Why drafting Josh Allen too early in Fantasy Football 2025 could hurt overall value
Josh Allen's fantasy value demands a closer look (Image via: Getty Images)
The 2025 NFL season is approaching fast, and fantasy football drafts are already underway. Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen is fresh off an MVP season and continues to be a hot name on draft boards.
But while Allen's real-world talent is unquestioned, fantasy experts caution managers not to reach for him too early this year.
Josh Allen is an elite QB but is he a must-draft in Round 2?
There's no denying Josh Allen's value on the field. He's a dual-threat quarterback with elite arm strength, red-zone efficiency, and the ability to turn broken plays into big gains. In real football, he's a dream. But in fantasy football, numbers tell a different story and experts say it's time to hit the brakes.
According to Bleacher Report's Gary Davenport, there's reason to pause before making Allen an early fantasy selection. Despite Allen's MVP campaign, he didn't even reach 4,000 passing yards in 2024—the first time since 2019. His fantasy value was salvaged by over 500 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns, allowing him to finish fourth among quarterbacks in fantasy scoring.
Currently, Allen is being drafted in the middle of Round 2 in many 2025 fantasy drafts.
That's a critical zone typically dominated by elite running backs or wide receivers—positions that lack the depth found at quarterback. Using such high draft capital on a quarterback, even one as dynamic as Allen, often means missing out on game-changing talent at more scarce positions.
Fantasy football success hinges on value and depth. While Allen is capable of putting up monster weeks, quarterbacks like Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, or a fully healthy Joe Burrow offer similar upside at a significantly lower draft cost.
Waiting for one of those options allows for a stronger overall roster and minimizes risk if a player underperforms or misses time.
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Brittany Mahomes drops fiery reaction to Patrick Mahomes' offseason move with KC Current
The fantasy football landscape continues to evolve, but one rule stays constant—championships are won with smart decisions, not flashy names. Josh Allen remains one of the NFL's most thrilling and consistent quarterbacks, but the fantasy game requires careful calculation. Drafting him too early could result in an unbalanced roster and missed chances at long-term success.
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