
Americans' thoughts on Iran strikes and 10 years since Obergefell v. Hodges: Morning Rundown
Here's what to know today.
A new NBC News Decision Desk Poll powered by SurveyMonkey found that Donald Trump's call to launch airstrikes last weekend on several nuclear facilities in Iran has more opposition than support. According to the survey, 45% of U.S. adults oppose the airstrikes, versus 38% who support them. Another 18% of respondents said they neither support nor oppose the strikes.
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A closer look at the answers given by Republicans versus Democrats, however, shows less division. Among Republicans, 78% support the airstrikes, with 60% strongly supporting them. In a near-mirror image, 77% of Democrats oppose the airstrikes, with 61% strongly opposed.
There's a starker division among independents: 45% oppose the U.S. airstrikes, 21% support and 34% neither support nor oppose them.
The survey ran from Monday through Wednesday, after Trump had made the decision to launch the airstrikes on Saturday. But in the time the survey was in the field, Iran launched a retaliatory strike at a U.S. military site in Qatar, Trump announced a ceasefire and chastised both countries for appearing to break the terms. It's still unknown exactly what damage the strikes did to the Iranian nuclear program.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe said yesterday that new intelligence 'from a historically reliable and accurate source/method' indicated that Iran's nuclear program was 'severely damaged' in recent U.S. airstrikes. A day earlier, a leaked Defense Intelligence Agency initial assessment found the strikes set back Iran's program only by several months.
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Trump's diplomacy by social media has garnered renewed attention. His supporters are fine with his method for communicating with the world, but it carries a big risk.
Iran's exiled crown prince, Reza Pahlavi, is promoting a vision for a new Iran that prioritizes individual liberties, equality of 'all citizens' and the separation of religion and state. He's making his pitch for a regime change not from the streets of Tehran, but from a conference room in Paris.
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DOJ and Texas AG coordinated to kill the Texas Dream Act
A Texas law that gave undocumented immigrants in-state tuition was killed 'in six hours' after the Justice Department coordinated with Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, according to a recording obtained by NBC News. In the recording, Deputy Associate Attorney General Abhishek Kambli seemed to boast at a private Republican gathering earlier this month of the Trump administration's actions.
On June 4, the Justice Department sued Texas over the Texas Dream Act, then quickly filed a joint motion with Texas asking a judge to declare the law unconstitutional and permanently enjoin Texas from enforcing the law. The same day, the judge did.
A Justice Department spokesperson did not dispute Kambli made the statements and said it was 'pretty standard' for DOJ lawyers to notify state attorneys general of federal lawsuits ahead of time. Outside organizations, including Democracy Forward, the ACLU Foundation of Texas and the National Immigration Law Center, filed a motion this week arguing 'the United States and the Texas Attorney General colluded to predetermine the outcome of the case.' Read the full story here.
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NATO members voted to more than double their defense spending targets to 5% of GDP, acceding to a previous demand from Trump. Still, the president's unpredictability has caused anxiety among European leaders.
The bill for Trump's agenda proposes a crackdown on Medicaid reimbursements to health care providers, which could cost rural hospitals billions of dollars in funding. For people like Missouri resident Cierra Matthews, who credits Medicaid with saving her life, the cuts feel unfair.
Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s stance on vaccines loomed over a Senate confirmation hearing for Susan Monarez, Kennedy's pick to lead the CDC.
A federal vaccine panel newly appointed by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. said it plans to review the childhood vaccination schedule and scrutinize vaccines that have been approved for decades.
Some former employees of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration who were fired, rehired and fired again said they have received debt notices to pay the government back for health care coverage they never had.
Democrats' New York state of mind
A 33-year-old progressive overtook a former governor and scion of a New York political dynasty. And it has put the Democratic Party on notice. Zohran Mamdani's ascension in the primary election for New York City mayor over Andrew Cuomo was a massive shot in the arm for progressives and other Democrats who have been imploring their party's elder statesmen to step aside for a new generation of leaders.
The full results of the ranked choice election will not be known until next week, but early data shows Mamdani defied polling expectations and appealed to a unique coalition of voters through a combination of his on-the-ground campaigning and social media presence.
Democratic congressional leaders Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer, both from New York, put out statements congratulating Mamdani, but they didn't explicitly call for the party to fall in line behind him. Other New York Democrats put out statements saying he's too extreme. Meanwhile, David Hogg, a former Democratic National Committee official who has supported primary challengers against long-serving Democrats, said in a statement: 'The people have spoken — and they're saying that the establishment is cooked.'
Mamdani still has a general election to win, but as far as many progressives are concerned, his primary feat was itself a major victory. Read the full story here.
More coverage of the New York City election:
Supporters of ranked choice voting say the system incentivizes candidates to throw their support behind one another. Critics say it's confusing, time consuming and will sow more confusion in elections. Nonetheless, its use in this week's election has reopened a national debate.
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Several Iranian asylum-seekers in Los Angeles have been arrested recently by immigration officials, and one woman experienced a severe panic attack after she witnessed her husband's arrest.
Cooper Flagg was taken No. 1 in the NBA Draft by the Dallas Mavericks. Beyond that, here are the biggest surprises and other takeaways from the first day of the draft.
An attorney representing rapper Fat Joe's former hype man was accused of hitting a process server with his car in New York City amid an ongoing legal battle.
A social media fitness influencer known as the 'Liver King' was arrested in Texas after posting messages online 'picking a fight' with podcaster Joe Rogan.
