logo
World's sea-ice falls to record low

World's sea-ice falls to record low

Yahoo15-02-2025
The world's frozen oceans, which help to keep the planet cool, currently have less ice than ever previously recorded, satellite data shows.
Sea-ice around the north and south poles acts like a giant mirror by reflecting much of the Sun's energy back into space.
But as rising temperatures cause this bright layer to shrink, the dark ocean below can absorb more heat, warming the planet further.
This latest sea-ice low appears to have been driven by a combination of warm air, warm seas and winds breaking apart the ice.
Over the 5 days to 13 February, the combined extent of Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice was 15.76 million sq km (6.08 million sq miles), according to BBC analysis of data from the US National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).
This breaks the previous 5-day record low of 15.93 million sq km (6.15 million sq miles) from January-February 2023.
Arctic sea-ice is currently at its smallest recorded extent for the time of year, while Antarctic sea-ice is close to a new low in satellite records going back to the late 1970s.
The decline of Arctic sea-ice in response to a warming planet is well-established. Its end-of-summer extent fell from an average of 7 million sq km in the 1980s to 4.5 million sq km in the 2010s.
But until the mid-2010s, Antarctic sea-ice had been remarkably resilient, defying predictions that it would shrink.
Since then, Antarctica has shown a series of very low sea-ice extents, although there is still lots of natural variability.
"Every year, every data point that we get suggests that this isn't a temporary shift, but something more permanent, like what we've seen in the Arctic," Walter Meier, senior research scientist at NSIDC, told BBC News.
"It is indicating that the Antarctic has moved into a new regime of lower ice extents."
Antarctic sea-ice is relatively thin and mobile - being surrounded by ocean rather than continents like the Arctic - so it can be particularly sensitive to winds breaking up the ice.
But warmer air and warmer waters look to have played a key role in this latest 2025 low, towards the end of the southern hemisphere summer.
The Antarctic ice-shelves – ice flowing off the Antarctic continent, rather than sea-ice – appears to have had a particularly extreme season of surface melting, driven by high air temperatures.
"Atmospheric conditions in December and January looked like they were strongly promoting surface melting on the ice-shelves," said Tom Bracegirdle, research scientist at the British Antarctic Survey.
"That could also have contributed to what we've seen in Antarctic sea-ice, and ongoing ocean warming is setting the backdrop to all of this as well."
Antarctica's record sea-ice low of 2023 would have been a one-in-2,000 year event without climate change, according to a recent study. Yet 2025 is not far from eclipsing it.
At the other end of the planet, the Arctic should be reaching its annual maximum, with cold winter temperatures helping the oceans to freeze over.
But current sea-ice extent is nearly 0.2 million sq km below anything previously recorded for the time of year, and has been tracking very low since late 2024.
This is partly as a result of a late freeze-up of ice around Hudson Bay, with unusually warm ocean waters taking a long time to cool down.
As well as warmer seas, some storms also disrupted ice around the Barents and Bering Seas, with the consequences likely amplified by long-term reductions in sea-ice thickness.
"A thinner ice cover is more responsive to weather [… so] weather events can have a stronger impact than they used to," said Julienne Stroeve, professor of polar observation and modelling at University College London.
In recent weeks, Arctic sea-ice has moved even further below average. Temperatures around the north pole were about 20C above normal in early February, leading to melting conditions in places like Svalbard.
This "is quite astonishing" for the time of year, according to Dr Bracegirdle.
This very low winter extent doesn't necessarily mean the Arctic will end up with record conditions throughout 2025, as conditions can change quickly at the poles.
But, with the Arctic warming nearly four times faster than the global average, declines over the coming decades are almost inevitable.
The Arctic is expected to be essentially free of sea-ice at the end of its summer at least once before 2050, according to the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Some recent studies suggest it could happen sooner.
Declining sea-ice at both poles not only has implications for local wildlife like polar bears and penguins, but also the Earth's climate.
Polar sea-ice has already lost around 14% of its natural cooling effect since the early-to-mid 1980s, as the area of bright, reflective ice has declined, according to a study published last year.
"If you significantly change the sea ice distribution in and around Antarctica, you modify that part of the planet which is actually helping us fight against climate change," said Simon Josey, a professor at the National Oceanography Centre.
Sea-ice also plays an important role in the great ocean conveyor, the mass movement of water that helps distribute heat around the planet and keeps places like the UK and north-west Europe relatively mild.
"If we see another strong winter loss [of Antarctic sea-ice], people are going to start to worry about what it's doing to the ocean circulation," said Prof Josey.
Additional reporting by Becky Dale
Trouble in Arctic town as polar bears and people face warming world
Antarctic ice at 'mind-blowing' low alarms experts
Antarctica sea-ice hits new record low
Sign up for our Future Earth newsletter to get exclusive insight on the latest climate and environment news from the BBC's Climate Editor Justin Rowlatt, delivered to your inbox every week. Outside the UK? Sign up to our international newsletter here.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Scientists sequence avian flu genome found in Antarctica
Scientists sequence avian flu genome found in Antarctica

