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Yahoo
13 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Why consumer stocks are falling out of favor on Wall Street
Consumer-facing stocks are losing favor as investors grow cautious about lower-income spending. Yahoo Finance Senior Reporter Allie Canal joins Market Domination Overtime with Josh Lipton to discuss how earnings are showing a split between lower- and higher-income consumer trends. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Market Domination Overtime here. Consumer facing stocks are falling out of favor with US investors. Senior reporter Allie Canal joins us now with the Yahoo Finance Investor playbook. Allie. Hi, Josh. Yeah, Wall Street seems to be growing a bit more cautious on the consumer, especially lower income Americans, and that bifurcation, it's showing up in this week's earnings. So earlier this week we saw Chipotle shares fall double digits after the company cut its full year outlook. Hilton dropped on weak US room revenue. Hasbro flagged ongoing pricing sensitivities, and even American Airlines and Southwest, both those airliners warning on soft domestic travel. Now, excluding the airlines, many of these names fall under the consumer discretionary sector. And despite the S&P 500 trading at record highs, up around 10% on the year, consumer discretionary is barely positive. That actually makes this sector one of the worst performers in 2025. And then on the flip side, you have companies catering to wealthier households, like J.P. Morgan and Amex. They're holding up much better in this environment, and to that point, we've seen sectors like financials, industrials, communication services, technology, those sectors continue to outperform. We heard from Bank of America, which said that their survey data showed that industrials and financials, that actually drew the largest inflows last week, underscoring some of that investor appetite when it comes to these cyclical names with strong earnings momentum. And then what was the biggest outflow? That was consumer discretionary. So we're seeing this trade play out in real time. We talked to a few strategists about this bifurcation. Here's a little bit more of what they told us. I still think that we have a bit of a K-shaped economy. Uh maybe that's another similarity, like the meme stocks being all the rage again to what was happening in 2020, 2021, where you had this bifurcation. I think that we're having we have a bifurcated, uh, economy right now. Haves and have nots, both at the consumer level and at the stock level. The divergence between higher income and middle income and higher and lower income consumers is significant. That is what we're seeing in a very, very nuanced consumer market. This is a hyperpromotional environment to get people, especially lower income and lower middle income consumers to spend money, you have to be out promoting, you have to be out with deals. Yeah, so it's really interesting to see how this is playing out this earnings season, and the takeaway here is really that caution is rising around those lower income spenders, and until there's a bit more clarity on household demand, we may continue to see investors rotate into some of these higher income plays, at least for now, Josh.
Yahoo
13 minutes ago
- Yahoo
China's $733 Billion Warning: Why Investors Can't Ignore This Red Flag
China just posted a record-breaking 5.25 trillion yuan ($733 billion) budget deficit for the first half of the yeara 45% jump from the same period in 2024. Behind that number? A government pulling every fiscal lever it can to keep growth on track as exports to the US take a hit. While American tariffs remain elevatedroughly 30 percentage points higher than a year agoBeijing has doubled down on infrastructure and domestic spending to compensate for weakening external demand and a bruised property sector. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 9 Warning Signs with MSTR. So far, that strategy has bought time. GDP grew 5.3% in the first six months, running ahead of the government's full-year target. But under the surface, cracks are showing. Fiscal revenue fell 0.6% year-on-year, tax collections dropped 1.2%, and land salesa key source of fundingslipped another 6.5%. Meanwhile, total government spending rose 9% to nearly 19 trillion yuan, driven by capital-heavy projects and social support. For investors, that paints a mixed picture: growth is holding up, but the cost is rising fast. All eyes now turn to two events on the horizon: a high-level economic policy meeting in Beijing and fresh trade negotiations between Chinese and US officials. What happens next could shape the outlook not just for China's fiscal stance, but for any company exposed to cross-border flowsparticularly those like Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), which depend on both Chinese consumers and manufacturing capacity. If tariffs rise or growth slows, earnings leverage across sectors could swing hard in either direction. This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
Yahoo
13 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Trump Says U.S. Has ‘50-50 Chance' of Reaching Trade Deal With EU
President Trump arrived in Scotland to meet the U.K. and the European Union leaders, saying the U.S. has a 'good, 50-50 chance' to strike a trade deal with the EU. Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data
