
Deutsche Bahn is on track for more delays and cancellations – DW – 07/17/2025
In Germany, where the trains were said to never run late, a route is now considered punctual if it is delayed by less than six minutes. Since 2022, only 62% of trains run right on schedule, compared with close to 99% in neighboring Switzerland. Much longer delays are commonplace, and trips are as likely to be canceled completely as they are to end prematurely. The frequent problems are exacerbated by strikes and weather conditions. If is particularly hot or cold, travelers are likely to encounter more problems.
Train travel in Germany often requires time, patience and nerves of steel. In 2024, Deutsche Bahn (DB) paid passengers almost €200 million ($232 million) in compensation, nearly €70 million more than the previous year.
"Deutsche Bahn is undergoing its biggest crisis in 30 years," DB CEO Richard Lutz said in May 2025. He has tried in vain to get the company back on track since becoming chairman of the management board in 2017. "We are a long way from what we set out to do and what our customers expect from us, in key areas."
The run-down DB network covers about 33,500 kilometers (19,800 miles) of track. As a state-owned company, DB is dependent on subsidies from the federal government, which for decades has invested far too little in infrastructure.
"We cannot ensure stable operations on an outdated infrastructure that is prone to failure," Lutz said.
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Some of Germany's tracks, rails, switches and signal boxes date to the 19th century. Many of them are so run down that they cannot be repaired or so outdated that they are not compatible with digitally controlled rail operations that are supposed to become the standard.
DB's general refurbishment program, which was launched in 2024, focuses on 41 lines, covering 4,200 kilometers, that are essential for a high-performance network. It is the largest overhaulin DB's history to date.
The 70-kilometer stretch between Frankfurt am Main and Mannheim, known as the Riedbahn, was the first to be shut down. Over six months, rails and ballast, 152 switches and 140 kilometers of overhead line were torn out and reinstalled. Twenty stations, signaling technology and noise barriers were also renovated. It turned out to be more complicated than expected to install digital technology and the costs rose to more than €1.5 billion — twice as much as originally estimated.
The Federal Audit Office, which reviews the government's financial management, accused the Transport Ministry of negligence, saying it should have demanded that DB provide evidence for the economic viability of its approach. "The hitherto usual market prices for construction work multiplied within a very short space of time," the Federal Audit Office wrote to the Bundestag Budget Committee in May. It added that there had also been shortages of skilled workers and construction equipment.
The office determined that further funds for refurbishment plans should only be made available once the Transport Ministry had "prove beyond doubt that these are necessary and economical."
As a consequence, DB announced that its general refurbishment program would be extended by six years, until 2036.
Next up is the 280-kilometer line between Germany's largest cities, Berlin and Hamburg, which carries about 30,000 passengers a day, making it the most frequently used direct long-distance connection in the country. It is used by around 230 regional, long-distance and freight trains each day. It will close for nine months from August 1.
Long-distance trains will have to take a detour of 100 kilometers. Freight trains will be rerouted even more extensively. Some 170 buses will replace the regional trains, covering 86,000 kilometers a day to maintain connections to the towns between Berlin and Hamburg. It is already foreseeable that the complications and disruption will be worse than on the Riedbahn.
DB has considerably scaled back its plans for this massive undertaking. The introduction of the European Train Control System (ETCS), a train protection system to replace the incompatible systems used by European railways, has been postponed until the next decade. This is because conventional technology still needs to be used as not all trains are currently compatible with future systems. A DB press release in May said that this was making the renovation works complicated and costly.
The original number of switches has also been reduced. There were supposed to be more, as well as multiple tracks, to ensure that fast trains could overtake slower ones. Even in the planning stage, the costs have risen to €2.2 billion.
Germany's government has promised DB additional funds for the renovation of the rail lines. Federal Transport Minister Patrick Schnieder (CDU) spoke of investments of €107 billion by 2029. The money is to come largely from the debt-financed special fund for infrastructure and climate protection that was established earlier this year.
In a report published in May, the Federal Audit Office warned that the government could not assume that money alone would solve DB's "permanent crisis." The office called for an overall strategy that should include an "adjustment" of the company structure, implying that clarity should be brought in to disentangle the hundreds of DB holdings and subsidiaries
For years, there has been a discussion about whether to separate the rail infrastructure and transport in order to enable more private companies and competition in the network. For now, there is little hope that the situation will improve for DB. The Federal Audit Office does not envision that DW will be able "to meet transport and climate policy expectations" for the foreseeable future.

