Pakistan sees tax-to-GDP ratio hitting 10.6% by June as reform efforts continue
Pakistan's tax-to-GDP ratio, one of the lowest in the region, stood at around 8.8% in fiscal year 2023-24. Finance Minister Muhammad Aurangzeb has repeatedly warned that such low levels of revenue mobilization are unsustainable and pose long-term risks to fiscal stability.
Aurangzeb shared the projection while briefing representatives of Standard & Poor's Global Ratings as part of Pakistan's ongoing sovereign ratings review.
'The Finance Minister presented a detailed overview of the government's macroeconomic reform agenda and reaffirmed Pakistan's commitment to achieving sustainable and inclusive economic growth by enhancing productivity and promoting exports,' the finance ministry said in a statement after the meeting.
He said Pakistan's external portfolio was well-managed, with foreign exchange reserves projected to reach $14 billion by the end of June.
'He further stated that the tax-to-GDP ratio was expected to reach 10.6 percent by the end of June, which would mark progress toward the government's target of raising it to 13 percent by the conclusion of the 37-month Extended Fund Facility (EFF) with the International Monetary Fund (IMF),' the statement said.
Pakistan has taken several steps to improve revenue collection, including the automation of processes at the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), the operationalization of the National Tax Council and the imposition of agricultural income tax.
It has also separated the Tax Policy Office from the FBR to better align tax policymaking with broader economic goals.
Aurangzeb also highlighted recent surpluses in both the primary balance and the current account, along with falling inflation and current account deficit figures, which he said were contributing to improved economic fundamentals.
During last month's IMF-World Bank Spring Meetings in Washington, the Pakistani finance chief held over 70 engagements with rating agencies, development finance institutions, investors and think tanks.
The government also maintains the international community broadly supports Pakistan's reform agenda, as it tries to maintain its overall economic momentum.
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