
US stock market rallies as US–EU trade deal, Nvidia and Tesla gains lift S&P 500, Nasdaq to new highs while Dow lags
US stock market eyes pivotal breakout as a new U.S.–EU trade deal eases tariff tensions and lifts investor confidence at the start of a packed week. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq reached fresh highs, fueled by rising tech and energy stocks like Nvidia, Tesla, and Cheniere Energy. Meanwhile, the Dow held steady, reflecting cautious optimism ahead of major events. With the Federal Reserve interest rate decision, inflation data, and tech earnings on the horizon, investors are watching closely.
TIL Creatives The U.S. stock market opened the week with a cautiously optimistic tone as Wall Street reacted to a new trade agreement between the U.S. and the European Union. This positive development eased fears of a full-blown tariff war and gave investors some breathing room ahead of a week packed with major earnings reports, critical economic data, and a pivotal Federal Reserve meeting. While the S&P 500 and Nasdaq pushed to fresh highs thanks to gains in tech and energy stocks, the Dow remained mostly flat, reflecting a still-watchful market mood. US stock market today: trade deal optimism and big earnings week lift investor mood- The US stock market today started the week with cautious optimism as investors welcomed a new U.S.–EU trade agreement that eased tariff concerns and boosted global trade confidence. Major indexes like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq edged higher, driven by gains in technology, energy, and defense stocks, while the Dow Jones remained mostly flat. The deal, spearheaded by President Donald Trump, reduces transatlantic tariff tensions and opens the door for increased U.S. exports, particularly in the energy and defense sectors. This development came just ahead of what's shaping up to be a critical week on Wall Street, with mega-cap tech earnings, Federal Reserve decisions, and key economic data releases all lined up.
S&P 500 rose approximately 0.1% today, flirting with record territory as tech and energy stocks rallied.
rose approximately 0.1% today, flirting with record territory as tech and energy stocks rallied. Nasdaq Composite led the market higher with gains around 0.4%, driven by strong performance among AI-related and semiconductor names.
led the market higher with gains around 0.4%, driven by strong performance among AI-related and semiconductor names. Dow Jones Industrial Average was nearly unchanged, edging up just a few tenths of a percent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average opened slightly lower, slipping by about 0.1%, reflecting cautious sentiment as investors weighed the long-term impact of the trade accord. However, the S&P 500 rose about 0.14%, while the Nasdaq Composite gained around 0.3% to 0.4% in early trading. Both indices touched fresh record highs, signaling strong momentum in growth and tech-heavy sectors. Tech stocks were the clear winners of the morning session. Nvidia surged to a new all-time high, benefiting from the ongoing AI boom and anticipation around upcoming earnings. Tesla shares also rallied following news of a $16.5 billion AI chip partnership with Samsung, which strengthens Tesla's position in the autonomous vehicle and energy grid software space. Meanwhile, Apple, Amazon, and Meta—all scheduled to report earnings this week—traded higher as expectations built around strong revenue performance amid robust demand and ongoing AI integration into their ecosystems.
Nvidia (NVDA) – Surged on continued AI momentum and upcoming earnings. Tesla (TSLA) – Gained on a $16.5B AI chip partnership with Samsung. Apple (AAPL), Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT) – Big techs set to report earnings this week. Cheniere Energy (LNG), NextDecade (NEXT) – Benefiting from EU's $750B energy purchase deal. Lockheed Martin (LMT), RTX Corp. (RTX) – Defense stocks rally on EU import commitments. Nike (NKE) – Rose after JPMorgan upgraded the stock. The U.S.-EU trade deal included a significant commitment from Europe to purchase $750 billion worth of U.S. energy products. This sent stocks like Cheniere Energy and NextDecade soaring, as investors bet on a long-term export boom in liquefied natural gas (LNG) and related infrastructure. Defense contractors also saw a bump, with Lockheed Martin, RTX, and Northrop Grumman gaining ground. Analysts expect European nations to ramp up U.S. defense imports amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and shifting security policies. Even with the trade deal easing short-term tensions, market participants are bracing for a volatile week due to upcoming macroeconomic triggers. The Federal Reserve is set to announce its latest interest rate decision on Wednesday, with traders expecting the central bank to hold rates steady but offer clues on future easing. In addition, investors are closely watching the GDP growth figures, June PCE inflation report, consumer confidence index, and July jobs data, all of which could heavily influence near-term market direction and sentiment. Recent economic indicators suggest inflation is cooling steadily while consumer spending remains resilient. This dual effect is reinforcing a soft-landing narrative, which many on Wall Street are embracing with cautious optimism. Combined with strong quarterly earnings reports from key sectors like tech, finance, and healthcare, the market outlook for Q3 appears more stable than initially feared. However, some analysts warn that valuations remain stretched, especially in the technology space, and any miss in earnings or hawkish surprise from the Fed could quickly shift the tone. In individual stock movers, Nike shares rose nearly 4% after JPMorgan upgraded the company from 'neutral' to 'overweight.' The firm cited renewed momentum in international orders and improving margins in key regions such as Asia-Pacific and