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Newsweek
2 hours ago
- Newsweek
Spaghetti Models Show Potential Paths of Next Two Tropical Storms
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. The Atlantic hurricane season is ramping up, with National Hurricane Center (NHC) meteorologists monitoring two disturbances behind Hurricane Erin that have a chance of strengthening into tropical storms in the coming days. Spaghetti models, or computer models illustrating potential storm paths, show an early look at where those storms might go if they develop. Why It Matters Hurricane Erin is the fifth named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season. Meteorologists have issued numerous warnings that the season doesn't reach its peak until mid-September. NHC meteorologists are tracking two potential disturbances now in Erin's wake, with early spaghetti models showing that at least one of the systems could take a similar path as Erin did toward the Lesser Antilles. A map from the NHC shows two new disturbances behind Hurricane Erin. A map from the NHC shows two new disturbances behind Hurricane Erin. National Hurricane Center What To Know Official storm path forecasts have not been released for either of the two disturbances, as it is too soon to know for certain where they might go. However, the spaghetti models show both disturbances heading west. The disturbance with the highest chance of development is near the Leeward Islands in the Tropical Atlantic. "A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic continues to produce a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms," an NHC update about the disturbance said. "Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form toward the end of the week or this weekend. This system should move westward to west-northwestward at about 20 mph and approach the vicinity of the Leeward Islands on Friday." The system has a 10 percent chance of strengthening in the next 48 hours, and a 60 percent chance of doing so in the next seven days. The other system is much closer to the western coast of Africa in the eastern tropical Atlantic. "A tropical wave located a couple of hundred miles to the southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms," the NHC said. "Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for additional development over the next couple of days as the system moves westward at around 15 mph. Towards the end of this week, this system could encounter a less favorable environment, limiting its development chances after that time." This system has a 30 percent chance of forming in the next 48 hours and in the next seven days. What People Are Saying AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva told Newsweek: "The first lead wave, it's going to be following in Erin's footsteps here. It's going to be moving through water that's mixed up from Erin, so we don't expect it to blow up like Erin did because it's going to move through cooler waters." DaSilva added: "The wave behind it we need to watch closely. It's a little further south, so that one should avoid the wake of Erin. We'll have to watch for development with that one, but it could be going into a harsh environment, so it might be ripped apart by some [wind] sheer." What Happens Next Meteorologists will continue to monitor the systems, as well as Hurricane Erin as it passes east of the U.S. this week. Should more tropical storms develop, people in the impacted areas should follow local weather guidance.
CBS News
2 hours ago
- CBS News
BP refinery in Whiting, Indiana, impacted by flooding; neighbors report "odors"
Officials at the BP refinery in Whiting, Indiana said their operations and facility have been impacted by flooding from Monday's storms. In a statement, the refinery said response and operations crews are on-site to "manage impacts" from the storms and the flooding. They said workers are burning materials in the flares to keep operations safe, and also said they are aware of reports of "odors" from the neighboring community and are also working to address that. Officials have closed 121st Street in Whiting between Shrage Avenue and Front Street due to what the refinery called "a sheen," though they did not specify exactly what would have caused that sheen. They said they have crews working on that "situation." "Whiting Refinery has detailed weather protection plans in place to handle these types of conditions and have been executing those plans from last night through this morning. Our top priority is the safety of our employees, contractors, and the community and the environment," the statement read. Heavy rain overnight has caused flooding across Northwest Indiana, causing schools to start late Tuesday, basements to flood and roads to close. Officials said Hammond and other surrounding communities saw more than six inches of rainfall in 24 hours. Please note: The above video is from an earlier, related report.
Yahoo
2 hours ago
- Yahoo
Hurricane Erin Palm Beach impact: Fire Rescue warns of rip currents, heavy surf
As Hurricane Erin churns in the Atlantic Ocean east of Florida, its effects are being felt along Florida's coast. There is a high risk of rip currents along Palm Beach County beaches through Thursday evening, according to the National Weather Service in Miami. "Beach conditions along the East Coast will become increasingly dangerous this week due to long-period ocean swell from distant Major Hurricane Erin," Palm Beach Fire Rescue officials said in an alert on Aug. 19. That risk will continue through the week and conditions will improve into early next week, Fire Rescue said. Still, beachgoers should be aware that surf conditions could still be rough with a higher risk of rip currents for about a week, Fire Rescue said. A rip current is a strong, narrow flow of water that extends from the shore with a strong pull past the surf zone, according to the National Weather Service. Rip currents can pull even strong swimmers away from shore very quickly, Palm Beach Fire Rescue said in its alert. To escape a rip current, swimmers can try to swim parallel to the shore instead of toward it, Fire Rescue said. "The most important thing to remember if you are ever caught in a rip current is not to panic," Palm Beach Fire Rescue said in its alert. "Continue to breathe, try to keep your head above water, and don't exhaust yourself fighting against the force of the current." Swimmers who are unable to escape a rip current should face toward the shoreline and call or wave to get help, the National Weather Service said. People visiting beaches in Palm Beach should swim close to a lifeguard tower, check the conditions board and look for hazard flags, Fire Rescue said. A red flag means there is a high rip current and strong surf. With Phipps Ocean Park closed for a $31 million renovation, Midtown Beach is the currently only beach in Palm Beach with lifeguards. To check daily beach conditions in Palm Beach, call 561-835-4693. Where is Hurricane Erin? As of the National Hurricane Center's 11 a.m. advisory on Aug. 19, Hurricane Erin was forecast to remain away from the U.S. in the Atlantic Ocean. While the eye of the storm is expected to remain offshore, areas of coastal North Carolina north into New England could experience tropical storm conditions and storm surge through Aug. 22, the National Hurricane Center said. Mayor Danielle Moore at the Town Council's Aug. 12 meeting encouraged residents to sign up for Palm Beach's emergency alert system by going to and click the "Sign Up" button. Kristina Webb is a reporter for Palm Beach Daily News, part of the USA TODAY Florida Network. You can reach her at kwebb@ Subscribe today to support our journalism. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Daily News: Hurricane Erin Florida impact: Rip currents, heavy surf in Palm Beach
