Wintry Friday to bring several inches of snow to Minnesota
A winter system that arrives in Minnesota on Friday could drop accumulating snow in the Twin Cities, and 4-6 inches of snow in the southeast of the state.
As things stand, the current projections from the National Weather Service puts the Twin Cities in with a chance of seeing 1-3 inches of snow on Friday, while the southeast tip of the state could see in excess of 6 inches.
The NWS is cautioning however that this remains a "low confidence" prediction, with a lot of uncertainty particularly about snowfall amounts in eastern Minnesota.
The heaviest snow from the system is likely to hit further east in Wisconsin, with up to 10 inches of snow possible in Madison, Milwaukee, Green Bay, and the Wisconsin Dells.
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There's a chance that much of Minnesota could see at least some light snow, though the chances are smaller the further north and west you travel.
For those with Valentine's Day dinner plans, there could be difficult driving conditions to be challenging, with the NWS warning of the potential for slippery roads as the snow falls.
"Highest amounts remain on track for 2-4" from eastern MN into western WI, with lighter amounts tapering off west," the NWS said. "The Euro and Canadian ensembles have stayed relatively consistent with QPF, however the GFS continues to trend upwards, suggesting some isolated higher totals are possible closer to Eau Claire, WI."
Snow is expected to start falling in central Minnesota from between noon to 3 p.m., and then expand to reach western Wisconsin by the evening.
"Initial snowfall rates could become heavy at times, potentially leading to a slowed Friday evening commute," the NWS forecast discussion reads. "Snowfall is expected to become lighter throughout the evening/night as drier air begins to mix in aloft, limiting cloud ice."
Here's a look at the current models based on a 10:1 snow to moisture ratio and the Kuchera ratio.
The European model
The American model
The Canadian model
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