Europe. This upgrade sparked renewed interest in consumer discretionary stocks, which have underperformed in recent months due to inflation and inventory headwinds. While today's trade-driven bounce adds fuel to the recent rally, market participants are well aware that several risk events loom large. The U.S. economy is at a pivotal juncture—too much Fed tightening or disappointing economic data could derail the rally. On the other hand, signs of disinflation and strong corporate earnings could push the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to even higher highs. Investors are advised to watch key earnings (especially Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Alphabet), listen to Fed Chair Jerome Powell's tone, and monitor real-time macro releases to gauge short-term risks. Index Movement Notes Dow Jones -0.1% Slight dip; traders await Fed guidance S&P 500 +0.14% Near record highs; tech drives gains Nasdaq +0.35% New highs; AI and chip stocks rally Federal Reserve meeting – Interest rate decision (Wednesday) Apple, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft earnings – Critical tech results GDP growth rate – Q2 data to assess economic strength Core PCE index – Key inflation gauge the Fed watches July jobs report – Labor market health and wage trends These events have the potential to cause significant volatility across sectors, particularly in tech, financials, and consumer discretionary. Monday's early gains set a hopeful tone, but the week ahead will be a real test of investor conviction. The combination of a successful U.S.-EU trade agreement and strong earnings from key sectors could sustain bullish momentum. However, macro data and central bank commentary remain wild cards. In the short term, expect rotation between sectors—with tech, energy, and defense likely to remain strong performers—while rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and banking may tread cautiously. If the Fed confirms its rate-hiking pause and economic data supports the soft-landing scenario, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq could extend their record-setting runs into August. But any sign of economic weakness or Fed hawkishness could trigger swift pullbacks.
Q1: What is boosting the US stock market this week? The US-EU trade deal and upcoming tech earnings are lifting market sentiment.
Q2: Why are Nvidia and Tesla stock rising? Both stocks are up due to strong AI demand and Tesla's major chip deal.
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First Post
27 minutes ago
- First Post
How Trump's erratic behaviour strained most defining partnership of 21st century
US President Donald Trump announced on July 30, 2025, that a 25 per cent tariff on Indian goods—along with additional penalties over India's continued engagement with Russia—would take effect from August 1, 2025. In a striking contradiction, he simultaneously claimed to have concluded a trade and energy deal with Pakistan—India's traditional adversary. While India has no objection to such bilateral engagements between sovereign nations, Trump went a step further by stating, 'Who knows, maybe they'll be selling oil to India some day!' This wasn't merely an offhand comment—it was a calculated provocation. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD India and Pakistan are archrivals, and the idea of such dependence is not only unrealistic but also strategically unacceptable. By making such statements, Trump is not merely playing geopolitical games—he is striking at the heart of India's national security sensitivities and damaging a relationship that both countries have spent decades nurturing into a consequential partnership for the 21st century. Trump has consistently hyphenated India–Pakistan relations, weakening India's position on cross-border terrorism by boosting Pakistan's strategic confidence through repeated endorsements and by portraying both countries as equals. These actions have granted Pakistan undue strategic legitimacy, disregarding decades of US policy that sought to engage India as an independent and trusted strategic partner. His claim—repeated over 29 times—that he personally brokered a ceasefire between India and Pakistan has been unequivocally denied by top Indian officials, including Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Foreign Secretary Vikram Misri, External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar, and Defence Minister Rajnath Singh. By drawing false parallels and exaggerating his role, Trump has jeopardised India's core interests and eroded the trust carefully built by successive US administrations. A Diplomatic Liability Recently, India's Parliament witnessed a heated debate in which opposition leaders urged Prime Minister Modi to directly refute Donald Trump's repeated claims that he brokered the recent India–Pakistan ceasefire. But such directness is unlikely to yield results. Trump is not a leader who responds to logic or diplomacy. His erratic, impulsive, and reactive personality makes engagement unpredictable. Even if the Indian prime minister corrects him publicly, Trump may repeat the same claim in the evening—and again the next day. The problem lies in Washington, not New Delhi. This isn't a unique pattern. Trump turned against Elon Musk—a long-time supporter—after a minor disagreement, telling him to 'go back to South Africa' and threatening to revoke federal subsidies supporting Tesla and SpaceX. Notably, Musk was the largest individual donor to Trump's 2024 campaign, contributing between $250 million and $290 million to pro-Trump political action committees. