Country still an attractive investment destination
Hong Leong Investment Bank Research (HLIB Research) is optimistic Malaysia can negotiate a lower tariff level than the 25% announced by the White House effective before the Aug 1 deadline date.
However, it said even if the tariff rate was to remain at the current level, the country will remain an attractive investment destination among foreign investors despite Vietnam (20% tariffs) and Indonesia (19% tariffs) having successfully negotiated a lower tariff rate.
'The gaps are modest and we believe they unlikely to deter foreign investments meaningfully. Even if tariffs remain elevated, policy tools like tax incentives can cushion the impact, in our view,' the research house stated in a strategy report.
It added that Malaysia's corporate tax rate of 24%, versus 22% in Indonesia and 20% in Vietnam, has not historically hindered investments here due to the country's strong manufacturing base and supply chain links.
'We see these structural strengths will continue to make Malaysia an attractive destination under the global supply chain diversification or '+N' strategy,' HLIB Research stated.
The research house has a 2025 target of 1,640 points for the benchmark FBM KLCI, with the valuation based on a 14.5 times price-earnings multiple, adding there is ample liquidity on the sidelines which is deployed increasingly by buying on dips.
It however warned global markets are vulnerable to profit-taking and top-slicing activities, following the sharp rally after the announcement of US tariffs in April.
'Global equity prices have stayed relatively resilient, and overall market composure seems intact, which is arguably too calm.
'This prevailing stability may reflect a degree of complacency that suggest markets could be underpricing the risk of Trump following through with his latest tariff threats in August,' HLIB Research stated.
It added the muted reaction on global markets may inadvertently embolden US President Donald Trump to follow through with his high reciprocal tariffs as his confidence has been reinforced by several recent successes such as the over US$100bil in customs duties collected without significantly derailing the economy, and continued strength in US equity markets which are trading at record highs.
The research house however anticipates the equity market in the third quarter of this year (3Q25) to remain volatile due to macro and policy factors with 4Q25 likely becoming more calmer with any sharp drop in the market viewed as an opportunity to buy high beta stocks in particular.
HLIB Research forecast the 13MP, which will be tabled in Parliament by the end of this month, to propose RM440bil of development expenditure and to have a globalist stance underpinned by the Madani ethos with projects reinforcing national flagship policies like the National Energy Transition Roadmap, New Industrial Masterplan 2030 and the National Semiconductor Strategy.
This should provide leads for investors to pick stocks that can benefit from the 13MP plans.
HLIB Research top picks at present are stocks of companies like CIMB Group Holdings Bhd , Sunway Bhd , Gamuda Bhd , 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings Bhd , AMMB Holdings Bhd , IOI Properties Group Bhd , Dialog Group Bhd and SMRT Holdings Bhd .
