logo

Fed holds tight

The Hill5 hours ago

The Big Story
The Federal Reserve kept interbank interest rates at a range of 4.25 to 4.5 percent Wednesday amid trade policy fluctuations and pressure from President Trump.
© The Associated Press
Fed officials stressed the overall health of U.S. economic conditions, which has seen decreasing inflation in recent months along with steady levels of low unemployment.
'What we're waiting for, to reduce rates, is to understand what will happen with the tariff inflation. There's a lot of uncertainty about that,' Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday.
'Someone has to pay the tariffs … between the manufacturer, the exporter, the importer, the retailer, ultimately somebody putting it into a good of some kind – or just the consumer buying it.'
The unemployment rate has held at 4.2 percent in its past three readings, with about 7 million people out of work in a labor force of 170 million.
President Trump has been calling for the Fed to resume its interest rate cuts, which it started in the back half of last year but has paused since January after inflation ticked up over the fall.
Trump went so far as to call Powell a 'numbskull' recently for maintaining his pause, which will increase interest costs on sky-high U.S. debt levels that are likely to be made worse by GOP tax-and-spending cut legislation now making its way through Congress.
However, markets and economists expected the Fed to maintain rates while businesses react to Trump's tariffs.
Tobias Burns has more here.
Welcome to The Hill's Business & Economy newsletter, I'm Sylvan Lane — covering the intersection of Wall Street and Pennsylvania Avenue.
Did someone forward you this newsletter? Subscribe here.
Essential Reads
Key business and economic news with implications this week and beyond:
Fannie, Freddie oversight chief to Powell: Cut rates or resign
The head of the federal agency responsible for overseeing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac called Wednesday for Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell to resign if the central bank did not cut rates that day.
Fed predicts higher inflation, slower growth for US economy
The U.S. central bank sees lower economic growth, higher unemployment and higher prices amid major changes in U.S. trade policy and worsening geopolitical tensions.
Honda recalls over 259,000 cars due to brake pedal issue
Honda is recalling more than 259,000 vehicles across the U.S. due to a problem that can cause the brake pedal to shift out of position.
In Other News
Branch out with more stories from the day:
Buss family to sell controlling stake of Lakers to Mark Walter for $10B valuation, AP source says
The Buss family has agreed to sell the controlling stake of the Los Angeles Lakers to TWG Global CEO …
Good to Know
Business and economic news we've flagged from other outlets:
What Others are Reading
Top stories on The Hill right now:
Senate GOP leader faces pushback after members blindsided by Trump bill
Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.) is facing strong pushback from members of the GOP conference over the Finance Committee's piece of President Trump's tax and spending bill, which largely ignores GOP senators' concerns about Medicaid cuts and the quick phaseout of clean-energy … Read more
Appeals court won't let Justice Department step in for Trump in E. Jean Carroll's $83M verdict
A federal appeals court panel on Wednesday refused the Justice Department's effort to put itself on the hook for an $83.3 million defamation award advice columnist E. Jean Carroll won at trial from President Trump. Read more
What People Think
Opinions related to business and economic issues submitted to The Hill:
You're all caught up. See you tomorrow!
Check out The Hill's Business page for the latest coverage.
Like this newsletter? Take a moment to view our other topical products here 📩
Privacy Policy | Manage Subscriptions | Unsubscribe
400 N Capitol Street NW Suite 650, Washington, DC 20001
Copyright © 1998 – 2025 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved.

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Hungary discussing business deal with US to counter tariff impact
Hungary discussing business deal with US to counter tariff impact

Yahoo

time36 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Hungary discussing business deal with US to counter tariff impact

By Catarina Demony LONDON (Reuters) -Hungary and the United States are discussing a business deal that could involve cooperation in the space industry and military capabilities, a Hungarian official said on Wednesday, aiming to offset the impacts of potential U.S. tariffs. Hungarian foreign ministry state secretary Levente Magyar provided details of the talks on Wednesday, stating that while a swift agreement is not anticipated, they hoped to reach agreement on energy, space and military projects. "We are talking about a few specific projects that could be enveloped into such an agreement," Magyar told Reuters on the sidelines of an event at the Hungarian embassy London. "There's a lot of room for working together." "We very much hope that big things can be done for the benefit of the Hungarian people," Magyar said, without providing a timeline as the U.S. administration currently has "a lot on their hands". Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban, an ally of Trump, said in April that Hungary expected to sign a business deal with the U.S. in six months. Without providing further detail, Orban said "tariffs will be negative for us but we negotiate about other economic deals to offset those (tariffs)". European Union member Hungary's car industry is a key driver of its economy but faces a potential hit from U.S. tariffs while the country contends with a slower than expected economic recovery and tries to curb inflation ahead of 2026 elections. Magyar acknowledged Hungary would not be able to have a separate trade deal with the U.S. given its obligations as a EU member state but that they still hoped to reach a business deal. Trump backed away from his threat to impose 50% tariffs on imports from the EU this month, restoring a July 9 deadline to allow for talks between Washington and the 27-nation bloc to produce a deal.

