GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (ICLTF) Q1 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Tariff ...
Release Date: May 14, 2025
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (ICLTF) reported a positive EBITDA of $5.1 million and a net income of $920,000 for Q1 2025, marking an improvement from the previous quarter.
The company benefited from higher lumber prices, which helped absorb potential tariff risks.
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (ICLTF) maintained a strong balance sheet with excess liquidity of $51.4 million, including both revolving and equipment portions of their credit facility.
The company successfully delivered $9.1 million in incremental EBITDA through operational improvements in 2024 and identified approximately $8 million in non-CapEx efficiency gains for 2025.
The repair and remodeling market segment remains strong, driven by increased home equity, aging housing stock, and favorable homeowner investment trends.
Shipment and production were lower than expected due to tariff uncertainties and winter-related disruptions in Northern Ontario.
The potential increase in combined duty rates from 14.4% to 34.45% could impact end consumers and increase housing costs in the US.
The lumber market experienced a decline in prices towards the end of Q1 2025, indicating potential volatility.
GreenFirst Forest Products Inc (ICLTF) faced reduced demand due to housing affordability challenges caused by elevated mortgage rates.
The company had to temporarily pause major capital initiatives to preserve a strong balance sheet in anticipation of potential economic headwinds.
Warning! GuruFocus has detected 1 Warning Sign with ICLTF.
Q: Can you speak to the high levels of inventory currently being held at the end of the quarter? Are you seeing any demand concerns from buyers due to this potential increase in duty and tariff? A: (Joel Fournier, CEO) Our raw material inventory increased by $23 million from Q4 2024, aligning with our expectations due to seasonal harvesting. Economic uncertainty led to a temporary increase in lumber inventory by $10 million, but we expect a decrease during Q2.
Q: Pricing has started to decline towards the back half of the quarter. Can you talk about what you are seeing in demand right now, both on the repair and remodeling side and new residential construction? A: (Joel Fournier, CEO) The average price was $492 per 1,000 US for Q1, currently at $437 per 1,000. US housing starts showed resilience, and the repair and remodeling market remains strong, driven by increased home equity and aging housing stock.
Q: How confident are you in executing your $50 million CapEx plan with the current capital allocation and balance sheet strength? A: (Peter Ferrante, CFO) We are taking a prudent approach, focusing on selective initiatives like the new saw line at the holo location. Our balance sheet is strong, with excess liquidity of $51.4 million, allowing us to manage our capital projects effectively.
Q: What are the company's thoughts on the recently announced duty increase from 14.4% to 34.45% for Canadian shipments to the US? What will be the impact on the business? A: (Michel Lessard, President) The increased duty rate is concerning, but historically, costs have been passed to end customers, increasing US housing costs. We hope for a resolution before the new tariffs take effect.
Q: What is the company's position on the timing for resolution of the US Department of Commerce under Section 232 investigation? A: (Michel Lessard, President) The investigation is expected to be completed by November 2025. We are not paying additional tariffs beyond current duties and hope the report will show Canadian lumber is not a threat to US national security.
For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript.
This article first appeared on GuruFocus.
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Yahoo
33 minutes ago
- Yahoo
Avanti Feeds Ltd (BOM:512573) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth Amid ...
Release Date: June 07, 2025 For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. Avanti Feeds Ltd (BOM:512573) reported a significant increase in gross income for Q4 FY25, reaching 1,435 crores, up from 1,320 crores in Q4 FY24, marking an 8.7% increase. The company's PBT for Q4 FY25 increased by 40% compared to Q4 FY24, driven by higher revenue and reduced raw material costs. The shrimp exports for FY25 increased by 7.5% compared to FY24, with expectations to reach 17,000 MT in FY26. The company is diversifying its market presence by expanding into other regions like Japan and the EU to reduce dependency on the US market. Avanti Feeds Ltd's pet care division has successfully launched its cat food product, with plans to introduce dog food, indicating potential growth in a new market segment. The company faces challenges from fluctuating raw material prices, particularly for fishmeal and soybean meal, which can impact profitability. The imposition of countervailing duties and reciprocal tariffs by the US has affected the profitability of shrimp exports. Despite increased sales, the PBT for the shrimp processing division decreased due to higher ocean freight rates and depreciation from new plant investments. The company's reliance on the US market, which accounts for a significant portion of its shrimp exports, exposes it to geopolitical and trade-related risks. The pet care division is currently in its initial stages, with high promotional and brand establishment costs, which may impact short-term profitability. Warning! GuruFocus has detected 2 Warning Signs with BOM:512573. Q: What is the current demand scenario for shrimp feed in the market? A: The demand is expected to remain similar to last year, around 12 lakh