Hashtags
Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles
The Star
an hour ago
- The Star
Trump administration issues plan to limit AI exports to China
The White House on Wednesday released proposals to restrict exports of American AI equipment and limit the spread of Chinese AI models as part of a sweeping plan to shape the rules governing the fast-moving technology. The 28-page AI Action Plan marks US President Donald Trump's administration's first comprehensive strategy on the topic and comes as national security hawks have raised concerns that superior American chips may reach China – including through third countries – and advance its AI and military development. Under the plan, the US Commerce Department will lead an effort to develop new export controls on chipmaking components to close 'loopholes' in current restrictions that now focus on major systems. The department will also lead efforts to increase the monitoring of exported US chip end users and to explore using new chip location verification features to keep them out of 'countries of concern' – a term often used to refer to China, Iran, North Korea and Russia, among others. The plan also directs the Defence and Commerce departments to coordinate with allies on adopting US export controls and to prohibit American adversaries from being involved in their defence supply chains. 'Artificial intelligence is a revolutionary technology with the potential to transform the global economy and alter the balance of power in the world,' White House AI tsar David Sacks said in a written statement. 'To win the AI race, the US must lead in innovation, infrastructure, and global partnerships ... This Action Plan provides a road map for doing that,' he added. The Trump administration decision last week to allow American chipmaker Nvidia to sell its H20 chips to China reinvigorated furious debate about how to extend the US technological lead without compromising national security. That came months after the administration revoked a rule put in place under former President Joe Biden that limited how much US AI computing capability certain countries could access through imported US chips. American AI companies face increased competition from such Chinese rivals as Hangzhou-based DeepSeek, which sent global shock waves earlier this year when it released powerful AI models built far more cheaply than many had thought possible. Trump has previously warned of China's potential to surpass the US in the race for AI dominance. Speaking about the White House plan at an AI summit on Wednesday, Trump said he wants to make the US an 'AI export powerhouse' while maintaining 'necessary protections for our national security'. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Secretary of State Marco Rubio 'will work to rapidly expand American AI exports of all kinds, from chips to software to data storage', he said, before signing executive orders to fast-track AI development and promote exports. Ryan Fedasiuk, a former technology policy advisor in the State Department's Office of China Coordination, said that taken together, the export control proposals 'thread a difficult needle' in the lead-up to US-China trade talks in Stockholm next week. 'They tighten technology controls without risking an existential blow to the provisional trade deal struck in London, and they focus on enforcement gaps rather than adding sweeping new restrictions,' he said. The real impact of the plan will depend 'entirely' on its execution, Fedasiuk added. 'Allied coordination is where the rubber meets the road. Export controls only work if they're multilateral, and we've seen too many cases where US restrictions just pushed business to Dutch or Japanese competitors.' The new administration blueprint also makes several recommendations focused on countering the spread of Chinese models. To ensure 'that free speech flourishes in the era of AI', the Commerce Department is to evaluate advanced Chinese AI models for alignment with Communist Party talking points and censorship practices. Along with the US State Department, Commerce will lead a campaign to 'vigorously advocate' for international AI governance approaches that 'counter Chinese influence' at diplomatic and standard-setting bodies. Too many existing efforts 'have advocated for burdensome regulations, vague 'codes of conduct' that promote cultural agendas that do not align with American values, or have been influenced by Chinese companies attempting to shape standards for facial recognition and surveillance', the plan said. The two departments will also lead a new initiative to share technology protection measures, including measures in basic research and higher education, with allies and partners. To promote the use of American AI technology rather than that of adversaries, the Commerce Department will gather industry proposals for 'full-stack AI export packages' – bundled systems that include AI hardware, software, and related services intended for export. In recent years, the US has pushed its European and Asian allies to stop exports of advanced chipmaking equipment to China. Wednesday's document carries a thinly veiled threat to allies, warning that failure to align with US export controls could trigger punitive trade measures through secondary tariffs. - SOUTH CHINA MORNING POST
The Star
2 hours ago
- The Star
Oil prices ease to three-week low at weekend as negative economic news offsets trade optimism
