logo
Buresh Blog: Average date for last freeze...January numbers...Severe weather awareness...Night skies

Buresh Blog: Average date for last freeze...January numbers...Severe weather awareness...Night skies

Yahoo05-02-2025
You can become a part of the First Alert Neighborhood Weather Network. Scan below &/or click * here *:
After a very cold January, it's spring fever for the first couple of weeks of February. January was the 9th coldest on record for Jacksonville... & the 8th wettest.
Which begs the question 'Is Winter Over??' The short answer is probably not. Though as of this writing, no cold air is in sight for NE Fl./SE Ga. through at least Valentine's Day. But if history is any indication - not to mention what looks to be the evolving weather pattern over the U.S. Lower 48 - don't get too eager to begin gardening. The average last freeze for most inland areas of NE Fl. & SE Ga. is Feb. 20th or later & is Feb. 25th for inland Duval Co.
For Jacksonville since 2022, the first 80s occurred in January but temps. as cold as the 30s - including inland frost - occurred well into March. And the latest freeze on record at JIA is April 8, 2007 (31 degrees).
The week of Feb. 3rd is 'Severe Weather Awareness Week' - more info. * here * from the Florida Division of Emergency Management.
February night skies courtesy 'Sky and Telescope':
Feb. 6 (evening): The Moon, one day past first quarter, is 5° above Jupiter, with Aldebaran anchoring a ragged line.
Feb. 9 (dusk): Look east to see the waxing gibbous Moon, Mars, and Pollux forming a flat isosceles triangle in Gemini.
Feb. 12 (evening): The full Moon and Regulus, Leo's brightest star, rise in the east with a mere 1½° between them.
Feb. 17 (morning): Face south to see the waning gibbous Moon 1° right of Spica, Virgo's lucida.
Feb. 21 (morning): The waning crescent Moon accompanies Antares, the fiery heart of the Scorpion, as they rise above the southeastern horizon separated by only 1°.
Feb. 24 (dusk): Look low in the west 30 to 45 minutes after sunset to spot Mercury and Saturn less than 1½° apart. You'll need a clear, long view to the horizon.
Feb. 28 (dusk): The thinnest sliver of the Moon, just past new, is 3° below Mercury low in the west-southwest. You'll need binoculars to spot the lunar crescent. Venus blazes above them.
Moon Phases
First Quarter February 5 3:02 a.m. EST
Full Moon February 12 8:53 a.m. EST (Snow Moon)
Last Quarter February 20 12:33 p.m. EST
New Moon February 27 7:45 p.m. EST
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Will Tropical Storm Erin hit Sarasota, Bradenton, Florida? Spaghetti models, track
Will Tropical Storm Erin hit Sarasota, Bradenton, Florida? Spaghetti models, track

Yahoo

time3 days ago

  • Yahoo

Will Tropical Storm Erin hit Sarasota, Bradenton, Florida? Spaghetti models, track

