
Last DA Hike Under 7th CPC To Be 3% or 4%? Anticipation Builds For July-December DA Hike
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Dearness Allowance (DA) hikes are based on the average All India Consumer Price Index (CPI-IW) for industrial workers, which reflects changes in the cost of living. The government announces a DA/DR hike twice a year. However, the announcements are made in March and September. The hike is applied retroactively every year between January and July. Last DA, DR Hike Under 7th Pay Commission
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The central government employees are eagerly waiting for the official government announcement on DA, DR hike for the July-December period. This DA, DR hike is going to be the last one under the 7th Pay Commission because the new 8th Pay Commission will be in place from January 2026. DA DR Hike: May AICPI-IW Figures
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The AICPI-IW Figures for May 2025 released by Labour Beaureau recently has once again grabbed attention on the expected Dearness Allowance (DA) and Dearness Relief (DR) hike for lakhs of govt employees and pensioners which is due for July-December 2025. May 2025 AICPI-IW Figures Hint At DA Updates Ahead Of 8th Pay Commission
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As per the data published by Labour Bureau, attached office of the M/o Labour & Employment the All-India CPI-IW for May 2025 increased by 0.5 point and stood 144.0 (one hundred forty four). Year-on-year inflation for the month of May 2025 stood at 2.93% as compared to 3.86% in May, 2024. The Bureau has been compiling Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers every month on the basis of retail prices collected from 317 markets spread over 88 industrially important centres in the country. May 2025 AICPI-IW Figures Vs April, March Data
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The rise in May 2025 AICPI-IW Figures comes after rise in the last two months of the CPI-IW. March 2025, the All-India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (AICPI-IW) stood at 143.0, representing a 0.2-point increase from the previous month. Year-on-year inflation for the month of March, 2025 stood at 2.95% as compared to 4.20% in March, 2024. The All-India Consumer Price Index for Industrial Workers (AICPI-IW) stood at 143.5 in April. Year-on-year inflation for the month of April, 2025 stood at 2.94% as compared to 3.87% in April, 2024, according to the Labour Bureau. June 2024-May 2025 CPI-IW Figures
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CPI-IW index values from June 2024 to May 2025 are as follows:
June 2024: 141.4
July 2024: 142.7
August 2024: 142.6
September 2024: 143.3
October 2024: 144.5
November 2024: 144.5
December 2024: 143.7
January 2025: 143.7
February 2025: 143.2
March 2025: 142.8
April 2025: 143
May 2025: 143.5
June 2025: 144
Average of AICPI-IW over the last 12 months: 143.3 Will The Last Dearness Allowance Hike Under 7th Pay Commission Be Bigger Than Last Time?
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This increase of figures in the last three months AICPI-IW --March, April and May – hint towards expected DA, DR for central government employees and pensioners at around 58.08 percent. On the basis of the figure, media reports have calculated a hike of 4% hike from July 2025. DA will be thus likely be pushed from current 55 percent to 59 percent, ahead of the implementation the 8th Pay Commission from January 2026. July-December 2025 DA Hike Predictions
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These are however just early DA, DR hike predictions. It all depends on the AICPI-IW figures for the next month i.e for June 2025, to arrive at a concrete conclusion on DA hike for central government employees and pensioners. DA Hiked To 55% For Jan-June 2025
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Much to market expectations, the Union Cabinet led by PM Narendra Modi on March 28 announced the much awaited Dearness Allowance (DA) and Dearness Relief Hike for lakhs of central government employees. The Modi government announced hike in the dearness allowance by 2 percent, thus taking the DA from 53 percent to 55 percent. 7th Pay Commission DA Hike: How Much Salary Increased Last Time?
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The basic salary of the employee is Rs 18,000
Dearness Allowance Hiked To 55 Percent: Pay increase of Rs 360 more per month
New Dearness Allowance Annually: Rs 4,320
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Economic Times
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- Economic Times
FOMC July 2025 meeting: Jerome Powell's rate cut decision speech tonight. What to expect and where to watch live?
