
'Worst case scenario' highlighted by weather expert ahead of potential storm
Both the Global Forecast System (GFS) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) have highlighted the potential of a low-pressure storm heading towards Ireland early next week.
Irish weather expert Alan O'Reilly, who mans the popular @CarlowWeather account on X, is monitoring the weather models and revealed that next Tuesday looks like the most likely day for stormy conditions to arrive but there is good news after that.
"When it comes on Tuesday - look at this - very, very strong winds right across the country. Now, it's a week out. It's very uncertain. It's going to chop and change but the GFS and the ECMWF are both showing the risk of a low pressure storm moving towards us on Monday or Tuesday, hopefully Tuesday," he said on social media.
"I wouldn't get too worried at the moment but it's certainly something to keep an eye on.
"The good news is that once that clears, high pressure looks more likely to move in for next week so it might be a short-term loss in terms of some wind and rain but then high pressure moving in so fingers crossed that we get that high pressure and the low pressure stays to the north."
Conditions will remain mixed in the lead-up to the weekend, with national forecaster Met Eireann anticipating a good deal of dry weather and temperatures staying in the high teens.
This looks set to turn from Saturday, however, as a band of rain is expected to move over the country on August 2 and it will turn heavy at times before Sunday sees scattered showers as temperatures remain in the mid to high teens.
Providing some optimism, Mr O'Reilly added that the ECMWF model identifying next week's storm risk is the "worst case scenario."
He added: "Good news is the weather model ensembles show that the ECMWF model with storm next Tuesday is currently worst case scenario so hopefully won't end up that bad."
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