Staff Pick: 10 years later, Jim Obergefell says the same-sex marriage fight isn't over
A year ago, recognizing the approaching 10th anniversary of the landmark Obergefell v. Hodges ruling, I decided to try to speak with Jim Obergefell, the lead plaintiff. I was aiming to gather his reflections on a decade of nationwide same-sex marriage rights. By October, I had secured a tentative interview with him.
However, as the actual anniversary neared, neither Jim nor I anticipated the palpable fear that would grip the LGBTQ community. What began as a retrospective on marriage equality evolved to include efforts in several states to overturn those rights. It became clear that the story was no longer just about Jim celebrating a past victory. It grew to include his ongoing fight to honor his late husband by trying to secure for the country the rights they so desperately wanted for themselves. — Steven Romo, correspondent
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The Independent
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- The Independent
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The Independent
41 minutes ago
- The Independent
Trump has suggested Ukraine swap land with Russia – but that's illegal
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The current situation in Ukraine Russia occupies about a fifth of Ukraine, from the country's northeast to the Crimean Peninsula, which was annexed illegally in 2014. The front line is vast and cuts across six regions — the active front stretches for at least 1,000 kilometres (680 miles) — but if measured from along the border with Russia, it reaches as far as 2,300 kilometres (1,430 miles). Russia controls almost all of the Luhansk region and almost two-thirds of Donetsk region, which together comprise the Donbas, as the strategic industrial heartland of Ukraine is called. Russia has long coveted the area and illegally annexed it in the first year of the full-scale invasion, even though it did not control much of it at the time. Russia also partially controls more than half of the Kherson region, which is critical to maintain logistical flows of supplies coming in from the land corridor in neighboring Crimea, and also parts of the Zaporizhzhia region, where the Kremlin seized Europe's largest nuclear power plant. Russian forces also hold pockets of territory in Kharkiv and Sumy regions in northeastern Ukraine, far less strategically valuable for Moscow. Russian troops are gaining a foothold in the Dnipropetrovsk region. These could be what Moscow is willing to exchange for land it deems more important in Donetsk, where the Russian army has concentrated most of its effort. 'There'll be some land swapping going on. I know that through Russia and through conversations with everybody. To the good, for the good of Ukraine. Good stuff, not bad stuff. Also, some bad stuff for both,' Mr Trump said on Monday. Ukrainian forces are still active in the Kursk region inside Russia, but they barely hold any territory there, making it not as potent a bargaining chip as Kyiv's leaders had probably hoped when they launched the daring incursion across the border last year. Swapping Ukrainian controlled territory in Russia, however minuscule, will likely be the only palatable option for Kyiv in any land swapping scenario. Conceding land risks another invasion Surrendering territory would see those unwilling to live under Russian rule to pack up and leave. Many civilians have endured so much suffering and bloodshed since pro-Moscow forces began battling the Ukrainian military in the east in 2014 and since the full-scale invasion in 2022. From a military standpoint, abandoning the Donetsk region in particular would vastly improve Russia's ability to invade Ukraine again, according to the Washington-based think tank Institute for the Study of War. Bowing to such a demand would force Ukraine to abandon its 'fortress belt' the main defensive line in Donetsk since 2014, "with no guarantee that fighting will not resume', the institute said in a recent report. The regional defensive line has prevented Russia's efforts to seize the region and continues to impede Russia's efforts to take the rest of the area, ISW said. Ukraine's constitution poses a major challenge to any deal involving a land swap because it requires a nationwide referendum to approve changes to the country's territorial borders, said Ihor Reiterovych, a politics professor in the Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv. 'Changes in territorial integrity can be done only by the decision of the people — not the president, the cabinet of ministers or the parliament can change it,' he said. 'In the constitution it is written that only by referendum can changes to Ukraine's territory be conducted.' If during negotiations Mr Zelensky agrees to swap territory with Russia, "in the same minute he will be a criminal because he would be abandoning the main law that governs Ukraine', Mr Reiterovych said. Mr Trump said he was 'a little bothered' by Mr Zelensky's assertion over the weekend that he needed constitutional approval to cede to Russia the territory that it captured in its unprovoked invasion. 'I mean, he's got approval to go into a war and kill everybody, but he needs approval to do a land swap?' Mr Trump added. 'Because there'll be some land swapping going on. I know that through Russia and through conversations with everybody.' Mr Zelensky is still trying to regain the people's trust that was damaged when he reversed course on a law that would have diminished the independence of Ukraine's anti-corruption watchdogs. The move was a red line for those citizens who are protective of the country's institutions and are suspicious of certain members of Mr Zelensky's inner circle. Freezing the conflict seems a lesser evil for Ukraine Analysts like Mr Reiterovych dismiss a land swap as a distraction. Freezing the conflict along the current front line is the only option Ukrainians are willing to accept, he said, citing recent polls. This option would also buy time for both sides to consolidate manpower and build up their domestic weapons industries. Ukraine would require strong security guarantees from its Western partners to deter future Russian aggression, which Kyiv believes is inevitable. Still, freezing the conflict will also be difficult for Ukrainians to accept. Along with the illegal annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the partial occupation of Luhansk and Donetsk after that, it would require accepting that the Ukrainian military is not able to retake lost territories militarily. Kyiv accepted its inability to retake these territories but never formally recognised them as Russian. A similar scenario could unfold in the new regions taken by Russian forces. It also is not a viable long-term solution. 'It is the lesser evil option for everyone and it will not provoke protests or rallies on the streets,' Mr Reiterovych said.


The Guardian
42 minutes ago
- The Guardian
Leaders in frantic phone diplomacy with Trump ahead of Putin summit on Ukraine
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