The U.S. Federal Reserve will conclude its July FOMC meeting tonight, with Chair Jerome Powell set to deliver a pivotal speech amid global rate-cut speculation. While the Fed is likely to keep interest rates unchanged, investors will watch for any shift in Powell's tone that could hint at a future policy pivot. The address will stream live at 11:30 PM IST on the Fed's YouTube channel and website. Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads What to expect from the FOMC meeting outcome? Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Where to watch the FOMC briefing live The Fed's X (formerly Twitter) account: The Fed's official website: Upcoming FOMC Meetings in 2025 September 16–17 October 28–29 December 9–10 The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve concludes its two-day policy meeting tonight (IST), with Fed Chair Jerome Powell scheduled to deliver a crucial address that could shape global investor meeting, which began on July 29, will wrap up on July 30 and is expected to offer clarity on whether the Fed will continue to hold rates steady or lay the groundwork for a future policy FOMC meeting comes shortly after a public face-off between Powell and U.S. President Donald Trump, adding a layer of political tension to tonight's the central bank is expected to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged, market participants will be closely parsing Powell's commentary for any subtle shift in tone — especially in light of the most recent U.S. inflation indicators, including CPI and PCE data for Fed's latest decision arrives at a time when investors are split on whether Powell will maintain his current hawkish rhetoric or pivot toward a more dovish no rate cut expected in this round, the focus will remain squarely on Powell's press conference and the language used in the accompanying policy statement. Global equity, bond, and currency markets are expected to respond instantly to any deviation from current can watch the live proceedings on the official YouTube channel of the Federal Reserve ( ). The address is scheduled for 2:00 PM ET on July 30 (which is 11:30 PM IST on Wednesday), with a press briefing expected to follow soon addition to YouTube, the speech and press conference will also be streamed live on:Following the July meeting, the remaining FOMC meetings for the year are scheduled as follows:Also read: NSDL IPO: Peer CDSL turned multibagger with 12x gains since listing. Can history repeat itself? (Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)


Mint
40 minutes ago
- Mint
US Fed Meeting: 5 key factors that will shape FOMC policy decision
US Fed Meeting: Even as markets have largely priced in the possibility of a status quo on interest rates by the US Federal Reserve, investors are keen on picking up signals from Chair Jerome Powell's commentary that rate cuts may not be far off and could begin as early as September. The US Federal Open Market Committee meeting is underway, with the outcome due later today, July 30. The US Fed's next policy meeting is scheduled for September 16-17. At this juncture, the Fed may maintain the federal funds rate in the 4.25 per cent to 4.50 per cent range, given the uncertainty over how the tariffs announced by US President Donald Trump will affect the economy — even as Trump continues to mount pressure on Powell to lower rates. "A rate cut by the Fed is unlikely today. More important would be the Fed commentary on the evolving economic outlook. The FOMC decision today is unlikely to impact the market," said VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments. Let's take a look at five key factors that will influence the monetary policy decision of the US Federal Reserve on July 30: In its June policy meeting, the Fed revised its economic growth forecast, highlighting the risks associated with Trump's tariffs. The central bank projected GDP growth of 1.4 per cent in 2025, down 0.3 per cent from the March meeting. The US economy did contract by 0.5 per cent in the first quarter this year, but the world's largest economy is not showing signs of significant stress at this juncture. In fact, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday raised its estimate for the US economy this year and next year. The IMF has raised its US growth forecast to 1.9 per cent for 2025 and 2 per cent for 2026, an increase of 10 basis points (bps) for 2025 and 30 bps for 2026. The IMF said tax incentives for corporate investment in the recent tax bill are also expected to boost growth slightly next year. Of course, the Fed will have its own assessments, which will be the bedrock of its policy decisions. The Fed cannot ignore the sticky inflation in the US. The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 2.7 per cent in June from 2.4 per cent in May. Experts expected the June CPI to be 2.6 per cent. The Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Producer Price Index (PPI), however, declined to 2.3 per cent in June from 2.7 per cent in May. June PPI came below expectations of 2.5 per cent. Nevertheless, inflation in the US remains above the central bank's long-term target of 2 per cent. At this point, the Fed cannot be sure that inflation will ease sustainably given high uncertainty over Trump's tariff policies. The US has finalised trade deals with several countries and is actively engaged in negotiations with other major economies, including India and China, for a conclusive agreement. However, the key point to keep in mind is that despite these trade deals, tariff rates on imports to the US may remain high, in the range of 15–20 per cent. This is likely to influence inflation trends in the US. So far, the US jobs market has remained resilient. However, June US job openings and hiring data indicate signs of weakness. US JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey) data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that job openings dropped by 2,75,000 to 7.437 million in June, compared to the expectations of 7.510 million. In May, the US JOLTS data showed 7.71 million job openings — the highest since November 2024. There are apprehensions that the job market is yet to see the real impact of the tariffs, as Trump extended the tariff deadline for many countries to August 1. US stocks are trading near record highs, while the dollar and bond yields have been largely stable, barring occasional profit booking. The current financial market conditions do not warrant the Fed to bite the bullet and cut rates. The Fed wants to wait for more data before moving ahead with rate cuts. At this juncture, there is significant uncertainty about how the tariff war will evolve in the coming days. Despite trade deals, the element of unpredictability in President Trump's policies cannot be overlooked. Experts also warn that the tariff policies could cause lasting damage to the US economy. Trump's tariffs remain a key variable in the Fed's monetary policy considerations. Read all market-related news here Read more stories by Nishant Kumar Disclaimer: This story is for educational purposes only. The views and recommendations expressed are those of individual analysts or broking firms, not Mint. We advise investors to consult with certified experts before making any investment decisions, as market conditions can change rapidly and circumstances may vary.