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14 hours ago
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How Trump's high tariffs against Brazil could backfire – DW – 08/01/2025
Brazil will pay as much as 50% tariffs on goods exported to the United States. But experts say the tariffs, along with sanctions on a Brazilian judge, indicate this isn't about economics but about Trump's politics. The newly announced tariffs by the US government on Brazilian imports, as well as Washington's move to sanction Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes "for serious human rights abuse," has caused a strong reaction in Brazil. Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has condemned American interference in the Brazilian legal system, calling it "unacceptable." The political motivation behind these measures undermines Brazil's sovereignty and threatens the relationship between the two countries, Lula said. From August 6, the US will impose tariffs of 50% on Brazilian imports into America. Somewhat surprisingly, around 700 Brazilian products were exempted. But experts have said this still puts the average tariff on Brazilian goods at around 30%. 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"The Magnitsky Act was previously used against the US' enemies but it always used to have a basis in human rights," said Demetrio Magnoli, a sociologist and foreign affairs columnist in Brazil. "But by using it for the first time against a judge in a democracy, Trump is shattering the human rights foundations of this law." As for the high tariffs, Magnoli told DW it's not unusual for Trump to use tariffs as a weapon in his trade war and deal-making. "But in the case of Brazil, he is using both tariffs and the Magnitsky Act for political and ideological reasons," the commentator noted. "A unique case worldwide and a direct attack on a democratic country and a US ally." Judge de Moraes has been seen as a nuisance by American right wingers since he ordered social media platform, X (formerly Twitter) blocked for several weeks in late 2024. De Moraes demanded that user accounts that violated Brazilian law be removed, part of an attempt to crack down on anti-democratic, far-right voices. Billionaire Elon Musk, the owner of X, tried to get around the court-ordered block and called for de Moraes to be impeached. But de Moraes actually became a target for Trump earlier than that, because of Bolsonaro. In late 2022, the former president was accused of planning a coup against his successor, Lula, something that could carry a sentence of up to 40 years in prison. Bolsonaro and his co-defendants have disputed this charge, and Trump has described it as "a witch hunt." De Moraes has also investigated Bolsonaro for, among other things, manufacturing disinformation and has convicted Bolsonaro's supporters for storming the government district in Brasilia in January 2023. As a result, the judge has been celebrated as a defender of democracy in Brazil, particularly by those on the left. But perhaps because of the parallels to Trump's own past — his supporters also stormed government buildings in January 2021, and Trump previously insisted the 2020 election was "stolen" from him — de Moraes' actions have been like a red rag to Brazil's bullish right wingers, and now also to Trump supporters. However, Guilherme Casaroes, a professor at the Sao Paulo School of Business Administration at the Getulio Vargas Foundation, sees a bright side. The fact that, contrary to his initial announcement two weeks ago, Trump is allowing numerous tariff exemptions means that Brazil did well in negotiations with the US, he said. "But it also clearly shows that Trump's motivation is not so much commercial and more political," said Casaroes. "Especially because Brazil actually has a trade deficit with the US." The expert believes there are three key factors influencing Trump's attack on Brazil. Firstly, the country's closer ties with China, which makes Brazil a battleground in the geopolitical conflict between the US and China. Secondly, this fight is ideological: Trump wants to be seen supporting his allies around the world. That includes Bolsonaro. And thirdly, the economic interests of US tech giants: "They don't want social media regulation," said Casaroes. In Brazil, Trump's onslaught has triggered Brazilian nationalism, especially on social media. That's fair, said sociologist and political commentator Celso Rocha de Barros. He described what he calls the "American intervention against the Brazilian Supreme Court" as "unacceptable imperialist aggression" and insisted that in the future, Brazil must "negotiate economic agreements without giving an inch on democratic and political issues." Rocha de Barros believes de Moraes is actually looking stronger after this episode. Even Supreme Court justices who felt more favorably about Bolsonaro don't want to be giving anybody the impression that they support foreign intervention in their own court, he said. But Demetrio Magnoli believes the US' attacks on de Moraes could actually find favor with parts of the Brazilian population. Many locals are unhappy with their Supreme Court, he pointed out. This is partially because what some think are the judges' too-high salaries, but it's also because of the high penalties meted out to what Magnoli called "the useful idiots of the Bolsonaro camp," those who participated in the January 2023 rioting. Some Brazilians also believe de Moraes became too powerful during the trial against Bolsonaro. In other ways, Trump's attacks actually offers the Brazilian president an opportunity. Lula is polling badly, but if he manages to convince the Brazilian parliament to help an economy badly hit by Trump's tariffs, he might become more popular again. And that would be the opposite of what the US leader was hoping for, Magnoli said.