
Unilateral war won't build a safer world
The debate about the military effectiveness of the U.S. airstrikes against Iran misses a more profound point: Brilliant battlefield success by itself will not ensure a nuclear-free Iran.
The U.S. attacks capped a year-plus Israeli campaign that utterly exposed Iran's 'axis of resistance' as a paper tiger. My own guess is that the strikes were highly effective. Uranium enrichment facilities rely on elaborate machinery, steady power supply and structurally sturdy environments. All that is likely to have been compromised by the 14 bunker-buster bombs that hit their targets with precision. But even assuming the damage was severe, most experts I have spoken to estimate that the strikes would have set back Iran's nuclear program by one to two years. By contrast, the Iran nuclear deal finalized in 2015 placed Iran's nuclear program in check for 10 to 15 years.
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Men shout out to others below as smoke billows while first-responders attempt to extinguish a blaze following an Israeli strike at the UNRWA's Osama bin Zaid school in the Saftawi district in western Jabalia in... Men shout out to others below as smoke billows while first-responders attempt to extinguish a blaze following an Israeli strike at the UNRWA's Osama bin Zaid school in the Saftawi district in western Jabalia in the northern Gaza Strip on June 27, 2025. More BASHAR TALEB/AFP/Getty Images Getting Back to the Table The Trump administration previously oversaw a limited Israel-Hamas ceasefire in January in an agreement first drafted by outgoing President Joe Biden's administration and secured with the help of Trump's incoming special envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkoff, just days before inauguration. The first-phase agreement ultimately allowed for the return of 33 hostages in Hamas captivity in exchange for 1,900 Palestinian prisoners held by Israel. 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Demonstrators block traffic during an anti-government protest calling for action to secure the release of Israeli hostages held captive since the October 7, 2023, attack led by Hamas, in Tel Aviv on June 26, 2025. Demonstrators block traffic during an anti-government protest calling for action to secure the release of Israeli hostages held captive since the October 7, 2023, attack led by Hamas, in Tel Aviv on June 26, 2025. FADEL SENNA/AFP/Getty Images The Stakes Rise While the Iran-Israel conflict appeared to eclipse attention over the Israel-Hamas war, international pressure has continued to mount on Netanyahu to put an end to the offensive in Gaza. Following a summit held Thursday in Brussels among European Union leaders, the bloc issued a statement saying that "the European Council calls for an immediate ceasefire in Gaza and the unconditional release of all hostages, leading to a permanent end to hostilities." 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