Time of India
43 minutes ago
- Time of India
Real estate sentiment improves in Q2 2025 as demand, liquidity and policy support boost outlook: NAREDCO Index
Policy easing, demand revival drive recovery Live Events Developers take the lead in confidence surge Premium housing fuels residential recovery Commercial office market remains resilient Improved liquidity and macroeconomic stability Industry poised for sustained growth (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our ETMarkets WhatsApp channel After a year-long moderation, optimism has returned to India's real estate sector, driven by macroeconomic stability , accommodative policy, and robust demand in premium housing and office spaces. The Q2 2025 Knight Frank–NAREDCO Real Estate Sentiment Index reveals a marked improvement in confidence among developers, investors, and to the 45th edition of the index, the Current Sentiment Score rose to 56 in Q2 2025 from 54 in the previous quarter, while the Future Sentiment Score jumped to 61, up from 56. Both figures reflect a shift toward optimism after four quarters of cautious outlook.A confluence of favorable economic indicators—including a six-year low in CPI inflation (3.2%), record GST collections of Rs 2.4 lakh crore, and a 100-basis-point rate cut by the RBI in H1 2025—has helped rejuvenate stakeholder sentiment. These developments have improved liquidity, lowered borrowing costs, and sparked confidence in high-value residential and commercial segments.'This quarter marks a turning point,' said Shishir Baijal, Chairman and MD, Knight Frank India. 'Improved macro fundamentals and maturing sector strategies are enabling stakeholders to realign toward long-term growth, especially in premium and yield-accretive assets.'Developers exhibited the sharpest rise in confidence, with their Future Sentiment Score climbing from 53 to 63. Factors such as easier financing, stronger demand for luxury housing, and sustained commercial leasing in urban hubs are reinforcing their participants—banks, NBFCs, and private equity players—also reflected higher optimism, with their sentiment score increasing to 60 from 57. Structured funding opportunities in premium residential and office markets continue to attract institutional regions, sentiment rebounded, with the South leading at a score of 63, thanks to resilient markets like Bengaluru and Hyderabad. The North, previously hit by post-COVID uncertainty, rose from 48 to 55, while the West and East maintained a strong footing at 61 each.A strong 70% of stakeholders expect residential launches to remain stable or grow, with a marked preference for premium homes priced above Rs 1 crore. However, developers remain cautious on affordable housing due to tight margins and rising expectations also held strong, with 94% of stakeholders anticipating stable or rising prices, backed by double-digit year-on-year growth in cities like Bengaluru, Delhi-NCR, and office segment continues to perform well, buoyed by demand from Global Capability Centres (GCCs), third-party IT firms, and flex-space operators. About 80% of respondents foresee leasing volumes staying strong or improving, while 93% expect rentals to remain stable or Hyderabad, and Pune remain focal points, despite tight Grade A supply. Developers are taking a cautious approach to new commercial development, focusing instead on meeting targeted residential credit availability, thanks to the RBI's 100-bps rate cut, has significantly boosted funding sentiment. Ninety percent of stakeholders expect access to capital to stay stable or improve, compared to 79% in the previous robust macroeconomic indicators—ranging from record GST collections to an expanding PMI—have added to the positive outlook. About 70% of stakeholders now expect India's economic momentum to sustain or improve, up from 55% in Babu, President of NAREDCO, noted that the Q2 results signal the sector's growing resilience. 'Backed by lower borrowing costs, policy support, and strong demand for premium real estate, India's property market is on a strong footing for continued growth through 2025,' he said.: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of the Economic Times)