metric tons per annum. (Unidentified_2) Q: How is Avanti Feeds projecting its FY26 feed consumption? A: The feed consumption is projected to be slightly more than 5 lakh metric tons, potentially reaching around 5.5 lakh metric tons. (Unidentified_2) Q: How does the competitive pricing of Indian shrimp compare to Ecuador and other Asian countries, considering current tariffs and duties? A: India faces higher duties compared to Ecuador but fares similarly to other Asian countries when considering the entire tariff structure. However, India has an advantage in producing value-added products that Ecuador does not. (Unidentified_8) Q: What are the expectations for Q1 margins, given that Q1 is traditionally strong for Avanti Feeds? A: The company expects to maintain profitability levels similar to last year, assuming raw material prices remain stable. However, a recent price cut in feed due to reciprocal tariffs may impact margins. (Unidentified_2) Q: How is Avanti Feeds addressing the volatility in the US market due to tariffs? A: The company is actively diversifying its market presence beyond the US to reduce dependency and mitigate volatility. The US market share has already decreased from 83% to about 70%. (Unidentified_8) For the complete transcript of the earnings call, please refer to the full earnings call transcript. This article first appeared on GuruFocus. Sign in to access your portfolio

Miami Herald
3 hours ago
- Miami Herald
Trade, inflation fears will grab limelight
There are several economic reports worth looking at this week, but pay closer attention to two economic events. One will come from London. The other comes Friday from Michigan. Get $100 off TheStreet Pro - our best deal of the summer won't last long! Your portfolio will thank you Both events can cause investors to buy or sell stocks, bonds or even houses. Futures trading Sunday evening suggests stocks will open modestly lower on Monday. In between are two inflation reports probably that will probably paint a benign inflation picture - for now. Related: Markets start to gear up for summer drama The London event is the meeting between U.S. and Chinese trade officials trying to hammer out a workable tariff deal. It's not clear if anything major will come from the meeting, but one can hope. The last time there were talks, the two sides agreed on May 21 to come to an agreement on the issues in 90 days. That would mean by Aug. 11. But little has happened since, and the Trump Administration is getting impatient. The U.S, team will include Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer. China's team will be led by Vice Premier He Lifeng. At the time of their first meeting in Switzerland in May, the Chinese were charging 125% tariffs on U.S. goods. The U.S. had imposed 145% in tariffs on Chinese goods. Related: Scott Galloway sends blunt message to Elon Musk After the May meeting, the tariffs on Chinese goods were dropped to an average 51%. The Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods were dropped to an average 32.6%. (Sounds reasonable, but they could wipe out a retailer's annual profit.) Complicating matters is China produces 90 % of rare earth metals, important materials for use in electric vehicles and other products work. And the country is now holding back on export licenses so non-Chinese companies can buy the materials. Without the rare earths, assembly lines could shut down. It sounds dull but isn't. China is a major source of everything from semiconductors and auto parts to Apple (AAPL) iPhones. Oh, and let's not forget: Most toys made for the holiday season are produced in China. If the London meeting goes badly, financial markets could swoon again. After President Trump announced the U.S. tariff proposals on April 3, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index fell 10.5% in two days. Stocks soared on the decision to negotiate. On April 8, the S&P 500 was down as much as 15.3% for 2025. It's now up 2% on the year. Related: Veteran investor makes surprising Fed rate call after jobs report Friday's event is the first cut of the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment Survey for June. (The second comes out at month's end.) The Michigan survey has been avidly followed this year because it suggests extreme worries about the economy, inflation and tariffs. And its findings, optimistic or rotten, have moved markets. The criticism of the survey is that it generates soft data - basically irrational one-off reactions compared with data based on statistics that have shelf life. Fair enough. But the survey and the Conference Board's Confidence Index grab National Federation of Business will release its own confidence index on Tuesday. Its members have complained for most of the year that the Trump Tariff proposals are making business planning impossible. So, while many businesses are holding on to workers, they're being very cautious on spending for, say, new plant and equipment. Thursday's Initial Jobless Claims report may be concerning. It's been rising in the last few weeks. This past week, the claims estimate climbed to 247,000, up from 239,000 the week before. No one wants to see jobless rates climb, least of all the Trump Administration. In truth, the gains over the last year have been on a slow drift higher. Nothing, in fact, like the first week of April 2020, during the Covid-19 pandemic, when 6.1 million people were laid off in a week. More Personal Finance: Denmark raises retirement age to 70 – Could Social Security be next?Dave Ramsey sends strong message on Social Security, 401(k)sBuffett's Berkshire predicts major housing market shift soon The two inflation reports are widely watched and discussed and will be again this week. The odds the reports won't change the inflation