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Despite this staggering support, Trump turned on him without hesitation—highlighting his transactional nature and readiness to discard even his most generous allies over personal slights. Similarly, Indian-American politician Vivek Ramaswamy had the foresight to distance himself from Trump early on—an act of pragmatism that likely spared him from similar treatment. Trump is not a conventional statesman. He governs through impulse-driven outbursts on Truth Social, his personal platform, bypassing standard diplomatic channels and norms. One cannot expect rational behaviour or consistency from someone so clearly erratic. Even when India's prime minister and foreign minister have privately countered his claims, Trump has continued repeating the same falsehoods, showing a complete disregard for diplomatic engagement. Undermining India's Core Sensitivities By equating India and Pakistan, Trump has granted Pakistan undeserved strategic legitimacy and confidence, despite its entrenched history of sponsoring terrorism against India. Recently, Pakistan's army chief, General Asim Munir, was hosted by Trump at a private luncheon at the White House—an extraordinary and rare gesture, especially considering that only a handful of Pakistani generals have ever received such treatment. Trump went on to lavish praise on Munir, calling him 'extremely influential in stopping the conflict from the Pakistan side' and crediting both Munir and Modi for preventing what he claimed could have escalated into a nuclear war. Adding to this, Centcom Commander General Michael Kurilla described Pakistan as 'a phenomenal partner in the counter-terrorism world,' blatantly ignoring its well-documented role in nurturing and exporting terrorist proxies. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD This repeated validation—through White House meetings, public praise, and exaggerated claims of Pakistan's counter-terrorism role—undermines India's diplomatic efforts to isolate state-sponsored terrorism. Praising a country that has itself sponsored terrorism against India is not only absurd but also adds insult to injury. Instead of backing India's fight, Trump's gestures have offered moral and strategic encouragement to Pakistan's military and political leadership—eroding the very trust that should define India–US strategic ties. Deliberate Provocation and Strategic Damage Trump's recent suggestion that India might import oil from Pakistan is not only absurd—it appears to be a deliberate attempt to provoke and humiliate. While this may be part of a broader negotiation tactic aimed at pushing India into a trade deal, the damage inflicted on bilateral relations is severe. Trump has thrown the India–US relationship into a Cold War–like deep freeze, eroding trust and mutual respect that had taken decades to build. This shift is not the result of India's foreign policy. The problem lies squarely with Trump. Unlike his predecessors—who operated with a sense of dignity, stability, and strategic foresight—Trump has pursued a chaotic, transactional approach that alienates allies and undermines shared interests. In one of his recent statements, Trump said: STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD 'I don't care if India is buying oil from Russia. I couldn't care less. Let them do whatever they want. They can take their dead economies down together for all I care.' Such a statement is not only undiplomatic—it reflects a complete disregard for the economic realities of global partnerships and disrespects a key strategic partner in the Indo-Pacific. Instead of reinforcing mutual interests, Trump has repeatedly chosen to antagonise, offend, and weaken the very relationship considered vital for regional balance and global stability and widely regarded as the defining partnership of the twenty-first century. Moreover, Trump's ignorance of India's crucial moderating role in Brics reveals his blindness to structural realities. India's presence in Brics has ensured the group remains a non-Western coalition rather than an anti-Western alliance. Without India, BRICS could have adopted an anti-dollar currency or an explicitly adversarial posture. But explaining such nuance to an impulsive and transactional US leadership seems futile. Trump is unable—or unwilling—to grasp the strategic logic of true partnerships. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Rebuilding Trust: A Long Road Ahead The trust deficit between India and the US has widened significantly. Even those in India who once firmly believed in the potential of the bilateral relationship now feel disillusioned. But India has weathered such storms before. After the 1998 nuclear tests, the United States imposed sanctions on India. Back in 1971, it had deployed the Seventh Fleet to the Bay of Bengal in an attempt to intimidate India during the Bangladesh Liberation War. India didn't bow down then—and it won't now. India will adapt and find its path, just as it has done in the past. As India's leadership has repeatedly stated, every step will be taken to secure national interest. However, the damage inflicted by Trump's erratic and impulsive leadership means that restoring faith in the relationship will take years, if not decades. Moving forward, we can expect a greater degree of scepticism and a likely recalibration of India's foreign policy posture—possibly including greater resistance to US alignment. STORY CONTINUES BELOW THIS AD Trump's presidency has sown the seeds of growing anti-American sentiment in Indian strategic circles. His words and actions—especially repeated endorsements of Pakistan and disregard for India's strategic concerns—have not just weakened the India–US partnership; they have dented the very idea of trust in global diplomacy. As The Economic Times recently noted, doubts over US reliability are once again taking root in Indian foreign policy circles, and that's a serious blow to what was once considered the defining partnership of the twenty-first century. Imran Khurshid is a visiting research fellow at the International Centre for Peace Studies, New Delhi. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely those of the author. They do not necessarily reflect Firstpost's views.