JAKARTA/SINGAPORE (Reuters): Oil prices eased to a three-week low on Friday night on negative economic news from the United States and China and signs of growing supply despite optimism U.S. trade deals could boost global economic growth and oil demand in the future. Brent crude futures fell 76 cents, or 1.1%, to US$68.42 a barrel by 1:44 p.m. EDT (1744 GMT), while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 91 cents, or 1.4%, to US$65.12. That put Brent on track for its lowest close since July 4 and WTI on track for its lowest close since June 30. For the week, Brent was down about 1% and WTI down about 3%. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen will meet U.S. President Donald Trump on Sunday in Scotland after European Union officials and diplomats said they expected to reach a framework trade deal this weekend. The euro zone economy has remained resilient to the pervasive uncertainty caused by a global trade war, a slew of data showed on Friday, even as European Central Bank policymakers appeared to temper market bets on no more rate cuts. In the U.S., meanwhile, new orders for U.S.-manufactured capital goods unexpectedly fell in June while shipments of those products increased moderately, suggesting that business spending on equipment slowed considerably in the second quarter. Trump said on Friday that he had a good meeting with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and got the impression that the head of the U.S. central bank might be ready to lower interest rates. Central banks, like the Fed or ECB, use interest rates to keep inflation in check. Lower interest rates reduce consumer borrowing costs and can boost economic growth and demand for oil. In China, the world's second biggest economy, fiscal revenue dipped 0.3% in the first six months from a year earlier, the finance ministry said on Friday, maintaining the rate of decline seen between January and May. GROWING SUPPLIES? The US is preparing to allow partners of Venezuela's state-run PDVSA, starting with U.S. oil major Chevron, to operate with limitations in the sanctioned nation, sources said on Thursday. That could boost Venezuelan oil exports by a little more than 200,000 barrels per day (bpd), which would be welcome news for U.S. refiners, as it would ease tightness in the heavier crude market, ING analysts wrote. In the Middle East, Iran said it would continue nuclear talks with European powers after "serious, frank, and detailed" conversations on Friday, the first such face-to-face meeting since Israel and the U.S. bombed Iran last month. Venezuela and Iran are members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). Any deal that could increase the amount of oil either sanctioned country could export would boost the amount of crude available to global markets. A meeting of the Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee, which includes top ministers from OPEC and allies like Russia, a group known as OPEC+, is scheduled for 1200 GMT on Monday. Four OPEC+ sources told Reuters the meeting was unlikely to alter the group's existing policy, which calls for eight members to raise output by 548,000 bpd in August. In Russia, the world's second biggest crude oil producer behind the U.S., daily oil exports from its western ports are set to be around 1.77 million bpd in August, down from 1.93 million bpd in July's plan, amid the expected rise in refinery runs, Reuters calculations based on data from two sources show. In the U.S., energy firms this week cut the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating for the 12th time in 13 weeks, energy services firm Baker Hughes said in its closely followed report on Friday. (Reporting by Scott DiSavino in New York, Robert Harvey in London, and Sudarshan Varadhan and Siyi Liu in Singapore. Editing by Kirsten Donovan and Emelia Sithole-Matarise) - Reuters
The Sun
2 hours ago
- The Sun
Borneo Flora Festival 2025 boosts Labuan's economy and regional ties
LABUAN: The Borneo Flora Festival (BFF) 2025 is more than a floral showcase—it is a strategic initiative under the MADANI Government's reform agenda to reshape Labuan's economic future. Launched today, the festival aims to diversify the island's economy beyond oil and gas while fostering regional collaboration. Minister in the Prime Minister's Department (Federal Territories) Datuk Seri Dr Zaliha Mustafa highlighted Labuan's progress, noting a 5.4 per cent GDP per capita growth in 2024. 'Labuan's GDP per capita reached RM87,000 last year, the second highest in Malaysia, but we must ensure this translates to real benefits for the people,' she said. Tourism is a key focus, with over one million visitors in 2024—a 15.7 per cent increase from the previous year. The BFF is expected to attract 50,000 visitors, generating RM20 million in direct economic impact for local businesses. 'This festival is a catalyst for sustainable growth, benefiting hotels, food vendors, and small enterprises,' Dr Zaliha added. Beyond economic gains, the festival strengthens regional ties under the theme 'Strengthening Borneo Regional Cooperation.' Thirty-one exhibitors from Kuala Lumpur, Putrajaya, Sabah, Sarawak, Brunei, and Indonesia are participating. 'This reflects our shared vision to position Borneo as a hub for tropical horticulture and tourism,' she said. The BFF also aligns with ASEAN and BIMP-EAGA goals, promoting cross-border trade and cultural exchange. 'Our diversity is our strength, and this festival opens doors for investment and knowledge sharing,' Dr Zaliha concluded. - Bernama