UPI

time9 hours ago

  • UPI

Scientists sequence avian flu genome found in Antarctica

Penguins line the shore in South Georgia, Antarctica. A team of Chilean scientists has sequenced the first complete genomes of the H5N1 avian influenza virus found in birds in Antarctica. File Photo by L.A. Kelly Whybrow/Royal Nacy/EPA Aug. 15 (UPI) -- A team of Chilean scientists has sequenced the first complete genomes of the H5N1 avian influenza virus found in birds in Antarctica. The work, led by the University of Chile and the Chilean Antarctic Institute, was published in Emerging Infectious Diseases, a journal of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, marking a milestone in pathogen research on the frozen continent. The study, which included sequencing the virus in birds such as Antarctic skuas and terns, provides crucial information for understanding the evolution of H5N1 and its potential spread to other species. Sequencing a virus's genome is like reading its complete genetic code. In this case, genomic analysis of avian flu found in Antarctica showed the virus is part of the variant that has affected South America. "Sequencing and genetically characterizing this virus in Antarctic birds allows us to understand its behavior in an extreme, pristine and particularly vulnerable ecosystem," said Víctor Neira, a professor at the University of Chile's Faculty of Veterinary and Animal Sciences and a member of the research team. Specifically, the phylogenetic analysis showed a high genetic similarity to viruses detected in gulls and fur seals on South Georgia Island, confirming the existence of a viral migration route from South America to Antarctica. The finding underscores the need for constant global epidemiological surveillance and highlights the virus's risk of mutation, experts said. By infecting new species in a different environment, the virus could become more dangerous and pose a threat to human and animal health worldwide. According to the research team, its greatest contribution to Antarctic science is providing essential data on biodiversity and emerging risks in the region. In late 2023, H5N1 reached Antarctica for the first time, breaking the isolation that had kept the continent free of the virus. The first cases were recorded in skuas on South Georgia Island, and during 2024 and 2025, the virus spread to the Antarctic Peninsula and the Weddell Sea, affecting birds such as penguins, cormorants and gulls, as well as marine mammals including fur seals and elephant seals. Recent scientific expeditions detected nearly 200 infected animals from 13 species in more than 20 locations, confirming the outbreak has taken hold in the region and poses a serious threat to its fragile biodiversity.

UK's Turing AI Institute responds to staff anger about defence focus
UK's Turing AI Institute responds to staff anger about defence focus

Yahoo

time9 hours ago

  • Yahoo

UK's Turing AI Institute responds to staff anger about defence focus

The heads of the UK's national institute for artificial intelligence (AI) have acknowledged recent months have been "challenging" for staff as the charity undergoes "substantial" change. It comes after staff raised "serious and escalating concerns" in a whistleblowing complaint this week submitted to the Charity Commission. They warned that the body - which receives £100m from the government - is at risk of collapse after Technology Secretary Peter Kyle instructed it to prioritise defence, and threatened to pull its funding if it did not. In a letter seen by the BBC, Chair Dr Doug Gurr said the Turing Institute would "step up at a time of national need". He said it had already established a new senior working group comprising government officials and Turing institute staff. However he said defence should not be the "sole focus" and some work on healthcare and environmental issues would continue in line with the aims of both the government and private investors. Whistleblowers have described the management's response as "performative". "Just talk, no action, nothing has changed," they said, speaking to the BBC on condition of anonymity because they fear losing their jobs for speaking out. Dr Gurr and Chief Executive Dr Jean Innes did not respond directly to accusations by the whistleblowers about a toxic internal culture of "retaliation" and "defensiveness". The pair said they had not seen the letter sent from whistleblowers to the Charity Commission, which has been shared with the BBC. "We are committed to conducting our business with honesty, integrity and transparency and believe that a culture of openness and accountability is essential," they wrote, and linked to the Turing institute's whistleblowing guidelines. Founded in 2015 as the UK's leading centre of AI research, the Turing institute, which is headquartered at the British Library in London, has been rocked by internal discontent and criticism of its research activities. The shift to focusing on defence represents a significant pivot for the publicly funded organisation. Both the whistleblowers and the technology secretary have said they want new leaders at the Institute - but there was no mention of any change in the management team in the letter. A number of senior staff have left the organisation in recent months, and bosses said more people would either be made redundant or not have their contracts renewed as the restructure continues. Sign up for our Tech Decoded newsletter to follow the world's top tech stories and trends. Outside the UK? Sign up here.

New "State of the Climate" report delivers sobering and stunning data
New "State of the Climate" report delivers sobering and stunning data

Axios

time14 hours ago

  • Axios

New "State of the Climate" report delivers sobering and stunning data

An array of climate metrics hit fresh records in 2024, a major new report with contributions from hundreds of scientists worldwide shows. Why it matters: The annual "State of the Climate" is among the most comprehensive looks at global warming's many effects, both worldwide and by region. Threat level: One takeaway from the peer-reviewed study — published by the American Meteorological Society — is that it's not (just) the heat, but the humidity, with multiple humidity indicators setting new marks. Stunning stat:"The global average number of high humid heat days ... over land reached a record of 35.6 days more than normal in 2024, surpassing the previous record set in 2023 by 9.5 days," says a summary from the U.K. Met Office meteorological service. That metric refers to days when the "wet-bulb temperature" exceeded 90% of normal levels. "Wet bulb" refers to combinations of heat, humidity and other factors that hinder the body's ability to cool itself through sweat. "Such a dramatic increase in the occurrence of these humid-heat events is bringing more societies into challenging, potentially life-threatening situations," said Kate Willett, a Met Office scientist and co-author of the humidity sections. The big picture: A few more high-level takeaways... Atmospheric concentrations of the major planet-warming gases — CO2, methane, and nitrous oxide — hit new highs. CO2 is now 52% above preindustrial levels. 2024 was the hottest year in records dating back to the mid-1800s, beating out 2023, and "[t]he last 10 years (2015–24) are now the warmest 10 in the instrumental record." Canada, the U.S. and Mexico all saw their warmest years. State of play:"The annual sea surface temperature was the highest in the 171-year record, marking the second year in a row that the global ocean set such a record." Air temps in the Arctic were the second-highest in 125 years of records, while the maximum reach of Arctic sea ice was the second-smallest in 46 years of satellite observations. What we're watching:"Unfortunately, it looks like we are seeing yet another year of extreme weather," said Laura Stevens, the climate scientist who edited report sections on North America.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store