Cloud-seeding must weather 'rampant' misinformation storm, expert warns

The National

28-01-2025

Cloud-seeding is a crucial tool in securing new supplies of freshwater, the process "100 per cent works" and it can help bolster water security, a leading US expert has told The National. Kala Golden, cloud-seeding programme manager for the state of Idaho, was speaking on the sidelines of the International Rain Enhancement Forum in Abu Dhabi on Tuesday, and highlighted studies which found how effective it can be. However, she warned that more research was needed, while misinformation about seeding is running rampant and needs to be tackled. Idaho is a landlocked, mountainous state in the western US where water use is driven largely by agriculture and, unlike the UAE which tries to generate more rain, the state is trying to encourage more snowfall. 'We're seeing declining snowpacks and earlier melt-off, which is detrimental for our agriculture industries,' Ms Golden told The National. 'What's the solution? Where are you going to get more water?" Ms Golden said. "You can't build a pipeline because it's not cost-effective and we're not near an ocean so you can't truck it in because of the quantities of water we use – cloud-seeding is the only mechanism we have to bring more water to our state. The state's programme runs through the winter and tries to bolster snowfall in its basins, from where Idaho gets much of its water. When asked if seeding was effective, she said '100 per cent'. She drew attention to a 2017 study in Idaho that captured on radar an unnatural zigzag pattern from an aircraft during a seeding mission. 'As this aircraft was seeding, it was generating ice and they were able to measure the ice reflectivity from radar scans and quantify some of it,' she said. 'This one image is largely what we consider the 'holy grail' in wintertime seeding. The impact from that research was monumental. Cloud-seeding really just started to blow up across the western US because of that.' Ms Golden said more studies were needed but some pinpointed increases in precipitation of up to 15 per cent. The Idaho programme uses silver iodide rather than salt, which is what the UAE largely uses, but the aim is the same. 'I like to tell people is that we're wringing more water out of the sky," Ms Golden said. "We just do it in the form of snow because, where we live, snowpack is our primary water storage. More snow means more water run-off.' Ms Golden's comments came on the first day of a conference that, over the next few days, will feature scores of experts from across the world discussing weather modification and water security. The role of artificial intelligence in seeding was a major talking point on the first day but conversations also took place on water scarcity and security. It is the seventh International Rain Enhancement Forum and the UAE's cloud-seeding programme, which Ms Golden described as a "global example", has been around since the 1990s. "More countries could learn from them and their advancements, and their willingness to collaborate and to support global water security,' she said. One challenge Ms Golden flagged up was an increase in misinformation and disinformation in the past few years, fuelled largely by social media. 'We've had accusations that we're starting hurricanes or controlling floods [or creating] chemtrails," she said. 'I think that really draws attention to the fact there is a lot of misinformation." Seeding efforts have also been challenged by some who say it amounts to overinterference with natural processes. Ms Golden says she has heard this criticism but highlights other interventions such as building dams. 'That's messing with the natural system,' she said, "there's lots of other examples. The biggest concerns we hear about are health concerns, which we feel like aren't warranted," she said, stating the programme disperses a small amount of silver iodide. "It is unlikely that it could ever accumulate into an amount that could be detrimental ... but trying to communicate that to the public and help them understand that has been an uphill battle." She also said politics can come into the arena. Only last year the state of Tennessee banned "geoengineering", including seeding. 'It's sort of a dangerous precedent – cloud-seeding aside – I feel, to be considering or setting policy without science and factually based information, but cloud-seeding is where we're seeing that happening right now." The gathering in Abu Dhabi is being hosted by the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) through its UAE Research Programme for Rain Enhancement Science. Since that project was established in 2015, it has awarded Dh82.6 million ($22.5 million) in grants to researchers around the world. A new cycle of awards was launched on Monday, with researchers having until March 20, 2025, to submit their proposals. Grants of Dh5.5 million for up to three winning project proposals are on offer, with those successful being announced next year. 'The people here will push the science of cloud-seeding forward,' said Dr Abdulla Al Mandous, director general at the NCM. "The benefit from this gathering is for the whole world." The forum continues in Abu Dhabi until Thursday.