into the rising stock markets. However, major risks are hovering close to the surface. Mr Trump has set a July 9 deadline for talks with the European Union to produce a trade deal, threatening a 50pc tariff on European goods if they fail. The White House has yet to lock in trade terms with China, Japan or Canada. Meanwhile, Mr Trump's public falling out with Elon Musk has been playing on stock markets as the main driver of swings in Tesla's share price, both higher and lower at different times this week.


Irish Independent
5 hours ago
- Irish Independent
Letters: Elon Musk's break with Donald Trump may offer opportunities to Ireland and rest of the EU
This is no ordinary falling-out. For once, Mr Trump is confronting a rival with genuine leverage – technological, communicative, financial and, perhaps, psychological. The implications could extend far beyond American shores. If this rupture holds, I could see Mr Musk pivoting towards Brussels, offering the EU and countries like Ireland his full innovation portfolio – satellites, electric vehicles, AI – at preferential rates. He may well find European regulators less volatile than a president nursing a grudge. Enda Cullen, Tullysaran Road, Armagh Tesla boss made a mistake trusting president, but he will be formidable enemy Monica Hesse doesn't hold back on the character of billionaire Elon Musk ( 'Good riddance to Musk, who did not need to do any of this', Irish Independent, June 4). But that's what drives billionaires, that's how they get there. Sitting back is not within Musk's DNA. While it is hard to have any sympathy for a billionaire who gets fired, he was naive to trust Trump. Perhaps if nothing else, Musk will be a man scorned and a formidable enemy for President Trump. In that his destructive stint into politics may prove invaluable and electrifying to America and democracy at large. Aidan Roddy, Cabinteely, Dublin 18 Billionaire's attack could turn Republicans against their leader and his bill For months, US president Donald Trump has been heralding his 'big, beautiful' spending bill as being a key piece of his agenda, containing tax cuts for the rich and benefits cuts for the vulnerable. We now know that this will also add trillions to America's debt, to the point that some are now sounding the alarm, warning of a 'debt bomb' about to hit the US economy. What the White House didn't bet on was that one of those leading critics would be Elon Musk, who has turned fire on his former boss in spectacular fashion, calling the legislation a 'disgusting abomination' and ominously warning US senators that voters will fire those politicians who 'betray America'. I am not an advocate of Musk but on this one , I believe that he's not wrong. It leaves me wondering: will the words of Musk spook Republicans into defying Donald Trump? I am also curious as to how the president will react to Musk's missives. John O'Brien, Clonmel, Co Tipperary ADVERTISEMENT Learn more Israel will stop at nothing in its war on Gaza, so it's time for Ireland cut all ties The US representative to the UN, Dorothy Camille Shea, repeated Washington's message as part of the veto of a resolution calling for an unconditional ceasefire in Gaza, that Israel has the 'right to defend itself'. Unsurprisingly, there was no mention of the right to life for Palestinians. This was the latest example of the United States' unwavering support of Israel's annihilation of Gaza. Israel's UN representative, Danny Danon, eerily replied to the veto: 'Don't waste more of your time.' He added that no resolution, no vote, 'will stand in our way'. If the UN can't put a stop to the carnage, then it falls to small nations such as our own to take a stand, and at least to end our own complicity. The Irish Government must, like TCD, cut all ties with Israel. It must enact the Occupied Territories Bill, enact the Arms Embargo Bill, and stop the Central Bank regulating Israeli war bonds. After 20 months, 56,000 Palestinians are dead. How many more need to die before our Government honours its obligations as a signatory to the Genocide Convention? Aisling Brady, Drumcondra, Dublin 9 Thunberg's voyage to Palestine offers haunting echoes of famine ship Kudos to Martina Devlin for highlighting the humanitarian ship Madleen on its way across the Mediterranean with vital food, medicine and other essential supplies ('Greta Thunberg's aid ship for Gaza won't get through – but that doesn't make it a failure', Irish Independent, June 6). Readers may recall the story of the Jeanie Johnston, now parked on Dublin's Custom House Quay and which began its journey in Blennerville, just outside of Tralee. This replica 'famine ship' tells the unique story of Ireland's past and the thousands of Irish people who crossed the Atlantic to escape starvation and destitution. Not one soul was lost on the original ship, which crossed the ocean dozens of times. Former RTÉ journalist Fintan Drury, whose new, deeply researched book on what is happening in Gaza, Catastrophe, asks: 'Where is the outrage?' He convincingly argues that what is now being perpetrated on a defenceless people did not begin on October 7, 2023, but rather eight decades earlier ('Author hoping to convert Kerry readers not convinced of Palestinian cause at talk in Listowel', The Kerryman and Irish Independent, May 28) The Madleen ship may be turned away by Israel but world is watching as Netanyahu and co deliberately use starvation as a shocking and cowardly tactic in their latest attempt to suppress an indigenous race. Tom McElligott, Listowel, Co Kerry Income tax may be deeply unfair, but its burden should fall evenly on us all The news that so many workers are exempt from income tax in one way or another presents a real moral dilemma (Irish Independent, June 5). On the one hand, income tax is a 200-year-old hangover from the Napoleonic wars; an immoral way for the State to monetise our waking hours that has no place in a free and democratic society in which the particularly altruistic can donate what they please to the Exchequer. As such, bully for those who don't have to pay it, whatever the reason. On the other hand, if the blight of income tax is to exist, it should be applied evenly, if for no other reason than to reduce the burden it places on those of us who do have to pay it. In that sense, the workers who don't pay should have to, with a view to reducing what is due from the rest of us. Killian Foley-Walsh, Kilkenny city