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Global temperature likely to breach 1.5°C in next five years: WMO
Global temperature likely to breach 1.5°C in next five years: WMO

Business Standard

time3 days ago

  • Climate
  • Business Standard

Global temperature likely to breach 1.5°C in next five years: WMO

A new report by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) on Wednesday warned that there is a 70 per cent chance of global temperatures exceeding the 1.5°C threshold above pre-industrial levels between 2025 and 2029. The warning comes at a time when 180 of the 195 UNFCCC countries have yet to submit their next round of nationally determined contributions (NDCs), or national climate plans, for 2031–35 before the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30). Climate plans are crucial to limiting global temperature rise to 1.5°C. The warning follows the European Union's Earth Observation Programme, Copernicus Climate Change Service's March forecast on the global average temperature breaching the 1.5°C long-term global warming threshold by September 2029 if the current trend continues. The annually averaged global mean near-surface temperature for each year between 2025 and 2029 is predicted to be between 1.2°C and 1.9°C higher than the average over 1850–1900, the report titled WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update (2025–2029) said, emphasising the need for continued climate monitoring to inform decision-making and adapt to the growing effects of climate change. It also said that there is an 80 per cent chance that at least one of the next five years will surpass 2024 as the warmest on record. Although exceptionally unlikely, there is now also a 1 per cent chance of at least one year exceeding 2°C of warming within the next five years. However, long-term warming (averaged over decades) remains below 1.5°C. Citing the 10 warmest years on record, WMO deputy secretary general Ko Barrett said the new report provides no sign of respite in the coming years. '...this means that there will be a growing negative impact on our economies, our daily lives, our ecosystems and our planet,' she said. 'Continued climate monitoring and prediction is essential to provide decision-makers with science-based tools and information to help us adapt,' Barrett added in a statement. The 1.5°C threshold is a target that countries agreed to at the Paris climate conference in 2015 to avoid the worst effects of climate change. A permanent breach of the 1.5°C limit under the Paris Agreement refers to long-term warming over 20 years. The WMO warned that temporary exceedances of such levels are expected to occur with increasing frequency as the underlying rise in global temperatures approaches the threshold. 'Every additional fraction of a degree of warming drives more harmful heatwaves, extreme rainfall events, intense droughts, melting of ice sheets, sea ice and glaciers, heating of the ocean, and rising sea levels,' the WMO report said. Arctic warming in the next five extended winters (November to March) is likely to be over 3.5 times the global average, at 2.4°C above the average temperature during the 1991–2020 baseline. Further reductions in sea-ice concentration in the Barents Sea, Bering Sea, and Sea of Okhotsk are expected for March 2025–2029. Predicted precipitation patterns for May–September 2025–2029, relative to the 1991–2020 baseline, suggest wetter-than-average conditions in the Sahel, Northern Europe, Alaska, and northern Siberia, and drier-than-average conditions in the Amazon. In the case of South Asia, the WMO forecast indicated that the region—which was wetter than average in recent years, except 2023—will continue to experience such conditions till 2029, though this may not apply to every individual monsoon season in the period.

COP30: ‘Focus on healing, building credibility of climate talks,' says Brazil
COP30: ‘Focus on healing, building credibility of climate talks,' says Brazil