Mint
an hour ago
- Mint
Why India may not stop buying Russian oil amid US tariff threat: Explained
In a major setback for India, US President Donald Trump announced Thursday a 25% tariff on the import of Indian goods and an additional "penalty" for buying the "vast majority of their military equipment from Russia." Trump said India is Russia's "largest buyer of ENERGY, along with China, at a time when everyone wants Russia to STOP THE KILLING IN UKRAINE — ALL THINGS NOT GOOD!". He also cited "massive trade deficit with India" as the reason behind the high tariff rate of 25%. He added that US has 'done very little business with India, their Tariffs are too high, among the highest in the World.' But a day later, the US President informed that tariff talks with India are still on, raising hope of a respite. "I understand that India is no longer going to be buying oil from Russia. That's what I have heard. I don't know if that's right or not. That is a good step. We will see what happens...," he said on Thursday. There has been no official indication yet if India will stop buying oil from Russia. However, Indian government sources told Reuters on Saturday that India will keep purchasing oil from Russia, and there would be no immediate changes. Not giving in to Trump's pressure, these sources cited the following reasons for buying oil from Russia: 1. "These are long-term oil contracts," one of the sources said. "It is not so simple to just stop buying overnight," they added. 2. Justifying India's oil purchases from Russia, a second source said India's imports of Russian grades had helped avoid a global surge in oil prices, which have remained subdued despite Western curbs on the Russian oil sector. 3. "Unlike Iranian and Venezuelan oil, Russian crude is not subject to direct sanctions, and India is buying it below the current price cap fixed by the European Union," the source said. 4. Meanwhile, sources told news agency ANI that India's energy decisions have been guided by national interest but have also contributed positively to global energy stability. "India's purchases have remained fully legitimate and within the framework of international norms,' they added. 5. These sources said, 'Had India not absorbed discounted Russian crude combined with OPEC production cuts of 5.86 mb/d, global oil prices could have surged well beyond the March 2022 peak of US$137/bbl, intensifying inflationary pressures worldwide.' 6. Meanwhile, Randhir Jaiswal, the official spokesperson of the Ministry of External Affairs, said on August 1 shed light on India's energy sourcing requirements. "You are aware of our broad approach that we look at what is there available in the markets, what is there on offer, and also what is the prevailing global situation or circumstances," he said. India is the second-largest importer of Russian oil after China. According to the New York Times, Russia is currently the source of more than one-third of India's oil imports, up from less than 1 percent before the war. The NITI Aayog's April-June (q1 FY2025) report revealed that in Q1 FY25, India recorded significant y-o-y import growth with Russia (19.69%). India imported about 1.75 million barrels per day of Russian oil from January to June in 2025, up 1 percent from a year ago, according to data provided to Reuters by sources. Meanwhile, Trading Economics cited the United Nations COMTRADE database on international trade as revealing that India's imports from Russia of crude oil was US$52.73 billion during 2024. In 2023, Russia was among the top trading partners of India. According to Trend Economy, Russia contributed 26% (58 billion US$) to India's imports (of "Mineral fuels, mineral oils and products of their distillation; bituminous substances; mineral waxes). While India is among the top importers of Russia and China, the country is among the top exporters to the US. India remains a substantial exporter of refined petroleum products and other mineral fuels. "The primary destinations for these exports include the Netherlands, the United Arab Emirates, and the United States," Niti Aayog's report said. The USA is among the top importers of Indian goods, accounting for almost 33% of the total merchandise exports, according to NITI Aayog's report. It showed that the USA is India's top export destination in these categories: Minerals fuels & products, Natural or Cultured pearls, Electrical machinery & Equipment, Nuclear reactors, Pharmaceuticals products. NITI Aayog's April-June (q1 FY2025) report This contradicts Trump's 'little business with India' claim. The report also revealed that 'there is significant potential for Indian service exporters to expand their presence in major export markets such as the USA.' Tariffs are taxes imposed by a government (the US government in this case) on goods and services imported from other countries. They are simply an extra cost added to foreign products when they enter the country. Foreign goods get relatively more expensive, possibly driving up demand for domestic products. "Tariffs give a price advantage to locally produced goods over similar goods that are imported, and they raise revenues for governments," according to the World Trade Organization (WTO). However, some domestic industries may rely on imported materials and parts. In this case, the rise in prices of imported materials and parts would lead to face higher costs of production (by domestic producers). "If the domestic producers pass higher costs of production onto consumers, it will also push up prices of domestically produced goods," Oxford Economics explains. There's a possibility of lower export demand in the country (India) where the tariffs are imposed, since their goods have become relatively more expensive in the importing country (US).