Tropical Storm Erin is expected to gradually strengthen Aug. 13 and could become a hurricane by late on Aug. 14, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Erin is moving fast across the Atlantic, at 23 mph. It's forecast not only to become the Atlantic season's first hurricane, but also a major hurricane. A major hurricane is a Category 3 or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location It's too early at this time to determine whether Erin will have any impact on Florida or the United States, according to the National Hurricane Center and Florida Division of Emergency Management. Officials encourage residents to monitor Erin closely and to be prepared. The fifth-named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Erin formed earlier than the historical average of Aug. 22. The average date for the first hurricane is Aug. 11, and the first major hurricane typically does not occur until Sept. 1, according to AccuWeather. Where is Tropical Storm Erin? Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Location: 820 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands; 1,765 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands Maximum sustained winds: 45 mph Movement: west at 23 mph Pressure: 1,006 mb Next advisory: 5 p.m. ET Tropical Storm Erin: What you need to know At 11 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Erin was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 36.3 West. Erin is moving quickly toward the west near 23 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue through early Thursday. A west-northwestward motion is forecast late Thursday into the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight, but gradual strengthening is forecast to begin on Wednesday. Erin could become a hurricane by late Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles to the north of the center. Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. ➤ Track Tropical Storm Erin Is a hurricane coming toward Sarasota, Bradenton, Manatee County, Florida? Expected impacts from Tropical Storm Erin No tropical storm — or hurricane — watches or warnings have been issued for Florida or the United States, and it's too early to tell whether Erin will impact the U.S., according to the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service and Florida Division of Emergency Management. Even if Erin does avoid a landfall in Florida, "there will be a significant increase in seas, surf and rip currents along the East Coast beaches next weekend into the following week," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill. "Dangerous conditions may develop in Bermuda and parts of the Bahamas, as well." How strong is Tropical Storm Erin and where could it go? See the scenarios Several factors favor the strengthening of Tropical Storm Erin, including a lack of dust and wind shear, along with warm water temperatures, according to AccuWeather. As Erin moves west across the Atlantic, it's expected — at this time — to begin a curve to the north Thursday or Friday, keeping the main part of the storm north of the islands in the northeastern Caribbean. However, depending on Erin's exact track, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola could get some rough surf and perhaps squalls. "Erin will be guided along by the northeast trade winds initially and then the clockwise circulation around the massive Bermuda High over the central Atlantic," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. "It is the shape of that oceanic high, as well as the approach of a cool front and dip in the jet stream near the Atlantic Coast, that will determine the exact track of the projected major hurricane as it approaches the Atlantic Coast of the United States next week." The scenarios, according to AccuWeather are: "If the Bermuda High remains fairly round or yields to the approaching cool front and jet stream dip, Erin is likely to turn to the north before reaching the U.S. "If the Bermuda High extends well to the west, it could block the potential major hurricane's northward path. The result would be a potential track very close to or onshore in the U.S., probably somewhere from the Carolinas north." Could Tropical Storm Erin impact Sarasota, Bradenton, Manatee County, Florida? It's still early to tell yet what impacts Tropical Storm Erin could have on Florida or the United States, although forecasters said rough surf and dangerous rip currents are possible along the east coast as Erin approaches. Officials warn residents should be prepared and closely monitor the storm that's expected to become a major hurricane later this week. ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Tropical Storm Erin Erin has not become significantly better organized overnight. The tropical storm continues to move quickly to the west. Strengthening is expected as Tropical Storm Erin enters an area of low wind shear and increasingly warm water temperatures. Erin is expected to become a major hurricane in about five days, although "there is significant uncertainty in intensity predictions" at this time. It is too early to determine what impacts, if any, Erin may bring to the northern Leeward Islands, Bermuda, or the east coast of the United States. Current forecast: How strong could Tropical Storm Erin get? At 11 a.m.: 45 mph 12 hours: 50 mph 24 hours: 60 mph 36 hours: 65 mph 48 hours: 75 mph 60 hours: 85 mph 72 hours: 100 mph 96 hours: 110 mph 120 hours: 115 mph Interactive map: What tropical storms, hurricanes have impacted your area in the past? Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: NOAA hurricane center: Will Tropical Storm Erin impact Sarasota, FL? Solve the daily Crossword

Storm Center: Erin expected to become Cat 3 hurricane. Palm Beach County impact?
Storm Center: Erin expected to become Cat 3 hurricane. Palm Beach County impact?

Yahoo

time5 days ago

  • Yahoo

Storm Center: Erin expected to become Cat 3 hurricane. Palm Beach County impact?