Hindustan Times

time23-05-2025

  • Politics
  • Hindustan Times

COP30: ‘Focus on healing, building credibility of climate talks,' says Brazil

Brazil, the host of the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30), has asked all countries who are party to the Paris Agreement to consider the future of climate negotiations when they assemble for the key event later this year. It has made it clear that there are three interconnected priorities during the June climate meetings in Bonn (SB62) and COP30 in November, which include reinforcing multilateralism, connecting the climate talks to people and focusing on implementation of the Paris Agreement. In a letter on Friday, Brazil urged the parties to reorient the climate talks ahead of the Bonn climate meetings, scheduled to take place from June 16-26. The Bonn talks are seen as a halfway point to the annual climate summit to be held in Brazil this year. 'Against a background in which climate urgency interacts with compounding geopolitical and socioeconomic challenges, the incoming COP30 Presidency hopes all delegations are guided by three interconnected priorities for SB62 and COP30: (1) to reinforce multilateralism and the climate change regime under the UNFCCC, (2) to connect the climate regime to people's real lives, and (3) to accelerate the implementation of the Paris Agreement by stimulating action and structural adjustments across all institutions that can contribute to it,' the letter signed off by COP30 president designate André Aranha Correa do Lago said. 'This is the time we focus negotiations on healing and upgrading our process, rebuilding a global infrastructure of trust for accelerated and scaled outcomes. The credibility of our multilateral process is in the hands of negotiators in Bonn,' he wrote. The incoming COP30 Presidency is working to ensure that negotiations, the global mobilisation, the Action Agenda and the Leaders' Summit where world leaders announce their plans and views, each contribute to 'inaugurating a new era of putting into practice what we have agreed', Lago wrote in his third letter to parties. During a briefing on Thursday, HT asked COP30 President, ambassador Lago, asked what Brazil expected from COP30, especially against the backdrop of major geopolitical disruptions globally. 'Well, we don't have that answer yet, because we are listening to countries and this is the process in which we have to make sure that the international community is supportive of the results of COP30. And that is the success, the essential success of COP30, is the strengthening of multilateralism and everybody getting together convinced that it must be the solutions to fight climate change have to come from this dialogue and from this work together. So, we are still building that,' Lago told HT. He also said he doesn't want to create specific expectations immediately. 'We don't want to create, you know, like expectations and we want to do that and this. We really want to listen to the countries and understand their priorities. But I believe that we have received positive inputs regarding the priorities we have been showing in the letters and also in the effort of having a COP that convinces everybody that we have enough things negotiated for us to act more.' Erosion of trust among developed and developing nations has cast a shadow on the climate negotiations in recent years. Several developing countries are disappointed with the outcome of COP29, also because the agreement on New Collective Quantified Goal was seen to be in favour of developed countries. India led a fierce pushback at COP29 against what it called a 'stage-managed' climate finance deal, moments after the Azerbaijan presidency hastily gavelled through a contentious proposal. The hastily adopted text set a climate finance goal of 'at least $300 billion per year by 2035' and launched the 'Baku to Belém Roadmap to 1.3T'. However, India and other developing countries identified specific problems that could fundamentally alter climate finance obligations. These include the sum being too small and to be delivered only 11 years later. There was more uncertainty after US, the largest historical emitter of greenhouse gas emissions, under President Donald Trump this January, announced its withdrawal from the Paris climate agreement. Developing countries saw this as the largest historical emitter evading its responsibility. 'Acknowledging ongoing calls for COPs' reform, the incoming Presidency invites all Parties to consider the future of the process itself. As we move from a negotiation-centred to an implementation-centred era, Parties can intensify at SB62 the consideration of approaches and initiatives to increase the efficiency of the process towards enhancing ambition and implementation,' Lago said in his letter. He further wrote that the Bonn climate meeting could address longstanding challenges, including the excessive number of provisional agenda items for COPs and SBs, overlapping themes, scheduling constraints, and barriers that prevent the effective participation of smaller delegations. 'While these issues remain under consideration, it is advisable to avoid introducing potentially contentious new agenda items that could further burden the process or detract from agreed priorities. Looking ahead, future COPs can represent a new generation of climate conferences: not as isolated diplomatic events, but as systemic platforms to accelerate delivery, measure progress, and engage a broader ecosystem of actors,' the Brazil Presidency has emphasised. The first Global Stocktake (GST) which took place in Dubai at COP28, stands as a guide to Mission 1.5 and to our collective project around the vision of the UN Climate Convention, Lago said. All public and private stakeholders should work together towards the full implementation of the Paris Agreement by considering the findings of the GST. This includes the global calls for efforts towards halting and reversing deforestation and forest degradation by 2030, and for accelerating the global energy transition, Lago wrote, adding that parties should support one another to advance collectively on tripling renewable energy capacity globally, doubling the global average annual rate of energy efficiency improvements, and transitioning away from fossil fuels in energy systems, in a just, orderly, and equitable manner.

