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Russia's recognition of Taliban rule marks start of geopolitical shift, experts say

Russia's recognition of Taliban rule marks start of geopolitical shift, experts say

Arab News10 hours ago
KABUL: Russia's formal recognition of the Taliban government as the legitimate authority in Afghanistan could mark the beginning of a major geopolitical shift in the region, experts said on Friday.
Russia became the first country on Thursday to officially recognize the Taliban rule, nearly four years since the group took control of Afghanistan.
Moscow's ambassador to Afghanistan, Dmitry Zhirnov, had 'officially conveyed his government's decision to recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan' during a meeting in Kabul with the country's foreign minister, Amir Khan Mutaqqi, according to a statement issued late on Thursday by the Afghan Foreign Ministry.
This was followed by the Russian Foreign Ministry announcing hours later that it had accepted the credentials of a new ambassador of Afghanistan, saying that 'official recognition of the government of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan will give impetus to the development of productive bilateral cooperation between our countries in various fields.'
Muttaqi welcomed the decision and said in a statement that it would 'set a good example for other countries.'
No other nation has formally recognized the Taliban government after it seized power in 2021, after US-led forces staged a chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan following 20 years of war.
However, a handful of countries, including China and the United Arab Emirates have designated ambassadors to Kabul, while a number of foreign governments have continued the work of their diplomatic missions in the Afghan capital.
'Russia's decision to recognize the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan is a huge step. It's one of the biggest achievements of the Islamic Emirate's foreign policy in the last more than four years. It can be the beginning of a major geopolitical shift in the region and globally,' Naseer Ahmad Nawidy, political science professor at Salam University in Kabul, told Arab News.
'The United States' one-sided position to support Israel in the war against Gaza and attack Iran compelled Iran and Russia to take independent steps, ignoring the US in their decisions. It's a new phase toward moving to a multipolar world.'
With Moscow's role as a key political player in Central Asia, its recognition of the Taliban will likely influence other countries in the region to follow suit, he added.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has steadily built ties with the Taliban government, despite it being widely shunned by the international community due to repeated human rights violations.
The rights of Afghan women in particular have been curtailed since the Taliban takeover. They are barred from secondary schools and higher education, restricted in public places and not allowed to take up most of the jobs available in the country.
'I consider this recognition as a deep stab in the back as an Afghan woman and for Afghan women who have been deprived of life, education, work, freedom,' Afghan women's rights advocate Riha Ghafoorzai told Arab News.
Under the Taliban, Afghan society has been turned 'into a political prison, with no free press, no political opposition, and no civil rights,' she said.
'Recognizing such a rule is an insult to the sacrifices of thousands of Afghans who have fought for a modern, free, and democratic Afghanistan.'
With the recognition, Russia effectively broke an international consensus that was aimed at forcing the Taliban to listen to public demands, implement reforms and establish a legitimate system.
But instead, Moscow is sending 'a message to the Taliban that there is no need for reform, the international community will soften and the regime will eventually be legitimized, even if it is against the nation,' Ghafoorzai added.
'Russia's recognition of the Taliban is a profound political message that will have far-reaching and long-term consequences for the geopolitical balance of the region, international norms, and the fate of the Afghan people,' she said.
'Recognizing extremism is a great political betrayal of democracy. I hope that the international community will closely examine this situation for the future of humanity.'
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