Tropical Storm Erin is expected to gradually strengthen Aug. 13 and could become a hurricane by late on Aug. 14, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center. Erin is moving fast across the Atlantic, at 23 mph. It's forecast not only to become the Atlantic season's first hurricane, but also a major hurricane. A major hurricane is a Category 3 or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. ➤ Track all active storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location It's too early at this time to determine whether Erin will have any impact on Florida or the United States, according to the National Hurricane Center and Florida Division of Emergency Management. Officials encourage residents to monitor Erin closely and to be prepared. 🌀 2025 Hurricane Season Guide: Storm preparedness tips, supply list, evacuation zones The fifth-named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Erin formed earlier than the historical average of Aug. 22. The average date for the first hurricane is Aug. 11, and the first major hurricane typically does not occur until Sept. 1, according to AccuWeather. Where is Tropical Storm Erin? Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Location: 820 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands; 1,765 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands Maximum sustained winds: 45 mph Movement: west at 23 mph Pressure: 1,006 mb Next advisory: 5 p.m. ET Tropical Storm Erin: What you need to know At 11 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Erin was located near latitude 17.2 North, longitude 36.3 West. Erin is moving quickly toward the west near 23 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue through early Thursday. A west-northwestward motion is forecast late Thursday into the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected through tonight, but gradual strengthening is forecast to begin on Wednesday. Erin could become a hurricane by late Thursday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles to the north of the center. Tropical Storm Erin spaghetti models Special note about spaghetti models: Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts. ➤ Track Tropical Storm Erin Is a hurricane coming toward Palm Beach County, Florida? Expected impacts from Tropical Storm Erin No tropical storm — or hurricane — watches or warnings have been issued for Florida or the United States, and it's too early to tell whether Erin will impact the U.S., according to the National Hurricane Center, National Weather Service and Florida Division of Emergency Management. Even if Erin does avoid a landfall in Florida, "there will be a significant increase in seas, surf and rip currents along the East Coast beaches next weekend into the following week," said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Chad Merrill. "Dangerous conditions may develop in Bermuda and parts of the Bahamas, as well." How strong is Tropical Storm Erin and where could it go? See the scenarios Several factors favor the strengthening of Tropical Storm Erin, including a lack of dust and wind shear, along with warm water temperatures, according to AccuWeather. As Erin moves west across the Atlantic, it's expected — at this time — to begin a curve to the north Thursday or Friday, keeping the main part of the storm north of the islands in the northeastern Caribbean. However, depending on Erin's exact track, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola could get some rough surf and perhaps squalls. "Erin will be guided along by the northeast trade winds initially and then the clockwise circulation around the massive Bermuda High over the central Atlantic," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. "It is the shape of that oceanic high, as well as the approach of a cool front and dip in the jet stream near the Atlantic Coast, that will determine the exact track of the projected major hurricane as it approaches the Atlantic Coast of the United States next week." The scenarios, according to AccuWeather are: "If the Bermuda High remains fairly round or yields to the approaching cool front and jet stream dip, Erin is likely to turn to the north before reaching the U.S. "If the Bermuda High extends well to the west, it could block the potential major hurricane's northward path. The result would be a potential track very close to or onshore in the U.S., probably somewhere from the Carolinas north." Could Tropical Storm Erin impact Palm Beach County, Florida? It's still early to tell yet what impacts Tropical Storm Erin could have on Florida or the United States, although forecasters said rough surf and dangerous rip currents are possible along the east coast as Erin approaches. Officials warn residents should be prepared and closely monitor the storm that's expected to become a major hurricane later this week. ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast Key messages from the National Hurricane Center: What you need to know about Tropical Storm Erin Erin has not become significantly better organized overnight. The tropical storm continues to move quickly to the west. Strengthening is expected as Tropical Storm Erin enters an area of low wind shear and increasingly warm water temperatures. Erin is expected to become a major hurricane in about five days, although "there is significant uncertainty in intensity predictions" at this time. It is too early to determine what impacts, if any, Erin may bring to the northern Leeward Islands, Bermuda, or the east coast of the United States. Current forecast: How strong could Tropical Storm Erin get? At 11 a.m.: 45 mph 12 hours: 50 mph 24 hours: 60 mph 36 hours: 65 mph 48 hours: 75 mph 60 hours: 85 mph 72 hours: 100 mph 96 hours: 110 mph 120 hours: 115 mph Interactive map: What tropical storms, hurricanes have impacted your area in the past? Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Tropical Storm Erin: Hurricane models, path. Palm Beach County impact

Will it get cooler in Florida soon? See what to expect this week and into weekend
Will it get cooler in Florida soon? See what to expect this week and into weekend

Yahoo

time02-08-2025

  • Yahoo

Will it get cooler in Florida soon? See what to expect this week and into weekend