picture the inflation changing much. The Consumer Price Index comes out at 8:30 on Wednesday. The report from the Labor Department is likely to show a 0.2% change in prices from April to May and a 2.3% change year over year. That's unchanged from April. Stripping out energy and food prices, the one-month change is likely to be 0.2% and the year-over-year change holding steady at 2.8%, the same as in April. Related: Surprising Trump, Musk rift worsens a huge Tesla problem The index is built to estimate what's happening to prices for stuff and services consumers buy. During the winter, it showed that egg prices rose during the winter as bird flu invaded many poultry farms. But in April, egg prices fell. Look for indications tariffs are affecting consumer prices. You may see signs in costs for apparel, new and used cars, and meat. At 8:30 a.m. on Thursday, the BLS's Producer Price Index comes out. This measures the selling prices producers get for goods and services. It may show a 0.5% decline month to month but a 2.4% increase year over year. The core estimates are down 0.1% month-to-month and 2.9% year-over-year. Are these bad numbers? The Federal Reserve thinks so because the central bank wants U.S. inflation at no more than 2%. President Trump thinks the numbers are fine because he wants the Fed to cut interest rates. He has sort of a point: It would take prices rising at 2.9% a year about 24 years to double. Remember when the CPI year-over-year change briefly hit 9% in the summer of 2022? Sustained Inflation that high a rate would double prices in 7.5 years. But that would create its own problems, wouldn't it? Related: Veteran fund manager who predicted April rally updates S&P 500 forecast The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.

Miami Herald
2 days ago
- Miami Herald
Costco goes bananas to protect members from tariffs
As a general rule, it's a good idea for retailers to offer outstanding customer service. But Costco takes that concept a step further than most. Costco is known not only for its extremely competitive prices, but also for one of the most flexible return policies in all of retail. Buy something you don't like or whose quality isn't up to par, and with very few exceptions, you can bring it back for a full refund at any time. Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter Costco does other things to offer great value to members. It keeps a close eye on its inventory, while aiming to introduce new products from which customers can benefit. Related: Costco plans new checkout option members should love And you can bet that Costco keeps tabs on prices, too. The warehouse club giant prides itself on offering unbeatable deals. Those extend to everything from groceries to household essentials to electronics. Even though the tariff situation is still evolving, it has retailers spooked across the board. Many retailers rely on foreign trade partners to source goods. And they know that if tariffs drive the cost of goods upward, they're going to have to pass at least some of that increase onto consumers. Related: Costco quietly drops popular product, saddens fans Unfortunately, consumers can't afford to be paying more at the register at a time when inflation is still a problem. So it's a tough situation overall. Recently, Walmart CEO Doug McMillon acknowledged that the company might have to raise prices in response to tariffs. Even though he noted that Walmart would do its best to avoid tariff-related increases, he owned up to the fact that the company probably would not be able to absorb all of the extra costs on its own. If a giant like Walmart is sounding tariff warnings, you can bet that smaller retailers will be looking at raising prices, too. They may simply have no choice. While many retailers are sounding alarms on tariffs, Costco is doing the opposite. During the company's most recent earnings call, the Costco leadership team reassured investors that it had the tariff situation under control. "We're remaining agile as a situation with tariffs evolves," CEO Ron Vachris said. "As an example of this, during the third quarter, we rerouted many goods sourced from countries with large tariff exposure to our non-U.S. markets." Related: Costco brings back food court favorite, but members aren't happy In addition to moving goods strategically, Costco also intentionally held prices steady on key grocery items, even if that meant eating into profits. During that same last earnings call, CFO Gary Millerchip called out two such items – pineapples and bananas. "We felt it was important to really eliminate the impact there for the member," Millerchip explained. "We essentially held the price on those to make sure that we're protecting the member." In addition to keeping prices steady on key produce items, Costco also lowered prices on essential items like butter, eggs, and olive oil, Millerchip said. More Retail: Walmart CEO sounds alarm on a big problem for customersTarget makes a change that might scare Walmart, CostcoTop investor takes firm stance on troubled retail brandWalmart and Costco making major change affecting all customers To be fair, Costco isn't just holding and lowering prices out of the goodness of its heart. The company relies on membership fees for a huge chunk of its revenue. So Costco is invested in making members happy by keeping prices as stable as possible. But regardless of the company's motives for keeping prices low, Costco members still benefit. And at a time when so many retailers may be looking at price increases, Costco's commitment to shielding members from tariffs can't be overlooked. Maurie Backman owns shares of Costco. Related: Walmart makes surprise cuts as it looks at tariff price hikes The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.