Rigetti Computing: Sell RGTI Stock Ahead of Its Earnings?
For traders focused on events, historical trends can provide an edge. You can apply this information in two ways:
Although much will rely on how the company's results stack up against analyst predictions, it's crucial to recognize that Rigetti is an early-stage quantum technology firm that hasn't yet turned a profit. Analysts anticipate that Rigetti's Q2 results will demonstrate a contraction, estimating revenue around $1.87 million and a net loss of $0.04 per share. This indicates a revenue drop from $3.09 million in the same quarter of the previous year, although the net loss has improved from $0.09 per share.
Examining the fundamentals, the company currently has a market capitalization of $4.5 billion. In the past twelve months, Rigetti achieved $9.2 million in revenue but did not reach profitability, incurring an operating loss of -$74 million and a net loss of -$138 million.
That being said, if you are looking for potential gains with less volatility compared to individual stocks, the Trefis High Quality portfolio offers an option — it has outperformed the S&P 500 and generated returns exceeding 91% since it was established. Additionally, check out – The Trade Desk: Buy TTD Stock Now At $65?
See earnings reaction history of all stocks
Rigetti Computing's Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return
Here are some insights regarding one-day (1D) post-earnings returns:
Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns following earnings is summarized alongside the statistics in the table below. Related – Why Is Rigetti Stock Soaring 70%?
Correlation Between 1D, 5D, and 21D Historical Returns
A comparatively less risky approach (though ineffective if the correlation is low) is to understand the correlation between short-term and medium-term returns after earnings, identify a pair with the highest correlation, and carry out the necessary trade. For instance, if 1D and 5D show the strongest correlation, a trader can position themselves 'long' for the next 5 days if the 1D post-earnings return is positive. Below is some correlation data derived from a 5-year and a 3-year (more recent) history. Note that the correlation 1D_5D refers to the relationship between 1D post-earnings returns and subsequent 5D returns. Also, see – Can Rigetti Computing Stock See Another Tenfold Increase?
Discover more about Trefis RV strategy that has outperformed its all-cap stocks benchmark (a combination of all three, the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000), producing strong returns for investors. Alternatively, if you are seeking gains with a more stable performance than an individual stock like Rigetti Computing, look into the High Quality portfolio, which has outperformed the S&P and achieved over 91% returns since its launch.
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