Time of India
an hour ago
- Time of India
Trump's America First biodiesel policy could cost US companies, consumers, trade groups warn
The Trump administration's push to discourage the use of foreign feedstocks in domestic biodiesel could lead to higher energy prices for US consumers and restricted domestic production, according to some refining and biofuel trade groups. The warning reflects ongoing friction between President Donald Trump's Environmental Protection Agency and the administration's traditional allies in the energy and agriculture industries over biofuels policy. Trump has promised to slash consumer energy costs, but is also trying to advance his America First agenda to support domestic production through trade protectionism - which can often make costs go up instead. At issue is a proposal from the EPA in June that would for the first time allocate only half as many tradable renewable fuel credits to biodiesel that is either imported or made with foreign feedstocks. Under the Renewable Fuel Standard, refiners must blend large volumes of biofuels into the US fuel supply or purchase the credits, called RINs, from those that do. While meant to help domestic farmers and producers, the new proposal - set to be finalized this autumn - would place unprecedented demand on domestic raw materials needed to make biodiesel like soybean oil, used cooking oil, and animal fat, in a market that currently must look abroad to meet its needs. Meanwhile, restricting the number of RINs that can be generated through such imports will raise credit prices, with a potential spillover impact on diesel and home heating oil, according to the industry groups. "This credit restriction ... will jeopardize the economic viability of renewable fuel production assets and raise overall compliance costs for all obligated parties, which ultimately harms US consumers," Chet Thompson, head of the American Fuel and Petrochemical Manufacturers group representing refiners, said in a July 25 letter to top Republican lawmakers. The Advanced Biofuels Association also said the policy could mean ramped up consumer costs, by putting a $250 per metric ton premium on domestic versus imported feedstocks, according to a study it commissioned. "Economic analysis shows this would impose significant costs on US biorefineries, raise fuel prices for millions of Americans, and benefit only a narrow set of stakeholders," ABFA President Michael McAdams said in a statement. The White House and EPA declined to comment directly on the price concerns, saying the administration is still seeking public comment on the proposal until August 8. Others in the biofuel industry backed the proposal. "American farmers need all the demand they can get. We should be developing our capacity here, rather than relying on imported used cooking oil from China, or giving Brazilian feedstocks preferential treatment at the expense of US producers and their farm partners," said Emily Skor, CEO of Growth Energy. However, US companies such as ADM, Bunge and Cargill that have global assets and process US soy, as well as foreign companies with significant US operations, will likely see negative effects. That includes Australia's Nufarm , which contracts with farmers in South America to grow new oilseed crops. Uncertain numbers The biofuel industry had not been seeking the import shift in EPA's June proposal, according to multiple renewable fuel lobbyists and company officials. The White House has since held several meetings with industry officials to hear about potential unintended consequences of the changes, according to multiple sources. The EPA's proposal in June was meant to set out biofuel blending mandates for the next two years. It included a quota of 7.12 billion biomass-based diesel RINs for 2026 - a measurement of the number of tradable credits generated by blending the fuel - and projected that mandate would lead to the blending of 5.61 billion gallons. The biofuels industry and the American Petroleum Institute, an oil trade group, had banded together to lobby the administration to set biomass-based diesel mandates to at least 5.25 billion gallons. The mandate was just 3.35 billion gallons in 2025. Still, there are scenarios in the EPA's accounting that could lead to a lower volume outcome. If all the biodiesel and renewable diesel used in the US next year came from domestic feedstocks, for example, the RIN mandate would yield just 4.45 billion gallons, according to several industry analyses reviewed by Reuters. Ditching the penalty on imported feedstocks could help raise that number, according to the analyses. "That probably aligns with what the administration was trying to do in terms of supporting the agricultural side and farmers," said one industry analyst, who asked to remain anonymous to speak candidly.