New national climate plans needed for economic growth, says UN's Stiell
New national climate plans needed for economic growth, says UN's Stiell

Business Standard

time20-05-2025

  • Business
  • Business Standard

New national climate plans needed for economic growth, says UN's Stiell

National climate plans must be updated to address economic uncertainty and help growth, said Simon Stiell, the UN's climate change executive secretary, at the 2025 Nature Summit in Panama. A 'new generation' of nationally determined contributions (NDCs), as such climate plans are called, is relevant in light of geopolitical shifts and trade wars, he said. As many as 178 of the 195 member countries of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are expected to submit their NDCs in preparation for the 30th Conference of the Parties (COP30). Stiell said that new climate plans must focus on growth — promoting industries and economies while building a better future that protects nature and provides better opportunities for people. Also Read The Panama Canal is already experiencing the effects of climate change, with lower water levels slowing shipping and disrupting trade routes. For the average person, this translates to rising costs and less disposable income. It also delays critical medical supplies for those in urgent need, leads to business failures, and threatens livelihoods. A drought at the canal is affecting essential commodities worldwide, resulting in reduced harvests, empty supermarket shelves, and increasing hunger among families. This situation is further exacerbated by rising fossil fuel prices, which elevate the cost of living. 'Famine is back, and the role of global warming cannot be ignored,' Stiell said at the summit, which aims to develop practical solutions for the real economy and bridge the gap between technical discussions, stakeholder engagement and real-world implementation. The Panama Canal plays a vital role in global trade by significantly reducing transit times and costs for ships travelling between the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans. For Indian exports to North and South America, Europe and the Pacific Rim, the canal offers a shorter and more efficient route, leading to lower shipping costs and making Indian goods more competitive in international markets. While global supply chains are being disrupted, the UNFCCC head warned that the impacts of climate chaos could be even more severe and long-lasting. 'Amid discussions of tariffs, trade barriers, and slowing growth, it's important to not overlook the signals in all the noise,' he said. Stiell advocated for climate policy as a means to facilitate trade, stimulate economic growth, and avert disastrous climate impacts. Such policies can send clear signals to governments, markets and investors who are prepared to make significant investments. In the past, climate plans primarily focused on reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and relying on traditional energy sources. For instance, India's NDCs include a commitment to generate 50 per cent of its electricity from non-fossil fuel sources and to reduce emission intensity by 45 per cent by 2030 compared to 2005 levels. NDCs represent a country's commitment to mitigate and adapt to climate change by setting specific targets, policies and measures, contributing to the global goal of limiting the temperature rise to 1.5°C. To navigate challenging times and capitalise on the $2 trillion clean energy market, Stiell called for active stakeholder involvement from various countries and sectors to combat climate change and share its benefits. As more ships transit the canal, carrying the components necessary for a global clean energy economy, Stiell emphasised the need to ensure that their numbers continue to grow and that their cargo reaches every country on Earth.

BRICS countries approve Cerrado Declaration on Sustainable Tourism Development
BRICS countries approve Cerrado Declaration on Sustainable Tourism Development

