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Latest on risk of storm as huge uncertainty remains in Irish forecast
Latest on risk of storm as huge uncertainty remains in Irish forecast

Irish Daily Mirror

time8 hours ago

  • Climate
  • Irish Daily Mirror

Latest on risk of storm as huge uncertainty remains in Irish forecast

There remains a risk of a storm next Tuesday though there is still major uncertainty in the weather forecast, an expert Irish forecaster has revealed. Weather models currently indicate the possibility of a storm potentially affecting some parts of the country after the August Bank Holiday weekend. The storm could be intense for certain areas, however it could equally make little to no impact. Confidence in the forecast will improve as the days go on but the advice is currently to continue monitoring developments in the forecast. Alan O'Reilly, who mans the ever-popular @CarlowWeather account on X, last night delivered the latest update on the potential storm. "A lot of uncertainty still on Monday," he said on X. "That risk of a storm, that's still there, but the latest weather models... it brings it further south. That brings more rain on Monday but it keeps the strongest winds away. "But there's huge uncertainty on where that storm ends up and whether it will be quite intense or nothing really much to worry about. "So any forecast you see for Monday at the moment, they're going to chop and they're going to change. "I know Tinahely show's on, lots of things on Monday but don't worry too much at the moment but just keep up to date because it is going to chop and change a lot." The good news is after the wet and windy weather on Monday and Tuesday, high pressure is expected to become dominant for the rest of next week, which will bring with it more settled conditions. During this period, rain is forecast to be below average across the country and temperatures are set to be slightly above average for this time of year. Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest news from the Irish Mirror direct to your inbox: Sign up here.

Here's what the August Bank Holiday weather has in store
Here's what the August Bank Holiday weather has in store

Extra.ie​

timea day ago

  • Climate
  • Extra.ie​

Here's what the August Bank Holiday weather has in store

The August Bank Holiday weekend is probably the most highly anticipated weekend of the whole summer where right across Ireland people make plans for 'do something'. But its usually dependant on the weather. Ideas will be had for get-togethers in back gardens all over the country, BBQs will be dusted off, and there won't be a burger bun to be had in the supermarkets, if the warm weather we have all been enjoying so far this summer continues. So what is ahead for the bank holiday, can we throw caution to the wind and invite the family over, or pack up the car and head to the coast? Pic: Getty Images Alan O'Reilly of Carlow Weather says 'it's still uncertain but it's not looking too bad for Saturday and Sunday, however, bank holiday Monday could be tricky'. 'The bank holiday looks mainly settled with just odd shower but unclear how much sunshine yet'. Pic: Shutterstock Then next week it looks like the weather is set to improve again with high pressure settling over the country, bringing sunshine and warmer temperatures. If you're heading to the Galway Races, bring an umbrella, but also be prepared for warm sunshine, so sunscreen is also a must. Meanwhile, across Europe, temperatures are continuing to soar to record levels, with a recent record-breaking heatwave causing over 2,000 heat related deaths across the continent. The elderly and the very young are most at risk from the extreme heat.

'Worst case scenario' highlighted by weather expert ahead of potential storm
'Worst case scenario' highlighted by weather expert ahead of potential storm

Irish Daily Mirror

timea day ago

  • Climate
  • Irish Daily Mirror

'Worst case scenario' highlighted by weather expert ahead of potential storm

Ireland is facing the prospect of a rare summer storm as an Irish weather expert has identified the risk of heavy winds battering the country next week. Both the Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) have highlighted the potential of a low-pressure storm heading towards Ireland early next week. Irish weather expert Alan O'Reilly, who mans the popular @CarlowWeather account on X, is monitoring the weather models and revealed that next Tuesday looks like the most likely day for stormy conditions to arrive but there is good news after that. "When it comes on Tuesday - look at this - very, very strong winds right across the country. Now, it's a week out. It's very uncertain. It's going to chop and change but the GFS and the ECMWF are both showing the risk of a low pressure storm moving towards us on Monday or Tuesday, hopefully Tuesday," he said on social media. "I wouldn't get too worried at the moment but it's certainly something to keep an eye on. "The good news is that once that clears, high pressure looks more likely to move in for next week so it might be a short-term loss in terms of some wind and rain but then high pressure moving in so fingers crossed that we get that high pressure and the low pressure stays to the north." Conditions will remain mixed in the lead-up to the weekend, with national forecaster Met Eireann anticipating a good deal of dry weather and temperatures staying in the high teens. This looks set to turn from Saturday, however, as a band of rain is expected to move over the country on August 2 and it will turn heavy at times before Sunday sees scattered showers as temperatures remain in the mid to high teens. Providing some optimism, Mr O'Reilly added that the ECMWF model identifying next week's storm risk is the "worst case scenario." He added: "Good news is the weather model ensembles show that the ECMWF model with storm next Tuesday is currently worst case scenario so hopefully won't end up that bad." Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest news from the Irish Mirror direct to your inbox: Sign up here.