Some relief may be in sight when it comes to the dangerous heat and humidity Florida residents have experienced lately. A "more typical thunderstorm pattern" is expected as a weak cold front approaches Florida Friday and Saturday, Aug. 1 and Aug. 2, according to the Florida Division of Emergency Management. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Widespread showers and thunderstorms are expected across North Florida Aug. 2, with scattered showers predicted for Central Florida and isolated showers for South Florida. Until then, though, dangerous heat and humidity are expected to continue through the middle of the week, with heat advisories and a heat index in the 100s and lower 110s. Don't expect Florida temperatures to drop dramatically. Highs are forecast to range from the upper 80s into the low to mid 90s by the end of the weekend, according to the National Weather Service. ➤ See when heat watches and warnings could be issued in your area Heat warnings, watches, advisories in effect across Florida Quick look at conditions around Florida Wednesday, July 30 Pensacola, western Panhandle: A heat advisory is in effect until 6 p.m. CT. Heat index could reach 109. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: Dangerous heat continues the next few days from late morning to early evening. Highs will range from 93 to 98, with feels-like temps between 105 to 111. Jacksonville, North, Northeast Florida: A heat advisory is in effect from 11 a.m. to 7 p.m. Heat indices will soar to 108 to 113 this afternoon. Daytona Beach to Stuart, central and eastern Florida: Hazardous levels of heat continue today, Wednesday, July 30. A heat advisory is in effect from noon to 7 p.m. today across all of Central Florida. Peak heat indices will top out between 108 and 112 degrees. South Florida: Warm weather continues today with highs in the lower 90s across the east coast metro, to mid and upper 90s over the interior and Southwest Florida. Scattered storms expected this afternoon into early evening. Southwest, western Florida: Another day today with the dangerously high heat index values for West Central Florida. A heat advisory is in effect from noon to 7 p.m. How long will Florida heat last? When will it get cooler? Higher-than-average temperatures are "going to last for a good part of the work week," said Matt Volkmer, meteorologist with the National Weather Service Melbourne in a phone interview Tuesday morning. "It's going to be pretty hot this week and we expect more heat advisories, especially for the interior." There may be some relief in sight for the weekend or early next week. Note the word "some." Models are showing temperatures could drop closer to average due to the cooling effects of storms and cloud cover, Volkmer said. Florida's west coast should start seeing temps dip today, July 30, into the mid to low 90s instead of the upper 90s, with a heat index of Florida normal, about 105," Stephen Shiveley, meteorologist with the National Weather Service Tampa Bay said in a telephone interview Tuesday morning. By Sunday or Monday, "we may finally get closer to average, with a chance for rain, although the chances for rain on the west coast" are lower than along the east coast and Central Florida, Shiveley said. Heat advisory issued for 58 Florida counties A heat advisory is in effect for the following counties Wednesday, July 30: Alachua Baker Bay Bradford Brevard Calhoun Citrus Clay Columbia DeSoto Dixie Duval Escambia Flagler Franklin Gadsden Gilchrist Gulf Hamilton Hardee Hernando Highlands Hillsborough Holmes Indian River County Jackson Jefferson Lafayette Lake Leon Levy Liberty Madison Manatee Marion Martin Nassau Okaloosa Okeechobee Orange Osceola Pasco Pinellas Polk Putnam St. Johns St. Lucie Santa Rosa Sarasota Seminole Sumter Suwannee Taylor Union Volusia Wakulla Walton Washington What is a heat advisory? A heat advisory is issued for dangerous heat conditions that are not expected to reach warning criteria, according to the National Weather Service. When a heat advisory is issued also depends on where you are in Florida. For most of the state, a heat advisory is issued if the heat index is expected to be between 108 to 112 degrees. Here is the breakdown by each NWS region. A heat advisory is issued when the heat index is expected to be: Western Panhandle: 108-112 degrees Central Panhandle, North Florida: 108 to 112 within the next 6 to 24 hours or air temperature is forecast to reach 103 degrees Northeast Florida: 108-112 degrees East Central Florida: 108 to 112 degrees In South Florida: 108 degrees in South Florida or 105 degrees for Miami/Dade and Broward counties Southwest, West Central Florida: 108-112 or the air temp is greater or equal to 103 degrees The National Weather Service Miami said Miami/Dade County wanted a lower threshold for a heat advisory for its population. What should you do when there is a heat advisory? "Residents are advised to consider postponing or rescheduling outdoor activities, especially during the heat of the day," the National Weather Service said. "If you must be outside, be sure to drink plenty of water and take frequent breaks in the shade. Stay in a cool place, especially during the heat of the day and evening." Heat index and temperature map for US, Florida Expected temperatures across Florida through first weekend of August Pensacola Wednesday: High lower 90s. Heat index 109. Thursday: High lower 90s. Heat index 108. Friday: High lower 90s. Heat index 110. Saturday: High lower 90s. Heat index 105. Sunday: High upper 80s. Tallahassee Wednesday: High 94. Heat index 110. Thursday: High 95. Heat index 110. Friday: High 94. Saturday: High 92. Sunday: High 88. Jacksonville Wednesday: High 97. Heat index 109. Thursday: High 97. Heat index 110. Friday: High 98. Saturday: High 95. Sunday: High 89. Daytona Beach Wednesday: High 94. Heat index 109. Thursday: High 93. Heat index 105. Friday: High 94. Saturday: High 92. Sunday: High 90. Melbourne Wednesday: High 95. Heat index 110. Thursday: High 94. Heat index 107. Friday: High 93. Saturday: High 94. Sunday: High 93. Port St. Lucie Wednesday: High 94. Heat index 107. Thursday: High 93. Heat index 103. Friday: High 93. Saturday: High 94. Sunday: High 93. West Palm Beach Wednesday: High 87. Heat index 103. Thursday: High 88. Heat index 101. Friday: High 87. Saturday: High 88. Sunday: High 88. Fort Myers Wednesday: High 93. Heat index 104. Thursday: High 93. Heat index 103. Friday: High 94. Saturday: High 92. Sunday: High 93. Naples Wednesday: High 90. Heat index 105. Thursday: High 91. Heat index 103. Friday: High 91. Saturday: High 92. Sunday: High 91. Sarasota Wednesday: High 90. Heat index 102. Thursday: High 90. Heat index 102. Friday: High 90. Saturday: High 90. Sunday: High 89. Orlando Wednesday: High 97. Heat index 106. Thursday: High 96. Heat index 107. Friday: High 97. Saturday: High 96. Sunday: High 95. National Hurricane Center tracking four tropical waves All is quiet in the tropics, with no development expected over the next seven days. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring four tropical waves, including two in the Caribbean. Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will provide weather coverage as conditions warrant. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: Florida heat continues. Cold front could bring dip in temps, rain Solve the daily Crossword

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store