
Indian stock market: 8 things that changed overnight ahead of RBI policy- Gift Nifty, Tesla shares, US-China trade talks
Indian stock market: The domestic equity benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are expected to open on a tepid note Friday, tracking mixed sentiment in global markets, and ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy.
Asian markets traded higher, while the US stock market ended lower overnight, with all three indices closing in the red.
The RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra will announce the monetary policy decision later today. Economists expect RBI's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to cut repo rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 5.75% from 6%, its third straight repo rate cut.
On Thursday, the Indian stock market ended higher led by broad-based buying, with the benchmark indices gaining over half a percent each.
The Sensex rallied 443.79 points, or 0.55%, to close at 81,442.04, while the Nifty 50 settled 130.70 points, or 0.53%, higher at 24,750.90.
'With all eyes now on the outcome of the upcoming RBI MPC meeting, the continued outperformance of rate-sensitive sectors such as banking, realty, and auto appears to be factoring in a 25 bps rate cut. However, the RBI's commentary will be crucial, given the mixed global cues amid a favorable domestic environment. We continue to recommend a focus on theme-specific opportunities while maintaining prudent position sizing due to the mixed market signals,' said Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd.
Here are key global market cues for Sensex today:
Asian markets traded higher after a phone call between US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping improved sentiment.
Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 0.14%, while the Topix rose 0.24%. South Korea's Kospi jumped 1.49%, and the Kosdaq rose 0.8%. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index futures indicated a lower opening.
Gift Nifty was trading around 24,845 level, a discount of nearly 16 points from the Nifty futures' previous close, indicating a tepid start for the Indian stock market indices.
US stock market ended lower on Thursday in choppy trade amid a slump in Tesla shares.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 108.00 points, or 0.25%, to 42,319.74, while the S&P 500 fell 31.51 points, or 0.53%, to 5,939.30. The Nasdaq Composite closed 162.04 points, or 0.83%, lower at 19,298.45.
Tesla share price plunged 14.26%, Nvidia stock price fell 1.36%, Apple shares dropped 1.08%, while Advanced Micro Devices share price declined 2.44%. Brown-Forman stock price fell almost 18% and Procter & Gamble shares fell 1.9%.
Tesla share price slumped 14.26% to close at $284.70 after the public feud between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump intensified over the new US tax bill. Tesla stock price has fallen in four out of the last five sessions, and the electric vehicle maker has lost about $150 billion in value after Trump and Musk began their verbal war.
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping spoke Thursday, according to China's Foreign Ministry amid trade tensions between the two countries. Trump said on social media that the talks focused primarily on trade led to 'a very positive conclusion,' announcing further lower-level US-China discussions.
The European Central Bank cut interest rates as expected but hinted at a pause in its year-long easing cycle. The ECB cut its key deposit rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 2%, its seventh consecutive reduction and eighth since June last year when it began lowering borrowing costs.
The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits increased to a seven-month high last week. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits rose 8,000 to a seasonally adjusted 247,000 for the week ended May 31, the highest level since last October. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 235,000 claims for the latest week.
Gold prices rose on Friday and headed for weekly gains. Spot gold price gained 0.3% to $3,361.36 an ounce. Bullion is up 2.3% for the week so far. US gold futures rose 0.3% to $3,384.40. Spot silver prices fell 1.2% to $35.71 per ounce, still hovering near 12-year high.
(With inputs from Reuters)
Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
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Now, if you decide to keep the same tenure, then your EMI will fall down from Rs 43,391 to Rs 40,280 - savings of Rs 3,111 per you keep the same EMI of Rs 43391, the tenure of your home loan will reduce substantially from 20 years to 17 years - a drop by almost three years. This will end up with huge interest savings of Rs 15.44 reasons have prompted the RBI to consider a third rate cut. According to the Bajaj Broking report, "Headline CPI inflation remains consistently below the RBI's medium-term target of 4%."According to the government's data, the CPI Inflation in March 2025 was 3.34%. This further decreased to 3.16% in April 2025. According to the SBI Research Report, "CPI Inflation may come down to 2.9% in Q1 FY26 as food inflation is expected to be within the target in June quarter. 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With inflation being firmly in grip, focus of the central bank shifts towards economic growth and a lower rate regime helps in boosting the latest repo rate cut, home loan EMIs are expected to decrease further. Following the 50-bps repo rate cut by the RBI in February and April 2025, many banks have recently reduced their repo-linked EBLRs by a similar magnitude. However, many borrowers are still with old interest rate regimes like MCLR, base rate and BPLR, so, the quantum and speed of benefit of interest rate reduction will vary for Agarwal, CEO, Paisabazaar, says, "The 50-basis-point rep rate cut should lead to reduction in home loan interest rates, both for new and existing home loan borrowers. However, the quantum and time of the rate cut transmission would depend on factors like type of interest rate benchmarks used by the lenders, their rate reset related policies regarding, rate reset dates set for the borrowers, etc. The transmission would be quickest and absolute in case of existing home loans linked to the repo rate. The exact date of rate cut transmission to the existing borrowers would depend on the rate reset dates set by their respective lenders. Till then, they will continue to repay their loans as per their existing interest rates. As the cost of funds of the lenders play a major role in determining their internal benchmark rates, there would be a longer lag in the transmission of repo rate cuts to home loans linked to MCLR- or other internal benchmarks." Home loan linked to EBLR: As a majority of floating rate interest rate of home loans taken from banks is linked to an External Benchmark Lending Rate which is repo rate in most cases, then with the latest repo rate cut, your home loan interest rate will come down further in the coming months. "The majority of new home loans in India today are linked directly to the RBI's repo rate, under the Repo Linked Lending Rate (RLLR) framework introduced in 2019. As a result, changes in the repo rate are typically transmitted quickly to borrowers through lower interest rates and reduced EMIs," says Yashish Dahiya, Chairman & Group CEO of PB Fintech. Once the lender decides to go for reduction of interest rate, it will give you the option to either reduce your EMI by keeping same home loan tenure or keep the EMI unchanged and get reduced home loan tenure. According to experts and as per our calculations above, reducing your home loan tenure offers more benefits in the long term. Home loans linked to MCLR, base rate or BPLR: 35.9% of loans are linked to MCLR as per the SBI research report. MCLR has a longer reset period than EBLR. In a falling interest rate scenario, it is beneficial to have an interest rate regime which is faster in passing the benefit of interest rate reduction. If your home loan is still linked to the MCLR or any other loan regime, then you should switch to the EBLR-based regime to get quicker benefit of interest rate reduction and save on interest costs. The SBI research report anticipates that the RBI will cut the repo rate by 100 basis points in FY 2025-26. The central bank has already reduced the repo rate by 25 basis points in April 2025. With the current cut of 50 bps, there is still scope for 25 bps reduction in the coming months.