Weather expert issues storm warning as 'very, very strong winds' to hit Ireland
Weather expert issues storm warning as 'very, very strong winds' to hit Ireland

Irish Daily Mirror

time2 days ago

  • Climate
  • Irish Daily Mirror

Weather expert issues storm warning as 'very, very strong winds' to hit Ireland

A weather expert has warned that Ireland could be hit by stormy conditions in the early parts of next week. Alan O'Reilly, the hobbyist meteorologist who runs the popular Carlow Weather social media pages, issued a weather update to his followers on Monday evening (July 28) and revealed current models show that "very, very strong winds" are currently forecast to batter the country next Tuesday (August 5). O'Reilly said that both the GFS and ECMWF weather charts show a risk of a low pressure storm making landfall here following the August Bank Holiday weekend, although the weather expert conceded that forecast 'could chop and change' over the coming week. In a video message to his followers, O'Reilly said: "Monday evening, we have some rain moving in from the west going across the country. Rainfall amounts generally low, but there will be some rain. "Tuesday and Wednesday, there will be a lot of cloud [with] some scattered showers. If you are going to the Galway Races bring that brolly or raincoat, but not a lot of rain. "Thursday we will see more in the way of sunny spells, but still some showers as well on Thursday." O'Reilly said that current indications suggest the August Bank Holiday weekend will start off dry with some good sunny spells expected on Friday. However, a spell of rain is forecast to arrive on Saturday, with stormy conditions then predicted to hit on Tuesday. "The good news is Friday's looking pretty good with good sunny spells and not too many showers, so a good start to the long weekend," he said. "Saturday looks okay until a risk of rain moving in from the northwest. Now the worst of that (is) probably over Saturday night into Sunday, but the timing and intensity of that is something to keep an eye on. "Sunday then, very uncertain yet but it looks like it could be a mix of showers as well. "Monday then really, really uncertain. The GFS weather model bring a low with wind and rain moving in from Monday. "The ECMWF weather model, the European one, keeps that away but when it comes [to] Tuesday, very, very strong winds right across the country. "Now, it's a week out, it's very uncertain and so it's going to chop and change, but the GFS and the ECMWF are both showing a risk of a low pressure storm moving us towards Monday, Tuesday, hopefully Tuesday. "But I wouldn't get too worried at the moment, but it's certainly something to keep an eye on." Despite the potential for a storm to arrive next week, O'Reilly said that there is some positive news on the weather front, with current indications suggesting that the storm conditions will be followed by a spell of high pressure which will usher in clear skies, light winds, and generally settled conditions. "The good news is once that clears high pressure looks likely to move in for next week," he told his followers. "So it might be a short term loss in terms of some wind and rain but then high pressure moving in. "So fingers crossed that we get the high pressure and the low pressure stays to the north." Subscribe to our newsletter for the latest news from the Irish Mirror direct to your inbox: Sign up here. The Irish Mirror's Crime Writers Michael O'Toole and Paul Healy are writing a new weekly newsletter called Crime Ireland. Click here to sign up and get it delivered to your inbox every week

Met Eireann forecast 21C weekend as ‘settled weather to start August' with high pressure to build next week
Met Eireann forecast 21C weekend as ‘settled weather to start August' with high pressure to build next week

The Irish Sun

time4 days ago

  • Climate
  • The Irish Sun

Met Eireann forecast 21C weekend as ‘settled weather to start August' with high pressure to build next week

WEATHER experts have revealed we will see an upwards trend in our weather next week as temperatures rise and high pressure develops. It comes as 2 Temperatures are expected to soar for the August Bank Holiday next weekend Credit: Meteologix 2 Temperatures are already expected to soar this weekend Credit: Meteologix Weather bosses revealed temperatures will range from 16C right up to that 21C across the country over the next few days. Today will start with a mix of sunny spells and scattered showers, with some of those turning heavy towards this evening. However, Alan O'Reilly at Carlow Weather promised a positive evening for most after those heavy spells. Posting on X he said: "Sunny spells and just odd shower with a nice evening ahead for many." READ MORE IN NEWS Into tonight then we will see isolated showers amid a try start. Cloud will develop as the night progresses, dragging rain across the country. Overnight temperatures only falling to 14C though. Tomorrow, 21C temperatures will be accompanied by further cloud and scattered showers to start. Most read in Irish News Again, some of those spells will be heavy in parts of the country. However, Met Eireann promised "sunny intervals" are also expected. 'We should've known better', says stranded beachgoers as hundreds of Irish flock to overcrowded beach as temps hit 30.8C Sunday night will see long and clear spells with just some isolated showers in parts. It will be foggy though and cloud will build later in the night. Temperatures staying at 21C for Monday amid a mixed bag of conditions. Met Eireann said: "Largely dry with sunny spells at first. However, cloud will continue to build from the west bringing patchy rain and drizzle. "Limited sunny spells will break through, the best of these will be later in the day. "Highest temperatures of 17C to 21C in light to moderate westerly breezes. "Some clear spells at first but mostly cloudy overnight with outbreaks of rain moving in from the west, most persistent in the north. "A mild night with temperatures not falling below 13C to 16C in light, occasionally moderate west or southwest breezes." REST OF THE WEEK Despite a "damp" start to Tuesday mercury will soar to 22C. Drier intervals will occur during the day after some scattered early outbreaks. And another 22C day is on the cards for Wednesday with a "dry and bright evening". Met Eireann said: "Cloudy to start with rain and drizzle but sunny spells and scattered showers will develop through the day. "Showers will become more isolated later with a largely dry and bright evening. "Highest temperatures of 17C to 22C in mostly light northwesterly winds." AUGUST BANK HOLIDAY Current indications from experts suggest a sunny and hot start to August, with a summery bank holiday weekend. Cathal Nolan of Ireland's Weather Channel said high pressure is set to build, pushing temperatures up. Posting on Facebook he said: "If we take a look at the trends from some of the leading forecast models over the past number of days, it's becoming clearer that a more pronounced spell of settle weather may well develop during the first week of August, with high pressure expected to increase build from the southwest. "This extension of the Azores high looks set to have a positive impact on our weather, leading to greater sunshine levels, while keep rainfall at bay, and also increasing our temperatures. "Values throughout will trend more above average, with a chance of some warmer days also."

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