
Oil prices slip as investors weigh trade war impact
Prices have seesawed in a tight range, as signs of steady demand from an increase in travel during the Northern Hemisphere summer have competed with concerns that U.S. tariffs on trading partners will slow economic growth and fuel consumption.
Brent crude futures fell 63 cents, or 0.9%, to $68.08 a barrel by 1150 GMT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 69 cents, or 1%, to $65.83.
U.S. President Donald Trump has threatened a 30% tariff on imports from the European Union from August 1, a level European officials say is unacceptable and would end normal trade between two of the world's largest markets.
Oil eases as Trump's 50-day deadline for Russia reduces supply fears
The European Commission is preparing to target 72 billion euros ($84.1 billion) worth of U.S. goods for possible tariffs if talks with Washington to reach a trade agreement fail.
Trump also said on Monday that the United States will impose 'very severe tariffs' on Russia in 50 days if there is no deal to stop the war in Ukraine.
'The latest U.S. salvo towards Russia failed to reignite fears of sustained supply disruption, and as a result, oil continued to drift lower yesterday,' PVM oil analyst Tamas Varga said in a note.
An improved demand outlook from China limited losses, however.
Chinese state-owned refiners are ramping up production after completing maintenance to meet higher third-quarter fuel demand and to rebuild diesel and gasoline stocks which are at multi-year lows, traders and analysts said.
'A potential peak in Chinese oil demand often comes up in conversations, but we think the concerns are likely overdone, as a closer look suggests demand is resilient,' Barclays said in a note on Wednesday.
The bank estimates that Chinese oil demand grew by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) year-on-year in the first half of the year to 17.2 million bpd.
Meanwhile, OPEC's monthly report on Tuesday forecast that the global economy would do better in the second half of the year, boosting the oil demand outlook.
Brazil, China and India are exceeding expectations while the U.S. and EU are recovering from last year, it added.
U.S. crude, distillate and gasoline stocks rose last week, market sources said, citing American Petroleum Institute figures on Tuesday.
Crude stocks rose by 839,000 barrels in the week ended July 11, the sources said. Gasoline inventories rose by 1.93 million barrels and distillate stocks rose by 828,000 barrels, they added.
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Express Tribune
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Listen to article India and the United States seem to have hit an unending argument over tariffs. The brinkmanship, however, is on the part of White House as President Trump has honed an attitude of pushing his allies and adversaries to the wall as he goes on to negotiate new trade concessions. Trump's new-found irksomeness with Russia, after a brief episode of cordiality, is at the crux of policymaking as the White House incumbent wants to penalise every state that indulges in profitable business with Moscow. Trump's decision to slap 50% tariffs on imports from Delhi, doubled from 25%, as a penalty for oil imports from Russia is likely to dip their bilateralism to lowest ebbs. India is also being blamed for fuelling the war in Ukraine, and for outsourcing Russian oil to destinations in Europe. In a rejoinder, Delhi says that its purchases from Russia have helped stabilise oil prices by easing the pressure on supplies from other regions. Trump's new contention, nonetheless, is that India should offer "zero tariff" for US goods import into India, and this is literally an unworkable equation. Thus, the standoff is graduating into one of the biggest trade brawls at a time when the US administration has not been able to settle down with China, Canada and major European partners over tariffs and concessions. Pakistan, apparently, was smart enough to get away with 19% tariffs — a rolled-down equation in adverse circumstances. This singling out of India is likely to have an impact in strategic terms with the US, as Delhi has no choice but to stick to its oil imports from Russia that account for one-third of its consumption. Will this jeopardise the special relationship Trump and Indian PM Narendra Modi were eager to strike in South Asia in terms of containing China is anybody's guess. India would be better advised to value regionalism, and open new vistas of cooperation with Beijing as well as Islamabad. There is a lot in geo-economics to share, and India's attitude of segregation is costing connectivity and prosperity in the region.


Express Tribune
3 hours ago
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Business Recorder
4 hours ago
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