See - Sada Elbalad

time15-05-2025

  • Business
  • See - Sada Elbalad

BRICS countries approve Cerrado Declaration on Sustainable Tourism Development

H-Tayea BRICS tourism ministers met in Brasilia. The key outcome was the approval of the Cerrado Declaration, which consolidates the desire of the member countries to promote sustainable, inclusive and environmentally friendly tourism. This is reported by the official website of the Brazilian Government, according to TV BRICS. The event was headed by the Minister of Tourism of Brazil Celso Sabino. The document was so named in honour of one of the largest natural biomes of the Republic and the second largest in Latin America after the Amazon – Cerrado. "The Cerrado Declaration was a significant event in the history of world tourism. The BRICS countries represent the largest economy, the largest consumer market and the largest tourism community. This document defines how our countries should build their tourism policies," Sabino emphasised. The declaration identifies three priority areas for international cooperation in this field: Regional Tourism Development. This includes improving infrastructure, expanding tourism offerings, and training personnel. Promotion of sustainable and regenerative tourism. Suggests sharing experience, introducing green practices and supporting local communities. Attracting digital nomads. It is recommended to simplify the visa regime, improve the quality of the Internet and create conditions for remote work. During the event, the Brazilian minister also announced that at the 30th Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (COP30) in Belem, a separate day will be fully dedicated to the issue of sustainable tourism. read more Gold prices rise, 21 Karat at EGP 3685 NATO's Role in Israeli-Palestinian Conflict US Expresses 'Strong Opposition' to New Turkish Military Operation in Syria Shoukry Meets Director-General of FAO Lavrov: confrontation bet. nuclear powers must be avoided News Iran Summons French Ambassador over Foreign Minister Remarks News Aboul Gheit Condemns Israeli Escalation in West Bank News Greek PM: Athens Plays Key Role in Improving Energy Security in Region News One Person Injured in Explosion at Ukrainian Embassy in Madrid News Egypt confirms denial of airspace access to US B-52 bombers Lifestyle Pistachio and Raspberry Cheesecake Domes Recipe News Ayat Khaddoura's Final Video Captures Bombardment of Beit Lahia News Australia Fines Telegram $600,000 Over Terrorism, Child Abuse Content Arts & Culture Nicole Kidman and Keith Urban's $4.7M LA Home Burglarized Sports Former Al Zamalek Player Ibrahim Shika Passes away after Long Battle with Cancer Sports Neymar Announced for Brazil's Preliminary List for 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifiers News Prime Minister Moustafa Madbouly Inaugurates Two Indian Companies Arts & Culture New Archaeological Discovery from 26th Dynasty Uncovered in Karnak Temple Business Fear & Greed Index Plummets to Lowest Level Ever Recorded amid Global Trade War

Vietnamese Foreign Minister Visits Russia to Strengthen Strategic Partnership
Vietnamese Foreign Minister Visits Russia to Strengthen Strategic Partnership

Daily News Egypt

time03-04-2025

  • Business
  • Daily News Egypt

Vietnamese Foreign Minister Visits Russia to Strengthen Strategic Partnership

Vietnamese Foreign Minister Bui Thanh Son is in Russia on an official visit from 1 to 4 April, during which he held talks with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. The visit aims to strengthen the strategic partnership between the two countries. The Russian Foreign Ministry's website reports that Lavrov stated, 'Together with our Vietnamese friends, we are actively working to implement the agreements reached in June 2024 during President Vladimir Putin's state visit to Vietnam.' Lavrov also announced that Tho Lam, General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party's Central Committee, has been invited to Russia for the May 9 celebrations. Vietnamese Foreign Minister affirmed Vietnam's commitment to bilateral cooperation, stating, 'The purpose of my visit is to reaffirm our countries' commitment to bilateral cooperation, as well as to prepare for the arrival of Central Committee General Secretary Tho Lam.' Petr Chuvakhin, an associate professor at the Department of Legal Regulation of the Fuel and Energy Complex at the MGIMO University, told TV BRICS that the Vietnamese minister's visit is of particular importance. Chuvakhin highlighted potential agreements in several key areas, including increased access for Russian companies to the Vietnamese market, settlements in national currencies, and the development of a legal framework for Vietnam's inclusion in the energy supply system and subsequent transit to third countries in the region. According to Chuvakhin, the talks may consider various agreements such as a memorandum of understanding to expand energy cooperation, a protocol on joint investment projects, a technical agreement on the development of logistics infrastructure, and an agreement on the establishment of an interdepartmental commission to harmonise legislation in the energy sector. In related news, Vietnamese President Luong Cuong recently held talks with Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva in Hanoi. During that meeting, da Silva invited Cuong to attend the BRICS summit in Rio de Janeiro and the 30th Conference of the Parties to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change in Belem, both scheduled to be held in Brazil this year.

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