Latest news with #Aletta
Yahoo
29-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Tropical Storm Alvin brewing in the eastern Pacific Ocean, hurricane forecasters say
The tropics have awakened from their winter slumber, and Tropical Storm Alvin may soon be upon us. In the eastern Pacific Ocean near Central America, meteorologists say the atmosphere is becoming more favorable for tropical development. "Satellite imagery shows showers and thunderstorms becoming better organized near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico," the National Hurricane Center said in a Tropical Weather Outlook from May 27. "While the system still lacks a well-defined circulation, environmental conditions are favorable for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form tonight or on Wednesday as the low moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph," the hurricane center said midafternoon on May 27. The center gives the system a 100% chance of development. If it becomes a named system, it would be called Alvin – the first named tropical cyclone anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. As a refresher, a tropical depression becomes a named storm when its sustained wind speed reaches 39 mph. The average date for the first tropical storm of the eastern Pacific season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. "If a storm forms soon, it would be well ahead of the historical pace – and much earlier than last year's first storm. In 2024, Aletta didn't form until July 4, marking the latest start to an eastern Pacific hurricane season in the satellite era," said AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. Eastern Pacific storms and hurricanes primarily stay out to sea and seldom affect the U.S. mainland, although some storms do hit the west coast of Mexico and remnant moisture from the storms can affect the U.S. Southwest. (This story has been updated to add new information.) This article originally appeared on USA TODAY: Tropical Storm Alvin brewing in the eastern Pacific Ocean
The Herald Scotland
28-05-2025
- Climate
- The Herald Scotland
Tropical Storm Alvin brewing in the eastern Pacific Ocean
"Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico," the National Hurricane Center said in a Tropical Weather Outlook from May 27. "While the system currently lacks a well-defined circulation, environmental conditions are favorable for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day or two as the low moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph," the hurricane center said. The center gives the system a 90% chance of development. Hello, Tropical Storm Alvin? If it becomes a named system, it would be called Alvin - the first named tropical cyclone anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. As a refresher, a tropical depression becomes a named storm when its sustained wind speed reaches 39 mph. An early start to the season The average date for the first tropical storm of the eastern Pacific season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. "If a storm forms soon, it would be well ahead of the historical pace - and much earlier than last year's first storm. In 2024, Aletta didn't form until July 4, marking the latest start to an eastern Pacific hurricane season in the satellite era," said AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski. Below-average hurricane season expected in eastern Pacific The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. Eastern Pacific storms and hurricanes primarily stay out to sea and seldom affect the U.S. mainland, although some storms do hit the west coast of Mexico and remnant moisture from the storms can affect the U.S. Southwest. (This story has been updated to add new information.)
Yahoo
27-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
First tropical storm of the year could come weeks earlier than normal
The first tropical storm of the season is expected to form later this week. Forecasters said that a tropical depression was projected to form in the eastern Pacific, around several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico. 'Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico,' the National Hurricane Center said in a Tuesday update. 'While the system currently lacks a well-defined circulation, environmental conditions are favorable for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day or two as the low moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph.' They gave the disturbance a high chance of formation over the next 48 hours to a week. If it forms, the storm may move clouds and rain toward the Gulf Coast states as early as this weekend, according to AccuWeather. It would be called Alvin. The formation would mark an early start to the eastern Pacific hurricane season. The average date for the first storm of that season is on June 10, according to NASA. Last year's first storm, known as Tropical Storm Aletta, didn't form until the Fourth of July. That marked the latest start to an eastern Pacific hurricane season in the satellite era. Hurricane Hone brought flood damage to Hawaii, knocking out the power for tens of thousands of people. The eastern pacific hurricane season began May 15 and runs through November 30. However, the average first hurricane typically only forms by June 26. Right now, the Atlantic basin is quiet, with its season starting on June 1. However, this year's Atlantic hurricane season is anticipated to be above-average, once again, with climate change fueling warm ocean waters that supercharge the cyclones. Between 14 and 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes are projected for the eastern Pacific this year, according to AccuWeather. That's a higher number of hurricanes than the historical average. "With waters starting off cooler than historical average and likely to continue through the summer off of California, the circulation of any non-tropical storm offshore that forms could help pump moisture and generate heavy rainfall in not only New Mexico and Arizona, but perhaps Southern California and Nevada as well late in the summer season," AccuWeather Lead Long-Range Meteorologist Paul Pastelok said. "It is a lot of ifs, but that is something we are looking at closely."
