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Microsoft to spend record $30 billion this quarter as AI investments pay off

Microsoft to spend record $30 billion this quarter as AI investments pay off

CNA2 days ago
Microsoft forecast on Wednesday a record $30 billion in capital spending for the current fiscal first quarter, after booming sales in its Azure cloud computing business showcased the growing returns on its massive bets on artificial intelligence.
Shares of the software company rose 9 per cent in extended trading after it said Azure sales surpassed $75 billion on an annual basis, the first time it has disclosed that figure, beating expectations for $74.62 billion.
Microsoft's higher-than-expected capital expenditure forecast - its largest ever for a single quarter - put it on track to potentially outspend its rivals over the next year. It came after Google said it would spend more on data centers to meet demand for AI services, and Meta projected higher sales with only modest increases in spending. The trio of results could help resolve investor questions about whether Big Tech is benefiting from its massive data center buildout, with capital spending to reach $330 billion this year.
Microsoft and Meta's results helped fuel a $500-billion gain in AI stocks.
"I feel very good that the spend that we're making is correlated to basically contracted, on-the-books business that we need to deliver," Microsoft Chief Financial Officer Amy Hood said on a conference call with investors.
Microsoft's cloud business still trails market leader Amazon Web Services, which had a head start in cloud computing and brought in $107.56 billion in its most recent fiscal year. But investors said Microsoft's new revenue figure indicates its investments are translating to increased sales.
"Now that Microsoft's disclosing that number, it's really just helping justify the huge investments," said Dave Wagner, portfolio manager at Aptus Capital Advisors, which holds Microsoft shares.
Rival Alphabet's earnings also showed last week that AI spending was rising, but so were the returns, as it beat revenue estimates and lifted its outlay forecast by $10 billion.
Microsoft said Azure revenue jumped 39 per cent in the June quarter, more than the average analyst estimate of 34.75 per cent, according to Visible Alpha. The company said it expects growth of 37 per cent for the current quarter, beating analyst estimates of 33.5 per cent, according to Visible Alpha data.
Microsoft has said the spending is crucial to overcoming supply constraints that have hampered its ability to meet soaring AI demand. The fiscal first-quarter capital expenditure estimate of $30 billion surpassed analysts' expectations of $23.75 billion, according to Visible Alpha data.
In the just-ended fiscal fourth quarter, capital spending rose 27 per cent to $24.2 billion, compared with estimates of $23.08 billion, per Visible Alpha.
Microsoft said its Copilot AI tools had surpassed 100 million monthly active users, the first time it has provided such a figure. Google has said rival Gemini has 450 million active users.
Overall revenue rose 18 per cent to $76.4 billion in the April-June period, Microsoft's fiscal fourth quarter. Analysts on average expected $73.81 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG.
LONGER-LIVED ASSETS
Microsoft said its capital spending trended slightly toward longer-lived assets such as data centers, after it previously told investors the mix would shift toward shorter-lived assets such as chips over its 2026 fiscal year. Jonathan Neilson, Microsoft's vice president of investor relations, said that guidance does not mean that Microsoft will not continue to invest in longer-lived assets when capacity is needed to meet demand.
"We are going to absolutely invest against that," Neilson said in an interview.
The company has emerged as an early leader in making money from AI thanks to its exclusive access to OpenAI's technology. The tie-up has helped attract scores of businesses to its cloud service and allowed Microsoft to swiftly roll out AI products such as its M365 Copilot AI assistant for enterprises.
"The bar was set really high. And my impression is they delivered ... They were able to execute in a very demanding environment," said Dan Morgan, portfolio manager at Synovus Trust, which owns Microsoft shares.
Microsoft is just $200 billion short of becoming only the second company to hit a $4-trillion valuation, with its shares up about 20 per cent this year.
But investor doubts have risen about the OpenAI tie-up as the companies renegotiate the deal and the startup shifts some workloads to rivals, including Google and Oracle.
Media reports have said the two are at a deadlock over how much access Microsoft will retain to OpenAI's tech and its stake if OpenAI converts into a public-benefit corporation.
Microsoft has tried to reduce its reliance on OpenAI by developing in-house AI technology and broadening its model lineup with partners such as xAI, Meta, and France's Mistral, hosting their models on Azure for clients.
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AI cannot supplant learning; it must enable it: Desmond Lee
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AI cannot supplant learning; it must enable it: Desmond Lee

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Commentary: Why we need to be wary of AI as an enabler of terrorism
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time12 hours ago

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The Internal Security Department (ISD) said that new technology like AI and 3D printing have thus far not been proven to have been used in any terror attack plot in Singapore, but they have featured in the self-radicalisation of local youths. A 17-year-old Islamic State supporter detained in September 2024, for example had used an AI chatbot to generate a bai'ah or pledge of allegiance to ISIS, as well as a declaration of armed jihad against non-Muslims to inspire other Muslims in Singapore to engage in armed violence. In another case, a 17-year-old supporter of far-right extremist ideologies detained in March this year had searched for instructions on an AI chatbot on how to produce ammunition, and considered 3D-printing his own firearms as part of his plans to conduct attacks locally. ISD said that, given the increased sophistication and ease of access to these and other emerging technologies, potential terror activities and plots in the future can be expected to feature such technologies going forward. EVOLVING TACTICS AND TECHNIQUES There are a number of ways that new and evolving technology like AI can be harnessed by terrorist organisations to advance their aims. First, in accelerating radicalisation and recruitment. AI has been used to generate disinformation at a scale and speed much faster than what could be achieved by manual means alone. Many extremists misappropriate, misinterpret or manipulate religious prophecies or social narratives to suit their ideologies and win more supporters to their cause. In that vein, AI would be able to make such efforts, which bear significant similarities to disinformation operations, more effective and efficient. 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Third, AI could be used by radicalised individuals to generate and suggest plans and strategies to conduct terror attacks, which would be especially appealing to younger, more vulnerable individuals who may not have been exposed to formal training or direct contact with terror organisations. Combined with existing trends such as using AI to produce deepfake videos, and the other tactics detailed in the report, these present a complex and complicated environment that can only increase the chances of terrorism threats permeating across the world. WHAT CAN BE DONE While the report makes clear that there is currently no specific intelligence of an imminent terrorist attack against Singapore, it is important to not take such relative peace for granted. All eight Singaporeans dealt with under the country's Internal Security Act since last July were self-radicalised by extremist materials they found online. ISD said that such platforms have accelerated the time taken between individuals' first encounter with terrorist and radical elements, and their subscription to violent extremist ideologies. Statistics show that the time taken for self-radicalisation for cases detected in Singapore has essentially halved from 24 months prior to 2015, to an average of 12 months between 2021 and 2025. Some cases took mere weeks. In particular, the vulnerability of the youth to radicalisation remains a pressing concern. Much of ISD's prescribed efforts to counter the risk of terrorism and violent extremism are focused on enhancing counter-terrorism capabilities, beefing up border security, and working with social and education agencies to address the threat early. However, given the potential for emerging and evolving technologies such as AI to be used by terrorist organisations to enable and enhance their efforts and operations, equal emphasis should be placed on identifying such threats as early as possible. This will require close collaboration between the government and security agencies and technology counterparts in the private sector, while also ensuring the people are educated and kept up to date on such threats as soon as they are detected, whether at home or abroad.

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