Dollar steady as Powell flags inflation risks; Mideast worries rise
Dollar steady as Powell flags inflation risks; Mideast worries rise

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Dollar steady as Powell flags inflation risks; Mideast worries rise

By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE (Reuters) -The dollar held steady on Thursday, as investors weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautionary tone on inflation, while the looming threat of a broader conflict in the Middle East and possible U.S. involvement left sentiment frail. In a widely expected move, the Fed held rates steady, with policymakers signalling they still expect to cut rates by half a percentage point this year, although not all of them agreed on a need for rate cuts. Powell said goods price inflation will pick up over the course of the summer as U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs work their way to consumers. "Ultimately, the cost of the tariff has to be paid, and some of it will fall on the end consumer," Powell told a press conference on Wednesday. "We know that because that's what businesses say. That's what the data say from the past." The comments from Powell, who again came under fire from Trump, underscore the challenge facing policymakers as they navigate uncertainties from tariffs and geopolitical risks, leaving markets anxious about the path of U.S. interest rates. Still, traders are pricing in at least two rate cuts this year though analysts are unsure of the starting point. "The market is anticipating two 25 bp rate cuts this year, most probably September and December, but, we think the September FOMC will come too soon for the Fed to be comfortable cutting rates," ING economists said. "Effectively the Fed has acknowledged that the contemporaneous economy is doing reasonably well, with risks, and has batted the whole thing back to the macro data to come in the coming months," the economists said in a report. Currency market reaction was muted, with the dollar firming slightly after the Fed's decision before stabilising against major currencies by Thursday morning in Asia. The euro was last at $1.14805, heading for 0.6% drop in the week, its biggest weekly decline since early May. The yen firmed slightly to 144.86 per dollar and the Swiss franc last fetched 0.81895 per dollar. Sterling was 0.18% lower at $1.3398 in early trading ahead of the policy decision from the Bank of England, where the central bank is expected to stand pat. The Swiss National Bank and Norges Bank are also expected to deliver their policy decisions later in the day. The dollar index, which measures the currency against six other units, was at 98.957 and set for a 0.8% gain for the week, its strongest weekly performance since late February. Investor focus remained on developments in the Middle East, where the Israel-Iran conflict entered its seventh day on Thursday. Concerns grew over potential U.S. involvement, as Trump kept the world guessing about whether the United States will join Israel's bombardment of Iranian nuclear sites. The conflict has heightened fears of broader regional instability, compounded by the spillover effects of the Gaza war. That left the risk-sensitive Australia dollar 0.3% lower at $0.649, while the New Zealand dollar weakened 0.32% to $0.60105. U.S. markets are closed on Thursday for the federal Juneteenth holiday. Sign in to access your portfolio

Dollar steady as Powell flags inflation risks; Mideast worries rise
Dollar steady as Powell flags inflation risks; Mideast worries rise

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Dollar steady as Powell flags inflation risks; Mideast worries rise

By Ankur Banerjee SINGAPORE (Reuters) -The dollar held steady on Thursday, as investors weighed Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's cautionary tone on inflation, while the looming threat of a broader conflict in the Middle East and possible U.S. involvement left sentiment frail. In a widely expected move, the Fed held rates steady, with policymakers signalling they still expect to cut rates by half a percentage point this year, although not all of them agreed on a need for rate cuts. Powell said goods price inflation will pick up over the course of the summer as U.S. President Donald Trump's tariffs work their way to consumers. "Ultimately, the cost of the tariff has to be paid, and some of it will fall on the end consumer," Powell told a press conference on Wednesday. "We know that because that's what businesses say. That's what the data say from the past." The comments from Powell, who again came under fire from Trump, underscore the challenge facing policymakers as they navigate uncertainties from tariffs and geopolitical risks, leaving markets anxious about the path of U.S. interest rates. Still, traders are pricing in at least two rate cuts this year though analysts are unsure of the starting point. "The market is anticipating two 25 bp rate cuts this year, most probably September and December, but, we think the September FOMC will come too soon for the Fed to be comfortable cutting rates," ING economists said. "Effectively the Fed has acknowledged that the contemporaneous economy is doing reasonably well, with risks, and has batted the whole thing back to the macro data to come in the coming months," the economists said in a report. Currency market reaction was muted, with the dollar firming slightly after the Fed's decision before stabilising against major currencies by Thursday morning in Asia. The euro was last at $1.14805, heading for 0.6% drop in the week, its biggest weekly decline since early May. The yen firmed slightly to 144.86 per dollar and the Swiss franc last fetched 0.81895 per dollar. Sterling was 0.18% lower at $1.3398 in early trading ahead of the policy decision from the Bank of England, where the central bank is expected to stand pat. The Swiss National Bank and Norges Bank are also expected to deliver their policy decisions later in the day. The dollar index, which measures the currency against six other units, was at 98.957 and set for a 0.8% gain for the week, its strongest weekly performance since late February. Investor focus remained on developments in the Middle East, where the Israel-Iran conflict entered its seventh day on Thursday. Concerns grew over potential U.S. involvement, as Trump kept the world guessing about whether the United States will join Israel's bombardment of Iranian nuclear sites. The conflict has heightened fears of broader regional instability, compounded by the spillover effects of the Gaza war. That left the risk-sensitive Australia dollar 0.3% lower at $0.649, while the New Zealand dollar weakened 0.32% to $0.60105. U.S. markets are closed on Thursday for the federal Juneteenth holiday. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store