USA Today
27-05-2025
- Climate
- USA Today
Tropical Storm Alvin brewing in the eastern Pacific Ocean, hurricane forecasters say
Tropical Storm Alvin brewing in the eastern Pacific Ocean, hurricane forecasters say The National Hurricane Center gives the system a 90% chance of development. It could be the first named tropical cyclone anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. Show Caption Hide Caption NOAA predicts at least three hurricanes this season NOAA predicts the three major hurricanes in the 2025 hurricane season. The tropics have awakened from their winter slumber, and Tropical Storm Alvin may soon be upon us. In the eastern Pacific Ocean near Central America, meteorologists say the atmosphere is becoming more favorable for tropical development. "Showers and thunderstorms are gradually becoming better organized near a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico," the National Hurricane Center said in a Tropical Weather Outlook from May 27. "While the system currently lacks a well-defined circulation, environmental conditions are favorable for further development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form during the next day or two as the low moves generally west-northwestward at around 10 mph," the hurricane center said. The center gives the system a 90% chance of development. Hello, Tropical Storm Alvin? If it becomes a named system, it would be called Alvin – the first named tropical cyclone anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. As a refresher, a tropical depression becomes a named storm when its sustained wind speed reaches 39 mph. An early start to the season The average date for the first tropical storm of the eastern Pacific season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. "If a storm forms soon, it would be well ahead of the historical pace – and much earlier than last year's first storm. In 2024, Aletta didn't form until July 4, marking the latest start to an eastern Pacific hurricane season in the satellite era," said AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski. Below-average hurricane season expected in eastern Pacific The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. Eastern Pacific storms and hurricanes primarily stay out to sea and seldom affect the U.S. mainland, although some storms do hit the west coast of Mexico and remnant moisture from the storms can affect the U.S. Southwest. (This story has been updated to add new information.)
Yahoo
27-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
What is Alvin? There isn't a tropical storm out there for Florida. Here's what's happening
The first tropical storm of the season may be brewing. But it's nowhere near Florida. Showers and thunderstorms near an area of low pressure southeast of Mexico near Central America in the Pacific Ocean have a 90% chance of forming into a tropical depression, National Hurricane Center forecasters said on Tuesday, May 27. "While recent satellite-derived wind data indicates the system does not yet have a well- defined circulation, environmental conditions are favorable for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form in the next day or two as the low moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 kt," the National Hurricane Center said in a tropical weather outlook. "There is a high chance of tropical formation within the next 48 hours," the NHC said. The 2025 Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic season, which begins June 1. Over here on the Atlantic side, things are still quiet, with the NHC tracking two tropical waves in the Central Atlantic and the Caribbean. The system has not formed into a tropical depression yet, much less a named storm. But if it does, it would be called Alvin, the first named tropical cyclone anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. "This tropical rainstorm we are watching could wander close enough to part of the southwestern coast of Mexico to bring locally drenching rain," AccuWeather Meteorologist Alex DaSilva said. AccuWeather forecasters say the tropical rainstorm could develop in the next one to three days. The Pacific hurricane season begins earlier than the Atlantic one, officially starting on May 15 as opposed to the Atlantic season's June 1. Both seasons end on Nov. 30. The average date for the first tropical storm of the eastern Pacific season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. "If a storm forms soon, it would be well ahead of the historical pace – and much earlier than last year's first storm. In 2024, Aletta didn't form until July 4, marking the latest start to an eastern Pacific hurricane season in the satellite era," said AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. NOAA is predicting there is a 60% chance of an above-normal season on our side of the country, a 30% chance of a near-normal season and a 10% chance for a below-normal season. ➤ NOAA predicting above-average 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. What can Florida expect? Forecasters predict: Named storms: 13-19 Hurricanes: 6-10 Major hurricanes: 3-5 A major hurricane is a Category 3 storm or higher, with maximum sustained winds of at least 111 mph. Tallahassee meteorologist Ryan Truchelut, who forecasts under WeatherTiger, is predicting landfall risks as near to slightly above normal this year due to closer-to-average sea temperatures this year. Truchelut looks more at impact than the Atlantic basin as a whole. So far, he's predicting 65% odds of an above normal season: Tropical storms: 16-20 Hurricanes: 7-9 Major hurricanes: 3-4 Since 2003, there have been 15 tropical cyclones that have formed before June 1. Eleven of those storms formed in May. There have even been occasions when a tropical cyclone has formed in January. Here's a look back at a few of the early storms: Jan. 16-17, 2023: Unnamed subtropical storm. May 22-23, 2021: Tropical Storm Ana. May 16-19, 2020: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 27-28, 2020: Tropical Storm Bertha. May 20-21, 2019: Subtropical Storm Andrea. May 25-31, 2018: Tropical Storm Alberto. April 19-21, 2017: Tropical Storm Arlene. Jan. 12-15, 2016: Hurricane Alex May 27-June 4, 2016: Tropical Storm Bonnie May 8-11, 2015: Tropical Storm Ana. May 19-22, 2012: Tropical Storm Alberto. May 26-30, 2012: Tropical Storm Beryl. May 31-June 1, 2008: Tropical Storm Arthur. May 9-11, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea. April 20-24, 2003: Tropical Storm Ana. We will provided tropical weather coverage daily until Nov. 30 to keep you informed and prepared. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on Fort Myers News-Press: Tropical Storm Alvin? 1st named storm could form in Pacific
