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Distribution Solutions (DSGR): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings?

Distribution Solutions (DSGR): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings?

Yahoo17-04-2025
Shareholders of Distribution Solutions would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 34.1% and now trades at $26.44. This might have investors contemplating their next move.
Is there a buying opportunity in Distribution Solutions, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it's free.
Even with the cheaper entry price, we don't have much confidence in Distribution Solutions. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than DSGR and a stock we'd rather own.
Founded in 1952, Distribution Solutions (NASDAQ:DSGR) provides supply chain solutions and distributes industrial, safety, and maintenance products to various industries.
Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.
Distribution Solutions was profitable over the last four years but held back by its large cost base. Its average operating margin of 5.3% was weak for an industrials business. This result is surprising given its high gross margin as a starting point.
If you've followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you can't use accounting profits to pay the bills.
Distribution Solutions has shown poor cash profitability over the last four years, giving the company limited opportunities to return capital to shareholders. Its free cash flow margin averaged 1.2%, lousy for an industrials business.
As long-term investors, the risk we care about most is the permanent loss of capital, which can happen when a company goes bankrupt or raises money from a disadvantaged position. This is separate from short-term stock price volatility, something we are much less bothered by.
Distribution Solutions's $831.1 million of debt exceeds the $66.48 million of cash on its balance sheet. Furthermore, its 6× net-debt-to-EBITDA ratio (based on its EBITDA of $136.6 million over the last 12 months) shows the company is overleveraged.
At this level of debt, incremental borrowing becomes increasingly expensive and credit agencies could downgrade the company's rating if profitability falls. Distribution Solutions could also be backed into a corner if the market turns unexpectedly – a situation we seek to avoid as investors in high-quality companies.
We hope Distribution Solutions can improve its balance sheet and remain cautious until it increases its profitability or pays down its debt.
Distribution Solutions isn't a terrible business, but it doesn't pass our bar. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 15.7× forward price-to-earnings (or $26.44 per share). This valuation multiple is fair, but we don't have much faith in the company. We're pretty confident there are more exciting stocks to buy at the moment. We'd suggest looking at one of our top digital advertising picks.
The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump's presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.
While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we're homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver's seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.
Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Sterling Infrastructure (+1,096% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.
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